Deadlocked Between Trump and Harris in NBC News Poll as Election Approaches

[thaibeachlovers]

9 hours ago, couchpotato said:

Remember the other half (also morons) support an airhead like Trump--

Like him or loath him Trump is hardly an airhead. Airheads are those that do a gub'ment job all their life and contribute not much to society, while Trump actually built things, had a tv show and WAS president of the US. He was also clever enough to not start any wars.

[thaibeachlovers]

1 hour ago, thesetat2013 said:

Rather than showing accomplishments Harris made while she was VP. Oh wait, sorry, I forget that there are no accomplishments done by Harris as VP.

How true.

 

When it comes down to it with Harris, the cupboard is bare, nothing there to prove she would make a good POTUS. Putting people in jail for smoking weed and warming a seat in the Senate is hardly proof of leadership qualities.

[earlinclaifornia]

[Yellowtail]

1 minute ago, earlinclaifornia said:

Why do you think Harris support is trending down in your graph? 

[thesetat2013]

2 hours ago, placeholder said:

Can you please share with me the major accomplishments of any person that occurred while they were vice-President. I believe it was James Nance Garner, a vice-President under Franklin Roosevelt who remarked that the office isn't worth a bucket of warm spit.

These drones are an indicator that WW3 is about to break out? Will tiny armed parachute troops be leaping from them?

Is it the drones to worry about? Or the people undocumented who entered the US and are launching those drones. 

By the way. These drones were only taking photos. What if they had carried bombs or guns? 

[Danderman123]

On 10/16/2024 at 8:22 AM, Danderman123 said:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

 

Did you know that the Democrats are way ahead in early voting?

Let me crunch some numbers:

 

In Pennsylvania, there are 8 million registered voters, no idea how many will vote in this election.

 

So far, 800,000 early votes have been cast, 70% Dem by party registration. 

 

That's a lot of banked votes for the Dems. Unless the current trend is reversed, the Dems may have locked up a win in Pennsylvania before Election Day.

 

The numbers are similar in Wisconsin and Michigan.

 

If Harris wins those 3 states, the election is basically over.

[Yellowtail]

Just now, Danderman123 said:

Let me crunch some numbers:

 

In Pennsylvania, there are 8 million registered voters, no idea how many will vote in this election.

 

So far, 800,000 early votes have been cast, 70% Dem by party registration. 

 

That's a lot of banked votes for the Dems. Unless the current trend is reversed, the Dems may have locked up a win in Pennsylvania before Election Day.

 

The numbers are similar in Wisconsin and Michigan.

 

If Harris wins those 3 states, the election is basically over.

Yeah, she can't lose, it's all over now. 

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

Why do you think Harris support is trending down in your graph? 

Because of the mass numbers of Republican junk polls published this month:

 

American Greatness, American Pulse Research and Polling, Daily Mail, co/efficent, Cygnal, Echelon, Emerson, Fabrizio, Fox News, Hunt Research, Insider Advantage, J.L. Partners, McLaughlin, Mitchell Communications, Napolitan Institute, Noble Predictive, On Message, Orbital Digital, Public Opinion Strategies, Quantus, Rasmussen, Redfield & Wilton, Remington, RMG, SoCal Data, The Telegraph, TIPP, Trafalgar, Victory Insights, University of Austin, and The Wall Street Journal.

 

All with a Republican bias.

[Danderman123]

2 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

Yeah, she can't lose, it's all over now. 

Of course she could lose, but early votes are real, whereas polls are just opinions.

 

If you don't recognize that a lead of 100s of 1000s of votes is significant, the election will be a jolt for you.

 

I am seeing a relative lack of enthusiasm for Trump this time around, much smaller crowds, fewer events, and his field operations are literally non-existent, as he gave up, and turned them over to Elon. 

 

Trump is clearly used up, and is losing his mind in front of us 

Edited October 20 by Danderman123

[Yellowtail]

[Yellowtail]

1 minute ago, Danderman123 said:

Of course she could lose, but early votes are real, whereas polls are just opinions.

 

If you don't recognize that a lead of 100s of 1000s of votes is significant, the election will be a jolt for you.

Uncounted votes, yes? 

 

Do you assume every Democrat is like you and will only ever vote for whatever Democrat is on the ballot? 

[Danderman123]

5 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

Yep, the Republican junk polls are kicking in.

 

But, as I said earlier, I don't think there will be many surprises. Harris wins the Midwest, and either could win NC, GA, AZ or NV, and nobody would be surprised.

Edited October 20 by Danderman123

[Danderman123]

2 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

Uncounted votes, yes? 

 

Do you assume every Democrat is like you and will only ever vote for whatever Democrat is on the ballot? 

90% of party members vote for their party's candidate in the general election. Even with all those never Trumpers endorsing Harris, Trump will get 90% of the GOP vote 

 

You can dream of different numbers, of course.

Edited October 20 by Danderman123

[Danderman123]

4 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

How true.

 

When it comes down to it with Harris, the cupboard is bare, nothing there to prove she would make a good POTUS. Putting people in jail for smoking weed and warming a seat in the Senate is hardly proof of leadership qualities.

That's the point of view from New Zealand, eh?

