Thailand reports 374 new COVID-19 cases

 

 

Thailand reported 374 new coronavirus cases on Sunday.

 

Of the new cases, 364 were local transmissions, 10 were imported from people entering quarantine.

 

Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA), Dr. Taweesin Visanuyothin also said 109 people had been discharged from hospital having made a full recovery. 

 

2,969 people remain in hospital or held in a migrant worker quarantine centre.

 

Sunday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 12,045, with 70 deaths.

 

The number of new infections and total cases in Thailand since 14 Dec is as follows:
 
14 Dec: +28 (4,237)
15 Dec: +9 (4,246)
16 Dec: +15 (4,261)
17 Dec: +20 (4,281)
18 Dec: +16 (4,297)
19 Dec: +34 (4,331)
20 Dec: +576 (4,907)
21 Dec: +382 (5,289)
22 Dec: +427 (5,716)
23 Dec: +46 (5,762)
24 Dec: +67 (5,829)
25 Dec: +81 (5,910)
26 Dec: +110 (6,020)
27 Dec: +121 (6,141)
28 Dec: +144 (6,285)
29 Dec: +155 (6,440)
30 Dec: +250 (6,690)
31 Dec: +194 (6,884)
1 Jan: +279 (7,163)
2 Jan: +216 (7,379) 
3 Jan: +315 (7,694)
4 Jan: +745 (8,439)
5 Jan: +527 (8,966)
6 Jan:+365 (9,331)
7 Jan:+305 (9,636)
8 Jan:+205 (9,841)
9 Jan:+212 (10,053)
10 Jan:+245 (10,298)
11 Jan:+249 (10,547)
12 Jan:+287 (10,834)
13 Jan:+157 (10,991)
14 Jan:+271 (11,262)
15 Jan:+188 (11,450)
16 Jan:+230 (11,680)
17 Jan:+374 (12,045)
 

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27 minutes ago, rooster59 said:

16 Jan:+230 (11,680)
17 Jan:+374 (12,045)

So again the 335 that were reported late yesterday have not been included in yesterday’s or today’s totals,,,,,but the pm has it under control????????????????

To be fair 320 out of the 374 were found amongst migrant workers already locked down in Samut Sakhon. 

 

The remaining 50 or so from local infections in relatively low. 

 

I am not trying to downplay the situation but the numbers outside of Samut Sakhon seem to be stable meaning and relatively low.

From the data for 34 days, 28 new infections on 15 Dec and 7808 additional on Jan 17. Given an infection/transmission period of four days there would be 8.5 periods. So 28(R0)^8.5 = 7808. Then 8.5(logR0)=log(278.8) Therefore logR0=2.445/8.5 = .28764 So the R0 equals 1.94 

36 minutes ago, G950 said:

To be fair 320 out of the 374 were found amongst migrant workers already locked down in Samut Sakhon. 

 

The remaining 50 or so from local infections in relatively low. 

 

I am not trying to downplay the situation but the numbers outside of Samut Sakhon seem to be stable meaning and relatively low.

Correct. Chonburi had 1 new case today (Sattahip) and none in Banglamung (Pattaya). None in Pattaya yesterday either.

2 minutes ago, polpott said:

Correct. Chonburi had 1 new case today (Sattahip) and none in Banglamung (Pattaya). None in Pattaya yesterday either.

Why are Rayong and Pattaya still locked down? Gotta feel for expats in Rayong. Big shortage of supermarkets

Wonder why Thailand deliberately attempted NOT to report cases from yesterday afternoon in addition to today's cases "Late Saturday afternoon, the Samut Sakhon provincial health office reported 335 new COVID-19 cases"

Total cases today (17 January), shouldn't it be 709???

Why Thailand always play down in reporting numbers? Isn't Samut Sakhon part of Thailand??? Does not matter, if ii is from migrant workers, the total infection cases should be reported accurately, then the breakdown by province can be detailed to make up the grand total.

And note that the figures for Sundays tend to show a jump from earlier days in the week for reasons I don't know, but which probably aren't very complex.

1 minute ago, bangsaenguy said:

Why are Rayong and Pattaya still locked down? Gotta feel for expats in Rayong. Big shortage of supermarkets

Because both have recorded new cases in the last few days. needs at least 14 days after the last case before any restrictions are lifted. Last time around it was almost 2 months in Pattaya between the last case and all restrictions being lifted.

 

This time asymptomatic cases are running around 80% and Chonburi governor has announced ramping up of mass testing in Chonburi. He may apply to have Chonburi's category reduced from red to orange by the end of the month. Fingers crossed.

Numbers have doubled in 2 days isn't that called an exponential increase?Where is the dramatic headline that most other countries would be spouting?

1 hour ago, G950 said:

To be fair 320 out of the 374 were found amongst migrant workers already locked down in Samut Sakhon. 

 

The remaining 50 or so from local infections in relatively low. 

 

I am not trying to downplay the situation but the numbers outside of Samut Sakhon seem to be stable meaning and relatively low.

To be fair they are targeting migrant workers because obviously they are to blame for this outbreak.They may get a different result if they targeted Thais instead of relying Thais to go to hospital and pay for a test.There were 364 local transmissions according to the article not 50.It seems odd that although Thais in Samut Sakhon outnumber migrant workers by the multiple thousands yet we have a disproportionate amount of migrant workers being infected giving the illusion that Thais are pretty much immune from infection.Doesn't that seem odd to you?

6 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

To be fair they are targeting migrant workers because obviously they are to blame for this outbreak.They may get a different result if they targeted Thais instead of relying Thais to go to hospital and pay for a test.There were 364 local transmissions according to the article not 50.It seems odd that although Thais in Samut Sakhon outnumber migrant workers by the multiple thousands yet we have a disproportionate amount of migrant workers being infected giving the illusion that Thais are pretty much immune from infection.Doesn't that seem odd to you?

