I was thinking....2008 is a new year just like eveyone was saying a few days ago...but....think back to last January and everyone was saying the 2007 was a new year...same as this year...so 2007 and 2008 are both new years.....but then...hey.......think way back to 2006 and back then in January they were saying that 2006 WAS A NEW YEAR TOO....same as 2007,,,,same as 2008. We have had three new years in a row. I think it must be pretty rare to have three new years in a row.

Let's look at probabilites...if the chances are 50/50 that a year will either be a new year or not then if we start in 2006 then there was a 50% chance that it would be a new year....but then in 2007 there was also a 50/50 chance so having 2007 coming in as a new year meant that having two years in a row that were new years should only happen 25% of the time.....and now with 2008 being a new year too with its 50/50 chance of being a new year gives us three years in a row of new years which is something that only has a 12.5% chance of happening!!!!......so just think...if next year (2009) should happen to be a new year too then we will have had four new years in a row which is something with a probability of happening of only 6.25%.....WOW....we live in interesting times.

Chownah

Magic mushrooms are delicious arent they!

I was thinking....2008 is a new year just like eveyone was saying a few days ago...but....think back to last January and everyone was saying the 2007 was a new year...same as this year...so 2007 and 2008 are both new years.....but then...hey.......think way back to 2006 and back then in January they were saying that 2006 WAS A NEW YEAR TOO....same as 2007,,,,same as 2008. We have had three new years in a row. I think it must be pretty rare to have three new years in a row.

Let's look at probabilites...if the chances are 50/50 that a year will either be a new year or not then if we start in 2006 then there was a 50% chance that it would be a new year....but then in 2007 there was also a 50/50 chance so having 2007 coming in as a new year meant that having two years in a row that were new years should only happen 25% of the time.....and now with 2008 being a new year too with its 50/50 chance of being a new year gives us three years in a row of new years which is something that only has a 12.5% chance of happening!!!!......so just think...if next year (2009) should happen to be a new year too then we will have had four new years in a row which is something with a probability of happening of only 6.25%.....WOW....we live in interesting times.

Chownah

Excellently put Chownah!

Don't you believe it. 2007 a New Year? Hah! It felt just like 2004 to me. I got a refund and I'm doing 2007 this year. Got a nice discount on it too, as it seems a lot of people got sucked into buying the 2008 model. Come December I'm going to ask for a test drive of 2009 to see if I want in or not.

With your reckoning Chownah, we're all still New Born Babies

With your reckoning Chownah, we're all still New Born Babies

Well it would explain why I wet the bed last night.

What a weird post

What a weird poster.

But, didn't we know that already.

Lasy years new year didn't include an extra day in February, like this new year .....err. I'll get my coat

Is the farm running idle this time of the year?

This is just the sort of post I enjoy reading. It's nice to be back...