COVID-19: Thailand reports 8,165 new coronavirus cases, 55 deaths

[webfact]

File photo: REUTERS

 

Thailand on Monday (November 1) reported 8,165 new COVID-19 cases, 9,574 recoveries and 55 additional deaths over the past 24 hours. 

 

▶︎ Total infections since April 1: 1,891,326

▶︎ Total recoveries since since April 1: 1,774,276

 

Monday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 1,920,189 with 19,260 deaths.

 

The news comes as the Bangkok Communicable Disease Committee has resolved to lift the ban on alcoholic beverage consumption in restaurants that have been certified with the SHA+ Standards; entertainment venues, pubs, bars, karaoke, and massage parlors excluded.

 

On October 30, 2021, the Bangkok Communicable Disease Committee made known its resolution to amend orders placed in Bangkok earlier, which bans the consumption of alcoholic beverages, to comply with the Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA)’s recent orders to proceed with the reopening the country.

 

According to the announcement, starting November 1, 2021, measures in Bangkok will be further relaxed to allow more venues to resume their business operations, with service hours extended to 9 p.m. 

 

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[anchadian]

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1454972565370417154

 

[anchadian]

Phuket are reporting 62 new cases, 2 Sandbox and 1 fatality:

https://www.facebook.com/phuketinfocenter/posts/417281659927016

[Bkk Brian]

PCR test positive cases, total of 8,165 official new infections. 55 official covid deaths recorded. 

 

Rapid tests positive cases, 2,450 bringing the total of PCR and ATK results to 10,615

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

 

Rolling 7 day average chart (up to 30 Oct) and bar chart of both PCR and ATK totals

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

[anchadian]

UPDATE: 8,165 confirmed cases, 2,450 probable cases (ATK), and 55 deaths (1.00%). Out of 99,227 patients , 43,605 are in hospital, 46,996 in hospitel and 6,103 in home/community isolation. There are 2,221 in a serious condition (-4) with 494 on ventilators (-6) #Thailand

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1454978090958999553

[anchadian]

The number of Covid-19 cases crossed 13.2 million across Southeast Asia, with 28,050 new cases reported on Sunday. #COVID19 #Asean #TheNationThailand

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/international/40008229

[anchadian]

54 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Phuket are reporting 62 new cases, 2 Sandbox and 1 fatality:

https://www.facebook.com/phuketinfocenter/posts/417281659927016

https://www.thephuketnews.com/phuket-markes-62-new-covid-cases-one-new-death-81885.php

[worrab]

Dropped back down today from 281 cases thank goodness.

 

Health officials on Sunday (Oct 31) reported 150 new COVID-19 cases, 42 were found in Hua Hin.

Elsewhere in the province, 76 cases were found in Pranburi, 5 cases in Sam Roi Yot, 8 cases in Kuiburi, No- case found in Thap Sakae, 10 cases in Bang Saphan, No- case in Bang Saphan Noi, and 9 cases in Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan.

Two more deaths were reported today – One Thai man, age 77, who had a congenital disease and died despite receiving two doses of the Sinovac vaccine. The fatality was a Thai woman age 68 who had not been vaccinated.

 

Oct 31: Prachuap reports 150 new COVID-19 cases, 42 cases in Hua Hin - Hua Hin Today English Newspaper Info, Reports, Events and News Social Life

[Bkk Brian]

Be careful, warns top health official as Thailand reopens to tourists

 

Thais should be careful and strictly observe every measure to contain the spread of Covid-19, especially now that the country has reopened, Public Health permanent secretary Dr Kiattiphum Wongrajit said on Sunday.

 

Hence, he said, people should avoid drinking alcohol in public places as they can become careless.

 

“Citizens should strictly observe measures to prevent infections, such as maintaining distance, washing hands regularly and wearing a facemask, even though most people have been fully vaccinated,” he said.

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40008250

 

[Kadilo]

 

Latest official data from the worldometer ranking table for deaths/million of population over the past 7 days, including yesterday’s numbers, shows Thailand down one place at 70th in the world, 25 places below the UK.

