U.S. election betting odds tighten but still favour Trump over Biden

[Morch]

27 minutes ago, PattayaJames said:

 

Well the headline for a start: Trump says he'll go to Supreme Court to stop votes from being counted.

 

While their own quotes show he never said this:  "We want all voting to stop. We don’t want them to find any ballots at four o’clock in the morning and add them to the list."

 

“We are up BIG, but they are trying to STEAL the Election. We will never let them do it. Votes cannot be cast after the Polls are closed!” Trump tweeted shortly after Biden’s remarks. His tweet was later labeled by Twitter as containing misleading content.

 

 

 

And on what basis does Trump claim voting goes on? Or that votes will be cast afterwards?

[ThailandRyan]

3 minutes ago, Susco said:

 

So in short, popular vote is just a waste of time in the US elections

Pretty much when you think of the fact that most of the States give there electoral votes to the winner of the popular vote while others do not, case in point is how the Electoral college votes were split in Nebraska.  That 1 vote that went to Biden could be the decisive vote if he picks up Wi, Mi, and Nevada as it will put him right at 270, however that is if he can pull the votes needed from the remainder to be counted in those States.  Nevada is close and there are 6 votes to be picked up there.

[candide]

24 minutes ago, Sujo said:

So tell me.

 

Assuming biden gets wisconsin as he leads and only detroit votes to be counted which is dem.

 

Biden only needs either michigan or PA or NC to win. But trump needs all of them.

 

Is that correct?

I don't know if it's correct. However, In case it's correct, according to Fox News, Biden is likely to win.

It's a very interesting feature of Fox News website.

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/probability-dials

[Susco]

We're almost there, I guess in a few hours Biden will be allowed to declare victory

 

[ThailandRyan]

10 minutes ago, Susco said:

We're almost there, I guess in a few hours Biden will be allowed to declare victory

 

Nevada has many more votes to count and will now wait until Thursday to report on their final Tally.  In essence those 6 votes will be held up.  Per the Wall Street Journal. Can that now make Nevada the final swing State...this is a nail biter. 

 

The Wall Street Journal

 

 

33m  · 

 

Nevada’s Election Division said it wouldn’t release further ballot results until Thursday. Joe Biden held a slim lead over President Trump in the state, but a significant number of votes had yet to be reported.

 

 

WSJ.COM

Nevada Won't Release Further Results Until Thursday

 

 

Edited November 4, 2020 by ThailandRyan

[polpott]

Biden has taken Wisonsin.

[candide]

12 minutes ago, Susco said:

 

 I think Biden gonna win Michigan, which will give him 270 electoral votes, but I have a strong feeling he's gonna take North Carolina as well

Probabilities are quickly improving for Biden: it's now 93% in Michigan and Wisconsin. The probabilities for Nevada are remaining stable at 70%.

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/probability-dials

[Throatwobbler]

2 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Nevada has many more votes to count and will now wait until Thursday to report on there final Tally.  In essence those 6 votes will be held up.  Per the Wall Street Journal.

The remaining votes left in Nevada are postal votes. These were quite heavily for Biden in the first lot that were counted today. It will take a reversal in that for Trump to catch up.

[canuckamuck]

Mail in ballots strongly favor Biden is seems. Why is that do you think? I know what the republicans will think.

 

[Susco]

3 minutes ago, PattayaJames said:

 

I don't know?

Why would Philadelphia stop counting at 9.30pm?

https://nypost.com/2020/11/03/philadelphia-stops-counting-mail-in-ballots-for-the-night/

 

Don't worry, they start counting again in 80 minutes from now

[joecoolfrog]

5 hours ago, Tippaporn said:

Won't be long before the odds are 100% Trump and 0% Biden.

Current odds are 75% Biden , 25% Trump , postal and early votes kicking in !

Why do you think Trump had his fraud rant this morning ?

[Donga]

Biden needs to win three of the four states of Nevada, Wisconsin and tough ones Michigan and North Carolina from those postal and early votes.
 

Gonna be tight. And could get very ugly.

[Susco]

3 minutes ago, Donga said:

Biden needs to win three of the four states of Nevada, Wisconsin and tough ones Michigan and North Carolina from those postal and early votes.
 

