SURVEY: Will infections stabilize in 2-3 weeks?

[Scott]

 The Minister of Public Health has pointed out daily COVID-19 infection rates have begun to stagnate and the situation should begin to normalize in 2-3 weeks while calling on hospitals to bolster protection by dispensing Creat and assuring patients that two million Favipiravir pills are available with more to be ordered.

Which option do you believe is most accurate.

 

Please feel free to leave a comment.

 

 

https://forum.thaivisa.com/topic/1214732-health-minister-sees-covid-19-situation-normalizing-in-2-3-weeks/

 

[Credo]

I think Thailand is in for a rough road ahead.   Some of the variants going around are much more infectious than this already very infectious disease.   Cases are rising in a number of countries, including India.  I suspect vaccines are going to be in short supply as will many medical necessities.   

 

[Jeffr2]

If they continue to crack down like they are doing now, the rates will level off and then go down.  Just like they've done in the past. 

 

But we might have a rough few weeks until that happens.

[realfunster]

I’ve noticed over the last 15 months, the government COVID committee mostly meets on Fridays and make announcements that evening.

That in itself, is probably not frequent enough, especially with a larger and more concerning outbreak.

Anyhow, we shall see how things develop between now and next Friday, this will determine any further escalations that may be required (Bangkok perspective) : 

- Curfew - don’t think will happen, soft curfew already in place by shutting all shops by 9 or 10pm through to 5am.

- Extended work from home beyond 30th April to say, mid-May - very likely, even if case numbers soften. 

- Extended restrictions similar to March/April 2020 e.g full closure of shopping malls, salons, fitness centers, swimming pools, etc etc. Likely if situation does not improve in next week.

- HINT : If you are a drinker, might just be worth stocking up on provisions, don’t forget alcohol was very difficult to get hold of during April last year when sales were banned. 

[Jeffr2]

6 minutes ago, realfunster said:

I’ve noticed over the last 15 months, the government COVID committee mostly meets on Fridays and make announcements that evening.

That in itself, is probably not frequent enough, especially with a larger and more concerning outbreak.

Anyhow, we shall see how things develop between now and next Friday, this will determine any further escalations that may be required (Bangkok perspective) : 

- Curfew - don’t think will happen, soft curfew already in place by shutting all shops by 9 or 10pm through to 5am.

- Extended work from home beyond 30th April to say, mid-May - very likely, even if case numbers soften. 

- Extended restrictions similar to March/April 2020 e.g full closure of shopping malls, salons, fitness centers, swimming pools, etc etc. Likely if situation does not improve in next week.

- HINT : If you are a drinker, might just be worth stocking up on provisions, don’t forget alcohol was very difficult to get hold of during April last year when sales were banned. 

There's a daily briefing in English.  You can find them here, along with a lot of other great information:

 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld

[DerbyDan]

If there was a delayed onset that means the major second and third waves are on the way.

 

Main thing is to keep things locked down if cases go down, and not bow to pressure to open things up the minute cases go down.

 

When cases go down it does not mean the virus is going away. It means it's resting for another wave.

 

In the USA and India they kept opening things up at every chance making people vulnerable to a huge sneaker wave coming in.

 

It's just a denial and lots of people can't deal with social isolation so there is huge pressure to open things back up too soon.

[worgeordie]

Until they start taking vaccine roll out seriously,

the rates of infection will increase,cannot see

what would stop it,unless they close everything

down again.

regards worgeordie 

[mikebell]

The post-Songkran incubation period is nearly up.  Thais gathered in large family groups and have now returned to the cities to share their new infections with their workmates.  I am not optimistic that this wave will be contained without mass inoculations using proper vaccines.

[realfunster]

1 hour ago, Jeffr2 said:

There's a daily briefing in English.  You can find them here, along with a lot of other great information:

 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld

Thanks, I have seen those, I was referring to pronouncements/regulations  from the government which typically appear to be issued only on Fridays. 

