Daily new cases must fall below 10 to contain Covid-19

[Jonathan Fairfield]

Daily new cases must fall below 10 to contain Covid-19

 

 

To keep the spread of Covid-19 at bay, daily new cases have to be in single digits, the spokesman of the government's Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) said, urging people to continue wearing masks and observe social distancing even if some lockdown restrictions are eased at the end of this month.

 

Thailand’s total number of Covid-19 patients rose to 2,765 with 32 new cases confirmed over a 24-hour period, and no deaths, Dr Taweesin Visanuyothin, the CCSA spokesman, said on Sunday (April 19).

 

After a second successive day without deaths, the number of fatalities remains at 47, while 1,928 patients have recovered and returned to their homes and 790 are undergoing treatment in hospitals. This is good news as there has been no new death for two days and the number of people in hospitals is declining, said Taweesin.

 

Sunday's new cases offered more proof that the coronavirus curve in Thailand might be flattening.

 

On April 9 there were 54 new cases, 50 on April 10, 45 on April 11, 33 on April 12, 28 on April 13, 34 on April 14, 30 on April 15, 29 on April 16 ,28 on April 17, and 33 on April 18 and 32 on April 19.

 

He said the CCSA was satisfied to some extent about the drop in new cases compared to previous weeks.

 

“To keep the spread of coronavirus at bay, we have to drive daily new cases to single digits,” he emphasised.

 

As Thailand has prepared to ease some lockdown restrictions, Taweesin said two key things must continue to be implemented -- social distancing and wearing of face masks.

 

Social distancing or physical distancing means people should stay away from each other by about 1-2 metres because saliva droplets could travel as far and it could carry virus.

 

“We cannot say that business will be reopened on May 1, but we have to make the best preparation for it,” he said.

He said Thais have to accept the new normal, a reference to physical distancing and wearing masks.

 

“The West initially did not accept wearing masks, but they do now. We, Thais, had adopted wearing of masks earlier, that is probably why the number of deaths in Thailand and other Asian countries are not high while virus deaths in the West have reached 100,000, he noted.

 

Taweensin said data showed people in the 20-29 age group to be at higher risk for infection as they account for one-fourth of the total cases.

 

People aged between 20-39 account for half of the total cases.

 

These people love to socialise so they are at risk and they could become virus spreaders as many may not have symptoms or only mild symptoms, he added.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30386348

 

-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-04-19

 

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[spidermike007]

The people of Thailand have to be able to make a living, and feed their families. It is easy for these typically wealthy ministers and advisors to recommend very long economic shutdowns, but the pain it is causing the masses is untold. And the subsidy program is not working, with about 80% of the people who apply being rejected. It demonstrates the lack of concern and lack of sincerity of the leadership here. 

[CLS]

Stop testing, then you get the required figures.

Oh, we cannot test less than now. WHO suspects already that our figures are rigged.

[mfd101]

1 minute ago, CLS said:

Stop testing, then you get the required figures.

Oh, we cannot test less than now. WHO suspects already that our figures are rigged.

This may be true for the absolute numbers. But it's the trendline that counts. Which means that, if the figures are consistently collected & analysed, then the downward trend might well be accurate even if the absolute numbers are not.

 

But of course the collection & analysis may not be consistent. Who can tell?

 

 

[Sharp]

This interview might help explain

 

https://twitter.com/SiobhanRobbins/status/1251065929934364674?s=20

[mr mr]

Thursday April 30th, 2020

 

In covid-19 news today Thailand's daily total of new cases was 9.

 

Edited April 19, 2020 by mr mr

[soi3eddie]

1 hour ago, spidermike007 said:

The people of Thailand have to be able to make a living, and feed their families. It is easy for these typically wealthy ministers and advisors to recommend very long economic shutdowns, but the pain it is causing the masses is untold. And the subsidy program is not working, with about 80% of the people who apply being rejected. It demonstrates the lack of concern and lack of sincerity of the leadership here. 

Every day there are more and more "for sale/rent" signs on businesses here in Hua Hin. Not just bars but shops, restaurants and other companies too. Often whole rows of shop houses (not just new ones). The main Petkasem road was like a ghost town this afternoon. Can't imagine what it must be like in Pattaya or Phuket. Empty showrooms and factories elsewhere for a long time already. The service sector plays such a big role here that there are mass layoffs and people now going hungry and unable to pay rent. This will get dramatically worse in the next 2-3 weeks. Expect more lines for free food and possible protests against the elusive 5,000 Baht subsidy. The leadership have no clue about reality for the hard working Thais.

Edited April 19, 2020 by soi3eddie

[Guderian]

I've no idea about his 10 cases per day, but experience in both Japan and Singapore shows that it's fatal to relax the social distancing and other rules just because it appears that you've got the number of daily cases under control. If all the stories in the media about infection with C19 not conferring immunity, are true, then these restrictions will be with us until a vaccine is available. And for younger people who are naturally sceptical about the need for these measures, check the numbers, half of all cases here have been in people younger than 40.

[FritsSikkink]

3 hours ago, CLS said:

Stop testing, then you get the required figures.

