REUTERS FILE PHOTO for reference only

 

Thailand on Friday (July 2) reported 6,087 new COVID-19 cases and 61 additional deaths over the past 24 hours. 

● 5,880 new infections
● 207 prison / prison infections

Friday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 270,921 with 2,141 deaths.
(Total infections since April 1: 242,058)
 
The news comes as Thailand’s Ministry of Public Health (MOPH), was criticized by members of the public on Thursday for suggesting that people wear masks inside their homes to curb the spread of Covid-19.

 

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61 Deaths is a definite concern, a growing number of cases as well indicate that this has no intention of slowing down and unless vaccines are truly rolled out it will have true effects on the economy and tourism prospects.  Beds have filled up and many more are waiting for beds according to the 34 Amarin TV news this morning.  People are also very frustrated.

New double highs yet again, deaths at 61 and community cases at 5,880

 

The suppression strategy is just not working, they should have gone in quick and hard before Songkran, it would have had less impact on the economy rather than this prolonged disaster, not to mention less deaths and seriously sick. Instead we are seeing a slow and gradual stepping up of measures that just allows the virus to continue its purge throughout Thailand. 

 

Health service at breaking point in Bangkok with doctors and nurses drafted in from other area's and half hearted measures that are not working. How long are they prepared to go on like this? The vaccinations are in no way going to stop this wave in time to avoid a worse scenario where lockdowns will be inevitable to stop the growing deaths and overflowing hospitals.

 

Rolling 7 day average (up to 30th July only) which includes prison cases and bar chart of community cases.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

sorry to say it only started and now with the new Delta virus taken hold and it will very quickly you all have to be more careful all over 60yrs more so this in now no laughing matter and take any vaccine that is offered, up to you now  

There is no denying it. This is out of control. How many are dying because hospital beds are full. The spread from BKK exidus to the provinces is said to be 32 provinces. This will spread. Will not be long until all of Thailand once again sees infections increasing.

Weekly community cases trend line shooting up. I've gathered the data for this chart from the total official numbers of community cases announced daily into weekly totals and gives a good indication of the very worrying trend.

3 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

New double highs yet again, deaths at 61 and community cases at 5,880

 

The suppression strategy is just not working, they should have gone in quick and hard before Songkran, it would have had less impact on the economy rather than this prolonged disaster, not to mention less deaths and seriously sick. Instead we are seeing a slow and gradual stepping up of measures that just allows the virus to continue its purge throughout Thailand. 

 

Health service at breaking point in Bangkok with doctors and nurses drafted in from other area's and half hearted measures that are not working. How long are they prepared to go on like this? The vaccinations are in no way going to stop this wave in time to avoid a worse scenario where lockdowns will be inevitable to stop the growing deaths and overflowing hospitals.

 

Rolling 7 day average (up to 30th July only) which includes prison cases and bar chart of community cases.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

No spikes. No artifacts. Just an upward trend. Same with deaths.

My GF, who is from MYanmar, has been trying to get registered for a vaccine, but was told "can not, Thai or falang only"  Looking to register her for the Moderna Vaccine, and she has been placed on a waiting list for our local private hospital.  She has better insurance than most, as she has a PCH Optima Plus plan, but people look down upon her as she is from Myanmar.  Her extended family all of them are now in the hospitals having been moved from the field hospital side as they are no longer asymptomatic and her two aunts are still on ventilators.

3 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

New double highs yet again, deaths at 61 and community cases at 5,880

 

The suppression strategy is just not working, they should have gone in quick and hard before Songkran, it would have had less impact on the economy rather than this prolonged disaster, not to mention less deaths and seriously sick. Instead we are seeing a slow and gradual stepping up of measures that just allows the virus to continue its purge throughout Thailand. 

 

Health service at breaking point in Bangkok with doctors and nurses drafted in from other area's and half hearted measures that are not working. How long are they prepared to go on like this? The vaccinations are in no way going to stop this wave in time to avoid a worse scenario where lockdowns will be inevitable to stop the growing deaths and overflowing hospitals.

 

Rolling 7 day average (up to 30th July only) which includes prison cases and bar chart of community cases.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

It is entirely predictable that deaths will increase over the next two weeks.

 

looking back two weeks of the community transmission chart, today’s level of deaths reflects the community case level of between 2.5k and 3k daily cases, seen about 10 days ago. 
 

we are now at a level of 5.5k to 6k daily cases. The Cipher would appreciate the ability to use math, because it’s  a mathematical probability that deaths will be double in approx 2 to 3 weeks, because of a doubling of case levels from 2 weeks ago.

Time to get the hell out of here. Europe is looking pretty nice right now.

And now we are at 6,000 and rising. I wish I could say there was some concrete strategy for reducing numbers, but if there is, I don't see it. Very worrying days ahead, especially given the vaccine rollout debacle.

I hear through the grapevine that the death toll in the prisons is very bad.

At some point panic sets in. 

A large part of that comes from growing belief that there is inadequate supply of vaccines. 

Piecemeal announcements of 1.5mil from here and there along with ....."we are in talks with this or that company does not instill confidence.

From the outset I was in the group.... "Stuff the online registration etc....I will wait until it's available in private hospitals and pay whatever".

 

My guess was mid late October (Forget that, it will be much later).

If it comes (moderna etc) that will also be bun fight.

