Is Trump going down?

[Danderman123]

39 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Indeed. Betting on a landslide gets very good odds  A lot depends on the turn out and also have the Trump numbers been underestimated again. It sure seems like it's come down to ,WI, MI and PA. Harris needs all three and Trump needs one and IMO that will be PA.

I'm looking at turnout in Philadelphia right now, and Trump's dreams of winning Pennsylvania are vanishing.

[dinsdale]

Just now, Danderman123 said:

I'm looking at turnout in Philadelphia right now, and Trump's dreams of winning Pennsylvania are vanishing.

Where are you looking?

[dinsdale]

1 minute ago, dinsdale said:

Where are you looking?

I'm seeing overall, predictive/betting markets starting to blow out in favour of a Trump victory. 60/40. 

[mogandave]

4 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

I'm looking at turnout in Philadelphia right now, and Trump's dreams of winning Pennsylvania are vanishing.

You’re in Philly? Have a couple Pat’s while your there!

[dinsdale]

I just heard Harris did a postal vote. Is this true? If it is this would have to be a 1st anywhere in the world. 

[Danderman123]

13 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Where are you looking?

https://sixtysixwards.com/turnout-tracker/

 

Over 280,000 votes so far in Philadelphia today.

[Jingthing]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

Here's an easy one then. Who do you THINK will win PA? Just one easy question with a possible 3 answers. Harris, Trump or I don't know. 

Harris

[Danderman123]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

Here's an easy one then. Who do you THINK will win PA? Just one easy question with a possible 3 answers. Harris, Trump or I don't know. 

Harris.

 

It's not going to be close, unless there's an earthquake.

[dinsdale]

3 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

https://sixtysixwards.com/turnout-tracker/

 

Over 280,000 votes so far in Philadelphia today.

This is a bit of an exit poll. It says of itself that the figures are from people who have shared their vote. From what I've been seeing Republican voters are less likely to share this information. There is therefore a chance that this is skewed.

[Danderman123]

5 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

This is a bit of an exit poll. It says of itself that the figures are from people who have shared their vote. From what I've been seeing Republican voters are less likely to share this information. There is therefore a chance that this is skewed.

Nope.

 

The data source are hundreds of voter numbers submitted by actual voters.

 

As an example, if a voter in Precinct XYZ provides their voter # at 10.00 AM, you don't have to be a rocket scientist to know turnout at that time for that precinct.

[G_Money]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

Where are you looking?

Where else.  In his crystal ball.

[G_Money]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

I'm looking at turnout in Philadelphia right now, and Trump's dreams of winning Pennsylvania are vanishing.

You know who everyone is choosing at the ballot?

 

Amazing

 

Jet lag has taken its toll on you.  Get some rest and stay away from Kensington.

[cjinchiangrai]

1 hour ago, mogandave said:

You’re in Philly? Have a couple Pat’s while your there!

Yuck, Cheez-Wiz! Jim's is way better.

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, G_Money said:

You know who everyone is choosing at the ballot?

 

Amazing

 

Jet lag has taken its toll on you.  Get some rest and stay away from Kensington.

Turnout in Philadelphia is huge, and Pennsylvania is slipping away from Trump.

 

The question is whether the Harris campaign invested so much in Pennsylvania that they had weaker efforts in other states.

[pattayasan]

5 hours ago, dinsdale said:

You don't have to be an "election forecaster" to have an educated opinion. All you need is some independent critical thinking skills.  

 

Rubbish, the polls are a dead heat. You're just guessing and I'm not prepared to do that.

[oustaristocrats]

12 hours ago, frank83628 said:

but how do you know exactly how they are doing things when you only hear from Western media?  bbc, cnn, used to be in Russia, things only changed in 2014 when the Ukraine troubles began.

 

You simply buy a ticket to these countries and see what happens, things like travelling around freely, taking pictures where you want, try to connect to internet websites, then try to fly back home.