Oh, we cannot test less than now. WHO suspects already that our figures are rigged.

How are they doing in your country?

[FritsSikkink]

3 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

The people of Thailand have to be able to make a living, and feed their families. It is easy for these typically wealthy ministers and advisors to recommend very long economic shutdowns, but the pain it is causing the masses is untold. And the subsidy program is not working, with about 80% of the people who apply being rejected. It demonstrates the lack of concern and lack of sincerity of the leadership here. 

Sure leadership in UK, Spain , Italy France and USA are completely in control, get real.

[Sharp]

3 hours ago, mr mr said:

Thursday April 30th, 2020

 

In covid-19 news today Thailand's daily total of new cases was 9.

 

33

[DrTuner]

Well that's easy, just make the PUI criteria even stricter and test slower.

[DrTuner]

3 hours ago, Sharp said:

This interview might help explain

They don't allow twitter here, but it's also on youtube:

 

[pookiki]

10 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

The people of Thailand have to be able to make a living, and feed their families. It is easy for these typically wealthy ministers and advisors to recommend very long economic shutdowns, but the pain it is causing the masses is untold. And the subsidy program is not working, with about 80% of the people who apply being rejected. It demonstrates the lack of concern and lack of sincerity of the leadership here. 

No doubt people are suffering.  No doubt that the government's aid package has been poorly designed and isn't reaching all the people in need.  But what is in doubt is that people will quickly return to their same jobs after the lockdown ends.  The economic dislocation will last for months - maybe forever.  How will restaurants and pubs survive in a post-COVID world with occupancy limits and social distancing measures imposed? How will tourism and travel survive as wave after wave of COVID circles the world? These are very serious issues, not only for Thailand but for every country. Hopefully, compassion will serve as the best cure.

[rupert the bear]

testing DR?so when will it start so we can track and trace? from germany to seoul to USA everyone is saying the same thing.you dont mention it ,why?welfare of the common citizen too.why is this not part of the picture?they must work .the economy is so fragile here.you express so much interest in single digits but in more normal times no thoughts given t o common and countless deaths of the citizenry.businesses must start to open.some thought needs to be given to your actions.this hasnt been the case. youve been so lucky its strong sunlight that kills the virus now its proven medically.get people back to work,keep the boxing and cinemas closed the brothels too.people working outside are protected by sunlight during daylight.lets use some logic and partially open up asap.then a week later more so etc.youve been so lucky the UV saved you.it couldnt be anything else ,you insisted beyond any type of logic to keep the infected flowing thru the door come what may.no matter what anyone said.get the economy moving as people are pawning goods and selling gold at an unprecedented rate,that wont last forever when thats done well you are done and people will make the only decisions they can.so get on with it whilst the sun shines.

[wensiensheng]

I’m not sure that government assistance is being particularly well targeted. In Phuket, i was given 2 blank postcards through my letterbox, postpaid franking already on it and a little rubber stamp on the back saying covid19 and a couple words of Thai. Wife says it’s free from the government so that we can send a cheery message to our relatives/friends during the virus lock down. I know some pretty poor people here, Myanmar workers, people who work at my house, small mom and pop business owners, also people at my wife’s village in Isaan, they all have mobile phones.

 

and then 2 days ago, a loud speaker van came round with a message. Wife says everybody, thai, Myanmar, farang will be given a food parcel. My step daughter who lives in a different Tambon has her’s already, haven’t had mine yet but maybe I should’nt have ordered rib eye ????. But the thing is, many people don’t need a food parcel, my step daughter and I included, and those that do need it, need it on a regular basis, not as a one off.

 

surely there must be better ways to help those badly off?

Edited April 20, 2020 by wensiensheng

[Netzero]

To not kill the economy and risk real potential social unrest the restrictions have to be lifted enough to allow people to work and travel within the country. Yes - good chance the numbers will go up but little choice. Common Thai people are asking a lot of questions now under their breath that they previously would not dare ask. Have to open the economy up next month and let people make a living again

[FarFlungFalang]

11 hours ago, Jonathan Fairfield said:

“To keep the spread of coronavirus at bay, we have to drive daily new cases to single digits,” he emphasised.

Yes sir we can start tomorrow if you like sir,everybody already believes our numbers so it's no problem sir I'll get right on it sir!

[FarFlungFalang]

6 hours ago, DrTuner said:

They don't allow twitter here, but it's also on youtube:

 

The whole interview is a farce and is just more of the same narrative dictated by the Trictator in cahoots which Richard the interviewer.

[FarFlungFalang]

12 minutes ago, Netzero said:

To not kill the economy and risk real potential social unrest the restrictions have to be lifted enough to allow people to work and travel within the country. Yes - good chance the numbers will go up but little choice. Common Thai people are asking a lot of questions now under their breath that they previously would not dare ask. Have to open the economy up next month and let people make a living again

What if they want to create unrest?Remember the last time these people created unrest?

[UncleMhee]

7 hours ago, FritsSikkink said:

Slave labour in Singapore, any proof of that or just racist BS? 

