It just might be, there are so many aspects of this war that remain uncertain, there's no question that Iran has outwitted Israel and the US on so many levels, and both were grossly unprepared for their strategy, and nobody knows where this is going at this point in time. This situation is expected to trigger a chain reaction across the global economy, from shortages of raw materials in the petrochemical sector to rising pressure on global food prices in the months ahead. Nobody wants that. Or do they? And if so, why? The Pentagon is severely limiting press access, everything in regard to this war is being censored by both the US and Israel, this entire war is being run by a guy who couldn't qualify to be the leader of a local Boy Scout Troop, and Trump is being advised by some of the least intelligent and least wise people in American history. In addition the US has not won a war in 81 years, despite having the world's most expensive military, and every single success any country has had in building a democracy has come about as a result of having soldiers on the ground for many many years, resulting in countless deaths and many trillions in debt. To accomplish regime change in Iran might require the lives of tens of thousands of US soldiers over a period of many years. Are Americans up for that, are we truly willing to make those kinds of sacrifices, and will it be worth it? Or will it just be another Iraq, or Afghanistan, Vietnam or Korea? Yesterday, Trump said that he’d do whatever is necessary to ease the oil crisis. He also assured America that the crisis “will be over soon.” But that is total BS. The problem isn’t just that Iran has blocked the Strait of Hormuz. It’s also that Iran, Israel, and the United States have all inflicted — and continue to inflict — serious damage to the oil and gas infrastructure of the Middle East. This damage will take any months, and more likely many years to repair. What we are now witnessing is one of the grossest military and political blunders in modern history. It’s not hard to understand why Trump is trapped in Iran. He doesn’t listen to anyone outside his small circle of sycophants who tell him what he wants to hear. But there’s something else. Iran has adopted an asymmetric war strategy that’s working. During the Korean War, U.S. Air Force Colonel John Boyd came up with a theory of competitive decision-making that shaped American military doctrine for a generation. He called it the OODA loop: Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. Boyd found that victory doesn’t go to the side with more firepower. It goes to the side that cycles through the OODA loop faster — observing what’s changing, orienting to its meaning, deciding what to do, and acting before its adversary does. Iran has adopted Boyd’s approach. Iran hasn’t needed to match American firepower; it’s needed only to generate massive economic and political problems for Washington that outrun Washington’s ability to orient, decide, and act. Iran has gotten inside Trump’s OODA loop because Iran has responded to U.S. airstrikes by widening the war horizontally — attacking tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, launching inexpensive drones and many missiles at Gulf state oil and gas infrastructure, provoking the U.S. and Israel to destroy even more of that infrastructure, hitting Amazon data centers in the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain (causing regional outages for banking, e-commerce, and cloud services), and squeezing other choke points that the global economy depends on. Iran’s leaders — veterans of asymmetric wars in Iraq and Syria — are applying the same asymmetric logic to Trump’s war. Inexpensive drones, short-range missiles, and sea mines can have the same effect that IEDs had in Iraq — only with far greater strategic impact, because they disrupt global supply chains. On Wednesday Israel struck at the crown jewel of Iran’s energy industry — the giant South Pars gas field that Iran shares with Qatar and is by far the largest in the world. (Israel says Trump gave the attack his blessing; Trump says he didn’t.) Iran quickly retaliated with an attack on Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City, the world’s largest liquefied natural gas facility. More ego driven stupidity. Since he and Israel began bombing Iran, Trump’s strategy has been entirely reactive. Iran is generating problems for Washington faster than Washington can contain them — a clear sign that Iran is inside Trump’s OODA loop. Trump did not even have the vision to fill the US strategic stockpiles prior to invading Iran. What level of stupidity is required to avoid doing something like that in preparation? What was he thinking and why wasn't the planning done better? This amounts to sheer recklessness and near total hubris and he is playing with our wallets, and our quality of life, not his own. He doesn't care about his day to day expenses. But we do. 95% of the world does. Trump is in so deep at this point, the destruction of Iranian oil infrastructure has been so intense they are likely entrenched to the point where they will either refuse to negotiate or they will negotiate on their own terms. So hey Don. How about you withdraw all your bases from the Middle East forever, before we seize operations and agree to the ceasefire that you desperately need? ? Are you really in a position to deal with $200 oil for a sustained period? Can your economy handle it? We can, we're used to living without, and we're used to hardship. The American people are some of the softest people in the world, they're not willing to make any real sacrifices, certainly not long-term, and certainly not without any well outlined and specific objective in mind. Did your tiny brain even consider these possibilities? Are your advisors really that ignorant? How much truly important and relevant information are they withholding from your sorry mind? The MSM that Republicans regularly accuse of fake news is engaging in massive censorship and being as complicit in regard to this war as they were with the war in Iraq, and the American and Israeli people are being denied the true facts and the true extent of the damage and setbacks that the US military and the Israeli public are facing. That truth will eventually emerge. It's unavoidable, you can't cover up truth forever. They already cost him the midterms. He and Israel have recklessly bombed thousands of apartments buildings, office buildings, hospitals, schools, and homes. What's else do they have to lose? Iran will possibly dare the mindless goomba to find out.
