With 2020 race all but halted over coronavirus, Biden quietly widens lead over Trump - Reuters/Ipsos poll

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With 2020 race all but halted over coronavirus, Biden quietly widens lead over Trump - Reuters/Ipsos poll

By Chris Kahn

 

FILE PHOTO: Democratic U.S. presidential candidate and former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden addresses the Trump administration's response to the COVID-19 outbreak, caused by the novel coronavirus, during a campaign event in Sumter, South Carolina, U.S., February 28, 2020. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz

 

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden has quietly expanded his lead over President Donald Trump among registered voters, even as the rapidly spreading coronavirus has all but sidelined the former vice president's campaign, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.

 

The poll conducted on Monday and Tuesday of more than 1,100 American adults found that 46% of registered voters said they would support Biden if he were running against Trump in the Nov. 3 election, while 40% said they would vote for Trump.

 

That advantage of 6 percentage points was up from a 1-point lead for Biden recorded in a similar poll that ran from March 6 to 9.

 

The result suggested that Biden had not been hurt politically from his lack of visibility while the Republican president is at the center of a government response to a pandemic that has infected more than 184,000 people in the United States and killed more than 3,700 people.

 

Biden, who does not currently hold office, has been struggling to stay in the public eye as the coronavirus forced millions of Americans inside their homes. While Trump has held daily televised briefings about the virus, Biden has had to shut down fundraisers and other campaign events, and election officials in many states have postponed their nominating contests.

 

Still, the poll found that the number of people who approve of Trump in general, and also those who like the way he has handled the U.S. coronavirus response, had changed very little over the past few weeks. About 44% said they approved of Trump's overall performance and 48% said they liked the way he had responded to the coronavirus outbreak.

 

That compared with a 70% approval rating among respondents for their state governors' handling of the pandemic.

 

Trump initially underplayed the severity of the coronavirus,

 

sparred with governors over their requests for medical supplies and floated the idea of reopening the economy against the advice of public health officials. But he shifted course to back extending the shutdown measures to slow the spread of the virus.

 

The poll showed that the coronavirus had rattled the entire country, with 89% saying they were "very" or "somewhat" concerned by the respiratory disease.

 

Twenty-six percent of adults in the United States said they had lost their jobs or been furloughed as stores closed and employers were forced to cut back on staffing because of guidance from health officials for people to stay at home. That was up 3 percentage points from a similar poll that ran last week.

 

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,114 adults and had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 3 percentage points.

 

(Reporting by Chris Kahn; Editing by Soyoung Kim and Peter Cooney)

 

-- © Copyright Reuters 2020-04-01

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[ThailandRyan]

Of course the poll was more than likely done in a democratic stronghold, and you can see that 40% of democrats would be voting for Trump....these poll's are just like TAT and their numbers.....I am in no way a Trump Supporter or a Biden Hater.  All politicians are miscreants who abuse the system for personal gain......."I am not a Crook", so said a famous President who actually did resign when impeached.....

[Nyezhov]

Sort of hoists Trump haters on their own petard..look, Biden is winning! Oh that poll that shows Trumps approval rating is a lie.

 

If you have watched Bidens recent interviews on TV, you have seen a man that is rapidly mentally declining.

 

And then we get to...why hasnt he resigned yet? He is being accused of sexual misconduct. And by the standards of his party, his accuser is entitled to belief. 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/28/joe-biden-sexual-assault-allegations-why-has-media-ignored-claims

 

Oh and personally I dont think he should resign. My position on claims like this is "prove it". But thats not Bidens position. Preumption of beleif.

 

If Biden apologizes to Justice Kavanaugh, I would consider voting for him.

[stevenl]

19 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Of course the poll was more than likely done in a democratic stronghold, and you can see that 40% of democrats would be voting for Trump....these poll's are just like TAT and their numbers.....I am in no way a Trump Supporter or a Biden Hater.  All politicians are miscreants who abuse the system for personal gain......."I am not a Crook", so said a famous President who actually did resign when impeached.....

Maybe time to read up on polling before commenting.

[Thailand]

Rapid mental decline seems to be a requirement for high office in the US.

[tonray]

6 minutes ago, Thailand said:

Rapid mental decline seems to be a requirement for high office in the US.

Well at least second to lack of morals and sleaziness

[Nyezhov]

4 minutes ago, Thailand said:

Rapid mental decline seems to be a requirement for high office in the US.

Not as bad as his dude. its scary. 

