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[webfact]

Ready for a fight: Voter enthusiasm surges among U.S. Hispanics

By Chris Kahn and Daniel Trotta

 

Volunteer Bea Nevarez knocks on the door of a potential voter during door-to-door canvassing in Tucson, Arizona, U.S., October 31, 2018. Picture taken October 31, 2018. REUTERS/Caitlin O'Hara

 

(Reuters) - Hispanics are more interested in voting this year than in the last U.S. congressional midterm elections in 2014 and their enthusiasm outpaces that of all U.S. adults, according to a Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released on Sunday.

 

The poll also found likely Hispanic voters nearly twice as inclined to support Democrats for the House of Representatives as Republicans in Tuesday's elections.

 

Voter registration groups are using Republican President Donald Trump's nationalist, anti-immigrant rhetoric as an opportunity to drive up Latino enthusiasm. In an illustration of their passion, one group that is part of an alliance that has reached out to more than 1 million potential voters in Arizona took its name from the Spanish word for "fight."

 

Most opinion polls and political handicappers expect Democrats to win the 23 seats they need to assume control of the House. Republicans are favoured to keep control of the Senate.

 

Latinos could play a crucial role in several races, from tight Senate battles in Arizona and Texas to Florida's close Senate and governor's races. In California, the flourishing Latino population has helped put in play some Republican-controlled House districts Democrats hope to flip.

 

The Reuters/Ipsos poll, taken Sept. 1 to Oct. 29, found that 36 percent of Hispanic voters said they were "certain" to vote, up from 27 percent in 2014. That increase is nearly double the five percentage point rise in voter enthusiasm among all Americans over the same period, the poll showed.

 

Enthusiasm appears especially high among Hispanic Democrats.

 

Forty-two percent of Hispanic Democrats said they were "certain" to vote, up from 29 percent in 2014. Among likely Hispanic voters, 60 percent said they will vote for a Democratic candidate for the House, and 32 percent would back a Republican.

 

Hispanics are a politically diverse group, with 55 percent of likely voters identifying as Democrats, 31 percent as Republicans and 12 percent as independent, the poll showed.

 

Just over half, 53 percent, of likely Hispanic voters said they were "very motivated" to pick a candidate for Congress who opposes Trump, compared with 43 percent of all likely voters, 75 percent of likely Democratic voters and 9 percent of likely Republican voters.

 

'GET YOUR VOICE HEARD'

For candidates in border states with large Hispanic populations such as Arizona, a fundamental question is whether Latino voters will turn up in large numbers on Tuesday.

 

The voting bloc has long held potential for the Democratic Party but often disappoints. Record-low Hispanic turnout in 2014 was a warning sign for both parties.

 

Bea Nevarez hopes to turn that around, registering 800 people to vote this year. In the final days before the elections, she went door-to-door to encourage people to vote in Tucson.

 

Nevarez, 18, works for a group called "Lucha," a Spanish word meaning "struggle" or "fight." It is a partisan affiliate of One Arizona, a broad alliance that says it has knocked on 1.5 million doors in the state this year, part of a broad grassroots effort to reverse declining Latino participation. One Arizona says it has registered 200,000 voters this year.

 

"I'm out here trying to get your voice heard," Nevarez tells reluctant voters.

 

Her persistence paid off when she knocked on the door of Jose Alberto and Norma Moreno, Mexican immigrants who are now U.S. citizens.

Sitting at his kitchen table, Jose Alberto Moreno, 62, at first told Nevarez he had no intention of voting.

 

"I don't believe in any of that. All politicians are liars," said Moreno, who works at a furniture warehouse.

 

But Nevarez insisted, engaging him in a conversation that eventually turned to healthcare, Moreno's main concern. After a few minutes, he agreed to vote.

 

"I'm going to do it now. She convinced me," Moreno said.

 

The Republican National Committee said it has also reached out to voters in Arizona this year, as part of a drive in 11 states.

 

America's 29 million Latinos account for nearly 13 percent of eligible voters this year, but their turnout rate has declined since 2006, according to the Pew Research Centre. Only 27 percent of eligible Latinos voted in the last midterm elections in 2014, and only 16 percent of those aged 18 to 35, Pew said.

 

Some activists said they were motivated by watching Joe Arpaio, a former Arizona sheriff whose anti-immigrant policies brought his office multi-million-dollar penalties for racial profiling and eventually a contempt of court conviction.

 

He maintained that the prosecution was political, aimed at helping oust him from office. Trump later pardoned him.

 

"We have seen an igniting of fear, division and violence under this (Trump) administration, but that's not new to Arizona," said Alejandra Gomez, a co-executive director of Lucha. "We had the original Trump here under Arpaio."

 

(Reporting by Chris Kahn in New York and Daniel Trotta in Tuscon, Arizona; Editing by Jason Szep and Grant McCool)

 

-- © Copyright Reuters 2018-11-05

[Somtamnication]

Do or die, amigos! Go out and vote!

[helpisgood]

3 hours ago, webfact said:

Just over half, 53 percent, of likely Hispanic voters said they were "very motivated" to pick a candidate for Congress who opposes Trump, compared with 43 percent of all likely voters, 75 percent of likely Democratic voters and 9 percent of likely Republican voters.

 

Maybe many Hispanic voters think that the Republicans are "not sending their best."  :-) 

[Tug]

I’m hoping the massive turnout bodes a strong dem wave at least to check the worst of trumps blunders and to get a (real) look at him such as tax returns and interviews with all players in the Russian investigation 

[Thailand]

I see Trump was extolling the virtues of barbed wire at the border and the damage it can do in one of his recent tirades.

