3 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

Is this what you wanted?

He is a Brit who hates America. Wants America to fail like his failed nation.

7 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

Your post is irrational as before. Inflation affects local value the most. In Thailand you get more baht and Thai inflation is lower.

And you seem to be utterly oblivious to the effect that the current mideast situation has on the value various currencies.

2 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Below is a graph of how the dollar has performed against the baht. Do you notice how it kept on declining until february 16? Does that tell you anything? Do I really have to fill in the blanks about traders fearing the unequal consequences of Trump's Iranian excursion? That in fact, those fears have been realized?

Those falls were before the war.

2 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

He is a Brit who hates America. Wants America to fail like his failed nation.

Why as a non-American do you care abou that?

1 minute ago, Alan Zweibel said:

And you seem to be utterly oblivious to the effect that the current mideast situation has on the value various currencies.

I doubt you finished high school. Higher western inflation vs low Thai inflation boosts the farang dollars.

All your posts are illogical.

1 minute ago, Rockyroad said:

Those falls were before the war.

Exactly. The dollar was falling but as the prospect of war grew more likely and more imminent, the Thai currency fell because the effects of a mideast war would hit it harder than it would the USA.

2 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Exactly. The dollar was falling but as the prospect of war grew more likely and more imminent, the Thai currency fell because the effects of a mideast war would hit it harder than it would the USA.

War leads to money inflow into the US due to Petro dollar and interest rate cycle. So two factors boosted it.

Just now, Rockyroad said:

I doubt you finished high school. Higher western inflation vs low Thai inflation boosts the farang dollars.

All your posts are illogical.

So, your position is that inflation boosts the value of a currency. And that higher interest rates will boost the value of a currency further? It is to laugh.

Just now, Alan Zweibel said:

So, your position is that inflation boosts the value of a currency. And that higher interest rates will boost the value of a currency further? It is to laugh.

It is funny you never read this before. Ask AI. It will tell you what is in every book on economics

5 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

Those falls were before the war.

What war?

According to your US MAGA comrades the US has never been at war since WW11!

1 minute ago, Rockyroad said:

War leads to money inflow into the US due to Petro dollar and interest rate cycle. So two factors boosted it.

OK. So war was good for the American economy, or at least less harmful, and it was bad for Thailand. So, given that's the situation, how would currency traders tend to bet?

Crying about inflation, exchange rate, fed / interest, and what ever else is a bit of wasted brain cells and stress for some.

Why ... because you have absolutely 'NO CONTROL' of any of the those. NOTHING you think you can do, or do will change any of those numbers.

Get back to enjoying life, as someone stated recently. 130 replies, and nothing you've done, has changed any of those numbers. Just your BP 😄 and gave me a chuckle.

Movie is done downloading .... TOODLES

1 hour ago, save the frogs said:

The monkeys on my back have monkeys on their backs.

That's how bad it is, boy.

According to this guy, US oil exports are at an all-time high of 5 million barrels a day. Nobody saw this coming.

You sure? 😁

https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_crude_oil_exports_wie

1 minute ago, candide said:

You sure?

No, I'm not sure about anything.

And neither is anyone else.

3 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

OK. So war was good for the American economy, or at least less harmful, and it was bad for Thailand. So, given that's the situation, how would currency traders tend to bet?

Ask AI what Thai inflation is. Ask AI what the 2026 forecasts are. Good luck.

1 minute ago, Rockyroad said:

It is funny you never read this before. Ask AI. It will tell you what is in every book on economics

No it won't. It will tell you that interest rates are raised to reduce inflation. If inflation at 3% so good for the value of the dollar, then inflation at 1000% should be even better, right. All other factors being equal, higher relative inflation will lower the value of a currency.

4 minutes ago, KhunLA said:

Crying about inflation, exchange rate, fed / interest, and what ever else is a bit of wasted brain cells and stress for some.

Why ... because you have absolutely 'NO CONTROL' of any of the those. NOTHING you think you can do, or do will change any of those numbers.

