You make valid points. I agree that my analogy understated the importance of temporal causality in the context of VAERS and EudraVigilance data, where the emergence of 'any' patterns would clearly warrant further investigation.
That said, I do not believe the current VAERS or EudraVigilance data indicate any causality. Nonetheless, I am not opposed to further studies aimed at settling these questions - though I remain sceptical as to whether such inquiries would ever fully resolve them.
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