 

Same table shows Thailand remain at 14th in Asia, 5 places below the Philippines and 6 places above Vietnam. 
 

The trend in the number of deaths over the past week has fallen to its lowest number seen for some time and stands at 6 deaths/million of population, down 7% over the 7 day period, with the number of official infections also falling 8%.  
 

 

70

Thailand

61,542

66,781

-8%

879

450

482

-7%

6

70,033,112

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table

[mtraveler]

15 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

 

 

Latest official data from the worldometer ranking table for deaths/million of population over the past 7 days, including yesterday’s numbers, shows Thailand down one place at 70th in the world, 25 places below the UK.

 

Same table shows Thailand remain at 14th in Asia, 5 places below the Philippines and 6 places above Vietnam. 
 

The trend in the number of deaths over the past week has fallen to its lowest number seen for some time and stands at 6 deaths/million of population, down 7% over the 7 day period, with the number of official infections also falling 8%.  
 

 

70

Thailand

61,542

66,781

-8%

879

450

482

-7%

6

70,033,112

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table

Latest official Data from Worldometer (yesterday):

 

New cases, 8th (8859)

New Deaths- 16th (47)

Active Cases- 20th (100,691)

Serious Cases- 7th (2225)

Tests per million- 142nd (which probably puts into question the statistic for new cases)

 

I wonder, with less than 50% of the country fully vaccinated, if this is really the time to open up to tourism.  I know it must be done as some point in the future, I'm just questioning if now is the right time.  I thought the metric was 70%, which is still probably too low a percentage for Delta.  

[anchadian]

Chonburi announces 259 new and confirmed cases of Covid-19 and 1 new death

 

Highlights:

• 259 new confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Chonburi today

• 320 people recovered and were released from medical care

• 1 new death

https://thepattayanews.com/2021/11/01/chonburi-announces-259-new-and-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-and-1-new-death/

Edited November 1, 2021 by anchadian

[anchadian]

Of the 7,631 cases in the general Thai population, the highest numbers were 625 in Bangkok followed by 539 in Nakhon Si Thammarat, 476 in Songkhla, 448 in Pattani, 378 Chiang Mai, 351 in Narathiwat, 295 in Trang and 290 in Yala.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1455051634845749250

 

Edited November 1, 2021 by anchadian

[RichardColeman]

15 minutes ago, mtraveler said:

Tests per million- 142nd (which probably puts into question the statistic for new cases)

Well, that should officially boom now and push them well up the chart with 7000 tourists arriving today and thousands arriving daily now. If the number of tests increase do not match the tourist arrivals then either tests are going down for Thais or the inbound figures are far less than they expet (which will be the case).

 

Be interesting if someone has or can do a spread sheet showing increase testing vs tourists incoming

[anchadian]

Yesterday there were 320,719 people vaccinated:

 

https://twitter.com/NBTWORLDNews/status/1455051343886893060

[Kadilo]

49 minutes ago, mtraveler said:

 

 

I wonder, with less than 50% of the country fully vaccinated, if this is really the time to open up to tourism.  I know it must be done as some point in the future, I'm just questioning if now is the right time.  I thought the metric was 70%, which is still probably too low a percentage for Delta.  

The 70% has been met in some of the key tourist areas. 
 

Is it the right time ? It’s a fine balance and only time will show whether they have opened up too early or not. The doubters will be sitting back waiting for the “told you so” type of comments at the first increase in new infections, which will likely occur, but then many Thai people will be able to start work again and provide for their families. 

 

Its an easy call if you’re a retiree sitting on a pension and not worried by the lack of tourism as it doesn’t directly affect your income. The government has to make a call based on the destruction the shutting down has had to the economy and the people as a whole. 
 

Based on the current infection/deaths data there is no justification for restricting tourism and people’s livelihoods any longer imo. 
 

The general perception seems to be that there won’t be too many arrivals early doors as the hoops are still too many,  so hopefully that buys a bit more time for them to reach their vaccination target of 70% by end of the year, which remains on schedule. 
 

