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MFP predicted to form coalition government with Pheu Thai


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Move Forward leader Pita Limjaroenrat before yesterday’s general election. Picture courtesy of Sanook.

 

by Mitch Connor


Academics predict that the Move Forward Party (MFP) is likely to form a government coalition with the Pheu Thai Party and other smaller parties following the recent Thai election. Their assessment comes after the Election Commission (EC) began counting votes when polling stations closed.

 

As the counting continued, MFP led in both the constituency and party-list races, followed by Pheu Thai and Bhumjaithai. According to the EC, unofficial results were expected later that evening.


Wanwichit Boonprong, a political science lecturer at Rangsit University, cited the Suan Dusit Poll findings, which showed that MFP and Pheu Thai could form a coalition without support from the Senate and the Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP). He noted that the liberal parties had won a victory over the conservatives as a result of new-generation voters seeking change.

 

Boonprong stated that an MFP victory will not trigger a coup, but the party must compromise on certain conditions, especially economic policies. For defence matters, he suggested MFP should hand the portfolio to Pheu Thai to liaise with conservatives.


Olarn Thinbangtieo, a political science lecturer at Burapha University, agreed, predicting that MFP and Pheu Thai could form a coalition with MFP leader Pita Limcharoenrat becoming the new prime minister.

 

However, Pheu Thai may need to make concessions to MFP, which could impact the planned return of fugitive former premier Thaksin Shinawatra. Alternatively, Pheu Thai could refuse to form a coalition with MFP, opting for PPRP instead.

 

Full story: https://thethaiger.com/news/national/move-forward-party-predicted-to-form-coalition-government-with-pheu-thai-party-and-smaller-parties

 

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-- © Copyright Thaiger 2023-05-15

 

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15 minutes ago, webfact said:

Boonprong stated that an MFP victory will not trigger a coup,

The dissolution of the party/parties would though via massive street protests. The army want to maintain their power. 

 

18 minutes ago, webfact said:

MFP led in both the constituency and party-list races, followed by Pheu Thai and Bhumjaithai

This is the coalition I expect.

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Pita needs to be PM for sure and *not* any of the Pheu Thai candidates like Thavisin and definitely not Shinawatra junior, that is what the young people of Thailand voted for and if they don't get it then there will be trouble ahead

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5 hours ago, webfact said:

Wanwichit Boonprong, a political science lecturer at Rangsit University, cited the Suan Dusit Poll findings, which showed that MFP and Pheu Thai could form a coalition without support from the Senate and the Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP). He noted that the liberal parties had won a victory over the conservatives as a result of new-generation voters seeking change

Lets hope the EC don't try to spoil the party.

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7 hours ago, dinsdale said:
7 hours ago, webfact said:

Boonprong stated that an MFP victory will not trigger a coup,

The dissolution of the party/parties would though via massive street protests. The army want to maintain their power. 

 

7 hours ago, webfact said:

MFP led in both the constituency and party-list races, followed by Pheu Thai and Bhumjaithai

This is the coalition I expect.

I was wrong. Formation of coalition is underway. Details to be found elsewhere. 6 party coalition 309 MP's. Prayut is gone. His lackeys in the Senate will abadon him.

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3 hours ago, KhaoNiaw said:

https://www.thaienquirer.com/49648/an-open-letter-to-the-move-forward-party/ 
 

I think this is a really good article. Move Forward can afford to be patient. Some pressure on Pheu Thai now to show their true colours. If they join any kind of coalition that keeps Move Forward out of power, it could well be the end of them. 

For reference (today's International media):

 

MFP leader Pita Limjaroenrat said he would seek to build a six-party coalition including Pheu Thai..............................Pita said he had called Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Pheu Thai's lead candidate to be prime minister, to congratulate her on her campaign and invite her to join the coalition.

 

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/thai-opposition-claims-victory-voters-055821504.html

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309 is totally fine to form a resiliant majroity government, but it is still short of the 375 required to elect a PM with the junta-stacked senate.

 

Move Forward = 151 MP seats Pheu Thai = 141 Prachachart = 9 Thai Sang Thai = 6 Seri Ruam Thai = 1 Pen Tham (Fair Party) = 1

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If Anutin's party joined up with their 70 seats then the Senate is rendered irrelevant. However, there seems to be a reluctance to have them on board because they propped up the previous government. Is it doable?

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2 hours ago, Burma Bill said:

For reference (today's International media):

 

MFP leader Pita Limjaroenrat said he would seek to build a six-party coalition including Pheu Thai..............................Pita said he had called Paetongtarn Shinawatra, Pheu Thai's lead candidate to be prime minister, to congratulate her on her campaign and invite her to join the coalition.

 

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/thai-opposition-claims-victory-voters-055821504.html

Yes, but if that doesn't go as hoped ...

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