4 minutes ago, CallumWK said:

So do I, anything else you want to ignore?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/10/trump-goals-iran-achieved/

5. Push for regime change

Trump made no secret of his desire for regime change in Iran and, at the end of his video in February, encouraged the Iranian people to seize their government after the initial airstrikes by the U.S. and Israel had stopped.

“It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations,” Trump said then.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/02/28/trump-iran-war-regime-change-freedom/

Florida, where he arrived Friday night just hours before the military strikes began. Television news played in the background at the time of the call.

Despite his previous criticism of U.S. involvement in Middle Eastern wars — particularly American lives lost during efforts to topple and install new regimes — Trump on Saturday made the case for the United States helping to bring about regime change in the country. In the video address, Trump urged Iranians once the strikes cease to “take over your government,” telling them “this will be probably your only chance for generations.”

So where is the quote where Trump one of the goals of the war is regime change?

1 hour ago, Yellowtail said:

So where is the quote where Trump one of the goals of the war is regime change?

I think your software is glitching - you probably need your OS updating.

7 hours ago, beautifulthailand99 said:

I didn't say Iran is "winning because they made viral Lego videos." I said those videos represent a shift in how modern conflict operates in the information age, and that the U.S. response has been comparatively inept. There's a difference between "Iran is victorious" and "the U.S. has fumbled its own narrative so badly that Iranian meme warfare looks competent by comparison."

You want "actual outcomes"? Ok here they are.

What Iran "won" (or more accurately, what the U.S. and Israel failed to achieve):

Regime survival The stated goal was regime change or crippling deterrence. Iran's government is intact, hardened, and has cycled in a more aggressive Revolutionary Guard leadership. That's not victory for the West; that's mission failure.

Regional influence maintained despite decades of sanctions, assassinations, and airstrikes, Iran still commands proxy networks across Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. Hezbollah weakened but not destroyed. Houthis still blockading shipping. That's not collapse; that's resilience.

Narrative shift This is where you're dismissively waving away the Lego videos, but here's the thing: information warfare IS modern warfare. When a sanctioned, isolated state can produce more effective viral content than the most powerful military on earth, that's a problem. Not because memes = missiles, but because legitimacy, morale, and international perception matter. The U.S. looks chaotic, contradictory, and increasingly unserious. Iran looks defiant and coherent (even if that's propaganda nbecsue propaganda works).

Forcing strategic overreach The U.S. and Israel expended massive resources (diplomatic, military, financial) on operations that didn't achieve their stated aims. Iran absorbed the hits, adapted, and is still standing. That's not "winning" in a traditional sense, but it's absolutely not losing when your opponent spent billions to achieve regime change and you're still there.

Your framing ("judge a war by TikTok engagement") is a strawman.

I'm not saying social media engagement = military victory. I'm saying:

Modern conflict includes information space

The U.S. is losing that space badly

Iran (and Russia, and China) understand this; the West is still pretending it's 1991

When your enemy controls the narrative, they don't need to win every battle they just need you to lose legitimacy and Isarel/US has lost it in spades - notice when noone came to help - the ghost coalition of the not willing.

Ok and the Ghost of Kiev - downed mystery pilot most probably a Uranium heist gone terribly wrong. So Trump doesn't lose face. Not that he has any. You did ask.

Lego it is then and the fact that the US abandoned every single base in the region. Paper Eagle meets Lego Lion - Lego lIon wins. Oh and there's , what is it 400kg of highly enriched uranium deep in the bowels of the earth looking for the final step and one if Trump is wounded as I say he is , has had his once chance to get and that is floating away.Sorry Bibi I know it was your life's purpose but we can't always get what we want.

And the fact that they don't even need it - the Straits of Hormuz doomsday weapon finally got an outing and client Gulf states got a beating from which they may never recover. I stand by my premise - in spades. Iran has the cards.

You’re making a more serious argument now, but I still think you’re stretching it.

A lot of this seems less like an argument that Iran is actually winning, and more like an argument that you dislike Trump so much you’re willing to credit Iran for simply surviving.

And that’s the real question: is this about opposing Trump??, or do you genuinely believe the Iranian regime is the side to admire here?

Iran’s government is still an oppressive regime with proxy networks, sanctions, economic damage, and a long record of destabilizing the region.

Surviving pressure doesn’t make them heroic, and making better propaganda videos doesn’t make them strategically successful.

I’ll agree that information warfare matters. But viral Lego clips don’t erase damaged infrastructure, weakened proxies, economic strain, or the fact that Iran is still negotiating under pressure.

So yes, Iran has resilience. But resilience is not the same as victory. And disliking Trump doesn’t automatically make Tehran the good guy.

