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Is the USA headed for another great depression? And, why?

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The end of the US empire is neigh. It's cause?

"Billions for me and nothing for thee - peasants."

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  • DonniePeverley
    DonniePeverley

    Nothing is going to happen to the US economy, it's just too strong. Only thing that will stop it's growth is some humanitarian who thinks it's unfair they should be so wealthy. Cold hearted capitalism

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20 minutes ago, connda said:

The end of the US empire is neigh. It's cause?

"Billions for me and nothing for thee - peasants."

10s or 100s or thousands, millions, and yes billions for those that 'earn it'

The losers ... oh well. Live with your choices.

On 8/31/2026 at 7:48 AM, Wingate said:

Still have that red Vespa, shorty? You know, real women like The Beast, which is 6 6 6, or now 6 7 6. That means 6 feet, 7 $ figure income, and---well---manhood worthy of its name. Sorry!

I hope that Navy pension is not your sole source of retirement income, because govt pensions are at risk, at least in current dollars.

In the US currently, the bottom 80% are not faring so well, as inflation is really biting. It's already kind of a depression for them. Of course the tariffs didn't help, nor did Trump's war of choice, which has oil prices 45% higher than on 27 February. His trade war with Canada is also not going to help, as a few hundred thousand US jobs are tied to Canada, as is oil, electricity, aluminum, and wood and paper products. Maybe Trump will be selling Bum Guns out of his White House Grift Shop, as toilet paper is going to get very dear.

Your messiah is on pace to add $10,000,000,000,000 to the National Debt during Term 2, if he survives (Polymarket and Kalshi say "No"). Combine that with the $8,400,000,000,000 he loaded on in Trump 1.0, and the serial bankrupt-er will have presided over 40% of the total US Debt built up by the other 45 Presidents.

Those issues, however, are small things. As AI tools are absorbed, UE is going to shoot up. Already the labor force is smaller than in 2000, despite US population jumping by 80 million or so. The Participation Rate keeps dropping, That's not good, as the $40 trillion National Debt has little room to grow, especially since Trump has alienated many of the foreigners who have been funding 25% of it. If the 5-6 folks working to make AI not just useful tools, but instead foist ASI on the other 8.5 billion humans, the US Depression will be like a mosquito bite, relative to what swarming AI agents will do. That's another story, but folks would be wise to listen to experts like Yoshua Bengio, Ilya Sutskever, Connor Leahy, Roman Yampolskiy, Sir Geoffrey Hinton, Max Tegmark, etc.

Even absent ASI, the demographics are not looking good. Population growth is slowing, though admittedly not as bad as South Korea. Boomers are strapped in retirement as Trump's inflation continues to rise, so they listen to Tom Selleck and get a reverse mortgage. Imagine how many houses will be on the books of banks as Boomers die off. And how about the value of the mortgages banks hold? As UE rises, so will the ring of "keys in the envelop" sent to banks. All those private equity firms who have spent since 2008 scoffing up tracts of residences, and who borrowed heavily, are going to be hit will falling prices (see Japan, to get some idea of what happens to home prices as demand fades with population decline....some home prices away from major cities have fallen 95% since 1989).

And how many winners is AI and data centers going to produce? The equity market is 45% the AI buildout, with firms running up enormous debt and engaging in a daisy chain of cross fertilization. Not every AI model is going to be a winner, so when the winner is chosen (it could even be an open weight Chinese model, "valued" at <10% of what Anthropic and OpenAI are valued at), there's going to be a lot of Pets.com and MySpace.

If you had any actual knowledge of economics, you'd be as wealthy as me. Yes, I get things wrong, but on balance I've done rather well, il hamdu l'illah. Economic ignorance is a fly in search of a windshield.

Your numbers are all false - again.

On 8/30/2026 at 11:02 PM, GammaGlobulin said:

Is the USA headed for another great depression?

No, but every time you whack up a new topic it is depressing. I’m still trying to reconcile your previous topic, where you went on a full blown racist tangent about Indian people and then proceeded to apply those views to a man who isn’t even ethnically Indian. And when you were caught out on it, you weren’t even man enough to walk it back or acknowledge your rather obvious mistake.

