Trump-vs-XI: “The Winds of War”. Are they now inevitably blowing our way?

[GammaGlobulin]

Dear Folks,

 

Let us not underestimate the impact of these two Narcissistic Titans, Trump and XI.

 

Neither one will back down, just due to their somewhat similar psychological profiles.

 

As for XI, he has long promised to invade Taiwan, and restore the integrity of China, something that Mao did not accomplish. Xi will try to prove himself to be an even GREATER helmsman than the Great Helmsman, himself.

 

Of course, Xi fails to acknowledge that Taiwan was never, historically, a part of China…but this matters not to the MadMan XI.

 

As for Trump, I have nothing but GOOD THINGS to say about him, and I am NOT Joking, this time.  But, Trump, too, will never back down.  He knows he is right, because….Trump scores high on the narcissism continuum…gods love him!!!!

 

But, what might this mean at this particular JUNCTURE in world history, with outrageous Tariffs..just a symptom of the problem which CANNOT continue?

 

Again, I am NOT JOKING HERE….Folks:

 

I believe that we are closer to war over Taiwan than we have ever been. XI wishes to prove himself, as a strong man. And, XI ….. CANNOT back down. This is an impossibility, due to his warped personality, probably warped by some sort of Oedipal Complex, never resolved when he was young.

 

================

 

Now, Folks, please take a look at two articles I found on the website 1945, and shudder with fear for Humanity….

 

The thing I worry about most is…if we have a war over Taiwan, then…maybe….

Musk will no longer be able to get to mars, to establish his outpost, to save Human Intelligence, before we blow ourselves to kingdom come.  I mean, I do hope that Elon will be able to establish a safe haven for Human Intelligence on the planet Mars, but I think we are quickly running out of time for this….

 

This will be a bad thing for the universe, OBVIOUSLY….

 

I have lived through some dire times, such as when we had to hide under our desks during my grade-school years.

 

But, I think that now…things are quickly progressing to almost this level of direness.

 

What do you think?

 

Will you hide under your desks, now that you are old, when the missiles fly over the Taiwan Strait?

 

Please believe me:  Neither Trump, nor XI, are joking, now.

 

And, the probability of a devastating war is higher than it has been in a VERY long time.

 

Best regards,

Gamma

 

Note:  By the way…Will this be, do you imagine, our LAST Songkran, and our LAST Hurrah???

 

Note2:  I think the probability is high, but not so high that saner heads might prevail…IF, and ONLY IF ... .the PLA removes XI from office, PDQ….

 

Concerning the War Scenario, within Six Months….

This CAN happen, and it can happen suddenly.

 

My famous last words???

 

Note3:  Let us all kneel down and pray about it…shall we???

 

Because:

 

Let's take a look at these two interesting articles.....

 

a.  The U.S.-China War of 2025 Could Begin over Trade and Tariffs

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/the-u-s-china-war-of-2025-could-begin-over-trade-and-tariffs/

 

b. China Will Launch an Invasion of Taiwan In Next Few Months: Intel Sources

 

Intel sources who have spoken to 19FortyFive state that they believe an attempt by China to invade Taiwan is no less than six months away.

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/china-will-launch-an-invasion-of-taiwan-in-next-few-months-intel-sources/

 

c. Well, Folks, I must tell you that I believe that we have never been closer to war with the ChiCom Bandits than at any other time since....

The Korean Conflict.

 

I just wonder if....

Next year, in April, we will have as much fun during the Songkran New Year...or....

If there might be nobody here to get wet.

 

d.  What is Winds of War, anyway?

 

Just, please, ask RHODA.....

 

 

HAIL, and Farewell, RHODA....

 

Happy Landings....to ALL.....

 

Best regards,

Gamma

 

 

Wouldn't it be wonderful to STOP this stupid war...before....

It really gets going????

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[blaze master]

Although war isn't effective we do need a major culling followed by a science based society. 

 

[GammaGlobulin]

42 minutes ago, blaze master said:

Although war isn't effective we do need a major culling followed by a science based society. 

 

 

Wars can be very effective.

 

Yet, not very productive, in the long run.

 

 

[faraday]

52 minutes ago, blaze master said:

Although war isn't effective we do need a major culling followed by a science based society. 