The Xmas/New Year period was always the main goal for fully opening and with the recent easing further announced and statements advising   some area that entertainment businesses areas can “undertake preparation to be ready for reopening.” , i am still convinced that the country  will be fully opened by this time in readiness for the majority of tourists to arrive. 

Obviously any dramatic rise in death numbers could scupper that plan. 

 

Edited November 1, 2021 by Kadilo

[ThailandRyan]

4 hours ago, worrab said:

Dropped back down today from 281 cases thank goodness.

 

Health officials on Sunday (Oct 31) reported 150 new COVID-19 cases, 42 were found in Hua Hin.

Elsewhere in the province, 76 cases were found in Pranburi, 5 cases in Sam Roi Yot, 8 cases in Kuiburi, No- case found in Thap Sakae, 10 cases in Bang Saphan, No- case in Bang Saphan Noi, and 9 cases in Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan.

Two more deaths were reported today – One Thai man, age 77, who had a congenital disease and died despite receiving two doses of the Sinovac vaccine. The fatality was a Thai woman age 68 who had not been vaccinated.

 

Oct 31: Prachuap reports 150 new COVID-19 cases, 42 cases in Hua Hin - Hua Hin Today English Newspaper Info, Reports, Events and News Social Life

The unfortunate thing with this is that it will continue this up and down game because they truly are not testing people and many doing the ATK test at home are possibly not reporting them until they actually need treatment at a facility.  We will porpoise up and down and as you can see from the graph @Bkk Brian posted earlier in the OP it is a long slow crawl downwards instead of the quick upward spike we saw.  If they would test on a large scale basis maybe we might know the true extent of covid here in Thailand, but alas it is what it is.

[Bkk Brian]

2 hours ago, mtraveler said:

Latest official Data from Worldometer (yesterday):

 

 

Tests per million- 142nd (which probably puts into question the statistic for new cases)

 

Not only does it put into question the statistics for new cases but all others including deaths:

 

"The actual death toll from COVID-19 is likely to be higher than the number of confirmed deaths – this is due to limited testing and problems in the attribution of the cause of death. The difference between reported confirmed deaths and actual deaths varies by country."

 

 

 

[Bkk Brian]

1st batch of 560,200 doses of #Moderna vaccines against #Covid19 arrive in #Thailand. Nation has been reliant on Sinovac, AstraZeneca, Sinopharm & Pfizer so far. Initial Moderna doses to go to those who had pre-booked it. Almost 9 million doses have been ordered.

 

https://twitter.com/MayWongCNA/status/1455091544579473408

https://www.matichon.co.th/local/quality-life/news_3020829

[Kadilo]

46 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Not only does it put into question the statistics for new cases but all others including deaths:

 

"The actual death toll from COVID-19 is likely to be higher than the number of confirmed deaths – this is due to limited testing and problems in the attribution of the cause of death. The difference between reported confirmed deaths and actual deaths varies by country."

 

 

 

 

 

Interesting link. The other two points listed in article are interesting too. 
 

Three points on confirmed death figures to keep in mind

All three points are true for all currently available international data sources on COVID-19 deaths:

• The actual death toll from COVID-19 is likely to be higher than the number of confirmed deaths – this is due to limited testing and problems in the attribution of the cause of death. The difference between reported confirmed deaths and actual deaths varies by country.
• How COVID-19 deaths are recorded may differ between countries (e.g., some countries may only count hospital deaths, whilst others also include deaths in homes).
• The death figures on a given date do not necessarily show the number of new deaths on that day, but the deaths reported on that day. Since reporting can vary significantly from day to day – irrespectively of any actual variation of deaths – it is helpful to view the seven-day rolling average of the daily figures as we do in the chart here.

 

It may be possible Thailand is over counting in comparison to other countries if they are including deaths in homes in their numbers.
 

Also confirmation that the 7 day rolling average is helpful taking into the account the actual variation and adjustment for actual size of the population which is what my daily post represents. 
 

70

Thailand

61,542

66,781

-8%

879

450

482

-7%

6

70,033,112

 

Why adjust for the size of the population?

Differences in the population size between countries are often large, and the COVID-19 death count in more populous countries tends to be higher. Because of this it can be insightful to know how the number of confirmed deaths in a country compares to the number of people who live there, especially when comparing across countries.

