Premier League relegation battle: Who will stay up?

[CharlieH]

 

Nottingham Forest boss Nuno Espirito Santo said his side must "ignore the noise" after they gained a much-needed victory in the race for Premier League survival.

Forest's 3-1 win over Fulham put a three-point cushion between them and the drop zone and, coupled with the point they earned against Crystal Palace on Saturday, meant they overturned the four-point deduction they received for breaches of the Premier League's profit and sustainability rules (PSR).

 

"It was tough to take when the points were taken from us," said Nuno. "But we stick together, let's ignore the noise and try to do our job. There's still a long way to go."

The top-flight relegation battle has intensified in recent weeks as Everton, another team in trouble after receiving a six-point deduction on appeal for financial breaches, gained a vital point against Newcastle to move four clear of 18th-placed Luton.

Meanwhile, Burnley may have given themselves a chance after they extended their unbeaten run to four matches with a draw against Wolves.

Back-to-back draws for Sheffield United have given them a glimmer of hope, while Luton also remain in the bottom three as both face tough games at Liverpool and Arsenal.

So, who will be playing Championship football next season and who will be enjoying at least one more year in the Premier League? Who needs what to stay up and what do our data experts predict will happen?

BBC Sport takes a closer look at the state of play at the bottom of the Premier League.

It's complicated...

While Nottingham Forest's four-point deduction has been applied, they will appeal the decision, which could complicate matters for them.

Everton had a 10-point deduction imposed in November, which was reduced to six on appeal in February, for PSR breaches in the three-year period up to and including 2021-22.

 

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[Eloquent pilgrim]

 

Tricky one, especially not knowing if there will be any further points deductions, or successful appeals. Sheffield United look nailed on to be relegated, and Burnley and Luton the most likely candidates to join them.

 

However, no team in the bottom seven is safe, with Palace on 30 points in 14th, only 8 above the dreaded drop zone … should be fun