 

You mean life the science around global warming, or vegan ism?

 

Yea, then we can sit around the campfire happy clapping.

 

Much better we have a true Gilead like The Handmaid's Tale. 

😁

[blaze master]

3 minutes ago, faraday said:

You mean life the science around global warming, or vegan ism?

 

Yea, then we can sit around the campfire happy clapping.

 

Much better we have a true Gilead like The Handmaid's Tale. 

😁

 

Ok.

[BKKKevin]

If Trump wants Canada and Greenland could he begrudge China for taking Taiwan and the sea surrounding the Philippines?...

[blaze master]

31 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

 

Wars can be very effective.

 

Yet, not very productive, in the long run.

 

 

 

A virus would be quite effective and preserve the infrastructure. Which could then be transformed. Oh the great possibilities.

 

Ps ..if the virus gets me that's OK. 

[sammieuk1]

When you haven't taken the joker out of the pack🤔

 

 

[faraday]

Just now, blaze master said:

 

A virus would be quite effective and preserve the infrastructure. Which could then be transformed. Oh the great possibilities.

 

Ps ..if the virus gets me that's OK. 

Tried that. Didn't work.

[blaze master]

3 minutes ago, faraday said:

Tried that. Didn't work.

 

You mean covid ? Hahaha with less than a couple percent kill rate. 

 

You kidder you.

[FlorC]

3 hours ago, blaze master said:

 

You mean covid ? Hahaha with less than a couple percent kill rate. 

 

You kidder you.

Covid was just the test run.

 

We may joke around with Thailand getting closer to China, but isn't that a good thing ?

Less chance of Chinese invading here , round up and cull the white faces.

 

Taiwan is pretty far if nukes are used.

1,3 billion people at 200km from Thailand is scary , much scarier than 135 M Russians.

[Lacessit]

China has won the trade war with the US already. It spells the ruin of American farmers.

 

US Treasury bonds and shares are declining in tandem, something that did not happen even in the Depression. Investors have lost faith in the US as a safe haven.

 

I very much doubt China will try for Taiwan. The CCP has no doubt taken note of the performance of the Russian army across land when it tried to take Kiev. 80 miles of water is a different story, with American submarines and aircraft carriers lurking.

[Presnock]

9 hours ago, GammaGlobulin said:

Dear Folks,

 

Let us not underestimate the impact of these two Narcissistic Titans, Trump and XI.

 

Neither one will back down, just due to their somewhat similar psychological profiles.

 

As for XI, he has long promised to invade Taiwan, and restore the integrity of China, something that Mao did not accomplish. Xi will try to prove himself to be an even GREATER helmsman than the Great Helmsman, himself.

 

Of course, Xi fails to acknowledge that Taiwan was never, historically, a part of China…but this matters not to the MadMan XI.

 

As for Trump, I have nothing but GOOD THINGS to say about him, and I am NOT Joking, this time.  But, Trump, too, will never back down.  He knows he is right, because….Trump scores high on the narcissism continuum…gods love him!!!!

 

But, what might this mean at this particular JUNCTURE in world history, with outrageous Tariffs..just a symptom of the problem which CANNOT continue?

 

Again, I am NOT JOKING HERE….Folks:

 

I believe that we are closer to war over Taiwan than we have ever been. XI wishes to prove himself, as a strong man. And, XI ….. CANNOT back down. This is an impossibility, due to his warped personality, probably warped by some sort of Oedipal Complex, never resolved when he was young.

 

================

 

Now, Folks, please take a look at two articles I found on the website 1945, and shudder with fear for Humanity….

 

The thing I worry about most is…if we have a war over Taiwan, then…maybe….

Musk will no longer be able to get to mars, to establish his outpost, to save Human Intelligence, before we blow ourselves to kingdom come.  I mean, I do hope that Elon will be able to establish a safe haven for Human Intelligence on the planet Mars, but I think we are quickly running out of time for this….

 

This will be a bad thing for the universe, OBVIOUSLY….

 

I have lived through some dire times, such as when we had to hide under our desks during my grade-school years.

 

But, I think that now…things are quickly progressing to almost this level of direness.

 

What do you think?