 

These are the two I am talking about.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/03/24/biden_fumbles_interview_why_doesnt_trump_act_like_a_president_thats_a_stupid_way_to_say_it_sorry.html

[Nyezhov]

Just now, tonray said:

Well at least second to lack of morals and sleaziness

Other than Jimmy Carter, no one can be a President if they have morals and are upstanding. 

[gargamon]

34 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

and you can see that 40% of democrats would be voting for Trump..

Really? Where do you get this nonsense from?

[ThailandRyan]

24 minutes ago, stevenl said:

Maybe time to read up on polling before commenting.

Polls are like statistics, they are used for whatever sundry reason one wants them to be.  You could have gone to 700 different locations within a region that was either primarily democratic or primarily republican and gotten different poll numbers for whatever you were polling for.  I know this as I ran several polling places during an election year in California which was primarily democratic yet I found a strong hold of where republicans were polled more than the democrats, and we achieved the numbers we wanted to post.  Lies are Lies, and so are statistics, so take it for what its worth. However, The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,114 adults and had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 3 percentage points.  So where was this poll primarily sent out to, which periodical could the poll have been attached to as a poll.  Begs to be believed, of course Hilary won the election didn't she, polls showed she would and did...

 

Edited April 1, 2020 by ThailandRyan

[PatOngo]

Nixon, Reagan (Nancy), Bush, Trump!...…….Yeah, right!

[stevenl]

9 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Polls are like statistics, they are used for whatever sundry reason one wants them to be.  You could have gone to 700 different locations within a region that was either primarily democratic or primarily republican and gotten different poll numbers for whatever you were polling for.  I know this as I ran several polling places during an election year in California which was primarily democratic yet I found a strong hold of where republicans were polled more than the democrats, and we achieved the numbers we wanted to post.  Lies are Lies, and so are statistics, so take it for what its worth. However, The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,114 adults and had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 3 percentage points.  So where was this poll primarily sent out to, which periodical could the poll have been attached to as a poll.  Begs to be believed, of course Hilary won the election didn't she, polls showed she would and did...

 

Please read the OP and read up on polling.

[ThailandRyan]

5 minutes ago, stevenl said:

Flaming, where?

 

However, looking at your inaccurate comments about this poll flaming would be deserved.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,114 adults and had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 3 percentage points.

 

Where is my inaccuracy with the above, how can an on-line poll be done effectively and who was the on-line poll targeted at and where could it be found, in which on-line publications, periodicals such as newspapers, so tell me how you believe the Poll was conducted as you seem to know all.

[bristolboy]

12 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,114 adults and had a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about 3 percentage points.

 

Where is my inaccuracy with the above, how can an on-line poll be done effectively and who was the on-line poll targeted at and where could it be found, in which on-line publications, periodicals such as newspapers, so tell me how you believe the Poll was conducted as you seem to know all.

Fivethirtyeight.com is the best poll aggregator out there. In 2016 Clinton supporters were not happy when they gave Trump a 28% chance of winning. They have a page where they rate pollsters. Here is the link: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/  Look up Ipsos since it's the actual pollster. 

[ThailandRyan]

13 minutes ago, bristolboy said:

Fivethirtyeight.com is the best poll aggregator out there. In 2016 Clinton supporters were not happy when they gave Trump a 28% chance of winning. They have a page where they rate pollsters. Here is the link: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/  Look up Ipsos since it's the actual pollster. 

Yes a B- polling grade for them, so I guess my statements are totally inaccurate, the poll was just done absolutely positively and without fail a totally perfect poll, based upon lpsos's awesome overall rating and accuracy of 71% in races they called, but then I do not know what I am talking about according to another poster here.....

Edited April 1, 2020 by ThailandRyan

[bristolboy]

Just now, ThailandRyan said:

Yes a B- polling grade for them, so I guess my statements are totally inaccurate, the poll was just done absolutely positively and without fail a totally perfect poll, based upon lpsos's awesome overall rating and accuracy of 715 in races they called, but then I do not know what I am talking about according to another poster here.....

Can you please cite a poll that was "done absolutely positively and without fail" a totally perfect poll. Polls can't be totally perfect. If they were, there wouldn't be such a thing as a margin of error. As for predictions of outcomes: Five thirty eight gives the Fox News/Beacon Research poll an A-. Fox gave Biden a 9 point lead.  It has a successful election prediction rate of 72%. Ipsos has a rate of 71%. 

