It's really at the discretion of the officer and their supervisor.  Are they meeting their undefined rejection quota?  Did they have a bad breakfast?  Is their mia noi not returning their calls.  Who knows?

25 minutes ago, BrandonJT said:

No. There's nothing confirmed or unconfirmed because it's all at the discretion of the immigration offices.  And since your past doesn't disappear when the new year hits, they can still use it against you if they want to in order to establish a pattern.

 

Thank you.