[tomyami]

came here 6 wks ago did 2 wks quarantine got a 15 month visa while here seriously thinking of getting out back to where, my crountry has vacs, control and reopening.

no way will thailand be back this year.

came to this topic was thinking of going to koh chang but reliable farang food supply is boggy even in pattaya ordered a pork chop in a busy earery on soi bowkao couldnt eat it payed and left.

now only eating tarang food in the beefeater

 

Edited April 25, 2021 by tomyami

[Jeffr2]

56 minutes ago, realfunster said:

Thanks, I have seen those, I was referring to pronouncements/regulations  from the government which typically appear to be issued only on Fridays. 

I guess they hold the bad news until the weekend?  LOL

[mfd101]

This will go on & on & on till the government gets at least 60% or 70% of the population vaccinated. No way that will be done before 2022. The whole world is scrabbling for vaccines and Thailand is way way back at the end of the pack.

 

Meanwhile, this morning part of my family arrived from the family farm 40km away, to cut the grass round our house. 3 adults, 1 teenager, 2 small children. Not a mask in sight.

[realfunster]

31 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:

I guess they hold the bad news until the weekend?  LOL

 

????

Actually I have just seen the BMA announced a lot of additional business closures last night for (at least..) 2 weeks, starting on Monday.

 

They include cinemas, amusement parks, zoos, skateparks, snooker clubs, bowling alleys, internet cafes, public swimming pools, fitness centers, convention centers, museums, public libraries, nursing homes, boxing gyms, tattoo shops, race tracks, amulet markets, beauty clinics, spas, sports venues, and public parks.

[Moonlover]

Not another useless, meaningless survey! The only purpose they serve is as click bait for all the naysayers and Thai baiters to pile in with their uninformed comments.

 

For heavens sake give it a rest!

[Olmate]

1 hour ago, tomyami said:

came here 6 wks ago did 2 wks quarantine got a 15 month visa while here seriously thinking of getting out back to where, my crountry has vacs, control and reopening.

no way will thailand be back this year.

came to this topic was thinking of going to koh chang but reliable farang food supply is boggy even in pattaya ordered a pork chop in a busy earery on soi bowkao couldnt eat it payed and left.

now only eating tarang food in the beefeater

 

You came here to eat farang food??

[BritManToo]

47 minutes ago, mfd101 said:

This will go on & on & on till the government gets at least 60% or 70% of the population vaccinated. No way that will be done before 2022. The whole world is scrabbling for vaccines and Thailand is way way back at the end of the pack.

 

Meanwhile, this morning part of my family arrived from the family farm 40km away, to cut the grass round our house. 3 adults, 1 teenager, 2 small children. Not a mask in sight.

I think it will continue until everyone susceptible has had it, same as with colds and flu.

Vaccinations just won't work, and are more likely to cause further harm.

Same with every country, viral disease can't be stopped (in my lifetime anyway).

Just my opinion.

[Jeffr2]

18 minutes ago, Olmate said:

You came here to eat farang food??

Yeah.  Boggles my mind when friends want to eat at Western food places all the time.  I don't get it.  Thai food is fantastic, and in general, more healthy if you avoid the fried junk.

[Brierley]

Mumps, measles, chickenpox, flu, shingles etc etc, they're all viruses, covid19 will join the list at some point , ultimately there will be vaccinations available that are highly effective.

[BritManToo]

1 hour ago, tomyami said:

came here 6 wks ago did 2 wks quarantine got a 15 month visa while here seriously thinking of getting out back to where, my crountry has vacs, control and reopening.

no way will thailand be back this year.

came to this topic was thinking of going to koh chang but reliable farang food supply is boggy even in pattaya ordered a pork chop in a busy earery on soi bowkao couldnt eat it payed and left.

now only eating tarang food in the beefeater

 

Get yourself an air fryer, they have lovely pork steaks in Tesco Lotus (2 for 68bht), 20 mins in the air fryer and it's done.

I also get frozen French fries from Makro, 2Kg for 99bht, another 20 mins in the air fryer and perfect.

[BritManToo]

Just now, Jeffr2 said:

Yeah.  Boggles my mind when friends want to eat at Western food places all the time.  I don't get it.  Thai food is fantastic, and in general, more healthy if you avoid the fried junk.

Disagree, most Thai food is full of sugar and MSG.

[BritManToo]

Just now, Brierley said:

Mumps, measles, chickenpox, flu, shingles etc etc, they're all viruses, covid19 will join the list at some point , ultimately there will be vaccinations available that are highly effective.

