REUTERS FILE PHOTO for reference only

 

BANGKOK, May 5 (Reuters) - Thailand on Wednesday reported 2,112 new coronavirus cases and 15 deaths, as authorities seek to contain a third wave of infections.

 

The country has recorded 74,900 infections and 318 fatalities since the pandemic began last year.

 

(Reporting by Panarat Thepgumpanat Editing by Ed Davies)

 

-- © Copyright Reuters 2021-05-05

 

- Whatever you're going through, the Samaritans are here for you

- Follow Thaivisa on LINE for breaking COVID-19 updates

On the way up to the next peak.  And since we have supposedly already peaked according to some doctor who couldn't find the bottom of a paper bag, this must be a new wave, or maybe these folks need a lesson on testing and finding cases instead of talking out their pieholes. 

 

Then to add more to the issues ahead, this article just popped up in my viewer for the vaccination efforts to only include Thais and not foreigners.

 

Vaccines reserved for Thais, not expats - Public Health Ministry | Thaiger (thethaiger.com)

 

The Government confirmed that foreigners who had registered via the Mor Prom app or the LINE app would not be offered vaccination in the June or July roll out.

The issue of foreigners being able to access Covid vaccines in Thailand is further complicated by the government’s not allowing private companies or hospitals to independently import vaccine doses after changing their mind several times on the matter.

 

Stay safe folks.

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by ThailandRyan

No surprise sadly. Poorly managed, so what do you expect. Increasing numbers of positive cases even in a 'dodgy climate' of testing and more deaths.

 

It is going to get much worse IMHO before it gets better.

Still consistent with a low positivity rate. I haven’t seen the breakdown of infections yet, but I would guess that the numbers have been inflated by a couple of hot zones. That means that the authorities will focus on containment of those areas, as opposed to issuing more restrictions on a nationwide basis.

 

 

With testing in the Klong Toey Communities scheduled at 1000 per Day for the next 20 Days, for sure this will turn into a living Hell for many of those poor people.

Thats a possible 20,000 tested from Communities totaling 90,000+

Being poor in Thailand is a grim future.

19 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

On the way up to the next peak.  And since we have supposedly already peaked according to some doctor who couldn't find the bottom of a paper bag, this must be a new wave, or maybe these folks need a lesson on testing and finding cases instead of talking out their pieholes. 

I just looked at the updated official lab tests which is for the 3rd May. Only 6,628 carried out, the lowest pcr test count for weeks per person. Unless they get a true grip on this Thailand is going to be in this situation for months to come, plenty of further peaks possible with that amount of testing.

11 minutes ago, Cake Monster said:

With testing in the Klong Toey Communities scheduled at 1000 per Day for the next 20 Days, for sure this will turn into a living Hell for many of those poor people.

Thats a possible 20,000 tested from Communities totaling 90,000+

Being poor in Thailand is a grim future.

 

Why is that?

As you say, most of them are dirt poor, yet they will still receive treatment.

 

I presume the infected are getting dragged away to these field hospitals regardless of if they have money or not.

 

So one would think it must be free for Thais?

Can't get blood out of a stone.

I hope moving forward that any foreign gov donating money to Thailand - be it vaccines or other medical needs - stipulates that Thai gov vaccinate foreigners as well as Thais.  With the Australian gov donating 68 M THB to Thailand, but now the Thai gov states that Thais will be vaccinated before any farangs is pure <deleted>!

 

With all the corruption in this gov here, they should force some level of transparency before donating any money here too!

Week to date, numbers slowly creeping up again, consistent with the positive detection rate and lack of mass testing.

Thailand's 2,112 new COVID cases reported Wednesday rose 20 percent from the 1,763 reported Tuesday, and reached the highest daily total in the past nine days. But they remained below the peak daily totals of 2,839 and 2,438 reached on April 24 and 25, respectively.

