Russia’s economy is doomed

[MicroB]

https://1-re--russia-net.translate.goog/analytics/0244/?_x_tr_enc=1&_x_tr_sl=ru&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp

 

Quote

 

In 2024, Russia's export revenues amounted to $417.2 billion, which is practically no different from the 2023 figure and the average annual value for the ten pre-war years. Russian exports appear to be invulnerable to sanctions. But in reality, this is not the case.

The paradox of Russian export resilience to sanctions is largely determined by the frontal surge in prices for a wide range of goods that form its core – metals, minerals, energy products, food raw materials and fertilizers – in the early 2020s after a period of relatively low prices in the mid-2010s. 

The outbreak of war and the introduction of sanctions only spurred an abnormal rise in prices for some of them, which more than compensated for the reduction in supply volumes and additional costs.

However, the commodity price boom of the early 2020s is now gradually fading. Costs and limited sales markets, which seemed less significant when prices were high, are becoming increasingly important factors for competition.

While prices are still above the levels of the second half of the 2010s, supply and competition are growing, creating conditions for the displacement of "toxic" Russian products, burdened with additional sanction costs. Russian coal exports are already in crisis, and metal exports are declining. Conditions for a surplus have formed on the oil market. The European energy market will be ready to completely abandon Russian raw materials in two to three years.

The main threat to the Russian economy today is not even a sharp decline in oil prices, which seems unlikely, but a smooth but frontal decline in prices and, accordingly, in income from most items of Russian exports.

Such a decline may be all the more sensitive since the transfer of the Russian economy to “war footing” has paradoxically led not to a lesser, but to a greater dependence on imports.

 

 

[MicroB]

dup'd

[thaibeachlovers]

On 2/22/2025 at 1:49 AM, MicroB said:

WSJ commenting on Russian covert operations

 

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/russia-spy-covert-attacks-8199e376

Obviously a completely unbiased source. .

[thaibeachlovers]

On 2/22/2025 at 2:00 AM, connda said:

I wonder who pays these members to write this nonsense?  🤔

 I agree they post a lot of nonsense and some only cut and paste.

[3NUMBAS]

Russia economy on the brink as 'nobody can afford to go on holiday or eat at a restaurant'

 

Among other indicators, inflation is running wildly out of control, making ordinary Russians more poor, cold and hungry.
 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2017250/russia-economy-on-brink-inflation/amp

 

As Donald Trump attempts to force a wildly unpopular peace deal on Ukraine, ahead of tomorrow's third anniversary of Vladimir Putin's all-out invasion, ordinary Russians reveal the struggle of surviving out-of-control inflation

 

[3NUMBAS]

Further sanctions of Russian big business ,a ban on oligarchs and leaders of Russian business all banned from uk

[frank83628]

On 2/21/2025 at 3:39 PM, MicroB said:

 

 

You are curiously quiet about the 82 actual assasinations conducted by the Russian state in recent years.

 

That's all I need to know about you. NSOAD.

82 Hahah, go on then...

[VBer]

3 hours ago, 3NUMBAS said:

'nobody can afford to go on holiday

This “fact” is very visible in Thailand streets and malls where Russians are majority among other white farangs 🙃

[Mike_Hunt]

3 hours ago, VBer said:

This “fact” is very visible in Thailand streets and malls where Russians are majority among other white farangs 🙃

Why they ever leave?

[Mike_Hunt]

34 minutes ago, Mike_Hunt said:

Why they ever leave?

I met will they ever leave. 

[VBer]

6 hours ago, Mike_Hunt said:

I met will they ever leave. 

In the last weeks rouble significantly increased its value, so there will be only more. Despite of “nobody can afford to go on holiday” propaganda.

[TedG]

Russia has an inflation problem. 

[Gweiloman]

5 hours ago, TedG said:

Russia has an inflation problem. 

Mm… Russia’s inflation rate has fallen from about 18% 3 yrs ago to single digit today. Seems they’re managing well despite a rising GDP.Oil and gas revenues have returned to pre-conflict levels so lots of income coming in. Depreciation of the rouble has also helped exports.

[VBer]

4 hours ago, Gweiloman said:

Depreciation of the rouble has also helped exports.

Rouble significantly strengthened in the last weeks to the level that started to be inconvenient for exporters ( why I do not see these news from local regular posters, why?? 😅). However this level should put inflation down and make abroad travelling and imported goods more available to people.

[3NUMBAS]

Donald Trump humiliated by Russia over peacekeeper deal ahead of new peace talks

mirror.co.uk

15 hours ago

US President Donald Trump was today humiliated by Russia after Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov rubbished a claim he made about Vladimir Putin and European peacekeepers in Ukraine earlier this week