Why Democrats Hold the Advantage for 2028 and Beyond

[thesetat]

5 minutes ago, Prubangboy said:

Yeah, I was an analyst for FEMA. It is the premier agency of its kind, better even than the Red Cross. We are the rightful envy of the world.

 

Red State, White Haiti-like places like Appalachia where I used to live need federal assistance -for every last thing. 

 

Your air-headed maybe this/maybe that pointless equivocating does not warrant further discussion.

 

You're not an analyst. you're just another butt hurt disinformation victim. You know nothing at all about FEMA, you just assume that it must be bad because it's Big Government.

 

Some day, we will have to de-program and re-educate you saddo's like the Germans had to after WWII.

 

 

Come on... FEMA is supposed to be there when help is needed in disasters. Yet, the hurricane that devastated New Orleans, they could not even get their SH-t together to send drinking water. 

[PomPolo]

A lot can happen between now and 2028 a fairly presumptive report this one.

[Yellowtail]

11 minutes ago, Prubangboy said:

Yeah, I was an analyst for FEMA. It is the premier agency of its kind, better even than the Red Cross. We are the rightful envy of the world.

 

Red State, White Haiti-like places like Appalachia where I used to live need federal assistance -for every last thing. 

 

Your air-headed maybe this/maybe that pointless equivocating does not warrant further discussion.

 

You're not an analyst. you're just another butt hurt disinformation victim. You know nothing at all about FEMA, you just assume that it must be bad because it's Big Government.

 

Some day, we will have to de-program and re-educate you saddo's like the Germans had to after WWII.

 

 

That says it all. 

[proton]

22 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Here’s a problem for the GOP.

 

MAGA is a Trump cult, no Trump, no MAGA.

 

Trump doesn’t get to run again.

 

 

 

But MAGA will under Vance, the people's choice must be so frustrating for you, fancy wanting to put America first 😊

[Yellowtail]

21 minutes ago, thesetat said:

Come on... FEMA is supposed to be there when help is needed in disasters. Yet, the hurricane that devastated New Orleans, they could not even get their SH-t together to send drinking water. 

They just needed more basket-weavers with advanced degrees eating sushi and analizing each other. 

[Artisi]

On 1/28/2025 at 12:49 PM, Watawattana said:

This is a joke, right?  Trump has been in the WH barely a week!

don't get excited about articles as such, they are just meaningless noise.  

[dinsdale]

2 hours ago, phetphet said:

Hypothetically. What if Trump tries to do an Erdogan / Putin move? Make himself President for life? He is already mentioning a 3rd term. He has plenty of time to fill posts with his cronies.

 

Unlike most other countries, almost every adult has firearms. This could make for a fiery outcome to say the least.

 

He is already ignoring, or trying to get around the 14th Amendment for US born citizens. Why not the 22nd?

The key to your post is "hypothetically". IMHO simply a thought bubble which doesn't warrant any intellectual consideration.

[Eric Loh]

1 hour ago, PomPolo said:

A lot can happen between now and 2028 a fairly presumptive report this one.

A lot can be gleaned from his previous presidency to predict the next 4 years.  

[Patong2021]

2 hours ago, CallumWK said:

I know those liberal loser tears affect your eyesight and brain functions, but I suggest you read the post you replied to again.

 

The OP phrasing was open ended, particularly when Trump  has stated that he believes that he  can run again.

 

Trump 'Not 100% Sure' He's Barred From Third Term

Trump has repeatedly alluded to the possibility that he might go beyond the current two-term limit for US presidents -- but while he often strikes a light-hearted tone the remarks remain provocative.

https://www.barrons.com/news/trump-not-100-sure-he-s-barred-from-third-term-c8a1185c

 

Why do you assume that anyone who does not accept the inaccurate information associated with Trump is a "liberal loser".  I am counting on Trump ruining the US economy and causing a spike in interest rates. My investment income will improve and I have no debt.

 

[Yellowtail]

7 minutes ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The OP phrasing was open ended, particularly when Trump  has stated that he believes that he  can run again.

 

Trump 'Not 100% Sure' He's Barred From Third Term

Trump has repeatedly alluded to the possibility that he might go beyond the current two-term limit for US presidents -- but while he often strikes a light-hearted tone the remarks remain provocative.

https://www.barrons.com/news/trump-not-100-sure-he-s-barred-from-third-term-c8a1185c

 

Why do you assume that anyone who does not accept the inaccurate information associated with Trump is a "liberal loser".  I am counting on Trump ruining the US economy and causing a spike in interest rates. My investment income will improve and I have no debt.