Split hairs all you like about designations; slave workers, migrant workers, same same in Asia when working outside of your country of origin.

 

Singapore’s coronavirus numbers have more than quadrupled in the past two weeks, propelled by a surge in Covid-19 infections among its migrant worker population. The island nation had 1,000 cases on April 1, with 10 infections among workers living in dormitories – and 4,427 infections on April 16, 60 per cent of which are migrant workers living in dorms.

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/explained/article/3080466/how-did-migrant-worker-dormitories-become-singapores-biggest

 

[Greg O]

Thanks for the link explaining the testing and tracing protocols in use as it demonstrates how low the Positives are even with the higher risk people in higher risk areas yet they are maintaining the "shutdowns" of business and services causing further economic hardship and devastation. Why not show transparency and publish the data in a straight forward format ?  (Total number of tests administered per day or week) and the results (total number positive or negative) per day or week. Withholding information is exercising power over the people which they have no defense against especially given the fact that a high percentage of Thais are functionally illiterate and are easily influenced by hearsay and rumour. The facts please , just the facts and all the facts ! 

[ChrisY1]

7 hours ago, FritsSikkink said:

Slave labour in Singapore, any proof of that or just racist BS? 

It's not anything like slave labour...that post simply showed the writers ignorance.

The accommodations for Singapore' foreign workers are huge....30,000+.....there are some 300K of these workers and the "dormitories" are definitely not western standard...close living for all. But the salaries are much better than elsewhere and the reason that SG is popular with these workers

[rumak]

NEWSFLASH !   JUST IN :    Official statistics released moments ago show that Covid fear has

now replaced sex as the number one thing on peoples mind !  

 

Never thought sex would lose it's number one spot.   Life is change...........

[spidermike007]

1 hour ago, pookiki said:

No doubt people are suffering.  No doubt that the government's aid package has been poorly designed and isn't reaching all the people in need.  But what is in doubt is that people will quickly return to their same jobs after the lockdown ends.  The economic dislocation will last for months - maybe forever.  How will restaurants and pubs survive in a post-COVID world with occupancy limits and social distancing measures imposed? How will tourism and travel survive as wave after wave of COVID circles the world? These are very serious issues, not only for Thailand but for every country. Hopefully, compassion will serve as the best cure.

 

This will take some time to see how this all shakes out, but it is my opinion that the economic fallout from the inane economic shutdown, is going to be 200 times worse than Covid itself, and the recovery "ramp up" will be long and excruciating. Far longer than they say. It will not just bounce back. In the history of the world, as far as we know, there has never been a deliberate worldwide economic shutdown. It is light years beyond dumb.

 

The "slowdown" will last well into 2021, for certain. And some industries may never come back, or will be a pale shadow of their former selves. No doubt homelessness will skyrocket in the US. Tourism in Thailand will never recover to even close to it's former levels, and that will leave millions out of work.

 

What about concerts? Will people be willing to hang out with crowds of 20,000, at a cost of hundreds of dollars for a crappy seat? Same with sports. Will people be willing to go into a stadium or an arena with 20,000 to 100,000 people close together, and pay crazy money for a seat?

 

Movie theaters? Cruise ships? Will the hordes just start descending on restaurants again, and pay inane prices for a gourmet meal? The list goes on, and on and on. 

 

And in the end, hundreds of millions worldwide could end up far poorer than they were before. And tens of millions could end up starving to death, compared to perhaps 200,000 or so total deaths worldwide from Covid. OK. The rich stay safe and financially secure. And the rest of us? And those of us who are self employed, without fortunes in the bank? Who pays for our rent, or our mortgages, and why do landlords prosper when the economy is shut down?

 

Does anyone think a 5,000 baht subsidy is a big help for the people when 80% who apply, are getting turned down? Where is the sincerity and concern, on the part of the government, when they are needed?

[Geoffggi]

12 hours ago, Jonathan Fairfield said:

To keep the spread of coronavirus at bay, we have to drive daily new cases to single digits,” he emphasised

And most importantly before any international borders are opened..!!

[dlclark97]

As far as reported case going down, starting April 11 it would appear to be more or less a flat line with only slight variations in the daily reported total of new infections.  This may be a leveling off but definitely is not a downward trend.  As far as Thais wearing masks, every public place I go for shopping has many Thais who are still not wearing masks and in market areas definitely are not practicing social distancing.  This is not to say foreigners are in strict compliance but the Thai bashing of foreigners could well be working both ways.

[Aland]

https://youtu.be/lGC5sGdz4kg

 

[Aland]

5 minutes ago, dlclark97 said:

As far as reported case going down, starting April 11 it would appear to be more or less a flat line with only slight variations in the daily reported total of new infections.  This may be a leveling off but definitely is not a downward trend.  As far as Thais wearing masks, every public place I go for shopping has many Thais who are still not wearing masks and in market areas definitely are not practicing social distancing.  This is not to say foreigners are in strict compliance but the Thai bashing of foreigners could well be working both ways.

How many per day are they allowing into the country?

[Olmate]

2 minutes ago, Aland said:

How many per day are they allowing into the country?

200