Future UK Demographics Could See White British Minority by 2063, Study Suggests

[Social Media]

 

Future UK Demographics Could See White British Minority by 2063, Study Suggests

 

White British people could become a minority in the United Kingdom within the next 40 years, according to new research that forecasts sweeping demographic changes driven by migration and differing birth rates. The study, led by Buckingham University professor Matt Goodwin, projects a steady decline in the White British share of the population, which currently stands at 73 per cent, dropping to 57 per cent by 2050 and falling below 50 per cent by 2063.

 

 

Professor Goodwin’s analysis, based on data from the Office for National Statistics and national census figures, considers trends in birth, death, and migration rates through to the end of the 21st century. His findings indicate that, by 2100, just four in ten people living in the UK will have been born in the country to two UK-born parents. “By the end of the current century, most of the people on these islands will not be able to trace their roots in this country back more than one or two generations,” Goodwin said.

 

 

The report also predicts a significant demographic shift in terms of ethnicity and religion. It estimates that the proportion of foreign-born and second-generation immigrants in the UK will grow from under 20 per cent to 33.5 per cent in the next 25 years. By the year 2100, around 60 per cent of the UK population is expected to either be immigrants themselves or have at least one immigrant parent.

 

 

Religious identity is also expected to change. The Muslim population, currently at around seven per cent, is projected to rise to 19.2 per cent by the end of the century. Goodwin emphasized that these transformations pose fundamental questions for the UK’s political and social structures. “This raises enormous questions about the capacity of our country and leaders to unify people around a shared sense of identity, values, ways of life, and culture,” he said. He warned that without adequate attention to public concern, the nation could face significant division, adding, “There is a very real risk of us becoming what Sir Keir Starmer referred to in May as ‘an island of strangers’.”

 

The analysis suggests that the overall white population in the UK, including both White British and other white groups, would become a minority by the year 2079. Goodwin stressed the need for political leaders to acknowledge and engage with the concerns of voters who are uneasy about the pace of demographic change. “Their concerns will need to be recognised, respected and addressed,” he said.

 

Some of these changes are already evident in urban centres. The 2022 census revealed that cities like London and Birmingham are now minority White British. A 2023 report by the Office for National Statistics stated that 46 per cent of Londoners were from Black and minority ethnic backgrounds. Similarly, data from the Birmingham City Observatory showed that the white population in the city fell from 57.9 per cent in 2011 to 48.6 per cent by 2021.

 

The report concludes that the UK is undergoing a profound demographic transformation that will require thoughtful leadership and policy responses. Whether the country can successfully navigate this change without fragmenting socially or politically remains an open question—one that, according to Goodwin, must be confronted in the years to come.

 

  Adapted by ASEAN Now from The Telegraph  2025-06-06

 

 

 

 

[daveAustin]

They are already a minority in many areas. The place is unrecognisable and hard living. This at the hand of the EU and homegrown liberalist policies, which cannot be openly questioned. Two thousand years of blood, sweat and tears put aside within a generation. Let them have it. 

[JonnyF]

It's inevitable. Many cities are already seeing this, particularly the likes of Birmingham and London.

 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/11/29/uk-census-results-2021-white-ethnicity-london-birmingham/

 

 

Should make the likes of Humza happy though, he hates white people in positions of power. So do self loathing Liberals (unless it's them of course).

 

 

[cdemundo]

As far as the white birth rate in the UK you have my condolences.

I read recently about a Palestinian doctor, the article mentioned in passing that she had ten children. How you gonna compete with that birth rate?

 

Now the Japanese demographic problem is a different story.

I would be willing to sacrifice my remaining years to helping increase the birth rate in Japan. I am not in a position to support a large number of children but I would do my best to father as many as I could.

Considering applying for a UN grant.

I am not sure how mixed-race children are accepted in Japan but I am willing to do my part.

 

Again, the UK, you are on your own.

[Hamus Yaigh]

It's not uncommon for political groups or individuals to use demographic data to push particular agendas, often creating fear or division as this news item clearly strives for.

Furthermore, demographic changes often occur in ways that defy simple predictions. Immigration patterns, birth rates, and other factors can all shift rapidly in response to changes in the economy, politics, and world events. As for whether the predictions will lead to fragmentation or not, it depends largely on how the UK chooses to respond to this potential shift. 

 

The focus on being “White British” in the article can indeed be seen as a form of bias, or even racism, especially when it’s portrayed as a zero-sum game where one group’s increase means another’s decline. The idea that one’s ethnic identity or heritage is more important or superior to another’s is a harmful and destructive narrative that can drive people apart rather than bringing them together.

[baansgr]

2030 whites will be the minority...over 60% of births in 2030 were to non UK parents... Still diversity is our strength, you can get a kebab at 1am, or a curry till 11 pm...well worth it

[Chomper Higgot]

The graph attached to this report tells you the first thing you need to know about the reports basis.