Yes, Chancellor, Trump really is up the strait with no paddle. This will only end in further humiliation for Trump and the US, but more importantly, a world economy that's headed for a recession.

It's time for world leaders to come together and find a way to rid the world of the plague. If this s**t show doesn't get resolved post haste and 25 isn't invoked, it's time to consider the "nuclear" option; wholesale dumping of US government bonds.

The amount of stupid and crazy coming from the WH is just too much, it's gotta end.

Iran Erwache ! Great troll Vlad.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/04/27/us-iran-war-talks-latest-news/

Vladimir Putin has held talks with Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi in St. Petersburg, pledging to continue their “strategic relationship” and telling him that peace would soon prevail.

Russia has offered to mediate to try to help restore calm to the Middle East following the US and Irsaeli war against Iran, which Moscow strongly condemned.

It ‌has also ⁠repeatedly offered to store Iran’s enriched uranium as a way of defusing tensions, an offer the US has flatly refused.

Edited April 27Apr 27 by beautifulthailand99

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Yes, this actually happened. The US is so effed.

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5852080-kid-rock-hegseth-military-helicopter-ride/

Trump, with his war and his general deviant behavior, has reinforced the worst negative stereotypes of Americans.

Americans are loud, willfully ignorant, petulant, violent, selfish, aggressive, untrustworthy, and ready to betray when it's in our personal interest.

Trump lambasts Europe and Japan for not jumping in to support a war Trump started. US peace deals mean nothing. There is no such thing as 'negotiating in good faith", because if Trump wants to attack, he will (until he gets bored like now). US trade agreements mean nothing. Tariff levels are a function of Trump's mood (ask Switzerland). Treaties and alliances mean nothing. Heck, Trump is even shipping Afghani translators who risked their lives aiding the US off to the Congo, kicking them out of the US.

Nobody should, and likely nobody ever will trust the US again.

The word of the US means nothing. America no longer has any ideals...whether about democracy or free speech or a free press. The US stands for nothing except corrupt self-interest and bullying.

The country has become a disgrace. I would never serve it again, never again go into harm's way on its behalf. I feel as if I should apologize to friends and colleagues I lost while serving, because we all let them down and dishonored their sacrifice.

12 minutes ago, Wingate said:

Trump, with his war and his general deviant behavior, has reinforced the worst negative stereotypes of Americans.

Americans are loud, willfully ignorant, petulant, violent, selfish, aggressive, untrustworthy, and ready to betray when it's in our personal interest.

Trump lambasts Europe and Japan for not jumping in to support a war Trump started. US peace deals mean nothing. There is no such thing as 'negotiating in good faith", because if Trump wants to attack, he will (until he gets bored like now). US trade agreements mean nothing. Tariff levels are a function of Trump's mood (ask Switzerland). Treaties and alliances mean nothing. Heck, Trump is even shipping Afghani translators who risked their lives aiding the US off to the Congo, kicking them out of the US.

Nobody should, and likely nobody ever will trust the US again.

The word of the US means nothing. America no longer has any ideals...whether about democracy or free speech or a free press. The US stands for nothing except corrupt self-interest and bullying.

The country has become a disgrace. I would never serve it again, never again go into harm's way on its behalf. I feel as if I should apologize to friends and colleagues I lost while serving, because we all let them down and dishonored their sacrifice.

You need to spew more lies and hateful rhetoric, maybe that will help.

Tell us about how you are a rich, brilliant secret agent again, that was hilarious.

Hey, where is @Walker88, he was a rich, brilliant secret agent too. I miss all the lies and hateful rhetoric he used to spew.

42 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

You need to spew more lies and hateful rhetoric, maybe that will help.

Tell us about how you are a rich, brilliant secret agent again, that was hilarious.

Hey, where is @Walker88, he was a rich, brilliant secret agent too. I miss all the lies and hateful rhetoric he used to spew.

A wide receiver too with his appropos number. But I digress, am I hearing on the radio that LNG Tanker has passed out of the straight.?

Am I also reading that by tomorrow, the Iranians may have to shut down wells? Permanently.

1 hour ago, Yagoda said:

A wide receiver too with his appropos number. But I digress, am I hearing on the radio that LNG Tanker has passed out of the straight.?

Am I also reading that by tomorrow, the Iranians may have to shut down wells? Permanently.

No, that's all fake. The Iranians are meeting Trump in the Oval Office to accept Trump's surrender and to raise the Iranian flag over the Capitol.

21 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

No, that's all fake. The Iranians are meeting Trump in the Oval Office to accept Trump's surrender and to raise the Iranian flag over the Capitol.