For instance, if 1,000 people died in Iceland, out of a population of about 340,000, that would have a far bigger impact than the same number dying in the United States, with its population of 331 million.¹ This difference in impact is clear when comparing deaths per million people of each country’s population – in this example it would be roughly 3 deaths/million people in the US compared to a staggering 2,941 deaths/million people in Iceland. 

 

 

Edited November 1, 2021 by Kadilo

[Bkk Brian]

21 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

 

 

Interesting link. The other two points listed in article are interesting too. 
 

Three points on confirmed death figures to keep in mind

All three points are true for all currently available international data sources on COVID-19 deaths:

• The actual death toll from COVID-19 is likely to be higher than the number of confirmed deaths – this is due to limited testing and problems in the attribution of the cause of death. The difference between reported confirmed deaths and actual deaths varies by country.
• How COVID-19 deaths are recorded may differ between countries (e.g., some countries may only count hospital deaths, whilst others also include deaths in homes).
• The death figures on a given date do not necessarily show the number of new deaths on that day, but the deaths reported on that day. Since reporting can vary significantly from day to day – irrespectively of any actual variation of deaths – it is helpful to view the seven-day rolling average of the daily figures as we do in the chart here.

 

It may be possible Thailand is over counting in comparison to other countries if they are including deaths in homes in their numbers.
 

Also confirmation that the 7 day rolling average is helpful taking into the account the actual variation and adjustment for actual size of the population which is what my daily post represents. 
 

70

Thailand

61,542

66,781

-8%

879

450

482

-7%

6

70,033,112

 

Why adjust for the size of the population?

Differences in the population size between countries are often large, and the COVID-19 death count in more populous countries tends to be higher. Because of this it can be insightful to know how the number of confirmed deaths in a country compares to the number of people who live there, especially when comparing across countries.

For instance, if 1,000 people died in Iceland, out of a population of about 340,000, that would have a far bigger impact than the same number dying in the United States, with its population of 331 million.¹ This difference in impact is clear when comparing deaths per million people of each country’s population – in this example it would be roughly 3 deaths/million people in the US compared to a staggering 2,941 deaths/million people in Iceland. 

 

 

"It may be possible Thailand is over counting in comparison to other countries if they are including deaths in homes in their numbers."

Does it fit with Thailand's thousands of excess deaths compared to last 5 years 

 

Your other points, population comparisons is absolutely nothing to do with the point of my post, of course you adjust populations, thats just logic no need for explanations.

 

[mtraveler]

5 hours ago, Kadilo said:

The 70% has been met in some of the key tourist areas. 
 

Is it the right time ? It’s a fine balance and only time will show whether they have opened up too early or not. The doubters will be sitting back waiting for the “told you so” type of comments at the first increase in new infections, which will likely occur, but then many Thai people will be able to start work again and provide for their families. 

 

Its an easy call if you’re a retiree sitting on a pension and not worried by the lack of tourism as it doesn’t directly affect your income. The government has to make a call based on the destruction the shutting down has had to the economy and the people as a whole. 
 

Based on the current infection/deaths data there is no justification for restricting tourism and people’s livelihoods any longer imo. 
 

The general perception seems to be that there won’t be too many arrivals early doors as the hoops are still too many,  so hopefully that buys a bit more time for them to reach their vaccination target of 70% by end of the year, which remains on schedule. 
 

The Xmas/New Year period was always the main goal for fully opening and with the recent easing further announced and statements advising   some area that entertainment businesses areas can “undertake preparation to be ready for reopening.” , i am still convinced that the country  will be fully opened by this time in readiness for the majority of tourists to arrive. 

Obviously any dramatic rise in death numbers could scupper that plan. 

 

"70% has been met in some of the key tourist areas", and has not in some of the other key tourist areas.  And that's the rub.  

 

I've read what you've been writing for several months now, and you've been touting the fact that the country would be 70% vaccinated by some date, ranging between mid-December and late January.  That changed based on vaccination rates, and that's fine.  And you said that once the country reached that 70% magic number, it was ready to open.  (I disagreed with that premise, inasmuch as Delta seems to need higher vaccination rates, but we'll leave that for another time.)

