Reform UK Just One Point behind Labour in Latest YouGov Poll, a Blow for Starmer

[Social Media]

 

A new YouGov poll presents a worrying outlook for the Labour Party, revealing that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is now just one point behind Labour in terms of voter support. The study, which is the first since last summer's general election that saw Labour secure a commanding victory, shows that the ruling party is currently at 26 percent, only narrowly ahead of Farage’s right-wing group, which stands at 25 percent.

 

In a surprising twist, the once-dominant Conservatives, who had held power for 14 years before losing control in the 2024 elections, now find themselves trailing Reform UK with only 22 percent of the vote, securing them third place in the poll. The results have led to immediate declarations from Farage, who seized the opportunity to criticize the Conservative Party’s standing. “The Tory brand is completely broken,” he declared on X. “We are the real opposition to this disastrous government.”

 

The poll highlights a significant shift in political dynamics. Labour, which has experienced considerable challenges since taking office, appears to be losing ground. The party has seen a notable dip in voter retention, with YouGov's data revealing that only 54 percent of Labour’s 2024 supporters would vote the same way if an election were held today. The poll also noted that Labour has lost 7 percent of its 2024 voters to the center-left Liberal Democrats, 6 percent to the Greens, 5 percent to Reform UK, and 4 percent to the Conservatives.

 

Farage’s rise in popularity has been fueled by a variety of factors, including recent endorsements from high-profile figures. One such endorsement came from U.S. billionaire Elon Musk, who used his platform on X to criticize the current Labour government. However, the relationship between Musk and Farage has been complicated. The two figures had a public falling-out after Farage distanced himself from a far-right figure who had been supported by Musk, despite the billionaire’s significant backing.

 

Although the general election is still some years away, the current polling data suggests that Labour’s early days in power have been tumultuous, marked by sluggish economic growth, contentious decisions surrounding social security and taxes, and a series of ethical controversies. POLITICO’s Poll of Polls shows that while Reform UK currently stands ahead of the Conservatives, with 24 percent to 22 percent, Labour maintains a four-point lead at 28 percent, indicating that Farage’s movement is a rising force to reckon with in British politics.

 

This shift in the political landscape reflects growing disillusionment with the established parties, particularly Labour and the Conservatives. With the electorate showing a willingness to explore alternatives, Reform UK is positioning itself as a key challenger to Labour’s dominance in future elections. As the political climate continues to evolve, Farage’s party appears increasingly poised to impact the upcoming political battles.

 

Based on a report by Politico 2024-01-16

 

 

 

[Smokey and the Bandit]

Starmer's 'problems' just seem to getting worse?

[JonnyF]

Hardly surprising when your own treasury minister has to resign due to a third world corruption scandal.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/tulip-siddiq-resigned-as-treasury-minister-13287920

 

I wonder how many days until the next scandal in the corrupt, dirty Labour party. 

 

"Cleaning up politics". What a laugh. That's like cleaning your toothbrush by scrubbing the toilet bowl with it.  

[Chomper Higgot]

It might be a worry if the next election was due anytime soon.

 

As it is there’s four and a half years for the policies being enacted now to bear fruit.

 

And just as much time for Reform and the Tories to continue fighting over and split the rightwing vote.

 

[Chomper Higgot]

double post deleted 

 

[jippytum]

Reform still going Strong after the Musk debacle.

Starmer afraid to hold an inquiry into the Pakistani grooming gangs  is boosting support for Reform and people to the right of UK politics. 

A Starmer U turn  comming soon 

[mrfill]

1 hour ago, Smokey and the Bandit said:

Starmer's 'problems' just seem to getting worse?

Seems nothing compared to the problems BadEnoch is having. At this stage in the parliament her lot should be miles ahead but is trailing badly. She won't last long.

[brewsterbudgen]

So, Labour are leading in the polls. 🤭👍

[wavodavo]

2 hours ago, Smokey and the Bandit said:

Starmer's 'problems' just seem to getting worse?