 

So not 100% sure means he believes he can run again, got it. 

 

[CallumWK]

12 minutes ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The OP phrasing was open ended, particularly when Trump  has stated that he believes that he  can run again.

 

Trump 'Not 100% Sure' He's Barred From Third Term

Trump has repeatedly alluded to the possibility that he might go beyond the current two-term limit for US presidents -- but while he often strikes a light-hearted tone the remarks remain provocative.

https://www.barrons.com/news/trump-not-100-sure-he-s-barred-from-third-term-c8a1185c

 

Why do you assume that anyone who does not accept the inaccurate information associated with Trump is a "liberal loser".  I am counting on Trump ruining the US economy and causing a spike in interest rates. My investment income will improve and I have no debt.

 

 

The post you replied to was clearly implicating Vance would win future elections

 

Vance is a calmer, smarter version of Trump.  He will win easily in 2028.

 

14 minutes ago, Patong2021 said:

Why do you assume that anyone who does not accept the inaccurate information associated with Trump is a "liberal loser". 

 

Because I read your previous posts for months already, so I know who i'm dealing with

 

[newnative]

     I wish this analysis was on target but I have my doubts.  I think the Democrats could win the popular vote in 2028 but the Electoral College, as shown by 2024, is another matter.  The Republicans start out with many more 'safe' states than the Democrats, including now safe Florida.  The so-called 'swing' states aren't so swingy, and certainly not in the Democrats favor.  I do agree with the strategy of having candidates from the 'blue wall' states. 

[newnative]

3 hours ago, jimmybcool said:

Anyone projecting 4 years out is guessing at this point.  Much of who will win will be determined by the results of the next 4 years.  If Trumps policies leave a sour taste in the mouth of voters then the DEMs have a strong chance.  If his policies result in a booming economy and new world wide respect and peace then a GOP candidate running a good campaign has a strong chance.

 

 A DEM candidate once said it clearly and was bang on the nose.  It's the economy stupid.  That more than the inane leftist policies of the left were the biggest reason the middle class turned away from Harris and the DEMs.  They forgot the economy for the middle class isn't the stock market.  It's inflation, wages and job security.

Best post of the thread.

[Ubonian Canadian]

On 1/28/2025 at 3:07 AM, Social Media said:

 

As the 2028 election approaches, the Republican Party finds itself facing significant challenges, while Democrats appear well-positioned to solidify their dominance not only in 2028 but also in 2032. This potential Democratic edge stems from a mix of historical trends, demographic shifts, and strategic opportunities that the GOP will struggle to overcome.  

 

At the forefront of the Democrats’ strategy lies the potential pairing of Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. This dynamic duo could be a political powerhouse, capable of energizing the Democratic base and reclaiming the so-called "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin—states that have consistently played a decisive role in presidential elections since 1988. Winning these three states essentially guarantees victory, and a Shapiro-Whitmer ticket would appeal to key voter blocs, particularly suburban women and urban voters, leaving Republicans with limited paths to electoral success.  

 

The Republican Party, meanwhile, must contend with two significant hurdles in 2028. First is the challenge of securing Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District’s electoral vote, which could prove critical in a close election. A shift to a winner-take-all system in Nebraska might bolster the GOP’s chances, but it remains a high-stakes gamble.  

 

Second is the looming threat of a MAGA voter drop-off. Historically, when popular Republican figures like Ronald Reagan left the ticket, voter turnout dropped precipitously. In 1988, the GOP saw a 10.4% decline in turnout, amounting to 6 million fewer votes. If Donald Trump’s base follows a similar pattern post-2024, Republicans could face a catastrophic 8 million vote deficit in 2028. Energizing this fervent but personality-driven faction without Trump on the ballot will be an uphill battle.  

 

Compounding these challenges is the risk associated with Trump’s second-term governance. By appointing high-profile congressional allies to Cabinet positions, Trump could inadvertently weaken the Republican grip on the House of Representatives. Vulnerable districts left in the hands of less-established candidates may flip to Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Should Democrats regain control of the House, Trump’s legislative agenda would stall, and the GOP would enter 2028 in a weakened position, with diminished grassroots organizing and fundraising efforts.  

 

The stakes are further raised by the potential Republican nominee for 2028, JD Vance. While Vance is considered a strong contender, history does not favor sitting vice presidents seeking the presidency. Since 1836, only one sitting vice president, George H.W. Bush, has successfully won the presidency. Vance’s task of uniting a fractured Republican Party—encompassing traditional conservatives, suburban moderates, and the MAGA base—could prove daunting, especially given the post-Trump ideological divides.  