That was quite revealing. Not just the racism itself, but the complete refusal to take responsibility for what you had actually written. You managed to be spectacularly wrong and then somehow decided that doubling down on the same insensitive viewpoint was the appropriate response.

That showed us all we need to know.

  • Author
6 hours ago, Alpha84 said:

No, but every time you whack up a new topic it is depressing. I’m still trying to reconcile your previous topic, where you went on a full blown racist tangent about Indian people and then proceeded to apply those views to a man who isn’t even ethnically Indian. And when you were caught out on it, you weren’t even man enough to walk it back or acknowledge your rather obvious mistake.

That was quite revealing. Not just the racism itself, but the complete refusal to take responsibility for what you had actually written. You managed to be spectacularly wrong and then somehow decided that doubling down on the same insensitive viewpoint was the appropriate response.

That showed us all we need to know.

Just so you know: The man you are referring to comes from India. Here is my idea of India. Please just look at the map. Yes, recently, artificial borders have been delineated, but these do NOT reflect cultural cohesiveness.

Religion has driven apart north and south India.

Also, the CRAZY-HIGH Population density of Bangladesh is scaring the pants off the rest of India.

The rest of India is scared to death about the day when the Bangladesh hoards will pour into the rest of India.

And so, India is patrolling the boarder rigorously, trying to avoid the invevitable.

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The rest of India does NOT Want the Bangladeshi Hoards flowing freely into the rest of India, for VERY GOOD REASONS.

You are free to move to Bangladesh, to live out the rest of your days, and I recommend it to you.

It's OK if you go there, because Bangladesh has no hope, and has been ruined by overpopulatoin, anyway.

BUT, having Bangladesh move its population to the UK, or any other country, would be a DISASTER OF BIBLICAL proportions.

The culture there is ridiculous. Go there, and check it out if you do not believe me.

The entire SUBCONTINENT is doomed, due to Global Warming, anyway.

Where do you think these people will want to escape to when their GODFORSAKEN land becomes too hot for them?

So, I am not racist, but I just hate the culture down there, in that godforsaken land, which is getting hotter by the year.

And, just wait for the finale of this Super-Duper El Nino to take effect....

Once more they will be dying like flies in the oven they have created for themselves.

But, why worry about the inevitable.

What is done is done, and there is no going back

At least they could do the world a favor and launch about 50 megatons at eash other, north and south India, which probably will happen soon.

Then, maybe the world can take a well-deserved breather.

But, I do not like the culture of that part of the world.

They should stop with the fanatical religious beliefs, and the caste system, too, first thing....but they will not.

So, just allow them to stew in their own juices, but please do not come here, and by here, I mean the rest of the land area in the world.

52 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

Just so you know: The man you are referring to comes from India. Here is my idea of India. Please just look at the map. Yes, recently, artificial borders have been delineated, but these do NOT reflect cultural cohesiveness.

Religion has driven apart north and south India.

Also, the CRAZY-HIGH Population density of Bangladesh is scaring the pants off the rest of India.

The rest of India is scared to death about the day when the Bangladesh hoards will pour into the rest of India.

And so, India is patrolling the boarder rigorously, trying to avoid the invevitable.

image.png

The rest of India does NOT Want the Bangladeshi Hoards flowing freely into the rest of India, for VERY GOOD REASONS.

You are free to move to Bangladesh, to live out the rest of your days, and I recommend it to you.

It's OK if you go there, because Bangladesh has no hope, and has been ruined by overpopulatoin, anyway.

BUT, having Bangladesh move its population to the UK, or any other country, would be a DISASTER OF BIBLICAL proportions.

The culture there is ridiculous. Go there, and check it out if you do not believe me.

The entire SUBCONTINENT is doomed, due to Global Warming, anyway.

Where do you think these people will want to escape to when their GODFORSAKEN land becomes too hot for them?

So, I am not racist, but I just hate the culture down there, in that godforsaken land, which is getting hotter by the year.

And, just wait for the finale of this Super-Duper El Nino to take effect....

Once more they will be dying like flies in the oven they have created for themselves.

But, why worry about the inevitable.

What is done is done, and there is no going back

At least they could do the world a favor and launch about 50 megatons at eash other, north and south India, which probably will happen soon.

Then, maybe the world can take a well-deserved breather.

But, I do not like the culture of that part of the world.

