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Posted
1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

Stopping Russia now avoids a larger war down the road.

Classic Vietnam domino theory it was nonsense then and nonsense now. Schrodinger's Russia , both dead and alive at the same time - the second best army in Ukraine on it's last legs but capable of annexing Europe. Which is it ?

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Posted

Good news on Independence day, more territory regained in Karkiv

 

 

‘Attacked a Superior Enemy and Won’ – Ukraine Gains Ground in Kharkiv

Fighters of the Third separate assault brigade overran Russian battalion defense positions and took control of nearly two square kilometers of occupied territory in a successful counterattack.

Troops of the Third Separate Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) announced they had executed a series of counterattacks in the Kharkiv region, securing nearly two square kilometers of the front line.
“Official: The Third Assault Brigade is advancing in the Kharkiv region, reclaiming territories!” read a message from the brigade on Telegram.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/37853

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Posted

There is some reasoning behind the Kursk offensive based on simple logic;

 

Option 1: Deploy all your troops to the Donbass front to slow down the Russians who will advance anyway

Option 2: Deploy your reserves and best trained men on a hail Mary mission into Russia hoping Russia's reaction is to withdraw men from the front, easing off the pressure and letting it stabilise

 

Option 2 is the more sound one as there was a chance it could have worked, unfortunately for Ukraine it didn't and the Russians have continued the same pace of advance in Donbass whilst deploying enough reserves to stall the Kursk offensive without sacrificing the Toretsk/Pokrovsk offensive capabilities, leading to a lose lose where not only is Ukraine still getting battered in Donbass but now it's best brigades are tied down in Kursk. They didn't take the bait.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c785z8917leo

 

Ukraine had hoped that by seizing territory in Russia's Kursk region it would be able to divert Russian troops away from their eastern advance, but that has not happened. If anything the Russian offensive on Pokrovsk, and Toretsk further to the north east, has intensified.

"Pokrovsk is a very important hub, a centre of defence. If we lose Pokrovsk, the entire front line will crumble," military expert Mykhaylo Zhyrokhov warned.

Ukraine relies on the town's rail and road infrastructure to provide supplies and reinforcements to its troops on the eastern front line, as well as to evacuate the wounded.

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Posted

I'm increasingly drawn to the argument that Ukraine is running on fumes - note the comments of the dire state of conscripts I posted up thread and their lack of training or weapons or even motivation to fight. Zelenskiy has repeatedly said that this war will end in November and there has been shuttle diplomacy with UKR and China and India. When these negotiations come the Kursk incursion makes sense as trading land for peace. The 64,000 Rouble question is of course will Putin bite. Both sides will have to beleive they have won - when neither have. It is a European tragedy without equal in my lifetime. Let's hope it ends soon and this senseless slaughter ends.

 

“War is peace.
Freedom is slavery.
Ignorance is strength.”

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Posted

From Finland who recently joined NATO thanks to Putin. 

 

Minister for Foreign Affairs @elinavaltonen congratulates Ukraine on Independence Day. Finland stands with Ukraine now and in the future. 🇫🇮 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine

 

 

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Posted
19 hours ago, beautifulthailand99 said:

 

 

16. English is the only permitted language anywhere on ASEAN NOW, except within the Thai language forum, where using Thai is allowed. Short Thai translations of technical terms are permitted in specialty forums. While we make allowances for members who do not speak English as their first language, we expect everyone to make an effort to post in a manner that allows others to understand their posts. As an international forum we have members from many countries in the world, and English is not the first language of every poster.

 

Looks very outdated. This rule appeared in the pre - translate.google.com era and never updated. Now it is the ChatGPT era when you can enjoy high quality translation levels - so it is very easy to translate everything on the fly (even in browser) or enable subtitles in any language you prefer on YouTube. Decades has passed and language barriers are not even comparable to those we saw in 2000s or 1990s era. 

Posted
17 hours ago, Cameroni said:

 

Yes, and Germany too has severe problems to sustain the 8 billion freebies it hands out to Ukraine and has announced it will scale that back to 50 percent less and then one tenth of it. In the US many are questioning the enormous sums poured into Ukraine. 

 

It can't continue indefinitely. Resources are limited in the West.

 

But not as limited as Russia's.

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Posted
14 hours ago, ballpoint said:

"If the West supplies Ukraine with long range weapons, we will nuke the West!"  Ukraine receives various Western missiles. 

"Okay, but if Ukraine attacks Russia, including Crimea and the land we claimed prior to this "operation" we will nuke the West!"  Ukraine goes ahead and attacks these lands, then Crimea, then Russia. 

"Alright, but if Ukraine steps foot on Russian territory we'll definitely nuke the West. 

As usual making claims of fact with nothing to back them up. Putin has not, to my knowledge threatened to nuke the "west". Ukraine yes, the West, no.

 

I wait with bated breath for your link to a reputable source proving that you are correct.

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Posted
14 hours ago, ballpoint said:

She even discusses the very real possibility that Putin will be forced to step down by the powers with the money.  Whether this would actually eventuate or not, it's still worth listening to her reasoning.

LOL. Putin apparently has no problem making even the rich have an unfortunate accident. I doubt he has any affection for any of them anyway, but they were obviously useful for a while.

 

Even the guy with a private army wasn't invincible, and guess what, his army didn't do anything when his plane fell out of the sky.

 

It'll be a brave oligarch to try anything foolish.

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Posted
3 minutes ago, stevenl said:

That's rich coming from the guy who states facts without links all the time.

BS. Unless I make it clear that it's an opinion I always post a link.

Prove it, but you can't.

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Posted

Foreign language videos removed along with some off topic posts and replies.

 

"All video content must be from a credible media source, and in English. Foreign languages, even with subtitles, are not permitted."

Posted

I think Ukraine has an uphill battle against Russia, and it has been my position that without NATO boots on the ground, they will not get their pre-2014 borders back.

 

That said, the Berlin Wall falling in '89 was quite a surprise to many. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Mavideol said:

maybe Vlad and Xi love story could turn sour as both want to grab any piece of rock/water/land

Map Shows Russia Border River Eyed by China

https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-russian-territory-eyed-china-1915298

 

 

 

The Chinese are just taking advantage of Russia's current dependence on China.

 

About the map, it's nothing new, it's been taught in school for decades that these tritories are Chinese. HoweverChina has time to recover the lost territories and will ply the long game.

It could unfold in this way:

- more and more Chinese will massively settle across the border (it has already started),

- then China will complain that Chinese residents are oppressed,

- then it will launch a special opration to save Chinese residents. 😆

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Posted

The boy that cried wolf. A bit like those that keep going on about WW3 and MAD

 

Ukraine’s punch through Russian defenses in the first foreign invasion since World War II has laid bare Moscow’s apparently illusory red lines.

 

Ukraine keeps crossing Russia’s red lines. Putin keeps blinking.

If Russia’s territorial integrity were threatened, “we will certainly use all the means at our disposal to protect Russia and our people. It’s not a bluff,” he said a few months later in September. “The citizens of Russia can be sure that the territorial integrity of our Motherland, our independence and freedom will be ensured — I emphasize this again — with all the means at our disposal,” making a clear reference to Russia’s nuclear weapons.

But Ukraine’s punch through Russian defenses in the first foreign invasion since World War II exposed Russia’s military flaws and laid bare Moscow’s apparently illusory red lines.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/24/putin-red-lines-war-ukraine/

https://archive.ph/NxCRR

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Posted
9 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

As usual making claims of fact with nothing to back them up. Putin has not, to my knowledge threatened to nuke the "west". Ukraine yes, the West, no.

 

That's alright then (sarcasm alert)

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