Kamala Harris Sees Significant Polling Surge During Democratic National Convention

[Social Media]

 

Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a notable increase in her polling numbers against former President Donald Trump among registered voters, according to fresh polling data released during the Democratic National Convention (DNC). The survey, conducted by the Angus Reid Institute between August 19 and August 23, coincides with the Democratic Party's formal nomination of Harris as its presidential candidate.

 

The national poll illustrates a widening generational and demographic divide in voter preferences. Harris enjoys a strong lead among younger voters, particularly those aged 18 to 34, with 59 percent supporting Harris compared to 30 percent for Trump. This lead is even more pronounced among Black voters, where Harris has 67 percent support compared to Trump’s 16 percent, and among Hispanic voters, where she leads 57 percent to 33 percent. However, Trump continues to resonate with older and white voters, holding the preference of 49 percent of voters over 54 years old, compared to 40 percent for Harris. Among white voters, Trump leads Harris 51 percent to 39 percent.

 

The Harris campaign's adept use of social media has been credited with generating what analysts have described as an "extended honeymoon period" for the candidate. Memes and viral content have helped to energize younger voters, though this strategy presents the challenge of converting online enthusiasm into actual votes in November.

 

When reached for comment, both the Harris and Trump campaigns were contacted via email by Newsweek on Saturday afternoon. While youth voter turnout in 2020 reached a record high, it still only slightly exceeded 50 percent, considerably lower than the participation rates among older demographics.

 

The Angus Reid survey also sheds light on the challenges Harris might face as she strives to become the first woman elected to the presidency. A striking 74 percent of respondents believe that it is more difficult for a woman to be elected to high political office, even though 59 percent of those surveyed said there is "no difference" between genders in terms of competently performing the job once in office. The poll also explored voters' emotional responses to the candidates.

 

Notably, 71 percent of Harris supporters expressed that her potential victory makes them feel "hopeful," while 63 percent of Trump supporters expressed the same sentiment about a possible second term for the former president. The prospect of the opposing candidate winning, however, elicited worry and fear from both camps, with Trump supporters showing slightly higher levels of concern (57 percent worry, 38 percent fear) compared to Harris supporters (47 percent worry, 45 percent fear).

 

When asked to describe the candidates, voters most frequently characterized Harris as "dishonest" (36 percent), "strong" (36 percent), "corrupt" (32 percent), "inspiring" (31 percent), and "strategic" (29 percent). Trump, on the other hand, was predominantly described as "arrogant" (62 percent), a "bully" (48 percent), "corrupt" (45 percent), "dishonest" (45 percent), and "strong" (38 percent).

 

The Angus Reid survey identified the cost of living as the most pressing issue facing the United States, with 58 percent of voters citing it as their primary concern. This was followed by broader economic concerns (28 percent), border security (27 percent), healthcare (25 percent), and reproductive rights (23 percent).

 

In addition to the Angus Reid survey, a national poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University (FDU) and Braun Research shows Harris leading Trump by a 7-point margin. The poll, which surveyed 801 registered voters between August 17 and 20, found that 50 percent of voters support Harris, while 43 percent support Trump. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The poll also revealed a deep partisan divide: 95 percent of Democrats, 38 percent of independents, and 2 percent of Republicans back Harris, while 33 percent of independents, 95 percent of Republicans, and 3 percent of Democrats support Trump.

 

In contrast to the FDU poll, a Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday found Trump leading Harris by 3 percentage points, 49 percent to 46 percent. This survey, which included 1,893 likely voters, was conducted on August 15 and between August 18 and 21, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

 

Most national aggregate polls currently place Harris in the lead, with RealClearPolitics showing her ahead by 1.5 percentage points, 48.4 percent to Trump's 46.9 percent, and The New York Times aggregate showing Harris with a 2-percentage point advantage, 49 percent to 47 percent. Other aggregates, such as FiveThirtyEight, show larger margins, with Harris leading by 3.6 percentage points, 47.2 percent to 43.6 percent. Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin also reports Harris leading, with 48 percent compared to Trump's 43.7 percent.

 

The race has been further complicated by the recent withdrawal of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who had been drawing about 5 percent in national polls. Kennedy officially dropped out on Friday and endorsed Trump, adding another layer of complexity to the already intense competition. As the campaign moves into its post-convention phase, both candidates face significant challenges. For Harris, the task will be to maintain her momentum and convert her current polling advantage into Electoral College votes. Trump, on the other hand, must work to broaden his appeal beyond his base and address the concerns of swing voters who may be apprehensive about a second Trump term.

