chuckd Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%. HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%. So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check.... Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th: HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8% Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6% The line on the winning party in November, no names Democratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75% Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7% Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course. They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid. Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing). To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet. Too early to tell. Good post. I'm wondering how many undecided independants will decide to vote for Trump after seeing this photo... It's the headline photo on Drudge Report today, seen by... VISITS TO DRUDGE 4/29/16 030,632,334 PAST 24 HOURS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWMcMurray Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 This election year has been very unusual in many ways. The most striking feature is the anti-establishment mood of many voters. Most Americans realize that the American Golden Age is over and will never come back. The days when a working class family could afford their own house and send their kids to college are gone forever. Where voters differ is how to try to bring those days back (in my opinion that is an impossible task). With disaffected people voting in unprecedented numbers - mostly for Trump or Sanders - traditional polls are far less reliable than usual. Also, given the increasing prevalence of electronic voting machines, the likely hood of accurate vote counts is becoming less and less likely. So, here are my predictions: Possibility 1: Trump wins the Republican nomination and Hilary wins the Democratic nomination. Trump supporters turn out in higher numbers than predicted but Hilary's supporters and unenthusiastic (for fairly obvious reasons) and Trump wins the general election. Possibility 2: Same as above, but Hilary wins a narrow victory in the general election and the forces of darkness are defeated! Possibility 3: Trump fails to win 1237 delegates in the primaries and is passed over in favor of another candidate (probably Cruz) at the convention. Trump either stages a 3rd party run or his supporters stay home on election day and Hilary wins by a comfortable margin. lol, dont go out on a limb now Have to agree with OP.., Those seem to be the 3 most likely scenarios and anyone who says they are certain they now which will happen is just wishful thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 (edited) Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%. HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%. So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check.... Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th: HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8% Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6% The line on the winning party in November, no names Democratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75% Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7% Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course. They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid. Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing). To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet. Too early to tell. Good post. I'm wondering how many undecided independants will decide to vote for Trump after seeing this photo... It's the headline photo on Drudge Report today, seen by... VISITS TO DRUDGE 4/29/16 030,632,334 PAST 24 HOURS You must have a very low opinion of independent voters if you think many would vote based on a picture of a cute Mexican kid. About the sign, it's obviously humorously rhetorical as a response to Trump's idiotic hyper-nationalist slogan beckoning to a mythical time when straight white men totally dominated. Edited April 30, 2016 by Jingthing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckd Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%. HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%. So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check.... Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th: HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8% Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6% The line on the winning party in November, no names Democratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75% Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7% Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course. They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid. Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing). To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet. Too early to tell. Good post. I'm wondering how many undecided independants will decide to vote for Trump after seeing this photo... It's the headline photo on Drudge Report today, seen by... VISITS TO DRUDGE 4/29/16 030,632,334 PAST 24 HOURS You must have a very low opinion of independent voters if you think many would vote based on a picture of a cute Mexican kid. About the sign, it's obviously humorously rhetorical as a response to Trump's idiotic hyper-nationalist slogan beckoning to a mythical time when straight white men totally dominated. Perhaps the giant Mexican flag behind him grabbed my attention more than the cute little illegal immigrant waif in the photo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 What's wrong with Mexican Pride? Mexicans are great. Imagine the USA without Mexicans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 (edited) It's gonna be great when all the Bloviator's moronic statements start appearing in ads... Edited April 30, 2016 by iReason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slipperylobster Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%. HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%. So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check.... Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th: HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8% Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6% The line on the winning party in November, no names Democratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75% Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7% Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course. They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid. Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing). To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet. Too early to tell. Good post. I'm wondering how many undecided independants will decide to vote for Trump after seeing this photo... It's the headline photo on Drudge Report today, seen by... VISITS TO DRUDGE 4/29/16 030,632,334 PAST 24 HOURS Actually...it is too late. Our strength (bring us your tired, and your poor...etc) became our undoing. A warning for the rest of the Western World. Viva Mexico....."Forget the Alamo". America, as we once knew it, is no longer the same. Neither is Europe. Perhaps it is time to send the Statue of Liberty back to France....fill it up with all the illegals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutchisaan Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%.HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%.So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check....Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th:HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8%Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6%The line on the winning party in November, no namesDemocratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75%Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7%Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course.They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid.Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing).To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet.Too early to tell. Good post.I'm wondering how many undecided independants will decide to vote for Trump after seeing this photo...It's the headline photo on Drudge Report today, seen by...VISITS TO DRUDGE 4/29/16030,632,334 PAST 24 HOURS You must have a very low opinion of independent voters if you think many would vote based on a picture of a cute Mexican kid. About the sign, it's obviously humorously rhetorical as a response to Trump's idiotic hyper-nationalist slogan beckoning to a mythical time when straight white men totally dominated. Perhaps the giant Mexican flag behind him grabbed my attention more than the cute little illegal immigrant waif in the photo. Man, you have a good job comming for you, from your buddy Trump.Because you just look at a picture and can say somebody is illegal!You are, or real smart, or full of BS.I think the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slipperylobster Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 If you grew up where I did, you might even believe it yourself. It sounds bad, but the fact is....there are so many minorities on welfare, that they ceased their desire to work. all thanks to the democrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 (edited) ^^^ Racist, bigoted, myopic Fox Views drivel. Edited April 30, 2016 by iReason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asheron Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 ^^^ Rascist, bigoted, myopic Fox Views drivel. Blacks are overrepresented in that all the while whites are underrepresented. Next time maybe learn a thing or two before going on your SJW crusade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 The Bloviator doing his best to articulate in his cartoon fashion: (Now his handlers have muzzled him and given him pre-written speeches and Teleprompters) Too good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boomerangutang Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 As the crude clown said himself: he could shoot somebody in cold blood, and he wouldn't lose any fans. Variations: He can lie a mile a minute and wouldn't lose any fans. He can alienate and/or anger every foreign leader he interacts with, and wouldn't lose any fans. He can be cold-hearted and threaten to throw women in prison who inquire about having abortions, and he wouldn't lose any fans. You got to hand it to rednecks, they're true-blue, ....even if they're not apprised of issues outside of their back yards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 The Bloviator lies on Twitter claiming 31,000 attended his rally in Costa Mesa. Not even close. The venue capacity is 8,200. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Publicus Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Trump's odds in Las Vegas of winning the Republican party nomination have never been greater than as of this morning, 1-8, or the probability percentage of 88.8%. HRC has sky-high odds to win the Democratic party nomination of 1-50, or the probability percentage of 98%. So both of 'em are hollering at each other with Trump of course hollering the loudest. Bernie's trying to squeak in between 'em to holler at Hillary. So here's the real reality check.... Vegas odds this morning, to be elected Potus on November 8th: HRC has odds to win of 2-7 or the probability percentage of 77.8% Donald Trump has odds to win of 11-4 or the probability percentage of 26.6% The line on the winning party in November, no names Democratic Party has odds to win of 1-3 or the probability percentage of 75% Republican Party has odds to win of 5-2 or the probability percentage of 28.7% Independent has odds of 50-1 (1.96%) These odds do not take into account what happens between now and the elections...of course. They are published way too early...before the starting gates have even opened. So they are not valid. Hillary will lose more and more followers, as Trump gains momentum (republican backing). To see him overcome the odds (almost no republican backing) and, in effect, become their nominee...will swing those odds more in his favor. Also, Democrats are stupidly wreaking havoc at each and every opportunity. This will be their downfall. Hillary has not yet escaped her past...that is still up in the air. Too many variables. All the cards are not on the table...so too early to bet. Too early to tell. Oddsmaking is a futures market. There's lots of bucks made in any futures