Had them all once (except shingles) no vaccinations, didn't do me any harm at all.

Flu never really bothered me, maybe 2 or 3x in my life.

Had COVID once, didn't do me any harm either.

Edited April 25, 2021 by BritManToo

[Jeffr2]

9 minutes ago, BritManToo said:

Disagree, most Thai food is full of sugar and MSG.

Not where I eat.

[Jeffr2]

7 minutes ago, BritManToo said:

Had them all once (except shingles) no vaccinations, didn't do me any harm at all.

Flu never really bothered me, maybe 2 or 3x in my life.

Had COVID once, didn't do me any harm either.

You are clearly anti-vax.  That's not needed at a time like this.  It doesn't help at all.

 

ALL scientists and medical experts say the jab is the only way out of this mess.  All.  Except the quacks on social media.

[Scott]

A post with false or misleading information removed.   Continue and get a suspension.  

 

[DerbyDan]

54 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:

You are clearly anti-vax.  That's not needed at a time like this.  It doesn't help at all.

 

ALL scientists and medical experts say the jab is the only way out of this mess.  All.  Except the quacks on social media.

 

I did an unscientific survey of many people when deciding whether to get vaccinated or not. I asked many people in my life whether they were getting the vaccine.

 

Without fail, the ones who did not want it were very low educated and kind of dumb in a way. Dummies. Not for their answer, but in general.

 

It's why I am set on getting vaccinated myself.

Edited April 25, 2021 by DerbyDan

[Phoenix Rising]

57 minutes ago, BritManToo said:

I think it will continue until everyone susceptible has had it, same as with colds and flu.

Vaccinations just won't work, and are more likely to cause further harm.

Same with every country, viral disease can't be stopped (in my lifetime anyway).

Just my opinion.

"I think it will continue until everyone susceptible has had it, same as with colds and flu.

Vaccinations just won't work, and are more likely to cause further harm."

 

Oh great, another anti-vaxxer. You have anything to back up your amazing claim that vaccinations won't work?

Thought not.

 

"Same with every country, viral disease can't be stopped (in my lifetime anyway)."

 

You mean like the viral decease Polio?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio_eradication

 

 

[mfd101]

I think we should all be grateful for the anti-vaxxers. As self-sacrificing candidates for the annual Darwin Awards, they are working to improve the human gene pool.

[Jeffr2]

6 minutes ago, Phoenix Rising said:

"I think it will continue until everyone susceptible has had it, same as with colds and flu.

Vaccinations just won't work, and are more likely to cause further harm."

 

Oh great, another anti-vaxxer. You have anything to back up your amazing claim that vaccinations won't work?

Thought not.

 

"Same with every country, viral disease can't be stopped (in my lifetime anyway)."

 

You mean like the viral decease Polio?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio_eradication

 

 

He admitted it was his opinion. Obviously. Not a very good one.

 

From what I've read, it's almost impossible to reach herd immunity with this virus. Especially with all the mutations.

[xylophone]

12 minutes ago, Phoenix Rising said:

"I think it will continue until everyone susceptible has had it, same as with colds and flu.

Vaccinations just won't work, and are more likely to cause further harm."

 

Oh great, another anti-vaxxer. You have anything to back up your amazing claim that vaccinations won't work?

Thought not.

 

"Same with every country, viral disease can't be stopped (in my lifetime anyway)."

 

You mean like the viral decease Polio?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio_eradication

 

 

Another nonsense post from that particular person, not Phoenix Rising, (that is why I have him on ignore) and to add to your polio link (a disease that was around in my childhood days) may I add this re Smallpox......

 

Smallpox is a highly contagious and deadly disease caused by the variola virus. It was estimated to have infected 300 million people in the 20th Century before it became the only human infectious disease ever to be completely eradicated

Edited April 25, 2021 by xylophone

[Phoenix Rising]

10 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:

He admitted it was his opinion. Obviously. Not a very good one.

 

From what I've read, it's almost impossible to reach herd immunity with this virus. Especially with all the mutations.

Edited because quoted post was edited.

Edited April 25, 2021 by Phoenix Rising