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Posted
5 hours ago, RSD1 said:

The following list of 20 individuals includes a wide spectrum of voices from politics, academia, and media, many of whom accurately predicted Trump’s win in 2016 (against many who doubted them) but now they all express concerns about Trump's viability in winning in 2024. The first three people on the list, along with many others, predict an outright loss for Trump in the upcoming November election. Can one truly believe that they all have it wrong this time?

 

1. Bill Maher – Comedian and political commentator

2. Allan Lichtman – Historian known for presidential prediction model

3. Michael Moore – Filmmaker and political activist

4. David Axelrod – Former Obama advisor and political strategist

5. Frank Luntz – Republican pollster and strategist

6. Tony Fabrizio – Trump’s 2016 campaign pollster

7. Rick Santorum – Former Republican senator and conservative commentator

8. Lindsey Graham – Republican senator and longtime Trump ally

9. Mitch McConnell – Senate Minority Leader and Republican strategist

10. Karl Rove – GOP strategist and former Bush advisor

11. Michael Steele – Former RNC chairman and political analyst

12. George Conway – Conservative lawyer and co-founder of The Lincoln Project

13. Sarah Longwell – Republican strategist and anti-Trump advocate

14. Jon Meacham – Historian and presidential biographer

15. Larry Sabato – Political analyst and director of UVA Center for Politics

16. Stuart Stevens – Former GOP strategist and Lincoln Project senior advisor

17. Norm Ornstein – Political scientist and American Enterprise Institute scholar

18. Charlie Sykes – Conservative commentator and founder of The Bulwark

19. Thomas Friedman – New York Times columnist and political analyst

20. Jennifer Rubin – Conservative political columnist for The Washington Post

The overwhelmingly vast majority of voters don't even know who most of those  people are. Most are them are partisan rogues , RINO's and grifters making a buck off Trump hate. None would be considered credible voices other than to a small targeted audience of political talking heads and those who routinely follow politics 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, thaibeachlovers said:

After pussygate I thought Trump was going to lose for sure. I was surprised, though happy when he did win.

 

There hasn't even been an October surprise, except for the pathetic fail by Kelly.

I don't know who will win, but I hope that she loses.


Yeah, well, you now have Puerto Rico gate with just 8 days left. And according to Lichtman, any of the October Surprises over the last 40 years have never had any impact on the outcome of his September predictions anyway. So the October Surprise is a nothing burger if you follow Lichtman's scientific methodology of predicting the winner 2 months prior to every election using his 13 keys to the White House. 

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Posted
4 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

Trump is losing Pennsylvania by 400,000 votes, so far. It's hard to win the general election if Pennsylvania is gone.

IMG_20241029_144018.jpg.a9ebd169b4b6cacefb45e6a3c82effe7.jpg

Posted

No, I don't believe Trump can win. Almost any other Republican could have sailed through the campaign to victory. But it had to be Trump.

Posted
1 hour ago, morrobay said:

You just keep telling yourself that.

 

Honestly, I don't think we will see people break towards one candidate or the other until the very last couple of days.

Posted
2 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

These are some hard numbers to ignore...

 

Plus the trend has been one way for the past month.  Harris is obviously scared, otherwise she would campaign on her policies and not on simply attacking her opponent.

Easy to ignore polls with such a large margin or error.

 

You are trying to convince yourself that Trump will win. Good luck with that.

 

Actual voting data indicates that Harris has 270 Electoral votes in hand.

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Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, morrobay said:

Yes Harris needs all 3: PA, MI, WI. And Trump needs to win just one of those states for 270+

Nope. 

 

Your math is very questionable. Trump needs to win a bunch of states to win the election, and if Pennsylvania is gone, his path virtually disappears.

 

Why do you think you're not getting any talking points about early voting?

Edited by Danderman123
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Posted

 

 

I’m quietly confident that he will win……not necessarily via the ballot box though,

 

It is staggering that a so called 'educated the nation' could end up with such a totally unhinged, despicable character as their president.

 

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