 

With just over two months remaining until Election Day, the race remains highly competitive as both campaigns zero in on the crucial swing states.

 

While Harris appears to have benefited from a convention bounce, the true test will come in the weeks ahead as voters engage more deeply with the candidates and their platforms. As is often the case in American presidential politics, this race is likely to be closely contested right up until November.

 

Credit: Newsweek 2024-08-26

 

 

 

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[thaipo7]

Even if this is half true, it won't last.  Especially if they can get her speaking about what her policies are.  Empty pantsuit.

[mushroomdave]

Well she sure has the orange man down in Mar-A-"Lardo" seeing red these days, that's for sure!

Edited August 25 by mushroomdave

[spidermike007]

See ya Don. In my opinion he started to fade in the last year of his presidency. He may have had a minor stroke. Since then, it has been a steady downhill path. Far less coherent than in the past, very hard for him to continue a sentence for more than 15 seconds, alot of rambling, whining, complaining, playing the victim card, and juvenile name calling as usual. Even most of the CEO's he met with a month ago were shocked at how lacking his message was.

 

He is in the beginning stages of severe cognitive decline and it's a horrific thing to watch, he's an increasingly dangerous man and having him as the oldest elected president in history would not be a good thing. He rambles on and on, and it is easy to discern that he has a very hard time maintaining a thought. He is, and has always been the master of slogans, and memes, but the public is just getting tired of the same game, day in and day out. He does not possess the creative juice to adapt, and that is absolutely killing his campaign, at this point. He is headed for the greatest humiliation of his lifetime.

 

He's old, he's tired, he's now the oldest person to ever run for president, he's feels like he's 85 or 90 right now, he seems to be losing interest, he seems to be losing the plot, his message is getting tired, he has no ability to dance on his feet and be creative, and adapt, and he just seems to be disintegrating before our eyes, which is a beautiful thing to watch.

 

He won't listen to advice, as he always thinks he knows better. And now, he seems to regret his choice of Vance, and seems very stressed out over Harris. Harris is getting free rent in his head. She scares him. Can't blame him for that. He does seem to be imploding. And it is fun to watch. 

 

I predict Harris/Walz by 13 million votes, and 40-70 delegates. 

 

 

Edited August 25 by spidermike007

[nauseus]

5 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

See ya Don. In my opinion he started to fade in the last year of his presidency. He may have had a minor stroke. Since then, it has been a steady downhill path. Far less coherent than in the past, very hard for him to continue a sentence for more than 15 seconds, alot of rambling, whining, complaining, playing the victim card, and juvenile name calling as usual. Even most of the CEO's he met with a month ago were shocked at how lacking his message was.

 

He is in the beginning stages of severe cognitive decline and it's a horrific thing to watch, he's an increasingly dangerous man and having him as the oldest elected president in history would not be a good thing. He rambles on and on, and it is easy to discern that he has a very hard time maintaining a thought. He is, and has always been the master of slogans, and memes, but the public is just getting tired of the same game, day in and day out. He does not possess the creative juice to adapt, and that is absolutely killing his campaign, at this point. He is headed for the greatest humiliation of his lifetime.

 

He's old, he's tired, he's now the oldest person to ever run for president, he's feels like he's 85 or 90 right now, he seems to be losing interest, he seems to be losing the plot, his message is getting tired, he has no ability to dance on his feet and be creative, and adapt, and he just seems to be disintegrating before our eyes, which is a beautiful thing to watch.

 

He won't listen to advice, as he always thinks he knows better. And now, he seems to regret his choice of Vance, and seems very stressed out over Harris. Harris is getting free rent in his head. She scares him. Can't blame him for that. He does seem to be imploding. And it is fun to watch. 

 

I predict Harris/Walz by 13 million votes, and 40-70 delegates. 

 

 

 

 

Quite a collection of garbage there, A bit stinky aready.

[gargamon]

3 hours ago, Social Media said:

In contrast to the FDU poll, a Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday found Trump leading Harris by 3 percentage points, 49 percent to 46 percent

Rasmussen, and any polling aggregator that uses it needs to be disregarded. Obvious inaccurate bias towards Trump.

