anchadian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 https://www.nationthailand.com/international/40000821 The number of Covid-19 cases crossed 3.61 million across Southeast Asia, with 16,861 new cases reported on Thursday, slightly higher than Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clivebaxter Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 Two people reported to have died in our village from covid in the past few days, and yesterday had mass testing, so starting to think this regular 2k cases a day might not be the whole picture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, clivebaxter said: Two people reported to have died in our village from covid in the past few days, and yesterday had mass testing, so starting to think this regular 2k cases a day might not be the whole picture. What province are you in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 48 minutes ago, anchadian said: https://twitter.com/The_PattayaNews/status/1392628230306238465 Chonburi Public Health Office has just just announced that they have 56 new cases today and one more death. The total so far is now 3,547. Most new cases are in Bang Lamung/Pattaya (30), Chonburi City (6), and Sriracha (5) #COVID19 #โควิด19 #Thailand Per the Pattaya News: “In the last day, a total of 146 close contacts were tested from contact tracing, and 1,113 people were tested in proactive testing when medical staff goes out into the community.” the problem is they don’t say if the 56 new cases came from contact tracing, proactive testing, or were hospital walk-ins. All we have is a very rough estimate of a positivity rate a little under 5%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 19 minutes ago, clivebaxter said: Two people reported to have died in our village from covid in the past few days, and yesterday had mass testing, so starting to think this regular 2k cases a day might not be the whole picture. Given that hospital ICU units are fast approaching full capacity, I'm afraid the trend of your thoughts is an accurate one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anchadian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1392652456333484033 BREAKING: Thai health ministry reporting 32 deaths and 4,887 cases (*) on Thursday. Full update at 12:30pm. 11 May: 1,919 - 31 dead 12 May: 1,983 - 34 dead 13 May: 4,887 - 32 dead <— TODAY 2,835 cases from people in prison #COVID19 #โควิด19 #โควิดวันนี้ #Thailand Edited May 13, 2021 by anchadian 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 Just now, placeholder said: Given that hospital ICU units are fast approaching full capacity, I'm afraid the trend of your thoughts is an accurate one. Big difference between ICU occupancy in Bangkok, and a provincial ICU. Misinformation during an epidemic is a bad thing. If you have data concerning provincial hospital occupancy, please share. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 Are they going to put infected prisoners in isolation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 minute ago, anchadian said: https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1392652456333484033 BREAKING: Thai health ministry reporting 32 deaths and 4,887 cases (*) on Thursday. Full update at 12:30pm. 11 May: 1,919 - 31 dead 12 May: 1,983 - 34 dead 13 May: 4,887 - 32 dead <— TODAY * 2,835 cases from people in prison #COVID19 #โควิด19 #โควิดวันนี้ #Thailand Come in Spotter! Well now that's certainly an exponential increase over the last 2 days!What do you say Spotter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Danderman123 said: Big difference between ICU occupancy in Bangkok, and a provincial ICU. Misinformation during an epidemic is a bad thing. If you have data concerning provincial hospital occupancy, please share. [Update-1] Country running out of hospital beds as Covid rates hit new high Thailand found 2,070 new coronavirus cases in the past 24 hours, a new single-day record and the first time that the daily number of cases surpassed 2,000 since the pandemic began. Concern is growing over hospital beds, with only 1,000 currently available across the country. At the current infection rates, medical facilities in the capital are set to be fully occupied within the next six to eight days, and country-wide within 19 days, an official said. https://www.thaienquirer.com/26684/more-than-2000-new-covid-cases-in-record-daily-high/ 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) 7 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said: Come in Spotter! Well now that's certainly an exponential increase over the last 2 days!What do you say Spotter? Well, about half that number comes from the inclusion of the belated tally of prisoners. Edited May 13, 2021 by placeholder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, anchadian said: https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1392652456333484033 BREAKING: Thai health ministry reporting 32 deaths and 4,887 cases (*) on Thursday. Full update at 12:30pm. 11 May: 1,919 - 31 dead 12 May: 1,983 - 34 dead 13 May: 4,887 - 32 dead <— TODAY 2,835 cases from people in prison #COVID19 #โควิด19 #โควิดวันนี้ #Thailand Oops. Those prison cases have created a new peak. Flatlining no more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, placeholder said: Well, about half that number comes from the inclusion of the belated tally prisoners. Just gotta go with the numbers given and with this auspicious daily increase Thailands has overtaken China and I estimate them to now be in 94th on the worldometer list 3 places above them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThailandRyan Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 23 minutes ago, clivebaxter said: Two people reported to have died in our village from covid in the past few days, and yesterday had mass testing, so starting to think this regular 2k cases a day might not be the whole picture. Sorry to hear that, and I would agree with you that the whole picture is not being displayed through a transparent process. However, this has been going on since day 1 by this government. Of course that is my opinion and not of a few others who believe they are being completely transparent. A lack of widespread testing would allow cases to go undetected and when they die at home it is put down to underlying causes. Unless the body was taken and an autopsy performed it is hard to say it was covid, even though we know there is a good possibility. Again my opinion. Stay safe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said: Oops. Those prison cases have created a new peak. Flatlining no more I'm sure it's all just a misunderstanding of some sort.Back to the usual 2000 tomorrow I suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThailandRyan Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) 18 minutes ago, anchadian said: 32 deaths and 4,887 cases Holy cow that is a tremendous jump in cases. That is because of the prison cases being added. Will be nice to see the actual