 

Straight lines on graphs arise from one of two reasons.

1. They are drawn between just two points.

2. They have multiple data points that all align perfectly to the straight line.

 

The second is highly unlikely for any ‘real world data’.

 

Two straight intersecting lines on one graph suggests they were both drawn between imaginary points or the universe has thrown up an unbelievable coexistence of two straight lines with perfectly aligned ‘real world data’ 

 

The graphs are obviously nonsense.

 

As for the Goodwin’s definition of ‘White British’ being someone who has two ‘white British’ parents.

 

Lets examine a case.

 

Nigel is white British born in Britain of two white British parents. 
Nigel marries a white German woman, who comes to live with him in England where they have children born in Britain. 

Does Nigel have to worry that his children are not white British?

 

5 hours ago, Social Media said:

“This raises enormous questions about the capacity of our country and leaders to unify people around a shared sense of identity, values, ways of life, and culture,”

This from a man who is himself defining families like those of Nigel as not ‘white British’.

 

Next up, not white and thereafter not British.

 

British members of the forum with mixed race children take heed. 

[brewsterbudgen]

Hmm.  So we're taking something from a GB News presenter, with a history of inaccurate predictions and an extreme rightwing viewpoint, seriously? 🤔🤣

[MarkBR]

A post guarenteed to make the gammons foam at the mouth.

[James105]

4 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

Hmm.  So we're taking something from a GB News presenter, with a history of inaccurate predictions and an extreme rightwing viewpoint, seriously? 🤔🤣

 

It's a shame the left do not use such critical thinking skills when it comes to covid modeling or global warming modeling and understanding that all models have flaws, and in the case of both of these its not worth destroying economies and children's futures over. 

 

What did he do before he presented on GB news by the way?  Do you know?   

[Bkk Brian]

22 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

The graph attached to this report tells you the first thing you need to know about the reports basis.

 

Straight lines on graphs arise from one of two reasons.

1. They are drawn between just two points.

2. They have multiple data points that all align perfectly to the straight line.

 

The second is highly unlikely for any ‘real world data’.

 

Two straight intersecting lines on one graph suggests they were both drawn between imaginary points or the universe has thrown up an unbelievable coexistence of two straight lines with perfectly aligned ‘real world data’ 

 

The graphs are obviously nonsense.

 

As for the Goodwin’s definition of ‘White British’ being someone who has two ‘white British’ parents.

 

Lets examine a case.

 

Nigel is white British born in Britain of two white British parents. 
Nigel marries a white German woman, who comes to live with him in England where they have children born in Britain. 

Does Nigel have to worry that his children are not white British?

 

This from a man who is himself defining families like those of Nigel as not ‘white British’.

 

Next up, not white and thereafter not British.

 

British members of the forum with mixed race children take heed. 

Deflection and lame attempt at shooting the messenger, got anything to actually dispute the evidence and conclusions made? Oh, straight line graphs are not the only ones included in it...........

[brewsterbudgen]

14 minutes ago, James105 said:

 

It's a shame the left do not use such critical thinking skills when it comes to covid modeling or global warming modeling and understanding that all models have flaws, and in the case of both of these its not worth destroying economies and children's futures over. 

 

What did he do before he presented on GB news by the way?  Do you know?   

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_Goodwin

[Chomper Higgot]

39 minutes ago, James105 said:

 

It's a shame the left do not use such critical thinking skills when it comes to covid modeling or global warming modeling and understanding that all models have flaws, and in the case of both of these its not worth destroying economies and children's futures over. 

 

What did he do before he presented on GB news by the way?  Do you know?   

Now that is what I do call a deflection.

 

The subject article draws conclusions and makes predictions on the basis of obviously bogus graphs and a very dubiously constructed definition of ‘white British’ 

 

Matt Goodwin has spent enough time in academia to absolute understand the fact of his arguments, it’s the kind stuff I would expect he would return to a student with a failed grading.

 

The article is an excellent demonstration of an academic ignoring the very basics of academic rigour.

 

More please.

[Bkk Brian]

8 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Now that is what I do call a deflection.

 

The subject article draws conclusions and makes predictions on the basis of obviously bogus graphs and a very dubiously constructed definition of ‘white British’ 

 

Matt Goodwin has spent enough time in academia to absolute understand the fact of his arguments, it’s the kind stuff I would expect he would return to a student with a failed grading.

 

The article is an excellent demonstration of an academic ignoring the very basics of academic rigour.

 

More please.

The article is an excellent demonstration of an academic ignoring the very basics of academic rigour.

 

More nonsense, the OP is an article not the study where the conclusions are drawn. How bogus is this chart?

 

[blaze master]

Will our diversity still be our strength at that point ?