 

For Democrats, the road to continued dominance appears smoother. Historically, incumbents tend to win reelection, and a Democrat elected in 2028 would likely secure a second term in 2032. Demographic trends also favor Democrats, as urbanization, younger voters, and an increasingly diverse electorate strengthen their coalition. If Republicans fail to broaden their appeal to these groups, their long-term viability remains in jeopardy.  

 

The Democratic advantage is also rooted in the strategic missteps of the GOP. A failure to address MAGA voter attrition, secure critical swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, or hold the House in 2026 could spell disaster. Moreover, the Democrats’ ability to frame a clear, inclusive vision on key issues such as health care, education, and the economy will only deepen their appeal to suburban and independent voters.  

 

The GOP’s path to victory in 2028 is narrow but not impossible. To compete, Republicans must broaden their coalition beyond Trump’s base, unify the party, and craft a compelling policy agenda. Ignoring these challenges could lead to a devastating repeat of the 1988 voter drop-off, handing Democrats a generational advantage in American politics.  

 

For now, the odds favor Democrats. With Shapiro and Whitmer poised as a potential dream team and demographic trends tilting the electoral map in their favor, the stage is set for a Democratic resurgence that could define the political landscape for years to come. The question for Republicans isn’t just how to win in 2028 but how to prevent a long-term shift that could lock them out of power for a generation.

 

Based on a report by The Hill 2025-01-28

 

 

 

[Ubonian Canadian]

Great comedy piece.

[Will B Good]

1 minute ago, Ubonian Canadian said:

Great comedy piece.

 

You might have a vote come 2028.

[candide]

3 hours ago, thesetat said:

Come on... FEMA is supposed to be there when help is needed in disasters. Yet, the hurricane that devastated New Orleans, they could not even get their SH-t together to send drinking water. 

MAGA propaganda lies, as usual! 

[Ubonian Canadian]

33 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

You might have a vote come 2028.

They won't let me, I'm still a Brit. Just lived there for 65 years.

[TedG]

5 hours ago, Prubangboy said:

Yeah, I was an analyst for FEMA. It is the premier agency of its kind, better even than the Red Cross. We are the rightful envy of the world.

 

Red State, White Haiti-like places like Appalachia where I used to live need federal assistance -for every last thing. 

 

Your air-headed maybe this/maybe that pointless equivocating does not warrant further discussion.

 

You're not an analyst. you're just another butt hurt disinformation victim. You know nothing at all about FEMA, you just assume that it must be bad because it's Big Government.

 

Some day, we will have to de-program and re-educate you saddo's like the Germans had to after WWII.

 

 

Name a state that does not get federal assistance.

[Watawattana]

5 hours ago, Artisi said:

don't get excited about articles as such, they are just meaningless noise.  

True.  Thankfully not that excited.  Just made me laugh.

[Eric Loh]

Lots of snowflakes reactions to an opinion piece. Maga easily triggered. 

[mogandave]

4 hours ago, newnative said:

     I wish this analysis was on target but I have my doubts.  I think the Democrats could win the popular vote in 2028 but the Electoral College, as shown by 2024, is another matter.  The Republicans start out with many more 'safe' states than the Democrats, including now safe Florida.  The so-called 'swing' states aren't so swingy, and certainly not in the Democrats favor.  I do agree with the strategy of having candidates from the 'blue wall' states. 

Or perhaps going with policies that most Americans want.

[thesetat]

4 hours ago, candide said:

MAGA propaganda lies, as usual! 

Really? Are you serious? 

It took almost 3 weeks to get water to the state. 

https://www.cato.org/blog/hurricane-katrina-remembering-federal-failures

You should read your history... Before blaming everything on MAGA

[mogandave]

28 minutes ago, thesetat said:

Really? Are you serious? 

It took almost 3 weeks to get water to the state. 

https://www.cato.org/blog/hurricane-katrina-remembering-federal-failures

You should read your history... Before blaming everything on MAGA

If it’s not on RawStory or AlterNet it didn’t happen.

[Luuk Chaai]

On 1/28/2025 at 3:07 AM, Social Media said:

 

 

Silliest post ever ....

With a poster child like this,  It's a republican avalanche ....   !

[candide]

1 hour ago, thesetat said:

Really? Are you serious? 

It took almost 3 weeks to get water to the state. 

https://www.cato.org/blog/hurricane-katrina-remembering-federal-failures

You should read your history... Before blaming everything on MAGA

I did not pay attention you were talking about Katrina. That was 10 years ago.