Hotel boooking? reseravtion for Tourist Visa applying from Manila consulate
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COVID‐19 Vaccination During Pregnancy and Birth Defects - a US 2021-2022 study
When I came across this study, I smelled a rat... The study wants us to believe that 3.8% prevalence of major birth defects is 'normal', while I know that the actual (and widely accepted) figure is 3% (with a confidence interval of 2.8 to 3.2%). So I queried ChatGPT about this. And in first instance the program came with several plausible explanations for the 3.8% (a 27% increase over 3.0%). Then I pointed out to the program that the study did not give a confidence interval for its 3.8% claim as normal, but that they had only looked at the increases of specific birth defects. All of these did fall within the confidence limits, but they did not mention the accumulation of these individual defects, because when doing that there is a clear signal that on the whole birth defects have increased. And the program did confirm that that was a methodological error by the study authors (I would say that it was a deliberate omission as it undermines their conclusion). Furthermore I pointed to 2 red flags I came across when reading the study: #1 - The study states that: The overall prevalence of participant‐reported major birth defects in the C19VPR (3.8%) was similar to estimates published prior to the COVID‐19 pandemic and COVID‐19 vaccine availability (3%–5%) (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2008; Texas Department of State Health Services 2024). #2 - The study also states that: Our analysis is based on birth defects identified up to 4 months after birth, while existing birth defect surveillance systems in the United States typically include birth defects identified through at least 1 year after birth. Thus, we may have underestimated the prevalence of some birth defects. So by cherry-picking those specific limited population reports the study compares their 3.8% prevalence to a wide 3%–5% range, and by doing so the authors reduce the ability to argue that their observed rate is truly elevated. Secondly, they admit that the 'completely normal' 3.8% they come up with is actually underestimated because they only looked at the period of 4 months after birth, while in US typically this is followed up till at least 1 year after birth. If an interested amateur like me can easily see these shortcomings that totally undermine the study's 'nothing to see here' conclusion, the small CYA note at the end of the study does not come as a surprise to me: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. = = = -
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Report Confusion Plagues Thailand's New Digital Nomad Visa, Leaving Applicants Stranded
With the DTV, you still need to leave Thailand every 180 days (or 360 days, if you pay for an extension at the the immigration office). Visa exemption for most people allows you to stay up to 90 days per entry. -
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Whats the point of the morning and afternoon alcohol law?
I haven't read through the thread so probably mentioned. No alcohol at gas stations (7/11 etc). I have car so how far to the next watering hole? In Germany gas station is the last resort if all else closed 🤣🤣 -
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Marines Deployed…
Marines Deployed as federal site sitters! They are protecting federal assets! Somebody has to,Local law enforcement is in name only at times! Local law enforcement cant even protect their own facilities from the Insurgents. https://www.yahoo.com/news/rioters-smash-windows-lapd-headquarters-150758427.html https://taskandpurpose.com/news/marines-los-angeles-protests/ Story based on a task& purpose report with yahoo in support -
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Report Confusion Plagues Thailand's New Digital Nomad Visa, Leaving Applicants Stranded
Folks on visa exemptions should probably not have been leasing property in Thailand, to begin with...- 1
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