Pheu Thai Party’s unique political partnership faces public disapproval: Survey

[snoop1130]

 

A recent telephone survey by the National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) revealed significant disapproval of the Pheu Thai Party‘s plan to form a special government in collaboration with its political adversaries, Palang Pracharath and United Thai Nation (UTN) parties.

 

This survey, also known as the NIDA poll, was conducted from August 15 through August 17 and involved a detailed conversation with over 1,310 adults over the age of 18, hailing from a wide array of backgrounds.

 

The resulting data pointed out that nearly 48% of the populace objected to the Pheu Thai Party’s move for a merged government arrangement. A mere 19.5% demonstrated a high degree of acceptance, whilst an estimated 17% showcased moderate resistance, in contrast to roughly 15% who showed a moderate degree of support. An additional 1% of the respondents refrained from providing their views on the matter.

 

In the survey, when queried about which Pheu Thai candidate would make the best fit for the next prime ministerial run, around 38.6% gave a nod in favour of Paetongtarn “Ung-ing” Shinawatra, while nearly 36.5% stated their preference for Srettha Thavisin. A small faction of around 8.4% vouched for Chaikasem Nitisiri, and approximately 16.3% of people refrained from answering the question at all.

 

By Mitch Connor

Caption: Leader of Bhumjaithai Party Anutin Charnvirakul, left, shakes hands with Leader of Pheu Thai Party Chonlanan Srikaew during a press conference announcing a coalition party in Bangkok, Monday, August 7. Picture courtesy of AP.

 

Full Story: https://thethaiger.com/news/national/nida-poll-reveals-thai-public-disapproval-over-pheu-thais-merged-government-plan

 

-- Thaiger 2023-08-21

 

- Cigna offers a range of visa-compliant plans that meet the minimum requirement of medical treatment, including COVID-19, up to THB 3m. For more information on all expat health insurance plans click here.

 

Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe

[Enoon]

"The resulting data pointed out that nearly 48% of the populace objected to the Pheu Thai Party’s move for a merged government arrangement.".

 

This was publicised yesterday by a well known Thai media outlet (which I may not mention) quoting the NIDA question about the desirability of PT creating a merged government  :

 

47.71%: Totally disagree

19.47%: Totally agree

16.79%: Quite disagree

15.11% Quite agree

 0.92%: No comment

 

= a total of 100%

 

It gives a total of 64.5% disagreeing.

 

????

 

 

Edited August 21, 2023 by Enoon

[Enoon]

44 minutes ago, Enoon said:

"The resulting data pointed out that nearly 48% of the populace objected to the Pheu Thai Party’s move for a merged government arrangement.".

 

This was publicised yesterday by a well known Thai media outlet (which I may not mention) quoting the NIDA question about the desirability of PT creating a merged government  :

 

47.71%: Totally disagree

19.47%: Totally agree

16.79%: Quite disagree

15.11% Quite agree

 0.92%: No comment

 

= a total of 100%

 

It gives a total of 64.5% disagreeing.

 

????

 

 

Looks like I made a mistake.

 

I can mention the outlet........The Nation.

 

Edited August 21, 2023 by Enoon

[Enoon]

Double post

 

 

Edited August 21, 2023 by Enoon

[candide]

51 minutes ago, Enoon said:

"The resulting data pointed out that nearly 48% of the populace objected to the Pheu Thai Party’s move for a merged government arrangement.".

 

This was publicised yesterday by a well known Thai media outlet (which I may not mention) quoting the NIDA question about the desirability of PT creating a merged government  :

 

47.71%: Totally disagree

19.47%: Totally agree

16.79%: Quite disagree

15.11% Quite agree

 0.92%: No comment

 

= a total of 100%

 

It gives a total of 64.5% disagreeing.

 

????

 

 

Sò if I remember well, the % of people who agree with a merged government lead by PT corresponds broadly to the % of people who voted for PT.

[eisfeld]

6 minutes ago, candide said:

Sò if I remember well, the % of people who agree with a merged government lead by PT corresponds broadly to the % of people who voted for PT.

PT got a bit less than 29% of votes. The number of people who agree (totally + quite) is a bit less than 35%.

[Enoon]

1 hour ago, candide said:

Sò if I remember well, the % of people who agree with a merged government lead by PT corresponds broadly to the % of people who voted for PT.

Also dealt with in the same poll:

 

"Asked whether they had voted for Pheu Thai, respondents said:

 

 39.62%: Have never voted for either Pheu Thai or its predecessors (Thai Rak Thai or People’s Power).

 

33.13%: Have voted for Pheu Thai or its predecessors, including in the May 14 election

 

26.72%: Have voted for Pheu Thai or its predecessors, but not in the May 14 election.

 

0.53%: Have never voted at all."

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/thailand/politics/40030353

 

 

 

 

Edited August 21, 2023 by Enoon

[candide]

28 minutes ago, Enoon said:

Also dealt with in the same poll:

 

"Asked whether they had voted for Pheu Thai, respondents said:

 

 39.62%: Have never voted for either Pheu Thai or its predecessors (Thai Rak Thai or People’s Power).