They should stop with the fanatical religious beliefs, and the caste system, too, first thing....but they will not.

So, just allow them to stew in their own juices, but please do not come here, and by here, I mean the rest of the land area in the world.

Well observed. If nothing else, it's the rising sea level that will force them to "move".

1/4 of humanity lives in coastal areas. Becoming inundated. Where are they going to go?

As far as "refugee movements" is concerned, "we ain't seen nothing yet".

PS: Whenever a crisis hit, "surplus people" emigrated to America. Unfortunately, there is no second America left that can serve as a"sponge".

  • Author
7 minutes ago, swissie said:

Well observed. If nothing else, it's the rising sea level that will force them to "move".

1/4 of humanity lives in coastal areas. Becoming inundated. Where are they going to go?

As far as "refugee movements" is concerned, "we ain't seen nothing yet".

PS: Whenever a crisis hit, "surplus people" emigrated to America. Unfortunately, there is no second America left that can serve as a"sponge".

Sea Seeopage Salination will affect large areas of land that is being used for culltivation (in Bangladesh).

The food stress in Bangladesh is well known.

Then, on top of this, many areas in India will become too hot for outdoor work.

We know that this is inevitable.

India, India proper, has been paying attention to the problem of how to stop migration from Bangladesh into India proper.

NOBODY wants the guys from Bangladesh fleeing into surrounding areas.

And, the UK cannot accept all migrants from Africa and India.....even though the UK will still try to do so, and pointlessly, and at great risk to the culture of the UK.

Nobody, so far, has a solution for this, since there is no solution.

India's recent "Detect, Delete and Deport" campaign in West Bengal has sparked severe diplomatic tensions and border standoffs over undocumented migration."

And, it is NOT ONLY INDIA that does not want them, and with good reason.

7 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

Sea Seeopage Salination will affect large areas of land that is being used for culltivation (in Bangladesh).

The food stress in Bangladesh is well known.

Then, on top of this, many areas in India will become too hot for outdoor work.

We know that this is inevitable.

India, India proper, has been paying attention to the problem of how to stop migration from Bangladesh into India proper.

NOBODY wants the guys from Bangladesh fleeing into surrounding areas.

And, the UK cannot accept all migrants from Africa and India.....even though the UK will still try to do so, and pointlessly, and at great risk to the culture of the UK.

Nobody, so far, has a solution for this, since there is no solution.

India's recent "Detect, Delete and Deport" campaign in West Bengal has sparked severe diplomatic tensions and border standoffs over undocumented migration."

And, it is NOT ONLY INDIA that does not want them, and with good reason.

I get the urge to expand on this: India also has coastal regions. This year, some regions hitting 50° celsius. (Basically to hot to work/live). Where would the 1.4 billion Indians go?

There are not enough rubber boats to bring them accross the channel to England. ☹️

  • Author
8 hours ago, Alpha84 said:

No, but every time you whack up a new topic it is depressing. I’m still trying to reconcile your previous topic, where you went on a full blown racist tangent about Indian people and then proceeded to apply those views to a man who isn’t even ethnically Indian. And when you were caught out on it, you weren’t even man enough to walk it back or acknowledge your rather obvious mistake.

That was quite revealing. Not just the racism itself, but the complete refusal to take responsibility for what you had actually written. You managed to be spectacularly wrong and then somehow decided that doubling down on the same insensitive viewpoint was the appropriate response.

That showed us all we need to know.

I am not being racist here:

Even the Bangladeshi Government does not want Bangladeshi people returning and invading its own country.

If the Bangladeshis don'w want Bangladeshis, and probably for many good valid reasons, then you cannot call me racists just for agreeing with them....

Can you?

That is correct.

Once they leave Bangladesh, enmasse, then nobody wants them back, which would just worsen the situation at home.

How can you blame them?

So, if there is really no other solution, then:

The best and only alternative left is for North and South India to launch nuclear attacks on each other.

This will reduce, immediately, the population stress which exists now.

OBVIOUSLY, this will mean that the rest of the world will endure NUCLEAR WINTER, to some degree, and for several years, and with much starvation....yet.....

It will be worth this sacrifice, since....

The alternative seems to be even much worse.

I am not racist as you claim.

I am only being pragmatic, and I am not the one who caused this problem, in the first place.