 

Will you hide under your desks, now that you are old, when the missiles fly over the Taiwan Strait?

 

Please believe me:  Neither Trump, nor XI, are joking, now.

 

And, the probability of a devastating war is higher than it has been in a VERY long time.

 

Best regards,

Gamma

 

Note:  By the way…Will this be, do you imagine, our LAST Songkran, and our LAST Hurrah???

 

Note2:  I think the probability is high, but not so high that saner heads might prevail…IF, and ONLY IF ... .the PLA removes XI from office, PDQ….

 

Concerning the War Scenario, within Six Months….

This CAN happen, and it can happen suddenly.

 

My famous last words???

 

Note3:  Let us all kneel down and pray about it…shall we???

 

Because:

 

Let's take a look at these two interesting articles.....

 

a.  The U.S.-China War of 2025 Could Begin over Trade and Tariffs

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/the-u-s-china-war-of-2025-could-begin-over-trade-and-tariffs/

 

b. China Will Launch an Invasion of Taiwan In Next Few Months: Intel Sources

 

Intel sources who have spoken to 19FortyFive state that they believe an attempt by China to invade Taiwan is no less than six months away.

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/china-will-launch-an-invasion-of-taiwan-in-next-few-months-intel-sources/

 

c. Well, Folks, I must tell you that I believe that we have never been closer to war with the ChiCom Bandits than at any other time since....

The Korean Conflict.

 

I just wonder if....

Next year, in April, we will have as much fun during the Songkran New Year...or....

If there might be nobody here to get wet.

 

d.  What is Winds of War, anyway?

 

Just, please, ask RHODA.....

 

 

HAIL, and Farewell, RHODA....

 

Happy Landings....to ALL.....

 

Best regards,

Gamma

 

 

Wouldn't it be wonderful to STOP this stupid war...before....

It really gets going????

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Well, reading and knowing Trumps not so great negotiating skills, especially since he usually ends up giving the opposing side better benefits that he gets back, I think that the Chinese will eventually win out, already BRICS looking better and better for many countries to separate from the dollar as the is falling big time.  Japan and China two holders of a lot of the US debt have already sold off about 2 trillion dollars of those bonds, and have agreed to settle trade debts with Yuan and Yen.  Other countries will probably try to  take advantage of this too.  Also the US is not even close to being able to return to a manufacturing country while Trump is still alive IMHO.  I also don't think anyone that has enough money to begin a manufacturing facility would even consider it based on the current trade issues plaguing the world because of Trump.  I think he miscalculated his power to bring the US to yesteryears power. IMHO again.  Besides that he claims he only ends wars, never starts them and that he can never say again, it may not be shooting yet but it definitely is a war.  

[Bannoi]

Trump has already declared economic war not only with China but the world.

There are a lot of phone calls and meetings taking place not as Trump says begging him for a deal but between other countries making new supply chains seeking new markets and new suppliers cutting out the US altogether.

All trading together without Trumps bull<deleted> tariffs.

[save the frogs]

16 hours ago, blaze master said:

Although war isn't effective we do need a major culling followed by a science based society. 

 

we already have a science-based society, don't we?

will you please stop with the "Major culling" nonsense. What makes you think you would be excluded? 

 

[Jeff the Chef]

You really think the youth of today will be the cannon fodder of these 2 major powers?

 

Hopefully the young have more sense than our forefathers.

 

Personally I couldn't give a do-do, but it will be fun sitting in on the side lines, if I haven't bent over and kissed my arris goodbye, when the bombs drop.

[Sir Dude]

Whilst war can't be completely ruled out, as there has always been and will be again in the future... the question is on what scale it will be. Any large-scale war would be the end for most countries as they are no so interconnected through things like trade, business, and co-reliance on each other... even if they all have tantrums and hissy-fits with each other. There is plenty of brinksmanship going on to see who blinks first on topics so that they can get what they can, but if it actually came down to it, then I'm not so sure, as everyone knows there are plenty enough nukes on both side to destroy everyone everywhere... along with public opinion outrage in a lot of places would be huge with a massive backlash, as people are not now as supportive of such destruction/wars, as it would interject with their insular comfortable lives and social media addictions.