 

Patients hospitalized with COVID, those in critical condition, and the share of those requiring ventilators to breathe all rose on Wednesday, continuing an ongoing trend. 30,222 COVID positive patients are now hospitalized in Thailand, including 1,042 in critical condition, and 343 of those requiring ventilators to breathe. The number of current critical cases has more than doubled over the past 11 days.

 

The 15 new deaths reported Wednesday was a decline from the 31 and 27 deaths reported on the prior two days, but remained the ninth consecutive day of double-digit COVID deaths in Thailand, bringing the country's total to 318. Total cases have now reached 74,900.

 

 

 

The chart below shows the case total in yellow since the start of the current "third wave" outbreak that began at the beginning of April. Those numbers include 224 deaths during that period out of the broader 318 deaths total.

 

 

 

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/319157016369296

 

 

 

 

36 minutes ago, Cake Monster said:

With testing in the Klong Toey Communities scheduled at 1000 per Day for the next 20 Days, for sure this will turn into a living Hell for many of those poor people.

Thats a possible 20,000 tested from Communities totaling 90,000+

Being poor in Thailand is a grim future.

At a 10% positivity rate in that area, that’s 2000 new cases over the next 20 days, 100 new cases a day. Assuming the positivity rate doesn’t go down.

what an absolute shambles.

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by WineOh

10 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

At a 10% positivity rate in that area, that’s 2000 new cases over the next 20 days, 100 new cases a day. Assuming the positivity rate doesn’t go down.

Your numbers reflect the numbers of testing. If testing was increased 10% per day then one could expect the numbers would be higher. Increase by 20% and higher again. Do this nationally and a truer picture would start to emerge.

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by dinsdale

We're fairly stable around 2,000 (a couple of days doesn't mean a clear trend) and the Songkran window is closing but I still think we really have to be on our toes here. The virus quietly brewed in Lombardy for weeks before it took off, it did the same in New York, then it exploded with a vengeance. And that was a less contagious strain. 

 

I don't like these around 2,000 per day figures. Sure, IMO anyway, the Thai contact tracing has been first class, still is, but they easily could lose this one if it doesn't start to go down soon. Contract tracing could get overwhelmed and it's enough if a few of the 10?, 20?, 30? thousand they try to contact every day can't be reached (and is infected) and we could have a few more clusters every day. 

 

Hospitals will get / are already overloaded. They are switching to quarantine at home so most or at least many of the other family members in the house hold will get infected.

 

IMO, the Thai economy will lose much more not controlling this than what a lockdown will cost. Why? Most business will still go on as usual, factories will still produce and export. Only smaller parts of the Thai economy will be shut down. And what about the future tourism? Westerners with their gung-ho attitude to covid-19 will still come during 2022 but Asians will not! And income from Asian tourism is much greater than Western tourism. 

 

The next 15 days will decide I think

Just now, MikeyIdea said:

We're fairly stable around 2,000 (a couple of days doesn't mean a clear trend) and the Songkran window is closing but I still think we really have to be on our toes here.

We?

What part have you played in Thailand's COVID policy?

Looks like it's risen exponentially since yesterdays result.It's almost like an exponential game of snakes and ladders!

As the daily new COVID cases being reported jump up and down, a look at Thailand's cases based on a rolling seven-day average -- which is one key indicator used by many health agencies -- shows the country has already reached a peak and is now on a downward, moderating trend, at least through May 3.

 

That's driven at least in part by the fact that today's new cases update, and those in recent days, have remained below the single day new cases highs of 2,839 set on April 24 and 2,438 set on April 25.

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by TallGuyJohninBKK

1 minute ago, FarFlungFalang said:

Looks like it's risen exponentially since yesterdays result.It's almost like an exponential game of snakes and ladders!

A heart beat rhythm showing Covid is alive

4 minutes ago, MikeyIdea said:

IMO, the Thai economy will lose much more not controlling this than what a lockdown will cost. Why? Most business will still go on as usual, factories will still produce and export. Only smaller parts of the Thai economy will be shut down.

