Trust those who put their $$ where their mouth is - the bettors.

[gamb00ler]

Amongst the most accurate predictions for the 2020 presidential election were those by a data scientist from Northwestern University.

 

Gamblers were his primary source.

 

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/will-there-be-a-kamala-harris-landslide-in-november-this-data-scientist-who-predicted-the-last-u-s-elections-says-yes/articleshow/113494981.cms?from=mdr

 

   OR

 

https://fortune.com/2024/09/18/trump-vs-harris-election-odds-who-will-win/

paywall on that one 😪 but circumvention is possible

[Danderman123]

More than 40% of the gamblers we should trust put their money on Trump.

[john donson]

it does not matter... the people in charge have too much too lose if they would stop sponsor wars that has nothing to do with good old usa...

 

nr1 but not in education, affordable healthcare, gun / school safety, honest politicians, ...

[Thingamabob]

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

[Hanaguma]

11 minutes ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

He has a point. The more Harris opens her mouth, the less people like her.  Plenty of chances to trip up before the election and let her mask slip.

[impulse]

Trust those who put their $$ where their mouth is - the bettors.

 

Yeah, because no bettor has ever been caught cheating or throwing a contest.

 

[mfd101]

12 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

The more Harris opens her mouth, the less people like her. 

That has NOT been the experience of the last 2 months, as every poll in Usofa amply demonstrates.

 

What the polls also suggest is that many people would like her to open her mouth more so that they can have a better understanding of her & her thinking.

[Hanaguma]

1 minute ago, mfd101 said:

That has NOT been the experience of the last 2 months, as every poll in Usofa amply demonstrates.

 

What the polls also suggest is that many people would like her to open her mouth more so that they can have a better understanding of her & her thinking.

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

[mfd101]

9 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

Whether more detail on policies would be political suicide is debatable. Most people will see her only on an electronic screen. What mostly counts there is impressionistic - their view of the human being on display. The detail of policies is - mostly - for the nerds to sweat over before coming up with a counter-slogan.

 

In any case, so far she has scarcely put a foot wrong (unlike her opponent who steps in it every day). If she can continue to manoeuvre around policies without losing herself in the detail, she's probably on a winner.

 

We'll all know soon enough.

Edited 9 hours ago by mfd101

[impulse]

32 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

My sister's Chatty Kathy doll could do that back in the '70s.  She's just an updated model.

[Steven55]

11 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

More than 40% of the gamblers we should trust put their money on Trump.

Trump, who promotes free speech, but no free speech for the people who disagree with him, ha ha!  https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-demands-abc-shut-down-111238987.html

[Steven55]

2 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

Helping the working class is EXTREME socialism?
Just check out this, how predator-capitalism stole 50 trillion: https://time.com/5888024/50-trillion-income-inequality-america/
 

[Irish star]

5 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

Delusion 

[Irish star]

4 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

He has a point. The more Harris opens her mouth, the less people like her.  Plenty of chances to trip up before the election and let her mask slip.

You mean Trump and Vance quit watching Canadian News , Did you see Trump and Sarah Hukidiot town hall meeting  , Bagwan in Alaska he made the Bigly deal , Delusional, Trump every time he talks he’s a moron and his sidekick eyeliner Vance are the two biggest morons in the states 

[gamb00ler]

14 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

More than 40% of the gamblers we should trust put their money on Trump.

if it were 0% I wouldn't trust the source.... so 40% seems likely.

[gamb00ler]

5 hours ago, impulse said:

Trust those who put their $$ where their mouth is - the bettors.

 

Yeah, because no bettor has ever been caught cheating or throwing a contest.

 

definitely a contender for poorest reading skills.  Your comment makes it obvious you barely read the OP and didn't even start on the articles linked in the OP.  Care to put in an actual effort to understand the topic?

[gamb00ler]

5 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

My bookmaker, and many of his associates, have remained firm in offering odds on a Trump win come November. Thinking is that Harris is vulnerable, as time goes by, to increasing accusations of extreme socialism.

Did you actually look at and understand the odds offered?

 

It seems you could easily think that the offered odds indicate Trump is a favorite while in fact he is considered an underdog.

[Irish star]

5 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

Fair enough. I should have said, "tries to speak extemporaneously". She can memorize canned phrases and read a teleprompter just fine.  I agree that people would like her to speak and finally delineate some policies, but that would be political suicide.

You know it would be nice if you were  Transparent and told people you re  a foreigner talking about American Politics , I get your agenda it’s the same as a Russian Bot , Which you may be!!!

Edited 4 hours ago by Irish star

[Irish star]

Just now, Irish star said:

You know it would be nice if you weee Transparent and told people your a foreigner talking about American Politics , I get your agenda it’s the same as a Russian Bot , Which you may be!!!

Trump only uses a Teleprompter remember it almost killed him the glass from that hoax assassin 

[Nick Carter icp]

2 minutes ago, Irish star said:

Trump only uses a Teleprompter remember it almost killed him the glass from that hoax assassin 

 

   That is a huge insult to to Matthew Crooks , he gave his life trying to assassinate Donald Trump and you are taking away that recognition .

   Mathew Crooks lost his life trying to kill Trump, show some respect to him 

[impulse]

22 minutes ago, gamb00ler said:

definitely a contender for poorest reading skills.  Your comment makes it obvious you barely read the OP and didn't even start on the articles linked in the OP.  Care to put in an actual effort to understand the topic?

I don't suppose there's any chance that the Harris campaign is paying bookies to lie, or paying bettors to bet on Harris.

 

FFS, they're paying out $millions to get influencer to say nice things and even more to show up at events. Why not offer to cover bettors' losses if it makes Harris look more popular?

 

You're thinking checkers. This is chess.

[Irish star]

16 minutes ago, Nick Carter icp said:

 

   That is a huge insult to to Matthew Crooks , he gave his life trying to assassinate Donald Trump and you are taking away that recognition .

   Mathew Crooks lost his life trying to kill Trump, show some respect to him 

I deeply regret , absolutely correct 

[theblether]

I'm of the opinion that Harris will win. All she has to do is avoid a total meltdown and rely upon a deep hatred of Trump to carry her to victory. 

 

So far, Trump has done nothing in this campaign to move the needle and he can't rely on being shot another couple of times to win. 

 

However, it wouldn't be AN if we didn't throw a couple of grenades. 

 

First, Harris is irritating many African-Americans. 

 

Second - there's plenty of people out there that just won't vote for a woman-of-colour as President. 

[gamb00ler]

2 hours ago, impulse said:

I don't suppose there's any chance that the Harris campaign is paying bookies to lie, or paying bettors to bet on Harris.

 

FFS, they're paying out $millions to get influencer to say nice things and even more to show up at events. Why not offer to cover bettors' losses if it makes Harris look more popular?

 

You're thinking checkers. This is chess.

Darn it... you caught us all out!

 

It's a total conspiracy involving hundreds of thousands, maybe millions, of left wing extremists.

 

Its unbelievable.  The world has never seen a conspiracy like this before.