There is also the point that China could easily be a paper tiger when it comes to war... looks good on paper but China has a history of, well, lying blatantly about pretty much everything, from youth unemployment to trade figures to all sorts. That is before we even talk about corruption in their military and society at large... not to mention the PLA has absolutely no battle experience, as the last time they fought a war it was with Vietnam and China soundly had their backsides handed to them.

Any conflict with anyone is extremely risky for Beijing and the CCP, as if it doesn't go exactly how they want it and thus exposes themselves as incompetent, then it's game over for the CCP as the loss of face would be too big whilst also they would lose what is called "the heavenly mandate" to rule, and it is taken very seriously in China. 

People often forget that China does things differently from everyone else (e.g. Beijing decides how much GDP will be and then tasks local government to make it happen) and the military is no exception. A clear example is they are very top-down with orders and junior officers are not allowed to take the initiative on their own and make real-time battlefield decisions, they have to wait for orders to come down from above, not to mention most officers have to literally spend 50% of their time studying nonsense like "Xi Jinping Thought" and CCP propaganda rather than study sound military tactics... that just wouldn't wash against a rival like the US, China would be swept aside quickly... no contest, and I think Beijing knows that, hence why it hasn't gone too aggressive on things, just likes to inch by inch it to their objectives.

There is much at play on this and the risks are very high. Also, as an aside, it seems at the moment that there is much internal turmoil going on in China right now, not just with economic malaise, property market crashes, tofu-dreg projects everywhere, youth unemployment, ghost cities, kids "lying flat" because they have given up on the future, but political changes too as many top officials are being investigated and arrested/disappeared, even Xi loyalists. Chinese politics is extremely complicated and subtle in its messaging, and the two main factions (‘Princelings’ and ‘Tuanpai’ with Xi being a 'Princeling whereas Hu Jintao and Zhang Zemin are/were Tuanpai) are always fighting to place "their guys" in positions of power... it is noticable that Xi Jinping has become more quiet and less visable in the last few months, something is definitely up behind the scenes in China. In regard to all this, I would surmise it to be unlikely that Beijing would take any really big risks until the internal situation is stabilized properly and positions are cemented for the foreseeable future. 

Just my observations and I welcome any comments or input, as it is an interesting topic.

[Hawaiian]

1 hour ago, Sir Dude said:

Whilst war can't be completely ruled out, as there has always been and will be again in the future... the question is on what scale it will be. Any large-scale war would be the end for most countries as they are no so interconnected through things like trade, business, and co-reliance on each other... even if they all have tantrums and hissy-fits with each other. There is plenty of brinksmanship going on to see who blinks first on topics so that they can get what they can, but if it actually came down to it, then I'm not so sure, as everyone knows there are plenty enough nukes on both side to destroy everyone everywhere... along with public opinion outrage in a lot of places would be huge with a massive backlash, as people are not now as supportive of such destruction/wars, as it would interject with their insular comfortable lives and social media addictions.

There is also the point that China could easily be a paper tiger when it comes to war... looks good on paper but China has a history of, well, lying blatantly about pretty much everything, from youth unemployment to trade figures to all sorts. That is before we even talk about corruption in their military and society at large... not to mention the PLA has absolutely no battle experience, as the last time they fought a war it was with Vietnam and China soundly had their backsides handed to them.

Any conflict with anyone is extremely risky for Beijing and the CCP, as if it doesn't go exactly how they want it and thus exposes themselves as incompetent, then it's game over for the CCP as the loss of face would be too big whilst also they would lose what is called "the heavenly mandate" to rule, and it is taken very seriously in China. 

People often forget that China does things differently from everyone else (e.g. Beijing decides how much GDP will be and then tasks local government to make it happen) and the military is no exception. A clear example is they are very top-down with orders and junior officers are not allowed to take the initiative on their own and make real-time battlefield decisions, they have to wait for orders to come down from above, not to mention most officers have to literally spend 50% of their time studying nonsense like "Xi Jinping Thought" and CCP propaganda rather than study sound military tactics... that just wouldn't wash against a rival like the US, China would be swept aside quickly... no contest, and I think Beijing knows that, hence why it hasn't gone too aggressive on things, just likes to inch by inch it to their objectives.