 

33.13%: Have voted for Pheu Thai or its predecessors, including in the May 14 election

 

26.72%: Have voted for Pheu Thai or its predecessors, but not in the May 14 election.

 

0.53%: Have never voted at all."

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/thailand/politics/40030353

 

 

 

 

Thanks for these precision. So it doesn't fully correspond to PTP electorate.

[hotchilli]

10 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

This survey, also known as the NIDA poll, was conducted from August 15 through August 17 and involved a detailed conversation with over 1,310 adults over the age of 18, hailing from a wide array of backgrounds.

An in-depth survey then?

[ChrisY1]

The same people as those they are replacing, only different faces.

[Cake Monster]

There is little wonder that people are not happy

This is a sleeping with the Enemy Coalition

[bizboi]

21 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

 

A recent telephone survey by the National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) revealed significant disapproval of the Pheu Thai Party‘s plan to form a special government in collaboration with its political adversaries, Palang Pracharath and United Thai Nation (UTN) parties.

 

This survey, also known as the NIDA poll, was conducted from August 15 through August 17 and involved a detailed conversation with over 1,310 adults over the age of 18, hailing from a wide array of backgrounds.

 

The resulting data pointed out that nearly 48% of the populace objected to the Pheu Thai Party’s move for a merged government arrangement. A mere 19.5% demonstrated a high degree of acceptance, whilst an estimated 17% showcased moderate resistance, in contrast to roughly 15% who showed a moderate degree of support. An additional 1% of the respondents refrained from providing their views on the matter.

 

In the survey, when queried about which Pheu Thai candidate would make the best fit for the next prime ministerial run, around 38.6% gave a nod in favour of Paetongtarn “Ung-ing” Shinawatra, while nearly 36.5% stated their preference for Srettha Thavisin. A small faction of around 8.4% vouched for Chaikasem Nitisiri, and approximately 16.3% of people refrained from answering the question at all.

 

By Mitch Connor

Caption: Leader of Bhumjaithai Party Anutin Charnvirakul, left, shakes hands with Leader of Pheu Thai Party Chonlanan Srikaew during a press conference announcing a coalition party in Bangkok, Monday, August 7. Picture courtesy of AP.

 

Full Story: https://thethaiger.com/news/national/nida-poll-reveals-thai-public-disapproval-over-pheu-thais-merged-government-plan

 

-- Thaiger 2023-08-21

 

- Cigna offers a range of visa-compliant plans that meet the minimum requirement of medical treatment, including COVID-19, up to THB 3m. For more information on all expat health insurance plans click here.

 

Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe

When all is said and done Pheu Thai LOST the election by a significant percentage of the vote and have conned their way into power- they can never again crow about democracy!!!! They are as bad as the previous government- anyone who disagrees with that and complains about the previous government is a hypocrite!!! FTP are the rightful government and would have been so good for Thailand!!!!

[smedly]

if there was an election tomorrow PT would be slaughtered for their betrayal, they could redeem themselves by hooking up with MFP now that they are in office - first order of business - get rid of the senate having any say in PM selection

[eisfeld]

18 minutes ago, smedly said:

if there was an election tomorrow PT would be slaughtered for their betrayal, they could redeem themselves by hooking up with MFP now that they are in office - first order of business - get rid of the senate having any say in PM selection

Not going to happen for multiple reasons. They didn't achieve their goal yet btw. Thaksin needs to get out of prison first. Another reason is that in order to remove the Senate from the PM vote would require a change in the constitution which requires the approval of the Senate.

[proton]

No PT voters voted for this PM, they voted for Paetongtarn, so even they got lied to and stabbed in the back. 

[Denim]

It will now be in the interests of this government of  former enemies to totally eradicate Move Forward and any chance of a third reincarnation.

 

  It is quite clear that all the previous political heavyweights  have been deeply shocked  by MFs meteoric rise and the likely scenario of their landslide  victory  in any future elections. This will not be allowed to happen.

[pelagicpete]

1,310 members of the electorate is an insignificant sample.

If the number had been around 500,000 then it would be more significant.

This result should not be taken very seriously.

However, in a democratic election, the majority of the voting public called for MFP to offer a PM.

 

[eisfeld]

1 hour ago, pelagicpete said:

1,310 members of the electorate is an insignificant sample.

If the number had been around 500,000 then it would be more significant.

This result should not be taken very seriously.

However, in a democratic election, the majority of the voting public called for MFP to offer a PM.

 

That's not true according to mathematical statistics. A sample size of around 1,100 already allows you to get a statistically significant representation of a pupolation of tens of millions with error margin of less than +-3% because of the exponential increase of population size in relation to sample size.

 

And that's why you will see most nation wide surveys in many countries always have a sample size of 1,xxx participants.

 

Would 500,000 be more significant? Sure. In the range of 0.138% margin of error at 95% confidence. 5M would be even more significant. But the amount of significance that you gain has diminishing returns.

 

A very rough estimate for the margin of error an be obtained via 1/√N where N is the sample size. The exact value is a bit more involved to calculate.