 

And now you seem to have changed your position.  Now you say... "well, it's close enough, and we can't wait anymore...".  And for all that cheering for the yeoman's job that the country was doing to reach that 70% target, now you're saying "ehhh, close enough".  

 

What's to keep a tourist from traveling to a "non-key tourist area" when they visit?  Is Chiang Mai a key tourist area?  I think it is, and currently has had an increase in cases of Covid, and though I don't have figures, I'm sure that the area is far from 70% vaccinated.  

 

One final thought.... if the key areas in Thailand are more than 70% double vaccinated, and the nation as an average is 43.6% double vaccinated, then the rest of the country outside the key areas is at best 35% vaccinated.  (I assume the key areas represent about 15 million people out of a population of 70 million people, since Bangkok is a major part of this 70% double-vaxxed statistic).  

 

Does that sound like a high enough vaccination rate to reopen?

 

 

 

 

[Kadilo]

48 minutes ago, mtraveler said:

"70% has been met in some of the key tourist areas", and has not in some of the other key tourist areas.  And that's the rub.  

 

I've read what you've been writing for several months now, and you've been touting the fact that the country would be 70% vaccinated by some date, ranging between mid-December and late January.  That changed based on vaccination rates, and that's fine.  And you said that once the country reached that 70% magic number, it was ready to open.  (I disagreed with that premise, inasmuch as Delta seems to need higher vaccination rates, but we'll leave that for another time.)

 

And now you seem to have changed your position.  Now you say... "well, it's close enough, and we can't wait anymore...".  And for all that cheering for the yeoman's job that the country was doing to reach that 70% target, now you're saying "ehhh, close enough".  

 

What's to keep a tourist from traveling to a "non-key tourist area" when they visit?  Is Chiang Mai a key tourist area?  I think it is, and currently has had an increase in cases of Covid, and though I don't have figures, I'm sure that the area is far from 70% vaccinated.  

 

One final thought.... if the key areas in Thailand are more than 70% double vaccinated, and the nation as an average is 43.6% double vaccinated, then the rest of the country outside the key areas is at best 35% vaccinated.  (I assume the key areas represent about 15 million people out of a population of 70 million people, since Bangkok is a major part of this 70% double-vaxxed statistic).  

 

Does that sound like a high enough vaccination rate to reopen?

 

 

 

Good evening. 

You correctly state that I have been posting for months that the vaccination target would meet the government target of 70% by year end and that is what I still believe and posted earlier.

At this point the country would be ready to fully open. I still believe, as I posted earlier, for this to be the case. 
 

At that time (months ago) the usual AN tag team came steaming in with their negative emojis, and predictable comments to the effect of….. which year?…….yeah 2023/4 more like which is fine. Water off a ducks back. Strangely enough you  don’t hear them refuting it much now or meeting the vac target by year end 
 

Its a fluid system and of course people can change their minds and opinions will change depending on the current data and information at hand. 
 

Yes I do now believe with the current number of deaths (the most important number) and the current weekly trend showing only 6 deaths/million of population that is the right time despite not reaching the ideal vac target. 
 

Don’t forget it is not currently fully opened the overwhelming opinion seems to be that the hoops are still too many and the numbers will be minimal. I would say by the time these hoops become less arduous the 70% will be reached and that’s when it will be bars/entertainment reopened and larger numbers return, prob by end of year in time for the main holiday season. 
 

You raise a good point re people travelling across provinces. I’m also not sure of the Chiangmai number specifically but I don’t think it’s far away from 70% and an article yesterday said it was targeting 700,000 more doses this month for the 70% to be met by end November. 
 

  I see not obvious way of controlling people moving from high vaccinated areas to less so yes it’s a calculated risk, as is opening in some areas with known low areas but these are not obviously seen as potentially having a dramatic effect on numbers due to being low tourist areas. 
 

At the end of the day, yes partly opening is a calculated risk they are willing to take to allow people to get on with those lives. Whether they have jumped the gun a bit early only the next few months will tell but i believe it’s the right decision at this time when you weigh up the devastation caused by the economy and lack of tourism can current risk of fatality. 