There is much at play on this and the risks are very high. Also, as an aside, it seems at the moment that there is much internal turmoil going on in China right now, not just with economic malaise, property market crashes, tofu-dreg projects everywhere, youth unemployment, ghost cities, kids "lying flat" because they have given up on the future, but political changes too as many top officials are being investigated and arrested/disappeared, even Xi loyalists. Chinese politics is extremely complicated and subtle in its messaging, and the two main factions (‘Princelings’ and ‘Tuanpai’ with Xi being a 'Princeling whereas Hu Jintao and Zhang Zemin are/were Tuanpai) are always fighting to place "their guys" in positions of power... it is noticable that Xi Jinping has become more quiet and less visable in the last few months, something is definitely up behind the scenes in China. In regard to all this, I would surmise it to be unlikely that Beijing would take any really big risks until the internal situation is stabilized properly and positions are cemented for the foreseeable future. 

Just my observations and I welcome any comments or input, as it is an interesting topic.

Xi is quite aware of the risks in invading Taiwan. The big unknown is whether the U.S. and her allies will come to Taiwan's aid.  Preemptive strikes against them guarantees their involvement and will surely escalate into more than China can take on.  I'll just leave it at that.

[Bannoi]

1 hour ago, Hawaiian said:

Xi is quite aware of the risks in invading Taiwan. The big unknown is whether the U.S. and her allies will come to Taiwan's aid.  Preemptive strikes against them guarantees their involvement and will surely escalate into more than China can take on.  I'll just leave it at that.

Another big unknown is whether Trump’s America actually has any allies left.

[blaze master]

4 hours ago, save the frogs said:

we already have a science-based society, don't we?

will you please stop with the "Major culling" nonsense. What makes you think you would be excluded? 

 

 

We don't really have a science based society though. 

 

No I won't stop with the culling. As I have previously wrote...if I am to be culled so be it. 

 

Clear enough for you. 

[GammaGlobulin]

6 hours ago, Presnock said:

Japan and China two holders of a lot of the US debt have already sold off about 2 trillion dollars of those bonds, and have agreed to settle trade debts with Yuan and Yen. 

 

Let us never forget the Rape of Nanking, not too many years ago.

Japan and China pretty much hate each other.

There are continual flareups of hatred.

The hatred is deep seated.

 

I would be surprised if they can cooperate on much, for long.

 

Also, Japan and China may be at war, soon.

 

 

[bkk6060]

Within 20 years I think yes.

[save the frogs]

14 hours ago, blaze master said:

No I won't stop with the culling. As I have previously wrote...if I am to be culled so be it. 

 

Clear enough for you. 

 

I'm on board with YOU being culled.

And after you are culled, intelligent people will figure out more intelligent solutions to these complex issues so other people don't need to be culled. 

 

[blaze master]

2 minutes ago, save the frogs said:

 

I'm on board with YOU being culled.

And after you are culled, intelligent people will figure out more intelligent solutions to these complex issues so other people don't need to be culled. 

 

 

Ok. Thanks for the coy insult. Meanwhile over the coming decade billions will suffer waiting for your intelligent solutions. 

 

Sounds like a brilliant idea. 

[save the frogs]

11 hours ago, blaze master said:

Ok. Thanks for the coy insult. Meanwhile over the coming decade billions will suffer waiting for your intelligent solutions. 

some difficulties is better than your solution. 

 

[blaze master]

3 minutes ago, save the frogs said:

some difficulties is better than your solution. 

 

 

Your opinion is noted. 

[connda]

We've already ascertained that you, immunoglobulin, are anti-Chinese so my first question is: "Why are you here in a country that is a stone's throw from the country you so viscerally hate?"  Makes no sense to me at all.

And yes.  China is out-competing the US and the West, they ARE the hub of industry and manufacturing in this world, and the US and the West hates them for it.  One thing about studying history, you recognize one theme of human nature - Those who believe they are special and powerful feel it's their manifest destiny to take what they covet by force.  And they usually find their casus belli by projecting their own covetousness on those whom they plan to go to war with.  So yes - the US has been beating the drums of eventually war with China for some time now - expect it - it's going to happen. Taiwan is part of China, but the US has is going to use that as their excuse to invade, and if that doesn't work, they'll just find another excuse.  The excuse doesn't need to be factual, it just needs to be propagandized to the citizen back home until they buy the lie and willingly sign up to "Kill The Yellow Devils In The East" or whatever other propaganda that works to make US and Western citizen hate Chinese like you do. 