I'm not sure thats the case, I was under the impression that migrant workers in Samut Sakhon far outnumber the local Thai population, according to reuters there are around 260,000 registered migrant workers there but the real figure could be 400,000. As for the local Thai population that numbers around 60,000.

Since the outbreak started amongst the migrants, the number of fatalities has actually been quite low, which is positive.

 

Let's hope it stays like that. 

36 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

I'm not sure thats the case, I was under the impression that migrant workers in Samut Sakhon far outnumber the local Thai population, according to reuters there are around 260,000 registered migrant workers there but the real figure could be 400,000. As for the local Thai population that numbers around 60,000.

That would explain the oddness of the figures.Thanks for the heads up on that one.

Seems they will need to continue the restrictions.

I wonder if they will cancel Chinese New Year at some point.

What is this nonsense?

In the same day they claim that one province alone reported 335 cases in Samut Sakhon.

So in the rest of Thailand there were less than 40 cases?

Frikkin rubbish.

They wonder why no-one takes them seriously.

Muppets.

1 hour ago, bangsaenguy said:

Why are Rayong and Pattaya still locked down? Gotta feel for expats in Rayong. Big shortage of supermarkets

Bit short of supermarkets? Can get almost anything you can get in Pattaya in Rayong.

Restaurant choices are another matter.

2 hours ago, taninthai said:

So again the 335 that were reported late yesterday have not been included in yesterday’s or today’s totals,,,,,but the pm has it under control????????????????

My belief is that they will be massaged into the figures in the coming days to keep them an  even amount and show no spike - this constant 200-300 figures a day is ridiculous.

1 hour ago, FarFlungFalang said:

Numbers have doubled in 2 days isn't that called an exponential increase?Where is the dramatic headline that most other countries would be spouting?

Did you post about the decrease from 745 on 4/1 to 365 on 6/1 and again to 205 on 8/1.? Cherry picking figures proves nothing. 

3 hours ago, rooster59 said:

16 Jan:+230 (11,680)
17 Jan:+374 (12,045)

 

Got to question the arithmetic of the author here too, or be kind and say it was a typo? ????

 

52 minutes ago, Sametboy2019 said:

Bit short of supermarkets? Can get almost anything you can get in Pattaya in Rayong.

Restaurant choices are another matter.

Must have opened more supermarkets since last year.

It's time to lock the majority of the common folk down again.  Come on man, they spread germs everywhere.

The local transmission figure is still disappointing & just about guarantees bars will remain closed for at least another month (February).

But when you let 4 nightclubes masquarade as restaurants, serving alcohol (someone important must have owned them) or Mr Plod behind in his new car payments, or both, it

is no wonder that the spread is spreading now pretty much as it wishes.

1 hour ago, Virt said:

Since the outbreak started amongst the migrants, the number of fatalities has actually been quite low, which is positive.

 

Let's hope it stays like that. 

I'm sure that's because it's been spreading, in the main, among a younger, fitter working population. Most of the fatalities in Thailand have been, like everywhere else, amongst the older, vulnerable group.

 

Like you say, let's hope it stays that way. 

47 minutes ago, rott said:

Did you post about the decrease from 745 on 4/1 to 365 on 6/1 and again to 205 on 8/1.? Cherry picking figures proves nothing. 

Cherry picking figures is the point I'm making if you put the sarcasm filter on.

Look, even the WHO admits that the PCR test is very far from perfect. In a guidance note issued in December, they wrote:

 

The design principle of RT-PCR means that for patients with high levels of circulating virus (viral load), relatively few cycles will be needed to detect virus and so the Ct value will be low. Conversely, when specimens return a high Ct value, it means that many cycles were required to detect virus. In some circumstances, the distinction between background noise and actual presence of the target virus is difficult to ascertain.

 

In other words, there is a significant risk of false positive results from the test, WHO admits.

 

https://www.who.int/news/item/14-12-2020-who-information-notice-for-ivd-users

 

Frankly, not a very good idea when the count of "cases" is used as an instant excuse to start locking everything down.

 

Plenty of perfectly healthy people will now be languishing in some State quarantine facility - in many countries - for no reason.

 

In fact, I will go further; it's a rotten idea to rely on PCR tests.

5 hours ago, polpott said:

This time asymptomatic cases are running around 80% and Chonburi governor has announced ramping up of mass testing in Chonburi.

 

Asymptomatic cases also test positive, when tested, and get included in the numbers.

 

In the past 33 days, how many people are you aware of that have been tested?

Didn't someone say yesterday that the number of infections are reducing, and they have it under control, well reading this post, doesn't seem like they have to me, and yes if, some were not added to yesterday's figures, that doesn't improve the final results.... 

1 hour ago, Susco said:

 

Asymptomatic cases also test positive, when tested, and get included in the numbers.

 

In the past 33 days, how many people are you aware of that have been tested?

Obviously enough to determine that 80% of those testing positive are asymptomatic. How else do you think that they know someone is asymptomatic if they don't test them?

 

 

6 minutes ago, polpott said:

2 hours ago, Susco said:

 

Asymptomatic cases also test positive, when tested, and get included in the numbers.

 

In the past 33 days, how many people are you aware of that have been tested?

Obviously enough to determine that 80% of those tested are asymptomatic.

 

You sidetracked my question on purpose, or are you the head of medical faculty in Thailand so you get reports.

 

Here is my question again, I will make it bold so easier to read.

 

In the past 33 days, how many people are YOU aware of that have been tested?

 

And since I have your attention now, which finger did you make wet to get to the 80% asymptomatic cases? I don't see any mention in the daily reports about how many of the tested people are in that category. In fact, I don't see any mention about how many people get tested at all