Edited August 26 by gargamon

[mdr224]

18 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

See ya Don. In my opinion he started to fade in the last year of his presidency. He may have had a minor stroke. Since then, it has been a steady downhill path. Far less coherent than in the past, very hard for him to continue a sentence for more than 15 seconds, alot of rambling, whining, complaining, playing the victim card, and juvenile name calling as usual. Even most of the CEO's he met with a month ago were shocked at how lacking his message was.

 

He is in the beginning stages of severe cognitive decline and it's a horrific thing to watch, he's an increasingly dangerous man and having him as the oldest elected president in history would not be a good thing. He rambles on and on, and it is easy to discern that he has a very hard time maintaining a thought. He is, and has always been the master of slogans, and memes, but the public is just getting tired of the same game, day in and day out. He does not possess the creative juice to adapt, and that is absolutely killing his campaign, at this point. He is headed for the greatest humiliation of his lifetime.

 

He's old, he's tired, he's now the oldest person to ever run for president, he's feels like he's 85 or 90 right now, he seems to be losing interest, he seems to be losing the plot, his message is getting tired, he has no ability to dance on his feet and be creative, and adapt, and he just seems to be disintegrating before our eyes, which is a beautiful thing to watch.

 

He won't listen to advice, as he always thinks he knows better. And now, he seems to regret his choice of Vance, and seems very stressed out over Harris. Harris is getting free rent in his head. She scares him. Can't blame him for that. He does seem to be imploding. And it is fun to watch. 

 

I predict Harris/Walz by 13 million votes, and 40-70 delegates. 

 

 

 

What if you were forced to live in California. Would you still vote democrat?

[spidermike007]

8 minutes ago, mdr224 said:

What if you were forced to live in California. Would you still vote democrat?

Yes. Absolutely. And I don't like Newsom. I like the GOP even less. 

[mdr224]

4 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

Yes. Absolutely. And I don't like Newsom. I like the GOP even less. 

So in theory you are living through massive decline, ok with it and voting for more of it. Just a hypothetical as we both know you left for a reason

[LosLobo]

1 hour ago, thaipo7 said:

Even if this is half true, it won't last.  Especially if they can get her speaking about what her policies are.  Empty pantsuit.

Perhaps before watching Watters, Hannity and Ingraham tune to one of her speeches, you might learn something.

[WDSmart]

Hooray! 

[Chomper Higgot]

And raked in $540 million in donations.

 

The candidates have derive donations from different donator profiles, it’s worth looking to see who is supporting each;

 

 

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/25/kamala-harris-campaign-donations-surge

 

https://www.opensecrets.org/2024-presidential-race

[earlinclaifornia]

1 hour ago, gargamon said:

Rasmussen, and any polling aggregator that uses it needs to be disregarded. Obvious inaccurate bias towards Trump.

Multiple State Pollsters

2014-2022: Multiple State Pollster Scorecard

Pollster	Average Error	States Polled	Error Favored Republicans	Error Favored Democrats
UMass Lowell	2.2	4	36%	64%
Susquehanna	3.0	5	54%	46%
Suffolk University	3.7	11	38%	62%
Emerson College	3.9	31	46%	54%
Trafalgar Group (R)	4.3	25	84%	16%
New York Times/Siena	4.3	16	23%	77%
InsiderAdvantage	4.4	10	59%	41%
FOX News	4.4	15	32%	68%
CNN	4.6	13	27%	73%
PPP (D)	4.7	18	23%	77%
Quinnipiac University	4.7	13	20%	80%
SurveyUSA	4.7	19	33%	67%
Rasmussen Reports	5.0	23	35%	65%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist	5.2	33	26%	74%
Remington Research	5.6	12	54%	46%
CBS News/YouGov	5.7	46	24%	76%
Monmouth	5.7	15	16%	84%
Mason-Dixon	6.1	6	17%	83%

[spidermike007]

1 hour ago, mdr224 said:

So in theory you are living through massive decline, ok with it and voting for more of it. Just a hypothetical as we both know you left for a reason

True. I just don't see Trump as a savior, nor a solution. I thought he was a terrible president. And he has declined significantly. So, we would be getting a lesser version of whatever he is. 

[neeray]

The Kamala Harris trajectory will be all positively uphill heretofore, whereas the Trump trajectory will be akin to a slippery slope, a muddy one at that, as he runs his dirty campaign.

[maesariang]

1 hour ago, gargamon said:

Rasmussen, and any polling aggregator that uses it needs to be disregarded. Obvious inaccurate bias towards Trump.