So now that we have that cleared up.  You gonna stay?  You hate China, you hate Xi, you probably loath Chinese as well as their culture, their religions, they ancient philosophies, and their history.  Yet here you are, like all the expats exactly like you, hunkered down in Thailand and throwing shade at the country and the people to your North.  Now you feel the winds of war wafting in this direction, and guess what - you're right.  War is coming.  Soon.  Waddaya gonna do? 

Wait too long to leave and this could be you.

[3NUMBAS]

Under water mambas will  stop invasions,lurking on the seabed waiting to strike ships

[connda]

8 hours ago, Jeff the Chef said:

You really think the youth of today will be the cannon fodder of these 2 major powers?

1. The Chinese will be fighting on their own home turf.  So yeah - as defenders, Chinese youth will be willingly volunteering to enlist to repel the invaders. By extension: Russians will be fighting to defend Russia. Iran will be fighting to defend Iran. Yemenis will be fighting to defend Yemen.  And whoever else is attacked by the US and the West will be fighting to defend their countries on their own soil.

2. Lessons I learned from Vietnam: The US and the West will conscript the cannon fodder it needs to send to faraway places where it wishes to project power and take want it wants by force.  Watch the propaganda:  "If we don't stop those Yellow Chinese Devils on their doorstep in China, they'll eventually take over all of Asia, then the Pacific and the Middle East, then Europe - then they'll come for Americans!!! (It's a propaganda technique called "The Domino Effect" and the clones in the West suck it up with gusto.  Why not, it works on their weak minds.)  Oh and the other propaganda technique that works just as well.  "We gotta kill them 'over there' so we don't have to 'kill them over here.'"  It's still the domino effect.  It will fill Red State recruitment offices.  In Blue States?  Those kids will be heading for Canada, Mexico, and anywhere they can get away from conscription.  Can't blame them actually.  Dying "over there" ain't defending your country from invaders no matter how much they tell you it is.  It's imperialism. Always has been; still is.

[GammaGlobulin]

16 minutes ago, connda said:

We've already ascertained that you are anti-Chinese so my first question is: "Why are you here in a country that is a stone's throw from the country you so viscerally hate?"  Makes no sense to me at all.

And yes.  China is out-competing the US and the West, they ARE the hub of industry and manufacturing in this world, and the US and the West hates them for it.  One thing about studying history, you recognize one theme of human nature - Those who believe they are special and powerful feel it's their manifest destiny to take what they covet by force.  And they usually find their casus belli by projecting their own covetousness on those whom they plan to go to war with.  So yes - the US has been beating the drums of eventually war with China for some time now - expect it - it's going to happen. Taiwan is part of China, but the US has is going to use that as their excuse to invade, and if that doesn't work, they'll just find another excuse.  The excuse doesn't need to be factual, it just needs to be propagandized to the citizen back home until they buy the lie and willingly sign up to "Kill The Yellow Devils In The East" or whatever other propaganda that works to make US and Western citizen hate Chinese like you do. 

So now that we have that cleared up.  You gonna stay?  You hate China, you hate Xi, you probably loath Chinese as well as their culture, their religions, they ancient philosophies, and their history.  Yet here you are, like all the expats exactly like you, hunkered down in Thailand and throwing shade at the country and the people to your North.  Now you feel the winds of war wafting in this direction, and guess what - you're right.  War is coming.  Soon.  Waddaya gonna do? 

Wait too long to leave and this could be you.

 

A few years ago, China already publicly declared a People's War against the USA.

This is not MY doing.

This is XI's long-term plan.

But now, the chance of a real war happening sooner is much greater.

 

What does a People's War mean?

It means ANYTHING is considered fair game, and one cannot back down.

 

Way back in the 1980s, some of us knew full well what China's goals were.

And, we knew that these goals did NOT include any form of Democratic State.

 

So now, since most people were FOOLS, we have ended up in this quagmire of a mess with the Commie Bandits.

But, this could have been avoided, if only leaders were not so CLUELESS....