[mfd101]

Happening in just about every 'white' country. Part of the ongoing reunification of the human species.

 

And a good thing too. No point in worrying about it. 

[JonnyF]

2 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Now that is what I do call a deflection.

 

The subject article draws conclusions and makes predictions on the basis of obviously bogus graphs and a very dubiously constructed definition of ‘white British’ 

 

Matt Goodwin has spent enough time in academia to absolute understand the fact of his arguments, it’s the kind stuff I would expect he would return to a student with a failed grading.

 

The article is an excellent demonstration of an academic ignoring the very basics of academic rigour.

 

More please.

 

Don't like the message, attack the messenger. Leftism 101. 

 

This is already happening in the UK's 2 biggest cities as my link showed. 

 

The fact that your ilk are trying to gaslight us into thinking this is not happening tells me everything. 

[Chomper Higgot]

1 minute ago, JonnyF said:

 

Don't like the message, attack the messenger. Leftism 101. 

 

This is already happening in the UK's 2 biggest cities as my link showed. 

 

The fact that your ilk are trying to gaslight us into thinking this is not happening tells me everything. 

I’ve not attacked the messenger.

 

I have criticized his message and provided a reasoned basis for my criticism.

 

My argument doesn’t, for example, rely on statements like ‘your ilk’, I leave such nonsense to you.

 

 

 

[Bkk Brian]

1 minute ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I’ve not attacked the messenger.

 

I have criticized his message and provided a reasoned basis for my criticism.

 

My argument doesn’t, for example, rely on statements like ‘your ilk’, I leave such nonsense to you.

 

 

 

Stop lying, that's exactly what you did.

 

1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:

The graph attached to this report tells you the first thing you need to know about the reports basis.

 

Straight lines on graphs arise from one of two reasons.

1. They are drawn between just two points.

2. They have multiple data points that all align perfectly to the straight line.

 

The second is highly unlikely for any ‘real world data’.

 

Two straight intersecting lines on one graph suggests they were both drawn between imaginary points or the universe has thrown up an unbelievable coexistence of two straight lines with perfectly aligned ‘real world data’ 

 

The graphs are obviously nonsense.

 

As for the Goodwin’s definition of ‘White British’ being someone who has two ‘white British’ parents.

 

Lets examine a case.

 

Nigel is white British born in Britain of two white British parents. 
Nigel marries a white German woman, who comes to live with him in England where they have children born in Britain. 

Does Nigel have to worry that his children are not white British?

 

This from a man who is himself defining families like those of Nigel as not ‘white British’.

 

Next up, not white and thereafter not British.

 

British members of the forum with mixed race children take heed. 

 

 

[Peter Crow]

The great Steve Biko on this very topic.

 

 

[Negita43]

It's not the colour of the skin that matters - it's the colour of the culture.

[Chomper Higgot]

This ‘white British’ thing and concern over both parents needing to be ‘white British’  has the ring of that ‘blood purity’ fixation of which history provides examples.
 

 

[Bkk Brian]

6 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

This ‘white British’ thing and concern over both parents needing to be ‘white British’  has the ring of that ‘blood purity’ fixation of which history provides examples.

This is not history though, its an evidence based study, more deflection 

[newbee2022]

I'm dead at that time. God sake ❤️😂🎉

[bwanajohn]

There will be a few of my first nation friends in North America discreetly laughing up their sleeves

[BarraMarra]

Wait till your Son comes home from junior School ( below 12 yrs old ) and says Dad today we read about the Prophet Muhammad, that's when it hits home about your future if you live in the UK.

 

 

[gravity101]

1 minute ago, BarraMarra said:

Wait till your Son comes home from junior School ( below 12 yrs old ) and says Dad today we read about the Prophet Muhammad, that's when it hits home about your future if you live in the UK.

 

 

What on earth would be wrong with that?

[gravity101]

4 hours ago, MarkBR said:

A post guarenteed to make the gammons foam at the mouth.

Yup. I can't wait for my Thai kids to go over, colonise and add to the White-British decline!

[Thingamabob]

The fact is that Britain today bears no resemblance to the country that people of my generation grew up in during the 1940s and 1950s.

 

Whether or not that is a good thing is a matter of opinion, as is whether or not this is a natural course of events.

 

For myself, I prefer not to go there any more.

[SunnyinBangrak]

5 hours ago, Hamus Yaigh said:

Furthermore, demographic changes often occur in ways that defy simple predictions.

Indeed. It was intentional population replacement. The got caught when they bragged about it. Sad you lefties cheer this on- it is essentially slo mo genocide.

 

"Immigrants? We sent out search parties to get them to come... and made it hard for Britons to get work, says Mandelson"

 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2324112/Lord-Mandelson-Immigrants-We-sent-search-parties-hard-Britons-work.html