 

It is very simply, extremely simple to find out the differences. Simply have the guts to go there and try to do things you do at home. Do you dare ? 

[Danderman123]

6 hours ago, dinsdale said:

Where are you looking?

https://www.jonathantannen.com/turnout_tracker/

 

 

[wwest5829]

15 hours ago, pattayasan said:

 

please.

Yea, there was a referendum in the USA once upon at time, sovereign states declared they were leaving the country … same result … war. As regards Crimea, my thought would have recommended a deal whereby, the Crimea was restrained as part of a sovereign Ukraine but a long term lease be provided for Russia (recognizing the importance of the Black Sea fleet and majority Russian oriented citizenry) … that in return for guaranteed fuel supplies from Russia. So, yes, please …

[mogandave]

I think it funny that the same people that think Trump is Hitler, think Putin is paying English speaking intelligence officers to post on a Thai chat board 

[G_Money]

6 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

Turnout in Philadelphia is huge, and Pennsylvania is slipping away from Trump.

 

The question is whether the Harris campaign invested so much in Pennsylvania that they had weaker efforts in other states.

Ya think 

[G_Money]

6 hours ago, pattayasan said:

 

Rubbish, the polls are a dead heat. You're just guessing and I'm not prepared to do that.

No slam dunk for Harris.

 

Never underestimate when at least half the country belongs to your imaginary cult.

 

You still believe in the boogeyman?

[mdr224]

6 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

Turnout in Philadelphia is huge, and Pennsylvania is slipping away from Trump.

 

The question is whether the Harris campaign invested so much in Pennsylvania that they had weaker efforts in other states.

Theres no question that you have

[pedro01]

On 11/4/2024 at 9:37 PM, Mazungu said:

Thanks for your concern but I think I'll be feeling pretty good tomorrow. So good in fact that I'll be able to stop taking my <removed> pills. 

 

I think we all feel better now we know Trump has won.

[madone]

2 minutes ago, pedro01 said:

 

I think we all feel better now we know Trump has won.

Not in the least. 

i cant even take solace in the notion that this will stop the endless bloody bickering over the topic on the board.

[Will B Good]

2 hours ago, mogandave said:

I think it funny that the same people that think Trump is Hitler, think Putin is paying English speaking intelligence officers to post on a Thai chat board 

 

 

Look very odd....and a bit of a give away.....if they posted in Russian.

[Mazungu]

10 minutes ago, pedro01 said:

 

I think we all feel better now we know Trump has won.

If Trump indeed wins his crazy sh@t won't affect me too much since I'm a wealthy white dude living in a foreign country. But I feel sorry for women, people of color and Europeans (with the hungry bear at the door). 

[mogandave]

12 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

I'm looking at turnout in Philadelphia right now, and Trump's dreams of winning Pennsylvania are vanishing.

It’s over all right

[Danderman123]

1 minute ago, mogandave said:

It’s over all right

Unfortunately, turnout in Philadelphia petered out in the afternoon, but it still exceeded 2020. There is a Philly firewall of 600,000 votes.

 

We'll know tomorrow if it is enough.

[pedro01]

9 minutes ago, Mazungu said:

If Trump indeed wins his crazy sh@t won't affect me too much since I'm a wealthy white dude living in a foreign country. But I feel sorry for women, people of color and Europeans (with the hungry bear at the door). 

 

Don't worry about them - women will no longer be murdered and raped by illegals. People also wont be forced to take experimental and dangerous vaccines. 

 

Liberals will explode, obviously. But that's just a bonus for entertainment value. 

 

 

[transam]

Just now, pedro01 said:

 

Don't worry about them - women will no longer be murdered and raped by illegals. People also wont be forced to take experimental and dangerous vaccines. 

 

Liberals will explode, obviously. But that's just a bonus for entertainment value. 

 

 

Oh dear, you obviously believe what Trump says, are your pet's locked up safe and sound................😱...