Most office based companies have already taken the initiative and have their staff working from home. I've had mine working from home for the last 3 weeks. Different story with factories and the likes of course but most conscientous employers have taken this difficult decisions as the government is avoiding using the word 'lockdown' like the plague (pun intended).  

Foreign Ministry cautions Thais over ‘vaccination tours’ to US

 

The Foreign Ministry is cautioning Thais about availing of tours to the United States for the sole purpose of receiving Covid-19 vaccinations. Some tourism agencies have announced US tour packages for those who want to be inoculated in that country.

 

The packages were in response to a US regulation that allows people on arrival aged 16 or over to be vaccinated.

 

However, the ministry explained that the regulation can differ from state to state and said that some states will vaccinate only US citizens.

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40000539

 

5 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

As the daily new COVID cases being reported jump up and down, a look at Thailand's cases based on a rolling seven-day average -- which is one key indicator used by many health agencies -- shows the country has already reached its peak and is now on a downward, moderating trend, at least through May 3.

 

That's driven at least in part by the fact that today's new cases update, and those in recent days, have remained below the single day new cases highs of 2,839 set on April 24 and 2,438 set on April 25.

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

When you say Thailand has reached its peak is that you predicting this?Might it not also just be a bump or ridge on the way to its final peak,John I hope your not peaking too early! 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10157992892457050

 

 

 

10 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

When you say Thailand has reached its peak is that you predicting this?Might it not also just be a bump or ridge on the way to its final peak,John I hope your not peaking too early! 

 

That chart isn't predicting the future, nor am I.

 

It's merely showing the 7 day trend for recent cases, which tends to adjust for the daily fluctuations, and instead shows the broader trend, which can be informative.

 

When I added today's updated numbers into that chart, it still shows the same moderating trend.  At least thus far, we're not back to the 2,400 to 2,800 new case levels of the last week in April.

 

That said, Wednesday's 2,112 new case number was Thailand's highest daily total in the past nine days. The last time Thailand had a higher daily number was 2,179 on April 27.  Blip or trend, time will tell.

 

 

 

 

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by TallGuyJohninBKK

37 minutes ago, BritManToo said:

We?

What part have you played in Thailand's COVID policy?

 

We because I am a permanent resident who only have left Thailand 6-7 times the last 30 years, mainly have Thai friends and normally speak more Thai than English by now and enjoy voting in the local elections.

 

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by MikeyIdea

54 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

I just looked at the updated official lab tests which is for the 3rd May. Only 6,628 carried out, the lowest pcr test count for weeks per person. Unless they get a true grip on this Thailand is going to be in this situation for months to come, plenty of further peaks possible with that amount of testing.

So what day do those 6,628 tests correlate in regards to the day their results are published?If we take the result of 1763 from the 4th (the lowest) that would indicate a 26% positivity rate.

12 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

So what day do those 6,628 tests correlate in regards to the day their results are published?If we take the result of 1763 from the 4th (the lowest) that would indicate a 26% positivity rate.

Actually it was on the 3rd sorry, total lab tests were 6,628 and the positive cases for that day was 2,041 so a detection rate of around 30%

Edited May 5, 20215 yr by Bkk Brian

Scenes at Klong Toei slums and migrant labourers working nearby where they are conducting 1000 tests a day until the 19th May

 

 

 

Several off-topic posts in a diversionary discussion have been removed.

 

1 hour ago, pookondee said:

Why is that?

As you say, most of them are dirt poor, yet they will still receive treatment.

I presume the infected are getting dragged away to these field hospitals regardless of if they have money or not.

So one would think it must be free for Thais?

Can't get blood out of a stone.

 

Treatment? Really? What treatment do you think a poor Thai will receive?

If the ICU is full, where will the poor Thai be "treated"? I don't think private for profit will offer ICU capacity because it will be used for VIP or someone with money. The military ICU beds are reserved for government and military, are they not?

I think the critical care lower caste person might get is oxygen, anti inflammatory and access to a ventilator if it is available.