Gonna be tight. And could get very ugly.

 

There are still 6 swing states undecided, and Biden needs to win 2 of them apart from Wisconsin which is in his pocket already, Trump has to win another 4 states

[joecoolfrog]

3 hours ago, steven100 said:

I'll  take 6/4  Trump  .....   for 5k   lol

Bad move if you did , 3/1 available now !

[Andy from Kent]

47 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

  I do not like the man, but at least get the facts straight.

 

Are you aware of the site you're posting on?           Facts?     No one bothers with facts.        

[ThailandRyan]

14 minutes ago, joecoolfrog said:

Bad move if you did , 3/1 available now !

Better betting on black or red on the roulette table, however this election is up at the 0 and 00, and therefore its a toss-up

[Scott]

Off-topic posts and replies reported and removed.

 

[joecoolfrog]

44 minutes ago, canuckamuck said:

Mail in ballots strongly favor Biden is seems. Why is that do you think? I know what the republicans will think.

 

In a word ' Covid ' .

Trumpers can think what they wish , they have little regard for facts so who cares !

[mfd101]

With Nevada, Arizona & Wisconsin practically in the bag for Biden, he needs only either Michigan or Georgia with the postal ballots which are heavily in his favour & he reaches the magic 270.

 

Has been a fascinating day watching the Biden almost-sure thing turn into a Trump almost-sure thing and now in the process of turning back to Biden. So the virtues of steady and predictable win out over the virtues of disruption.

[candide]

5 minutes ago, mfd101 said:

With Nevada, Arizona & Wisconsin practically in the bag for Biden, he needs only either Michigan or Georgia with the postal ballots which are heavily in his favour & he reaches the magic 270.

 

Has been a fascinating day watching the Biden almost-sure thing turn into a Trump almost-sure thing and now in the process of turning back to Biden. So the virtues of steady and predictable win out over the virtues of disruption.

Fox News predict a win for Biden in Michigan with probability of 95%, so it's also in the bag.

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/probability-dials

[dunroaming]

Biden takes Wisconsin.

[Chomper Higgot]

It’s good to see, at least some of, our regular Trump supporters posting again.

 

 

Edited November 4, 2020 by Chomper Higgot

[mfd101]

Interesting that the postal votes - apparently in most states - are SO heavily pro-Biden/pro-Democrat.

 

I guess the Trump kind of voter doesn't travel far from home. Which maybe explains quite a lot!

[dunroaming]

Just now, mfd101 said:

Interesting that the postal votes - apparently in most states - are SO heavily pro-Biden/pro-Democrat.

 

I guess the Trump kind of voter doesn't travel far from home. Which maybe explains quite a lot!

Much of it to do with people heeding the warnings about the pandemic.  You know, the one Trump ridicules.

[Morch]

2 hours ago, canuckamuck said:

Mail in ballots strongly favor Biden is seems. Why is that do you think? I know what the republicans will think.

 

 

Do tell.

[Chomper Higgot]

Just now, mfd101 said:

Interesting that the postal votes - apparently in most states - are SO heavily pro-Biden/pro-Democrat.

 

I guess the Trump kind of voter doesn't travel far from home. Which maybe explains quite a lot!

The explanation is Trump’s efforts to politicize the methods of voting, mistrust of postal votes   was, like wearing a mask, made an article of faith by Trump.

 

His intent, vote suppression by means of disrupting the mail while encouraging his own supporters to vote in person.

[mfd101]

2 minutes ago, dunroaming said:

Much of it to do with people heeding the warnings about the pandemic.  You know, the one Trump ridicules.

Ha ha. Yes, so the Biden voters at least travel in their minds.

Edited November 4, 2020 by mfd101

[Chomper Higgot]

Just now, mfd101 said:

Ha ha. Yes, so the biden voters at least travel in their minds.

The salient point is who bothers to vote.

[mfd101]

4 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

The salient point is who bothers to vote.

Yes, but HOW they vote also dictates how the running tallies go through the day and the night and the next day ie it affects the timing of the various counts.

[dunroaming]

6 minutes ago, mfd101 said:

Ha ha. Yes, so the Biden voters at least travel in their minds.

More likely they just don't buy into all of Trumps nonsense talk