Look out Nigel Farage will be opposition leader soon ....and P.M. next.but I wish he would get a new set of teeth first I'm sure he can afford it.

[Chomper Higgot]

3 hours ago, mrfill said:

Seems nothing compared to the problems BadEnoch is having. At this stage in the parliament her lot should be miles ahead but is trailing badly. She won't last long.

I said from the start, she’s a gift to Labour.

 

It seems she’s a bit of a bonus for Reform too.

 

She’ll stay in place until the Tories decide they want to get serious about trying to win elections again. For now, enjoy the farce.

 

[brewsterbudgen]

17 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I said from the start, she’s a gift to Labour.

 

It seems she’s a bit of a bonus for Reform too.

 

She’ll stay in place until the Tories decide they want to get serious about trying to win elections again. For now, enjoy the farce.

 

 

Yes, I think they'll stick with her for the time being, as there's no obvious replacement - Jenrick is always making an even bigger fool of himself than she is!  She's perfect for both Labour and Reform!

[Bkk Brian]

11 hours ago, Social Media said:

A new YouGov poll presents a worrying outlook for the Labour Party, revealing that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is now just one point behind Labour in terms of voter support. The study, which is the first since last summer's general election that saw Labour secure a commanding victory, shows that the ruling party is currently at 26 percent, only narrowly ahead of Farage’s right-wing group, which stands at 25 percent.

Oh dear, at this point one of the lefties would be blaming the messenger. No getting away from it, Labours support is doomed

 

11 hours ago, Social Media said:

Although the general election is still some years away, the current polling data suggests that Labour’s early days in power have been tumultuous, marked by sluggish economic growth, contentious decisions surrounding social security and taxes, and a series of ethical controversies.

 

[Theforgotten1]

Britain First the real patriots, the only party that won’t bend

[Lapun]

🤣🤣🤣

[sammieuk1]

They call me two tier for a reason my votes are flooding back in daily 🤔

 

 

[Chomper Higgot]

On 1/16/2025 at 9:25 AM, mrfill said:

Seems nothing compared to the problems BadEnoch is having. At this stage in the parliament her lot should be miles ahead but is trailing badly. She won't last long.

She’s doing her best:

 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jan/17/kemi-badenoch-pensions-triple-lock-means-test-alarm-tories

[JonnyF]

On 1/16/2025 at 8:06 AM, Chomper Higgot said:

It might be a worry if the next election was due anytime soon.

 

As it is there’s four and a half years for the policies being enacted now to bear fruit.

 

They will be far more unpopular after 4 more years of this clown show.

 

On 1/16/2025 at 8:06 AM, Chomper Higgot said:

 

And just as much time for Reform and the Tories to continue fighting over and split the rightwing vote.

 

 

That issue will be resolved. Labour will be a single term failure of a government just like Biden's was. But even worse. 

 

The right is rising. Maybe time for you to do a Zuckerberg and admit your lies and mistakes and get on the train.

 

 

[Will B Good]

 

 

Four weeks out from the GE....panic.

 

Four and half years out......couldn't give a flying *** what the polls say.

[Bkk Brian]

Complacency, the Labour supporters last tool to ignore the reality that its support base has spiraled

[Briggsy]

The Conservatives have gradually moved to a centre position over the last decade or so, some may argue soft left. This is by increasing taxes and government spending, avoiding taking brave decisions on virtually everything including benefits and immigration leading to ballooning costs and failing to be tough on law and order. It was all very short term driven by polls and fear. They occasionally talked tough but it never materialised into action. They were too weak and afraid. Boris, Rishi, David Cameron, all very different, but all afraid of big decisions, all soft left.

 

This leaves a huge gaping hole on the right of British politics. So Farage steps in. The trouble is he is not cut out for the job. In the cut-throat world of politics, he will eventually get elbowed aside.

 

The question is will a sufficient number of Tory voters and Labour voters vote for Reform when it comes to a general election. I doubt it. I can see them getting 20% of the vote and 2% of the elected MP's. Lots of second places.