Trust those who put their $$ where their mouth is - the bettors.

[gamb00ler]

Amongst the most accurate predictions for the 2020 presidential election were those by a data scientist from Northwestern University.

 

Gamblers were his primary source.

 

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/will-there-be-a-kamala-harris-landslide-in-november-this-data-scientist-who-predicted-the-last-u-s-elections-says-yes/articleshow/113494981.cms?from=mdr

 

   OR

 

https://fortune.com/2024/09/18/trump-vs-harris-election-odds-who-will-win/

paywall on that one 😪 but circumvention is possible

[Danderman123]

More than 40% of the gamblers we should trust put their money on Trump.

[john donson]

it does not matter... the people in charge have too much too lose if they would stop sponsor wars that has nothing to do with good old usa...

 

nr1 but not in education, affordable healthcare, gun / school safety, honest politicians, ...

[Thingamabob]

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

[Hanaguma]

11 minutes ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

He has a point. The more Harris opens her mouth, the less people like her.  Plenty of chances to trip up before the election and let her mask slip.

[impulse]

Trust those who put their $$ where their mouth is - the bettors.

 

Yeah, because no bettor has ever been caught cheating or throwing a contest.

 

[mfd101]

12 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

The more Harris opens her mouth, the less people like her. 

That has NOT been the experience of the last 2 months, as every poll in Usofa amply demonstrates.

 

What the polls also suggest is that many people would like her to open her mouth more so that they can have a better understanding of her & her thinking.

[Hanaguma]

1 minute ago, mfd101 said:

That has NOT been the experience of the last 2 months, as every poll in Usofa amply demonstrates.

 

What the polls also suggest is that many people would like her to open her mouth more so that they can have a better understanding of her & her thinking.

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

[mfd101]

9 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

Whether more detail on policies would be political suicide is debatable. Most people will see her only on an electronic screen. What mostly counts there is impressionistic - their view of the human being on display. The detail of policies is - mostly - for the nerds to sweat over before coming up with a counter-slogan.

 

In any case, so far she has scarcely put a foot wrong (unlike her opponent who steps in it every day). If she can continue to manoeuvre around policies without losing herself in the detail, she's probably on a winner.

 

We'll all know soon enough.

Edited 3 hours ago by mfd101

[impulse]

32 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

My sister's Chatty Kathy doll could do that back in the '70s.  She's just an updated model.

[Steven55]

11 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

More than 40% of the gamblers we should trust put their money on Trump.

Trump, who promotes free speech, but no free speech for the people who disagree with him, ha ha!  https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-demands-abc-shut-down-111238987.html

[Steven55]

2 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

Helping the working class is EXTREME socialism?
Just check out this, how predator-capitalism stole 50 trillion: https://time.com/5888024/50-trillion-income-inequality-america/