breakdown when it appears. Stay safe folks. Edited May 13, 2021 by ThailandRyan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) 3 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said: Just gotta go with the numbers given and with this auspicious daily increase Thailands has overtaken China and I estimate them to now be in 94th on the worldometer list 3 places above them. But it's a spike,not a trend. Which is why 7 day rolling averages are commonly used. It's what statisticians call a statistical artefact. Something that doesn't accurately track with reality. Edited May 13, 2021 by placeholder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anchadian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said: Oops. Those prison cases have created a new peak. Flatlining no more The questions still remains as to why prison infections were not reported in the daily updates. We need a daily breakdown of infections together with over what period of time. I doubt if the authorities have those records and even it they do, the breakdown wont be forthcoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipButty Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) 3 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said: Holy cow that is a tremendous jump in cases. Is that because of the prison cases being added or because of the additional outreach testing being done in Random areas or are they newly found clusters just now being found.. Will be nice to see the actual breakdown when it appears. Stay safe folks. What prison cases is that? it's ok I got it Edited May 13, 2021 by ChipButty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 Just now, anchadian said: The questions still remains as to why prison infections were not reported in the daily updates. We need a daily breakdown of infections together with over what period of time. I doubt if the authorities have those records and even it they do, the breakdown wont be forthcoming. That is a fair question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThailandRyan Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, anchadian said: The questions still remains as to why prison infections were not reported in the daily updates. We need a daily breakdown of infections together with over what period of time. I doubt if the authorities have those records and even it they do, the breakdown wont be forthcoming. I would have to agree with you. Were the prison numbers withheld, and are they an accumulation, or is it just one days testing brought to light because of the newly released protestors being found positive with covid and it could not be hidden anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 12 minutes ago, placeholder said: [Update-1] Country running out of hospital beds as Covid rates hit new high Thailand found 2,070 new coronavirus cases in the past 24 hours, a new single-day record and the first time that the daily number of cases surpassed 2,000 since the pandemic began. Concern is growing over hospital beds, with only 1,000 currently available across the country. At the current infection rates, medical facilities in the capital are set to be fully occupied within the next six to eight days, and country-wide within 19 days, an official said. https://www.thaienquirer.com/26684/more-than-2000-new-covid-cases-in-record-daily-high/ So if the dates predicted for running out of beds turned out to be correct then Thailand is now in "overwhelmed" territory? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denim Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 Well, we can all breath a sigh of relief. This government has finally taken the serious necessary action to conclusively bring this 3rd wave to a rapid conclusion. Three cheers for the government . https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/2021/05/11/govt-asks-temples-to-chant-daily-prayers-to-ward-off-covid-19/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clivebaxter Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 31 minutes ago, Danderman123 said: What province are you in? Bordering Bangkok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 (edited) 12 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said: Holy cow that is a tremendous jump in cases. That is because of the prison cases being added. Will be nice to see the actual breakdown when it appears. Stay safe folks. Do you mean you can't wait to see how they spin this one?They can't really say they are old cases because that might give the impression they've been hiding the infections.Diddling the digits so to speak.Now I know what that sweeping noise I was hearing is. Edited May 13, 2021 by FarFlungFalang 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Denim said: Well, we can all breath a sigh of relief. This government has finally taken the serious necessary action to conclusively bring this 3rd wave to a rapid conclusion. Three cheers for the government . https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/2021/05/11/govt-asks-temples-to-chant-daily-prayers-to-ward-off-covid-19/ Such silliness is hardly unique to Thailand. Is this any different from Western politicians calling for prayers? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Denim said: Three cheers for the government . Shouldn't that be "three chants for the government"? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, anchadian said: The questions still remains as to why prison infections were not reported in the daily updates. We need a daily breakdown of infections together with over what period of time. I doubt if the authorities have those records and even it they do, the breakdown wont be forthcoming. Absolutely correct. In addition if we are going to have the full figures from today onwards on this then the numbers from those prisons will not just disappear after one day they should reflect a daily pattern as they test new inmates regularly. Its going to be highly suspicious if tomorrow there just happens to be none again. This was also less than a handfull of prisons, what about all the others around the country? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 23 minutes ago, placeholder said: Well, about half that number comes from the inclusion of the belated tally of prisoners. And what does that tell you?That they haven't been forthright with the numbers? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted May 13, 2021 Share Posted May 13, 2021 14 minutes ago, placeholder said: But it's a spike,not a trend. Which is why 7 day rolling averages are commonly used. It's what statisticians call a statistical artefact. Something that doesn't accurately track with reality. Its a national statistic, a very poor one and has lead to another peak in cases. How many more peaks will there be if they test all the other prisons throughout Thailand and are actually transparent with the numbers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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