[ThailandRyan]

6 minutes ago, bristolboy said:

Can you please cite a poll that was "done absolutely positively and without fail" a totally perfect poll. Polls can't be totally perfect. If they were, there wouldn't be such a thing as a margin of error. As for predictions of outcomes: Five thirty eight gives the Fox News/Beacon Research poll an A-. Fox gave Biden a 9 point lead.  It has a successful election prediction rate of 72%. Ipsos has a rate of 71%. 

Tell that to stevenl, I was merely pointing out how polls are not done as he believes they are and that the numbers are never right, that was my point.

[bristolboy]

Just now, ThailandRyan said:

Tell that to stevenl, I was merely pointing out how polls are not done as he believes they are and that the numbers are never right, that was my point.

 It's ridiculous to claim that polls are never right.  Not that it's a significant point. And your claim that for some reason or other Ipsos would be geographically skewing it's results is irrelevant. If you really had a deep knowledge of polling you would know that there are statistical methods for adjusting for this kind of skew. If you are suggesting that Ipsos skewed on purpose, that's not even worth a comment. And I saw nothing in Stevenl's comments that suggested he doesn't know how they are conducted. But your comments about your alleged history with pollsters do.

[Cryingdick]

It's pretty obvious watching Cuomo speak that any democrat must realize they should have picked somebody who can speak like him. Biden is pretty much finished. There are polls on either side. 

 

But yeah Cuomo is smooth and Joe wants to get down and do push ups and 'rassle. This whole thing highlights just how unelectable Joe is.

Edited April 1, 2020 by Cryingdick

[utalkin2me]

If Biden wins it will be an absolute miracle. A miracle is exactly what is happening for him now though, so it should be a close race. 

 

I can't tell you how many people I know who will not be voting for Biden. They wont be voting for Trump either, but they sure as hell wont be voting for Biden. There is a huge block of, probably much needed, blue voters that he simply will not be getting. Who's fault is that? It is the people who put a mentally declining, out of touch, "electable" candidate where he is. 

[samran]

2 hours ago, Thailand said:

Rapid mental decline seems to be a requirement for high office in the US.

We’ve got a prime specimen sitting in the oval right now...

[Cryingdick]

1 minute ago, samran said:

We’ve got a prime specimen sitting in the oval right now...

For another 4 years...

[bristolboy]

3 minutes ago, utalkin2me said:

If Biden wins it will be an absolute miracle. A miracle is exactly what is happening for him now though, so it should be a close race. 

 

I can't tell you how many people I know who will not be voting for Biden. They wont be voting for Trump either, but they sure as hell wont be voting for Biden. There is a huge block of, probably much needed, blue voters that he simply will not be getting. Who's fault is that? It is the people who put a mentally declining, out of touch, "electable" candidate where he is. 

Polling by personal acquaintance...from a Trump supporter. Convincing!!!

[bristolboy]

2 minutes ago, Cryingdick said:

For another 4 years...

Another visitor from the future.

[utalkin2me]

36 minutes ago, bristolboy said:

Polling by personal acquaintance...from a Trump supporter. Convincing!!!

It actually is convincing when you know a huge portion of always vote blue voters are not going to vote blue.

 

Not to mention there is an actual stat saying 15% of Sanders supporters will vote Trump. 

 

But yeah, nothing doing here. 

 

Edited April 1, 2020 by utalkin2me

[bristolboy]

3 minutes ago, utalkin2me said:

It actually is convincing when you know a huge portion of always vote blue voters are not going to vote blue.

Maybe you should look up the difference between "know" and "believe".

[utalkin2me]

6 minutes ago, bristolboy said:

Maybe you should look up the difference between "know" and "believe".

Maybe you should look up how to id a "Trump supporter". 

 

Did you know or believe I was a "Trump supporter"? 

Edited April 1, 2020 by utalkin2me

[izod10]

2 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

It's pretty obvious watching Cuomo speak that any democrat must realize they should have picked somebody who can speak like him. Biden is pretty much finished. There are polls on either side. 

 

But yeah Cuomo is smooth and Joe wants to get down and do push ups and 'rassle. This whole thing highlights just how unelectable Joe is.

Biden was finished years ago. Neil Kinnock ,English politician, delivered a speech years ago.  Biden copied it word for word months later. Really one gormless idiot

[evadgib]

52 minutes ago, izod10 said:

Biden was finished years ago. Neil Kinnock ,English politician, delivered a speech years ago.  Biden copied it word for word months later. Really one gormless idiot

English? ????

Edited April 1, 2020 by evadgib

[samran]

3 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

For another 4 years...

Sadly, there is more than an even chance of that happening.