The problem was caused by the well-known population S Curve..

Also, no real attempt was made by the Indian government to promote education and freedom for women, 90 years ago, and access to birth control, and the empowerment to use it.

So, please do not blame me.

5 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

I am not being racist here:

Even the Bangladeshi Government does not want Bangladeshi people returning and invading its own country.

If the Bangladeshis don'w want Bangladeshis, and probably for many good valid reasons, then you cannot call me racists just for agreeing with them....

Can you?

That is correct.

Once they leave Bangladesh, enmasse, then nobody wants them back, which would just worsen the situation at home.

How can you blame them?

So, if there is really no other solution, then:

The best and only alternative left is for North and South India to launch nuclear attacks on each other.

This will reduce, immediately, the population stress which exists now.

OBVIOUSLY, this will mean that the rest of the world will endure NUCLEAR WINTER, to some degree, and for several years, and with much starvation....yet.....

It will be worth this sacrifice, since....

The alternative seems to be even much worse.

I am not racist as you claim.

I am only being pragmatic, and I am not the one who caused this problem, in the first place.

The problem was caused by the well-known population S Curve..

Also, no real attempt was made by the Indian government to promote education and freedom for women, 90 years ago, and access to birth control, and the empowerment to use it.

So, please do not blame me.

It's not only Bangladesh that doesn't want their citizens back. In Europe, some refugees do not qualify for any sort of residency. So, repatriation applies. Problem: A large number of countries will not take back their own citizens once they made it to Europe. Clearly: Getting rid of "surplus people" in their country.

  • Author
1 minute ago, swissie said:

It's not only Bangladesh that doesn't want their citizens back. In Europe, some refugees do not qualify for any sort of residency. So, repatriation applies. Problem: A large number of countries will not take back their own citizens once they made it to Europe. Clearly: Getting rid of "surplus people" in their country.

This is why I support Elon Musk.

His solution is to send the surplus people to Mars.

This is the only way, since home countries do not want them, and adamantly refuse to admit them when asked to do so.

This is happening in Bangladesh now.

The gov refuses to admit their own people back into their country.

This says a lot. And so, how can foreign countries be criticized in light of what we see by the actions of the Bangladeshi government.

9 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

This is why I support Elon Musk.

His solution is to send the surplus people to Mars.

This is the only way, since home countries do not want them, and adamantly refuse to admit them when asked to do so.

This is happening in Bangladesh now.

The gov refuses to admit their own people back into their country.

This says a lot. And so, how can foreign countries be criticized in light of what we see by the actions of the Bangladeshi government.

You seem to have good connections to Elon. Tell him that he must be quick about it. He would have to transport at least 1 billion people to Mars within the next 20 years. Have YOU and ELON ever studied the "live conditions" on Mars ? (Physics) ?

PURE HELL ! Most Bangladeshis (and everybody of sound mind) would refuse to go there because the worst hellhole on earth would be better than living on Mars.

  • Author
1 hour ago, swissie said:

You seem to have good connections to Elon. Tell him that he must be quick about it. He would have to transport at least 1 billion people to Mars within the next 20 years. Have YOU and ELON ever studied the "live conditions" on Mars ? (Physics) ?

PURE HELL ! Most Bangladeshis (and everybody of sound mind) would refuse to go there because the worst hellhole on earth would be better than living on Mars.

Bangladesh will soon be pure hell, if it is not already.

Mars might be an improvement if robots begin working on the problem.

Or, we can use robots to try to correct the damage done by overpopulation in Bangladesh, which woudl be the best solution.

However, there are the impacts of Global Warming ahead, and for those in that part of the world, it may be too late already.

There is a new report/analysis recently published on Hansen's site, titled Super-Duper El Nino, which explores the impact of Global Warming, with the present El Nino superimposed upon it.

The Hansen article at his site on Columbia University website: https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2026/The.Bigger.Problem.2026.08.21.pdf

I worry that most here on TV might not have the knowledge to read such an article.

Still, they should try, or do their best to understand it, and the implications of what Hansen is documenting.

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We know that Global Warming has a negative impact on economic activity, and economic growth.

Is it possible that Global Warming will destabilze parts of society, leading to another Great Depression?

Who knows the probability, but are we not going in the wrong direction, as fast as we can?

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