I guess many a soldier particularly in WW1 would have confirmed that.

 

Come on guys lets see a massive turnout against this Moron!

[Chomper Higgot]

3 minutes ago, canuckamuck said:

 

 

el presidente Trump salvará a America

There’s a sweet irony in the Hispanic vote might just save America. 

 

 

[Scott]

A post in a foreign language has been removed.   English only in this section of the forum.

 

 

[Benmart]

My heritage is from Spain and Mexico. My nationality is the United States of America. Twenty years serving my country...The United States of America.

 

The lamentations of foreign critics is low on the merit scale. They would benefit by cleaning their own side of the street.

[sirineou]

15 minutes ago, CALSinCM said:

Then I act like a mature adult and accept the outcome regardless of whether or not I 'like' it.  That's the system we have.  Too bad more Americans don't act like adults.  The childish antics of the terminally offended is....it's difficult to believe Americans over the age of majority can't act like responsibly, mature grown-ups. It's pathetic. 

 You find pathetic that Americans don't act like adults, yet you accept the president who is American, and President, hopefully held to a higher standard, not acting like an adult???  

[bristolboy]

 

49 minutes ago, CALSinCM said:

 And regarding Hispanics.  When I lived in the US I lived in a country that was predominately Hispanic.  Interestingly enough, most of my middle-class Hispanic friends shared similar political views as did I.  So - Tuesday Nov 6th will tell the tale it tells.  Then as a country, we need to move on. 

Well you might have a point about Hispanics if there already isn't a long electoral record of how they vote. And it mostly isn't Republican. And applying just a smidgen of common sense to the question would tell you that Trump ain't doing much to endear the Republican party to most Hispanics.

 

The one area of the country that's the exception is Florida where Cubans are mostly the Hispanics in question. But even there the younger generations of Cubans are drifting away from the Republicans.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/04/miami-cubans-midterm-elections-voters

[Thingamabob]

30 percent Hispanics for Trump/GOP is way under-stated.

[bristolboy]

30 minutes ago, Thingamabob said:

30 percent Hispanics for Trump/GOP is way under-stated.

You know, if it was anyone else but you making that assertion, I'd ask them to cite some evidence.

On the other hand there's this:

Another election surprise: Many Hispanics backed Trump

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/2016/11/09/hispanic-vote-election-2016-donald-trump-hillary-clinton/93540772/

[Jai Dee]

An off-topic troll post has been removed from this thread.

[radiochaser]

My niece of Thai decent and a naturalized American, was asking me how to vote in the up coming election.  As best I could, I explained the process of going to the polls, identifying herself, then what the voting machine would look like and how to use it.  I also told her to ask the person that would be lead her to the voting machine to show her how it worked.  

I think she is going to vote republican.  She seems dismayed and upset about how the democrats have been acting and by what the democrats have been saying.   

[Jingthing]

4 minutes ago, radiochaser said:

My niece of Thai decent and a naturalized American, was asking me how to vote in the up coming election.  As best I could, I explained the process of going to the polls, identifying herself, then what the voting machine would look like and how to use it.  I also told her to ask the person that would be lead her to the voting machine to show her how it worked.  

I think she is going to vote republican.  She seems dismayed and upset about how the democrats have been acting and by what the democrats have been saying.   

Is she Hispanic?

[Jingthing]

Latinos have huge numbers but historically they don't actually vote all that much. They are indeed very diverse. They've never been as overwhelmingly democratic as blacks, Jews, and gays and clearly never will be, but I think it's clear they won't be majority republican in the foreseeable future. 

[Srinivas]

This election is still Trump vs Democrats.

not Republicans vs Dems. which is why he is heavily campaigning.

kinda hard to excite apathetic ,depressed, demoralized to vote in midterms.

will be interesting to see the turn out comparisons.

pollsters lol

[radiochaser]

On 11/5/2018 at 4:02 AM, Jingthing said:

Is she Hispanic?

Why no and I quote, "My niece of Thai decent".  

 

Funny you should ask though.  Her husband is from El Salvador.  I think that would qualify him as hispanic! 

[Jingthing]

2 minutes ago, radiochaser said:

Why no and I quote, "My niece of Thai decent".  

 

Funny you should ask though.  Her husband is from El Salvador.  I think that would qualify him as hispanic! 

Yeah, but the topic is about Hispanic voters. Not Thai-American voters. Completely different demographics, dude. 

[radiochaser]

1 minute ago, Jingthing said:

Yeah, but the topic is about Hispanic voters. Not Thai-American voters. Completely different demographics, dude. 

Be that as it may.  But hispanics went to their house to campaign for them, both, to vote for democrats.  

Which he can't, because he is an illegal alien!

[Jingthing]

2 minutes ago, radiochaser said:

Be that as it may.  But hispanics went to their house to campaign for them, both, to vote for democrats.  

Which he can't, because he is an illegal alien!

So now you're going even more off topic. Congratulations. 

BTW -- there are many Hispanic Americans that were on the USA land for many generations before the USA even became a nation. 

Edited November 7, 2018 by Jingthing

[radiochaser]

Just now, Jingthing said:

So now you're going even more off topic. Congratulations. 

You are right.

[lannarebirth]

The top trending Google search on Election Day is 'dónde votar,' as historic Latino voter turnout is expected for midterms                                 

 

https://www.businessinsider.com/donde-votar-tops-trending-google-search-latino-midterms-election-day-2018-11