Get back to enjoying life, as someone stated recently. 120 replies, and nothing you done, has changed any of those numbers. Just your BP 😄 and gave me a chuckle.

Movie is done downloading .... TOODLES

That is why people should work or get hobbies. Retired people with no hobbies need Trump. Without him no life

2 minutes ago, candide said:

You sure? 😁

https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_crude_oil_exports_wie

I see your 4M, and raise you 1M .... call

'Art of the Deal'

USA USA USA USA

I'm smellin' 'windfall' profits 😄

1 minute ago, Alan Zweibel said:

No it won't. It will tell you that interest rates are raised to reduce inflation. If inflation at 3% so good for the value of the dollar, then inflation at 1000% should be even better, right. All other factors being equal, higher relative inflation will lower the value of a currency.

I can tell you never read any books on the subject. Ask Ai to explain 1st world inflation vs 3rd world inflation.

Ive got better things to do.

There are arguments for and against a strong dollar. I am strong dollar guy, but I think Trump is a weak dollar guy.

2 minutes ago, KhunLA said:

I see your 4M, and raise you 1M .... call

'Art of the Deal' USA USA USA USA

I'm smelling 'windfall' profits 😄

As I highlighted on the graph, it's not exceptional. 5.17 in April 2024.

4 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

Ask AI what Thai inflation is. Ask AI what the 2026 forecasts are. Good luck.

First, you might want to acquaint yourself with certain events currently underway in the middle east. You might be surprised to learn that such events might possibly be having a negative effect on the Thai economy and that its short to medium term prospects don't look so good. And then you might want to inquire about what kind of effect that could have on the value of its currency.

5 minutes ago, KhunLA said:

I see your 4M, and raise you 1M .... call

'Art of the Deal' USA USA USA USA

I'm smelling 'windfall' profits 😄

Great news for the dollar and shareholders in big oil. Not so great for most Americans.

5 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

I can tell you never read any books on the subject. Ask Ai to explain 1st world inflation vs 3rd world inflation.

Ive got better things to do.

Keep on making stuff up.

8 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

There are arguments for and against a strong dollar. I am strong dollar guy, but I think Trump is a weak dollar guy.

Maybe so but overall AI predicts a weaker baht this year. Sluggish economy, rate cut and low inflation. Another 5 to 10% fall in the baht possible.

Good news and goodnight.

16 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Keep on making stuff up.

It makes enough cr@p up at present without any more encouragement!

15 minutes ago, scottiejohn said:

It makes enough cr@p up at present without any more encouragement!

Stop reading my posts then. Find a job or a hobby.

36 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

First, you might want to acquaint yourself with certain events currently underway in the middle east. You might be surprised to learn that such events might possibly be having a negative effect on the Thai economy and that its short to medium term prospects don't look so good. And then you might want to inquire about what kind of effect that could have on the value of its currency.

Thanks for stating the obvious.

32 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Keep on making stuff up.

What did I make up? Modest inflation increases rates and attracts money. Runaway inflation results in loss of confidence in the currency. Any economics book or AI program will tell you this. Please educate yourself. You are an old man but don't know this stuff? Amazing.

Quick summary from AI

Runaway inflation—often escalating into hyperinflation—creates a "leaking bucket" effect for an economy. When a currency loses value rapidly, both domestic citizens and foreign investors scramble to move their wealth into more stable "hard" currencies (like the USD or Euro) or offshore assets.

This phenomenon, known as capital flight,

When inflation begins to rise modestly (or stays near a healthy target), it signals to the market that the central bank is likely to increase interest rates to keep the economy from overheating.

• Higher Yields: Higher interest rates offer better returns for investors holding assets in that currency (like government bonds).

• Inflow of Capital: Global investors move their capital into that country to capture those higher yields, increasing demand for the local currency and driving up its value.

An inflammatory post with a derogatory political neologism to belittle or mock individuals with differing political views has been removed:

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