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Rachel Reeves Under Fire For Misleading the Public Over NI Increases


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Rachel Reeves has come under sharp criticism following her claims about Labour’s economic management, with accusations of misleading the public over her handling of national insurance and the broader economy. Former Bank of England official Andrew Sentance branded her statements as an "outright falsehood" amidst rising inflation and signs of economic strain.

 

The controversy centers on Ms. Reeves's assertion that her recent Budget safeguarded "working people" by avoiding increases to their national insurance. However, her policy included a £25 billion increase in employer national insurance contributions, drawing the ire of business leaders and economists alike. Mr. Sentance, who previously served on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, challenged her claims, stating, “How can the Chancellor say this with a straight face? It is an outright falsehood. Businesses and economic forecasters have made clear that higher employer NI means higher inflation and a bigger wage squeeze for working people.”

 

The criticism came as inflation figures for November revealed a rise to 2.6 percent, the highest in eight months, further straining household budgets. This development is seen as jeopardizing hopes for a swift recovery, with some experts suggesting Labour’s economic measures are contributing to stagnation.

 

Adding to the economic unease, UK manufacturing has taken a hit, and retailer Shoe Zone announced store closures, citing the increased costs imposed by the Budget. Shoe Zone pointed to the hike in employer national insurance rates and a lowered income threshold, which made some operations "unviable." Retail and hospitality sectors, which often employ lower-paid or part-time workers, have been particularly hard-hit. Kate Nicholls, chief executive of UK Hospitality, echoed these concerns, stating, “We urgently need the Chancellor to rethink these changes to protect businesses and team members.”

 

The economic challenges extend beyond specific industries. Domestic business confidence has plunged, with reports of project cancellations and declining orders. Ben Jones, lead economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), noted, “Domestic business confidence has collapsed in the wake of the Budget, which has increased costs and led to widespread reports of project cancellations and falling orders.”

 

In response to these pressures, the Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 4.75 percent, disappointing millions of borrowers hoping for relief. Hopes for substantial rate cuts in 2025 have been scaled back, with current projections indicating only two potential reductions instead of the previously anticipated four. Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, observed, “The MPC is some way away from declaring victory on inflation,” and warned that businesses may raise prices further to offset the impact of the national insurance hike.

 

Britain’s economy, once the fastest-growing among G7 nations earlier this year, has slowed dramatically, with GDP contracting in November. Inflation, which had fallen to 1.7 percent in September, has reversed course, climbing for two consecutive months.

 

As economic headwinds grow, critics argue that the Chancellor’s policies risk plunging the UK into stagflation, where economic growth stagnates while inflation persists. The coming months are likely to test the resilience of both businesses and households as they grapple with the consequences of these fiscal decisions.

 

Based on a report by Daily Mail 2024-12-20

 

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