market always. Nothing is perfect, but the only time oddsmakers have been off in an election of Potus is the year 2000 election....and everyone knows what happened back then. The chads makers prevailed instead of the oddsmakers. The reality of the futures markets in this election says the Republican party nominee and the Republican party itself have no future. The oddsmakers btw have been saying this since soon after the middle of last year when they opened their doors to global oddsmaking on this election. Their record in each election of Potus, from the early stages to the finish line of election day is virtually 100% accurate. In 2012 for instance, the oddsmakers always favored Barack Obama for reelection. Going into election day the odds on Obama winning reelection were 1-5, or an 83% percentage probability. Throughout the 2012 campaign, Barack Obama was the odds-on favorite. HRC has been the odds-on favorite since South Carolina, which was the fourth contest, the second primary election. Youse guyz keep trying to fight City Hall but you never get used to City Hall always winning in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckd Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 You must have a very low opinion of independent voters if you think many would vote based on a picture of a cute Mexican kid. About the sign, it's obviously humorously rhetorical as a response to Trump's idiotic hyper-nationalist slogan beckoning to a mythical time when straight white men totally dominated. Perhaps the giant Mexican flag behind him grabbed my attention more than the cute little illegal immigrant waif in the photo. Man, you have a good job comming for you, from your buddy Trump. Because you just look at a picture and can say somebody is illegal! You are, or real smart, or full of BS. I think the last. I don't have anything comming (sic) from Trump. Please read my signature line below. It is particularly relevant to posters like yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Biuld. [sic] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Doh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iReason Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 (edited) The Bloviator's source of reference: (With a median viewer age now at 68 according to Nielsen data) Edited April 30, 2016 by iReason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mopar71 Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 What's wrong with Mexican Pride? Mexicans are great. Imagine the USA without Mexicans. How do you feel about American Pride? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mopar71 Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 But, according to most experts, in the US, and worldwide, and according to most betting houses, he will not be the next POTUS. There are non-American experts on US presidential elections. Most American experts don't even know what they are talking about. If they handed out election season scorecards most would need to look for a new profession. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 What's wrong with Mexican Pride? Mexicans are great. Imagine the USA without Mexicans. How do you feel about American Pride? Do you like pie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thaibeachlovers Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 ^^^ Racist, bigoted, myopic Fox Views drivel. Meaningless chart without knowing the proportion of the different races mentioned. Far more whites in the US so of course there will be more on that chart, but as proportion of the total number of whites vs blacks in the US it would be a different story. There are lies, damn lies and statistics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mopar71 Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 What's wrong with Mexican Pride? Mexicans are great. Imagine the USA without Mexicans. How do you feel about American Pride? Do you like pie? I thought I saw a post of yours on another thread some time back where you didn't seem too appreciative of other Americans who are proud of their country, flag, something or other. So I just thought it strange that you support Mexican pride...unless you are talking about something else other than a country? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeverSure Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 There's a primary in Indiana next Monday. Let's see how Trump does. Not that long ago he was predicted to lose it. Oh, speaking of predictions. The "experts" have counted Trump out since last July when he entered. I hope they are looking for new jobs. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaBlue05 Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 There's a primary in Indiana next Monday. Let's see how Trump does. Not that long ago he was predicted to lose it. Oh, speaking of predictions. The "experts" have counted Trump out since last July when he entered. I hope they are looking for new jobs. Cheers. The political talking heads are like TV weathermen....always wrong but never fired for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaBlue05 Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 ^^^ Racist, bigoted, myopic Fox Views drivel. Meaningless chart without knowing the proportion of the different races mentioned. Far more whites in the US so of course there will be more on that chart, but as proportion of the total number of whites vs blacks in the US it would be a different story. There are lies, damn lies and statistics. ....and don't forget polls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berkshire Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 There's a primary in Indiana next Monday. Let's see how Trump does. Not that long ago he was predicted to lose it. Oh, speaking of predictions. The "experts" have counted Trump out since last July when he entered. I hope they are looking for new jobs. Cheers. According to this poll, Cruz is leading in Indiana. http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2016/04/30/poll-cruz-leads-trump-indiana/83755438/ I personally can't stand Cruz. But him winning Indiana keeps it interesting....and entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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