So you only use left wing polls 

[Tug]

1 hour ago, mdr224 said:

What if you were forced to live in California. Would you still vote democrat?

I live and thrive in California this place is booming allways has it’s the 5th largest economy on the planet if you had problems here perhaps the fault lies with you

[maesariang]

1 hour ago, mdr224 said:

So in theory you are living through massive decline, ok with it and voting for more of it. Just a hypothetical as we both know you left for a reason

Crazy isn't it. Harris will be a disaster like no other.

[Tug]

2 hours ago, thaipo7 said:

Even if this is half true, it won't last.  Especially if they can get her speaking about what her policies are.  Empty pantsuit.

Yea empty lmao 🤣 lawyer,DA,AG,SENATOR,V PRESIDENT,now the democratic nominee for president lol don’t be so lazy thaipo you need better material than that!!empty suit indeed……

[mdr224]

16 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

True. I just don't see Trump as a savior, nor a solution. I thought he was a terrible president. And he has declined significantly. So, we would be getting a lesser version of whatever he is. 

I dont follow any media and i dont believe any persons opinion about him. Just that America is currently headed for what the UK is right now. Seeing how miserable and apathetic the UK posters here are about their politics, i see trump winning as delaying that by 4 years

Edited August 26 by mdr224

[maesariang]

6 minutes ago, Tug said:

I live and thrive in California this place is booming allways has it’s the 5th largest economy on the planet if you had problems here perhaps the fault lies with you

Does not rank in the top 20 by gdp growth

 

https://www.bea.gov/news/2024/gross-domestic-product-state-and-personal-income-state-1st-quarter-2024

[maesariang]

1 minute ago, mdr224 said:

I dont follow any media and i dont believe any persons opinion about him. Just that America is currently headed for what the UK is right now. Seeing how miserable and apathetic the UK poster here are about their politics, i see trump winning as delaying that by 4 years

Yes open borders and giving money away overseas, mad woke stuff. 

[earlinclaifornia]

2 hours ago, maesariang said:

Does not rank in the top 20 by gdp growth

 

https://www.bea.gov/news/2024/gross-domestic-product-state-and-personal-income-state-1st-quarter-2024

 if you had problems here perhaps the fault lies with you

[earlinclaifornia]

2 hours ago, mdr224 said:

I dont follow any media and i dont believe any persons opinion about him. Just that America is currently headed for what the UK is right now. Seeing how miserable and apathetic the UK posters here are about their politics, i see trump winning as delaying that by 4 years

Can you elaborate as I'm an American and expect rages from two parties as normal. However here I know little that UK statesments implications?

Edited August 26 by earlinclaifornia

[Chomper Higgot]

10 hours ago, Social Media said:

The survey, conducted by the Angus Reid Institute between August 19 and August 23, coincides with the Democratic Party's formal nomination of Harris as its presidential candidate.

So the survey was conducted before and up to Harris’ formal nomination.

 

I therefore does not reflect response to her nomination or response to the convention.

 

Pols in the next two weeks will be more instructive of public opinion.

 

 

Edited August 26 by Chomper Higgot

[EVENKEEL]

Can't deny the perfect storm Harris's handlers have created. Them plus the media have done an amazing job shining a turd.

[Lacessit]

9 minutes ago, EVENKEEL said:

Can't deny the perfect storm Harris's handlers have created. Them plus the media have done an amazing job shining a turd.

IMO Trump selected the worst VP candidate possible, with the following result........

 

 

[EVENKEEL]

3 minutes ago, Lacessit said:

IMO Trump selected the worst VP candidate possible, with the following result........

 

 

The unthinkable may very well happen if Trump can't get on point.

[Lacessit]

4 minutes ago, EVENKEEL said:

The unthinkable may very well happen if Trump can't get on point.

His advisers are apparently imploring him to focus on policy.

 

As usual, he is listening to no-one but himself.

 

Attacking Harris works well with the MAGA crowd. I doubt the swing voters are as impressed.

[Dcheech]

11 minutes ago, EVENKEEL said:

The unthinkable may very well happen if Trump can't get on point.

He is on point with his snark, his insults, rants & tag line lies. That is his strength. However he is being advised to try and do real 'issues' by staff and fellow repubs .. ... Trump doing the economy, a stand up routine about inflation & tic tac containers.  Even his fans were bored & confused.  He has to stay with the snark, venom, the racism & lies. There is no way he can win with issues.

Go with what you know.