[illisdean]

33 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Because of the mass numbers of Republican junk polls published this month:

 

American Greatness, American Pulse Research and Polling, Daily Mail, co/efficent, Cygnal, Echelon, Emerson, Fabrizio, Fox News, Hunt Research, Insider Advantage, J.L. Partners, McLaughlin, Mitchell Communications, Napolitan Institute, Noble Predictive, On Message, Orbital Digital, Public Opinion Strategies, Quantus, Rasmussen, Redfield & Wilton, Remington, RMG, SoCal Data, The Telegraph, TIPP, Trafalgar, Victory Insights, University of Austin, and The Wall Street Journal.

 

All with a Republican bias.

 

Latest AtlasIntel Poll: Trump v Harris

*AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election

 

 

https://atlasintel.org/polls/general-release-polls

 

[Will B Good]

2 minutes ago, illisdean said:

 

Latest AtlasIntel Poll: Trump v Harris

*AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election

 

 

https://atlasintel.org/polls/general-release-polls

 

 

 

I'm amazed at the 'Don't knows'.....only 0.5%..........(not arguing with AtlasIntel being the most accurate re: polling in the last election by the by).

[earlinclaifornia]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

Let me crunch some numbers:

 

In Pennsylvania, there are 8 million registered voters, no idea how many will vote in this election.

 

So far, 800,000 early votes have been cast, 70% Dem by party registration. 

 

That's a lot of banked votes for the Dems. Unless the current trend is reversed, the Dems may have locked up a win in Pennsylvania before Election Day.

 

The numbers are similar in Wisconsin and Michigan.

 

If Harris wins those 3 states, the election is basically over.

I track it daily thanks for the link

https://portal.votehub.us/

[earlinclaifornia]

4 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

Why do you think Harris support is trending down in your graph? 

I know why becasue I follow elections since Kennedy

She knows not enough days left to complete any down turn

 

[Will B Good]

 

 

 

 

Do Americans outside of the 'battleground' States not feel aggrieved that their votes basically count for diddly squat?

[EVENKEEL]

3 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

 

 

 

Do Americans outside of the 'battleground' States not feel aggrieved that their votes basically count for diddly squat?

Every vote counts, this is America. Sorry your folks were too lazy to relocate.

[placeholder]

3 hours ago, thesetat2013 said:

Is it the drones to worry about? Or the people undocumented who entered the US and are launching those drones. 

By the way. These drones were only taking photos. What if they had carried bombs or guns? 

Please share with me the exciting link that ties these drones to undocumented  operators.

[mogandave]

7 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

 

 

 

Do Americans outside of the 'battleground' States not feel aggrieved that their votes basically count for diddly squat?

Their votes do count. 

 

States change color, and there are down ballot concerns as well. 

 

When California was red, the left loved the electoral college. 

 

 

Edited October 20 by mogandave
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[illisdean]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

Harris wins the Midwest

The Midwest is comprised of 12 states, Kamala is leading and likely to win in two, maybe three of them, MN & Il, WI.

You failed geography. Did u get your schooling north of the 49th perhaps?

[earlinclaifornia]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

Let me crunch some numbers:

 

In Pennsylvania, there are 8 million registered voters, no idea how many will vote in this election.

 

So far, 800,000 early votes have been cast, 70% Dem by party registration. 

 

That's a lot of banked votes for the Dems. Unless the current trend is reversed, the Dems may have locked up a win in Pennsylvania before Election Day.

 

The numbers are similar in Wisconsin and Michigan.

 

If Harris wins those 3 states, the election is basically over.

I will expect the trend to continue and like you say this could be a slam dunk by Harris before the 5th! 

[earlinclaifornia]

8 minutes ago, illisdean said:

The Midwest is comprised of 12 states, Kamala is leading and likely to win in two, maybe three of them, MN & Il, WI.

You failed geography. Did u get your schooling north of the 49th perhaps?

[earlinclaifornia]

GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4941955-gop-leaning-polls-trigger-questions-about-accuracy/

 

Nate says that that is taken into account while not letting them inflate, a tremendouse amount.

That being a 2 per cent lead is more like a 3.5

[Yellowtail]

4 minutes ago, earlinclaifornia said:

GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4941955-gop-leaning-polls-trigger-questions-about-accuracy/

 

Nate says that that is taken into account while not letting them inflate, a tremendouse amount.

That being a 2 per cent lead is more like a 3.5

So prior to the GOP leaning polls there were no questions about accuracy? 

 

What a hoot! 

[earlinclaifornia]

2 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

So prior to the GOP leaning polls there were no questions about accuracy? 

 

What a hoot! 

From what I gather the newly minted ones appearing are right wing pollsters.

I have followed them and they are outliners.

 

Too close to call from polling. I just believe in looking for trends.

Did you view the video I included with the Hill spokesperson.

Not likely will you feel thathe is reporting like just more lefties, do.

[earlinclaifornia]

Spend some time researchig the betting markets, what a scam

[Yellowtail]

4 hours ago, earlinclaifornia said:

From what I gather the newly minted ones appearing are right wing pollsters.

I have followed them and they are outliners.

 

Too close to call from polling. I just believe in looking for trends.

Did you view the video I included with the Hill spokesperson.

Not likely will you feel thathe is reporting like just more lefties, do.

What newly minted ones? 

 

This is what I watch: