Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War

[Bkk Brian]

6 hours ago, kwonitoy said:

 

Great news, soon be heading to Russia and bringing the war closer and closer to Putin who has failed miserably. 

 

 

[stevenl]

14 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

"Russia’s Gazprom continues to send gas even though Ukraine has captured a key technical site in Kursk. The consequences could be extremely serious for the company and the Kremlin." 

 

Ukraine Has its Foot on Gazprom’s Throat

Russia’s Gazprom continues to send gas even though Ukraine has captured a key technical site in Kursk. The consequences could be extremely serious for the company and the Kremlin. 

It is the only remaining route to deliver gas directly to Europe and became even more crucial after the Yamal and Nord Stream 1 pipelines ceased operations in 2022.

At present, the gas flow through Sudzha is 40-42 million cubic meters per day, making it an indispensable link in the chain of Russian gas exports to Europe. It is even more important to Gazprom, the once money-spinning gas giant financially humbled by the continent’s turn away from Kremlin energy.

https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-has-its-foot-on-gazproms-throat/

 

 

I'm sure the hotline to Germany is running hot 

[Danderman123]

There are unconfirmed reports of a Ukrainian breakout in Belgorod.

 

Speculation: Ukraine may have discovered that Russian border defenses are weak, and may engage in a series of cross border attacks designed to encircle Russian forces inside Ukraine.

[Mavideol]

just say so, nothing to back it up, propaganda nothing else

Moscow Points Out Supposedly 'Obvious Fact' About The West And Kyiv's Incursion Amid Latest Warning

 

https://au.yahoo.com/news/moscow-points-supposedly-obvious-fact-125846441.html

 

 

[beautifulthailand99]

Julian Ropcke Defence Corrrespondent for Der Bild and uber all in Ukrainiain supporter is one of the brave souls that calls it as he sees it. You won't ever see this on the r/Ukraine sub. Either that or he is a deep cover Putin shill - he is German after all. The subtext of his honesty is I think the same as Zelesnkiy cries - things are desperate we need our allies to go all in or at least stop handcuffing the use of high tech weaponery to strike deep within Russia or Ukraine will lose the war.

 

 

[Bkk Brian]

Expanding its hold on the Kursk region and another oil depot hit. This time in the Rostov region.

 

Ukraine has taken control of 100 Russian settlements as it continued an offensive into Russia’s Kursk region, a top military commander claimed.

Ukrainian general Oleksandr Syrskyi said his troops now control 1,294 sq km (500 sq miles) of Russian territory and have taken 594 prisoners of war.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-kursk-belgorod-missiles-putin-news-b2602854.html

 

Cooking nicely........

 

In what's becoming a difficult week for Russian oil infrastructure, another oil storage complex in Rostov region is burning after Ukrainian drone strikes.

The Atlas oil depot in Rostov Oblast.

 

 

[candide]

7 hours ago, stevenl said:

I'm sure the hotline to Germany is running hot 

I don't think Germany still gets gas from Gazprom.

[beautifulthailand99]

https://archive.is/U7mCW

 

Zelensky says Kursk offensive is collateral in a victory plan

 

Zelensky’s peace plans have often seemed overly ambitious. Last year’s ten-point proposal demanded that Putin withdraw from all Ukrainian territory and reaffirm Ukraine’s borders. These terms were unrealistic given Kyiv had no major victories on the frontline since the liberation of the Kharkiv region and Kherson in 2022. With so few details available on Zelensky’s new plan, its practicality remains uncertain. But even if Zelensky’s plan is rejected in Washington, allies will have to rethink their vague commitment to support Ukraine ‘as long as it takes’ – or the war will go on forever.

 

Svitlana Morenets is a Ukrainian journalist and a staff writer at The Spectator. She was named Young Journalist of the Year in the 2024 UK Press Awards

[beautifulthailand99]

56 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Expanding its hold on the Kursk region and another oil depot hit. This time in the Rostov region.

 

Ukraine has taken control of 100 Russian settlements as it continued an offensive into Russia’s Kursk region, a top military commander claimed.

Ukrainian general Oleksandr Syrskyi said his troops now control 1,294 sq km (500 sq miles) of Russian territory and have taken 594 prisoners of war.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-kursk-belgorod-missiles-putin-news-b2602854.html

 

Cooking nicely........

 

In what's becoming a difficult week for Russian oil infrastructure, another oil storage complex in Rostov region is burning after Ukrainian drone strikes.

The Atlas oil depot in Rostov Oblast.

 

 

An eye for an eye will leave everyone blind.

[Bkk Brian]

50 minutes ago, beautifulthailand99 said:

An eye for an eye will leave everyone blind.

Hardly an eye for an eye, ridiculous comparison

[Bkk Brian]

Another Su-25 down 

 

Ukraine downs Russian Su-25 aircraft in Donetsk Oblast – 'One less problem for our infantry'

Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Su-25 jet aircraft in the Kramatorsk sector in Donetsk Oblast, the Khortytsia group of forces reported on Aug. 28.

Anti-aircraft units of the 28th Separate Mechanized Brigade reportedly downed the plane with a Man-Portable Air-Defence System (MANPADS) as it was attempting to fire at Ukrainian troops.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-downs-russian-su-25-aircraft-in-donetsk-oblast/

 

 

[zmisha]

53 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Another Su-25 down 

 

Ukraine downs Russian Su-25 aircraft in Donetsk Oblast – 'One less problem for our infantry'

Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Su-25 jet aircraft in the Kramatorsk sector in Donetsk Oblast, the Khortytsia group of forces reported on Aug. 28.

Anti-aircraft units of the 28th Separate Mechanized Brigade reportedly downed the plane with a Man-Portable Air-Defence System (MANPADS) as it was attempting to fire at Ukrainian troops.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-downs-russian-su-25-aircraft-in-donetsk-oblast/

 

 

I had a bad feeling this morning. My hat got wet from the rain in Thailand. It's a bad omen.
I open the news and again nothing good for Z guys. I want revenge!

[stevenl]

4 hours ago, candide said:

I don't think Germany still gets gas from Gazprom.

I thought they did, which is why they didn't agree to a total EU embargo on Russian gas.

 

But I'm not completely sure about it.

[Cameroni]

2 minutes ago, stevenl said:

I thought they did, which is why they didn't agree to a total EU embargo on Russian gas.

 

But I'm not completely sure about it.

 

Most of the EU, including Germany still buy Russian gas. It just doesn't get there via pipelines. Belgium and Netherlands buy Liquified Natural Gas. In 2023 Russian LNG gas imports rose by 41%. Belgium and France then convert that into gas and send it over pipelines to Germany. About 26% of German gas comes from Belgian and Dutch pipelines. About 11 percent of those are Russian gas.

 

 

[Rimmer]

Off topic and links to 2023 articles removed also replies

[beautifulthailand99]

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-economy-shows-solid-growth-despite-ukraine-war-sanctions-2024-08-28/

 

MOSCOW, Aug 28 (Reuters) - The Russian economy has shown solid growth in many sectors while unemployment remains at a record low, new data showed on Wednesday, prompting officials to hint at a brighter outlook for the year despite Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine.
Driven by military production, industrial output rose by 3.3% in July compared with a 2.7% increase the previous month, and by 4.8% since the start of the year, compared with 3.1% growth in the same period in 2023.
A preliminary estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the first half of the year stood at 4.6%, compared with 1.8% for the same period last year.