 

Edited November 1, 2021 by Kadilo

[Bkk Brian]

Total of 10 Provinces including Chiang Mai now on watch list. Interesting to note the fully vaccinated numbers for some of them, they are all low:

 

Numbers were updated today

Chiang Mai = 43.8%

Yala = 41.4%

Khon Kean = 33.1%

Nakhon Si Thammarat = 32.2%

Pattana = 29.5%

 

 

6 more Thai provinces added to ‘watch list’ due to rising COVID-19 infections

 

Thailand’s Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) has added six more provinces to its “watch list”, in addition to the southern border provinces of Yala, Pattana, Narathiwat and Songkhla, due to concerns over a rising trend in new COVID-19 infections.

 

CCSA Assistant Spokesperson Dr. Apisamai Srirangsan said today (Monday) that Nakhon Si Thammarat in the South, Chiang Mai in the North, Khon Kaen in the Northeast, the western province of Tak and two eastern provinces of Rayong and Chanthaburi are now on the list.

 

She said that tighter controls, similar to those already in force in the southern border provinces, will now be imposed to contain the spread of the disease, pointing out that new infection clusters have emerged from funerals, weddings, at schools and among migrant workers.

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/6-more-thai-provinces-added-to-watch-list-due-to-rising-covid-19-infections/

[ThailandRyan]

13 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Total of 10 Provinces including Chiang Mai now on watch list. Interesting to note the fully vaccinated numbers for some of them, they are all low:

 

Numbers were updated today

Chiang Mai = 43.8%

Yala = 41.4%

Khon Kean = 33.1%

Nakhon Si Thammarat = 32.2%

Pattana = 29.5%

 

 

6 more Thai provinces added to ‘watch list’ due to rising COVID-19 infections

 

Thailand’s Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) has added six more provinces to its “watch list”, in addition to the southern border provinces of Yala, Pattana, Narathiwat and Songkhla, due to concerns over a rising trend in new COVID-19 infections.

 

CCSA Assistant Spokesperson Dr. Apisamai Srirangsan said today (Monday) that Nakhon Si Thammarat in the South, Chiang Mai in the North, Khon Kaen in the Northeast, the western province of Tak and two eastern provinces of Rayong and Chanthaburi are now on the list.

 

She said that tighter controls, similar to those already in force in the southern border provinces, will now be imposed to contain the spread of the disease, pointing out that new infection clusters have emerged from funerals, weddings, at schools and among migrant workers.

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/6-more-thai-provinces-added-to-watch-list-due-to-rising-covid-19-infections/

Wonder how that's going to work for the new tourism numbers....

[Bkk Brian]

2 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Wonder how that's going to work for the new tourism numbers....

Don't know but I would suggest being on the government watch list then they should also make any tourists who go there aware of that fact. 

[anchadian]

More than five million people have died of Covid-19 worldwide since start of pandemic, according to Johns Hopkins University

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-59119731

[anchadian]

Inbound tourism in Thailand will take another four years to fully recover to the pre-Covid situation after the hardship caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, according to CNBC reports.

 

https://tpnnational.com/2021/11/01/thailands-inbound-travels-will-take-at-least-4-years-to-recover-to-pre-covid-levels-leading-asia-economists-report/

Edited November 1, 2021 by anchadian

[Kadilo]

11 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Inbound tourism in Thailand will take another four years to fully recover to the pre-Covid situation after the hardship caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, according to CNBC reports.

 

https://tpnnational.com/2021/11/01/thailands-inbound-travels-will-take-at-least-4-years-to-recover-to-pre-covid-levels-leading-asia-economists-report/

Bit unclear. Headline says “at least 4 years,” but the article says “a full recovery in inbound travel to pre-Covid levels until 2025”, so unless it means November 2025 it is misleading. 

[ThailandRyan]

Just read an article that indicates the Delta plus variant is being found in many countries now. It appears to be a faster moving variant only. I wonder if this is what is being seen and found in the provinces on the watch list here in Thailand.