Uncertainty on 2nd COVID Wave

[snoop1130]

Uncertainty on 2nd COVID Wave

 

 

NONTHABURI, Oct 1 (TNA) – It is difficult to predict if Thailand will suffer its second wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 but if it happens, the number of patients can be limited, according to the Department of Disease Control.

 

Dr Tanarak Plipat, deputy director-general of the department, said people should not be concerned about the question as to if and when Thailand would face the second wave of the disease.

 

Some countries faced the second wave but effectively and quickly controlled the disease, he said, citing New Zealand and Vietnam.

 

Full Story: https://tna.mcot.net/english-news-551343

 

-- © Copyright TNA 2020-10-01

 

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[ourmanflint]

As far as anyone can tell, Thailand has not had a first wave. Thailand has not experienced any substantial coronavirus epidemic whatsoever 

[johng]

They may have had a few thousand "viral pneumonia"  cases.

[tomazbodner]

27 minutes ago, ourmanflint said:

As far as anyone can tell, Thailand has not had a first wave. Thailand has not experienced any substantial coronavirus epidemic whatsoever 

Thailand likely had it before anyone started talking about it... millions of Chinese coughing and spitting around second half of 2019...

[ThailandRyan]

If it is not reported or allowed to be reported, How could they have even had any wave of Covid cases in Thailand at all.  To believe this Government and the reports, and then to accept them as true, Covid has never really been found here after the initial several Thousand cases were detected, and the initial deaths.  Other than the recent 2 random cases which they have no tracking information on, all of the cases Thailand has had, according to the way they report it, have been from the Thai returnees and those foreigners in quarantine.  Not sure what the reason for the OP and news piece is for, except to maybe pat themselves on the back and ready the country to be opened for travelers wearing GPS trackers. 

[Flying Saucage]

Thailand will not have a second wave. Very clear for me.

 

Some countries on the Northern hemisphere will have some second wave, but mainly regarding the number of infections rather than the serious cases. Yes, the deaths of old and vulnerable will go up a little in the North. But this has to do with the climate and the way the houses are equipped there. Cold weather will make the people keep the windows closed, increasing the load of exhaled aerosoles. Most buildings don't have air cleaning or air exchanging systems with suitable filters. And of course on the Northern hemisphere nobody will switch-on an air condition in winter, which dries the air and reduces the load of contaminated aerosoles in the air.

 

This is completely different in Thailand. And also the population in Thailand does not live as dense as in India or in places like the slums of Jakarta or Manila. Addionally there might be this interesting genetic effect which was reported in Nature today.

 

So, there is no second wave coming in Thailand. I am very confident about that.

 

However, the virus is in Thailand, and the published official numbers are a joke and politically motivated. The real numbers are higher, but way less than challanging the heath system and even low enough to keep them hidden. Luckily Thailand is in better situation than other countries, due to the reasons above.

 

Besides of this, this so called second wave in the Northern hemisphere will be far less serious than it was in March and April. Now the people there are much more careful, now the governments there stay alerted, and now the medics there know much better how to treat serious cases than they knew six months ago. All what has to be done is to keep the reproduction factor R close to 1, by social distancing and wearing a mask where it makes sense.

 

Everybody now can stay relaxed. And the Thai people should stop to believe the scaremongering of their biased government.

 

 

Edited October 1, 2020 by Flying Saucage

[micmichd]

11 hours ago, Flying Saucage said:

Thailand will not have a second wave. Very clear for me.

 

Some countries on the Northern hemisphere will have some second wave, but mainly regarding the number of infections rather than the serious cases. Yes, the deaths of old and vulnerable will go up a little in the North. But this has to do with the climate and the way the houses are equipped there. Cold weather will make the people keep the windows closed, increasing the load of exhaled aerosoles. Most buildings don't have air cleaning or air exchanging systems with suitable filters. And of course on the Northern hemisphere nobody will switch-on an air condition in winter, which dries the air and reduces the load of contaminated aerosoles in the air.

 

This is completely different in Thailand. And also the population in Thailand does not live as dense as in India or in places like the slums of Jakarta or Manila. Addionally there might be this interesting genetic effect which was reported in Nature today.

 

So, there is no second wave coming in Thailand. I am very confident about that.

 

However, the virus is in Thailand, and the published official numbers are a joke and politically motivated. The real numbers are higher, but way less than challanging the heath system and even low enough to keep them hidden. Luckily Thailand is in better situation than other countries, due to the reasons above.

 

Besides of this, this so called second wave in the Northern hemisphere will be far less serious than it was in March and April. Now the people there are much more careful, now the governments there stay alerted, and now the medics there know much better how to treat serious cases than they knew six months ago. All what has to be done is to keep the reproduction factor R close to 1, by social distancing and wearing a mask where it makes sense.

 

Everybody now can stay relaxed. And the Thai people should stop to believe the scaremongering of their biased government.

 

 

Thai people are just careful. They know quite well from which countries the Farangs come that import contagious diseases every winter. 

[Bender Rodriguez]

19 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

the number of patients can be limited

what is the magic thai tool to limited patients ?

 

mhhh:  don't test for it, pretend it is something else...

 

that will work for sure

[connda]

It will hit like a Phuket Tsunami and everyone will die...except for the ones who don't....which is pretty much everyone.  But - don't tell.  "Shhh"

[TheFreqFlyer]

Unless they want to go for a -20-25% GDP contraction this year, there can't be a second wave. Thailand has already suffered enough and despite it's relatively good recovery continues to be near the bottom of ASEAN economies this year in terms of GDP growth. The ASEAN countries undergoing second waves were the ones that didn't suffer substantially during the first one. Vietnam and now Myanmar are good examples. Both countries, and especially Myanmar, will see their GDP growth targets reduced, with Myanmar substantially so. 

[ThailandRyan]

Second wave just rolled into the White House.....ouch