[beautifulthailand99]

Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Into Russia Hitting Faraway Targets Will Not Tip the Balance of the War. To be a game changer, Ukraine would need to combine these strikes with tightly coordinated ground maneuver on a scale that its forces have been unable to master so far in this war.-FOREIGN AFFAIRS

 

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/false-promise-ukraines-deep-strikes-russia

 

With that in mind, Kyiv’s partners should now ask whether the modest military benefits are worth the escalatory risk. The answer will turn on assessments of the likelihood of expanding the conflict and on the risk tolerance of Western governments and publics. The latter is ultimately a value judgment; military analysis alone cannot dictate where to draw the line. What it can do is forecast the battlefield consequences of policy decisions. If the West lifts its restraints on Ukrainian deep strike capability, the consequences are unlikely to include a decisive change in the trajectory of the war

[kwonitoy]

 

[kwonitoy]

 

[kwonitoy]

 

[beautifulthailand99]

Et tu David ? David Axe has turned....reports talk of postions held since 2014 have been overun without hardly any opposition.Kursk is increasingly looking like the reckless gamble of a player who is nearly out of chips. Zelenskiy is screaming for help but his 'allies' plod on with their own agendas with problems of their own at home.

The point is Russia has a lot of land they're willing to give up, which they did in WW2 to survive it, forcing the Germans to maintain long, costly supply lines.

They evacuated the citizens in Kursk and stopped the incursion's progress for the last week. They'll probably take the land back, but they're not in a big rush to do so.

 

NATO never wanted Ukraine to win it was just showing Russia how a costly a future war would be like. Anything more came as a bonus.They will in the background suing for peace not escalation. Trump or Harris - will be the same.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/08/28/if-ukraines-invasion-of-russias-kursk-oblast-was-a-diversion-it-has-failed/

 

One generous reading of Ukrainian strategy in Kursk is that the invasion was meant to draw Russian regiments away from the east, relieving the pressure on Pokrovsk. In that sense, the invasion of Kursk may have been a diversion.

If so, it failed. “The offensive in the Kursk region not only failed to prompt the redeployment of some Russian forces from Donetsk, but also exacerbated the shortage of [Ukrainian] personnel in the region,” the pro-Ukraine Conflict Intelligence Team concluded.

Instead of rushing its best troops into Kursk to blunt the Ukrainian advance, the Kremlin scraped together a motley counter-invasion force, including many young and poorly trained conscripts. These reinforcements have slowed but not halted the Ukrainian invasion. More importantly for Russian strategy, they’ve allowed the Kremlin to keep its eastern forces intact.

[Mavideol]

Russian fighter jet downed over eastern Ukraine as oil depot set ablaze

 

https://au.yahoo.com/news/russian-fighter-jet-downed-over-124453106.html

[Mavideol]

Ukraine claims control of nearly 500 square miles of Russian territory - as it tests home-made ballistic missile

https://au.yahoo.com/news/least-11-killed-russian-attacks-093900796.html

 

[Mavideol]

Opinion - Russians are waking up to Putin’s Ukraine folly

https://au.yahoo.com/news/opinion-russians-waking-putin-ukraine-153000740.html

 

[Mavideol]

sooner or later the truth always prevails even when Vlad tries to hide it

 

Eyewitness Account of Ukraine’s Invasion of Kursk That Putin Wants to Hide

 

https://au.yahoo.com/news/eyewitness-account-uncensored-truth-putin-112034206.html

 

 

[Mavideol]

Opinion - The Kursk debacle highlights growing Kremlin instability

 

https://au.yahoo.com/news/opinion-kursk-debacle-highlights-growing-143000613.html

[Mavideol]

Ukraine intent on retaining captured Russian territory, US intel official says

https://au.yahoo.com/news/live-russia-dismisses-zelensky-plan-113714288.html

 

[Mavideol]

Putin Has 'Tested Even Russian Tolerance' With Nepotism Hire, UK Says

 

https://au.yahoo.com/news/putin-tested-even-russian-tolerance-123501498.html

[Mavideol]

this should have been allowed long time ago.... better later then never

Ukraine Russia war latest: Nato members call for long-range strikes on Russia as drones target Kyiv

https://au.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-russia-war-live-joint-033914158.html

 

[Mavideol]

1% or 10% it's good news, but this moron should have been gone long time ago, he lost the elections and chose/bet on the wrong "horse"... wouldn't trust either one

 

Putin's Top Ally Lukashenko Seems To Hint There's A 1% Chance He Could Turn Against Russia

https://au.yahoo.com/news/putins-top-ally-lukashenko-seems-143058166.html