Cool. Multiwives. Ill miss pork chops though

2 hours ago, Yagoda said:

A wide receiver too with his appropos number. But I digress, am I hearing on the radio that LNG Tanker has passed out of the straight.?

Am I also reading that by tomorrow, the Iranians may have to shut down wells? Permanently.

I give up. Are you reading that?

Here's something I've read. And I'm going to take the audacious step of actually providing a link to it so you can read it, too.

Iran Crude Oil Storage Levels Are Rising, but Production Shut-ins May Not Be Imminent

While the US blockade of tanker traffic to and from Iran is already testing storage capacity at the country’s main Kharg Island terminal, which accounts for 90% of its crude exports, that may not necessarily result in a sudden, large-scale halt in its oil production, let alone long-term damage to production capacity.

Iran has expanded its storage infrastructure over the past decade to levels that may be sufficient to handle up to two or three weeks of crude exports at pre-war levels.

While Iran thus has the latitude to divert stranded output from Kharg Island to less full facilities, Tehran may still opt to aggressively curtail

https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/iran-crude-oil-storage-levels-are-rising-but-production-shut-ins-may-not-be-imminent/

18 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Iran has expanded its storage infrastructure over the past decade to levels that may be sufficient to handle up to two or three weeks of crude exports at pre-war levels.

Oh cool, got some more "maybes" for me? I havent had time to look yet. Sort of curious as to when the collapse will occur.

You think that if the blockade continues, Irans oil production will be destroyed?

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Oh cool, got some more "maybes" for me? I havent had time to look yet. Sort of curious as to when the collapse will occur.

You think that if the blockade continues, Irans oil production will be destroyed?

Do you think that shutting down an oil field necessarily destroys it? It may harm it, on occasion it could even destroy it. Had you read the article you would know that Iran has been preparing for this eventuality with a lot of storage.

Whether they are prepared or willing to put up with the damage incurred by a shutdown who can say?

As a point of interest, some of Iran's neighbors countries lincluding Saudi Arabia,the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Iraq have already shut down oil fields. So even when the blockade ends one way or another, it's going to take some time for them to revive production.

4 hours ago, Wingate said:

Trump, with his war and his general deviant behavior, has reinforced the worst negative stereotypes of Americans.

Americans are loud, willfully ignorant, petulant, violent, selfish, aggressive, untrustworthy, and ready to betray when it's in our personal interest.

Trump lambasts Europe and Japan for not jumping in to support a war Trump started. US peace deals mean nothing. There is no such thing as 'negotiating in good faith", because if Trump wants to attack, he will (until he gets bored like now). US trade agreements mean nothing. Tariff levels are a function of Trump's mood (ask Switzerland). Treaties and alliances mean nothing. Heck, Trump is even shipping Afghani translators who risked their lives aiding the US off to the Congo, kicking them out of the US.

Nobody should, and likely nobody ever will trust the US again.

The word of the US means nothing. America no longer has any ideals...whether about democracy or free speech or a free press. The US stands for nothing except corrupt self-interest and bullying.

The country has become a disgrace. I would never serve it again, never again go into harm's way on its behalf. I feel as if I should apologize to friends and colleagues I lost while serving, because we all let them down and dishonored their sacrifice.

You claimed to be an ex hedge fund manager, a lord of the manor chateau owner in France, an ex CIA agent and several other unlikely positions. Now you claim you served in the military as well? 🤣😅😂

Edited April 28Apr 28 by SunnyinBangrak

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/trump-says-iran-has-days-left-before-its-forced-to-halt-oil-production-others-say-it-could-be-2-months-155158381.html

Trump says Iran has 'days left' before it's forced to halt oil production. Others say it could be 2 months.

"It appears Trump's new strategy is to simply wait out the regime," Tobin Marcus of Wolfe Research wrote in a note to clients on Monday. That is based both on confidence that the US blockade will work alongside Trump’s hesitance to restart a “hot war.”

But a problem for markets is that Marcus’s group estimates that Iran still has up to two months before production shut-ins begin in earnest. He noted the possibility of "a long, painful staring contest" and called Trump’s projection of an imminent explosion “nonsense.”

The reason Iranian shut-ins were not an issue in the early stages of the war was that Iran's own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pointedly excluded their oil exports.

That meant for about the first six weeks of the conflict, with US acquiescence, Iran was able to export roughly the same amount of oil out of places like Kharg Island and into global markets as before bombs began falling.

1 hour ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Do you think that shutting down an oil field necessarily destroys it? It may harm it, on occasion it could even destroy it. Had you read the article you would know that Iran has been preparing for this eventuality with a lot of storage.

Whether they are prepared or willing to put up with the damage incurred by a shutdown who can say?

Hedging much? 5555555555555555555. May, maybe, could. Better read up. Not just one article.

5 hours ago, Yagoda said:

Hedging much? 5555555555555555555. May, maybe, could. Better read up. Not just one article.

Well, according to you the destruction has already begun. Yet you refuse to share your source. I'd reckon it's because you're too embarrassed to acknowledge that it's based on what Donald Trump claims. Which means that once again, you believed Donald Trump.

3 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Well, according to you the destruction has already begun. Yet you refuse to share your source. I'd reckon it's because you're too embarrassed to acknowledge that it's based on what Donald Trump claims. Which means that once again, you believed Donald Trump.

Actually I think the tenor of the conversation was me seeking info. So tell us, are Iranian wells going to have to be shut down? When? You seem to be up on it. I read that once they are shut down, restarting is difficult? Is that your understanding? Do you think Irans economy will collapse? Surely that one article you cite isnt the last word, is it?

https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-economy-blockade-steel-exports-7d3c6c63ec432e57325814d48938ccfe

Oh look they are gonna try to outlast us. Guess they figure they have enough terrorist lovers, trump/america haters and anti-ssemite traitors on their side.......what do you think? They gonna outlast Trump?

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Actually I think the tenor of the conversation was me seeking info. So tell us, are Iranian wells going to have to be shut down? When? You seem to be up on it. I read that once they are shut down, restarting is difficult? Is that your understanding? Do you think Irans economy will collapse? Surely that one article you cite isnt the last word, is it?

https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-economy-blockade-steel-exports-7d3c6c63ec432e57325814d48938ccfe

Oh look they are gonna try to outlast us. Guess they figure they have enough terrorist lovers, trump/america haters and anti-ssemite traitors on their side.......what do you think? They gonna outlast Trump?

Well, the trouble with your question is that you think that the US has already won. Which means that no matter what settlement there is, you'll interpret it as a victory for Trump. So, tell me, what's the bottom line?Do all Trump's goals actually has to be achieved to call it a victory?

And as we both know, you've already asserted elsewhere that the destruction of the oil fields was to being on Apr 27.

Edited April 28Apr 28 by Alan Zweibel

2 minutes ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Well, the trouble with your question is that you think that the US has already won. Which means that no matter what settlement there is, you'll interpret it as a victory for Trump. So, tell me, what's the bottom line ?Do all Trump's goals actually has to be achieved to call it a victory?

And as we both know, you've already asserted elsewhere that the destruction of the oil fields was to being on Apr 27.

Got it. You cant answer the questions 55555555555555555

Well looks like his goals are already established.

So when do the oil fields go poof?

10 hours ago, SunnyinBangrak said:

You claimed to be an ex hedge fund manager, a lord of the manor chateau owner in France, an ex CIA agent and several other unlikely positions. Now you claim you served in the military as well? 🤣😅😂

No, that's not what he wrote.

3 minutes ago, stevenl said:

No, that's not what he wrote.

What did he write?

Oh, the pearl-clutching irony, it is to laugh!

17 hours ago, Yagoda said:

A wide receiver too with his appropos number. But I digress, am I hearing on the radio that LNG Tanker has passed out of the straight.?

Am I also reading that by tomorrow, the Iranians may have to shut down wells? Permanently.

"But I digress, am I hearing on the radio that LNG Tanker has passed out of the straight.?"

On the radio? How quaint. Was it Radio Luxembourg? Personally, I didn't hear anything about an LNG tanker. What I did hear about was Trump allowing a super-yacht owned by a sanctioned Russian oligarch to exit the Gulf though.
Everything for the boss, right?

'Iran and US allowed Russian superyacht to cross Strait of Hormuz'

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/iran-us-allowed-russian-superyacht-cross-strait-hormuz-source-says-2026-04-28/

"Am I also reading that by tomorrow, the Iranians may have to shut down wells? Permanently."

So you're reading that, are you? Any links you care to share? So can you update us on what the latest deadline is for the defeated Iran to realize they've been defeated? Or is another TACO being made?

Thanks in advance!

So the Ukrainians have the technology and know-how, but I'm betting Trump isn't asking for help because he's a f*****g moron.

No cards, indeed.🤣

Okay, it seems to be over. Job done, move along, as you were!

Is oil flowing again ?

The UK media seem to have now ignored this issue. Instead focussing in on an appointment of a minister. Pathetic meida.

1.8 million Iranian reals to the dollar. 20 million barrels of oil from Saudi moved out to Japan thiss morning per Fox, The clock is ticking.

Edited April 29Apr 29 by Yagoda

6 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

1.8 million Iranian reals to the dollar. 20 million barrels of oil from Saudi moved out to Japan thiss morning per Fox, The clock is ticking.

Fake, same as Venezuela