 

 

Shhh, don't advertise the fact that Thai people are dying like flies from this Covid business so not to alarm the would be tourists from coming back...

Looking at the graphs, the lyrics of 80's song start playing in my head... The only way is up, baby, for you and me now....

Don't tell the you know who! Everyone is in denial. Phuket is full of tourists and everything is A-OK! Lubu2mutt Sinovac!

Just to add to my post above regarding future death rates. If 3k daily cases results in 60 deaths a day, 6k daily cases will equal 120 daily deaths and 12k daily cases will equal 240 daily deaths.

 

it’s not as precise as that, but we probably need to start to get our minds around those sorts of numbers, because unless something is done to change the trajectory of the daily cases figure, they are the most probable outcome in the near term.

who remembers when this smug git claimed that the numbers were so low in Thailand and basically it was all down to him?

 

hope you don't choke on your words, sir!

1 minute ago, wensiensheng said:

Just to add to my post above regarding future death rates. If 3k daily cases results in 60 deaths a day, 6k daily cases will equal 120 daily deaths and 12k daily cases will equal 240 daily deaths.

 

it’s not as precise as that, but we probably need to start to get our minds around those sorts of numbers, because unless something is done to change the trajectory of the daily cases figure, they are the most probable outcome in the near term.

It will be around the average of everywhere else as long as health care doesn't collapse.  If it does, then it will be dramatic.  

I'd worry much more about long covid symptoms and life altering after effects than dying.  

1 minute ago, wensiensheng said:

Just to add to my post above regarding future death rates. If 3k daily cases results in 60 deaths a day, 6k daily cases will equal 120 daily deaths and 12k daily cases will equal 240 daily deaths.

 

it’s not as precise as that, but we probably need to start to get our minds around those sorts of numbers, because unless something is done to change the trajectory of the daily cases figure, they are the most probable outcome in the near term.

Except that, at some point, hospitals will not be able to accept new patients, so people will die at home, and not be counted.

 

The obvious reaction to filled hospitals is to send asymptomatics in field hospitals into self isolation, and put symptomatic individuals in beds in field hospitals. Better for sick people to be quarantined in field hospitals than to stay at home with their families. Yeah, I know the field hospitals can’t do much for symptomatic patients, but the alternative will lead to catastrophe.

17 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

My GF, who is from MYanmar, has been trying to get registered for a vaccine, but was told "can not, Thai or falang only"  Looking to register her for the Moderna Vaccine, and she has been placed on a waiting list for our local private hospital.  She has better insurance than most, as she has a PCH Optima Plus plan, but people look down upon her as she is from Myanmar.  Her extended family all of them are now in the hospitals having been moved from the field hospital side as they are no longer asymptomatic and her two aunts are still on ventilators.

You forget Thais are the superior race

19 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Weekly community cases trend line shooting up. I've gathered the data for this chart from the total official numbers of community cases announced daily into weekly totals and gives a good indication of the very worrying trend.

The epidemic seemed okay until about 3 weeks ago, perhaps the Delta variant is the problem now.

1 minute ago, JoePai said:

You forget Thais are the superior race

There is no such thing as a Thai race, only Thai citizens, who may be of Khmer, Burmese, Malay or or Zuang origin.

28 June: 5,406 - 22 dead

29 June: 4,662 - 36 dead

30 June: 4,786 - 53 dead

1 July: 5,533 - 57 dead

2 July: 6,087 - 61 dead <— TODAY

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1410764383026696194

 

1 minute ago, Blumpie said:

It will be around the average of everywhere else as long as health care doesn't collapse.  If it does, then it will be dramatic.  

I'd worry much more about long covid symptoms and life altering after effects than dying.  

When you say “the average of everywhere else”, I think you are talking about the percentage mortality rates prevailing in other countries. At least I presume that is the case. I am talking about whole numbers, not percentages.

 

it’s so much nicer to say the mortality rate is less than 1%, than say 240 people died today.

 

my point was, we probably need to stop thinking in terms of 50 people dying a day and mentally steel ourselves to deaths in the hundreds. At least, that is what current and likely future case numbers suggest.

 

I don’t know about you, but I need some time to adjust to the thought that deaths now look likely to rise to such a level.

 

On the covid charts this will move Thailand into the top 60's by tomorrow and at this rate by next Sunday (not this Sunday) Thailand could move into the top 50's.

We have got to the point now when deaths from road accidents are lower than #COVID19 deaths. Yesterday there were 37 deaths from accidents and 61 from covid #Thailand

 

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1410768591603998720

 

7 minutes ago, WineOh said:

 

 

hope you don't choke on your words, sir!

 

I hope he does

Chonburi Public Health Office has just announced they have 222 new cases. Most new cases are in Chonburi City (40), Bang Lamung/Pattaya (45), and Si Racha (68). The total cases so far is now 8,909 with 3,236 remaining in care

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1410763065138630659

 

11 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

We have got to the point now when deaths from road accidents are lower than #COVID19 deaths. Yesterday there were 37 deaths from accidents and 61 from covid #Thailand

 

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1410768591603998720

 

Which goes to illustrate the issue with the people who argued Covid deaths weren’t much because they were less than road deaths.

 

the answer was always that road deaths are horrendous, but remain in a stable trend year after year. Covid has the potential to increase dramatically.

 

once again, science has been proven correct.

4 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Except that, at some point, hospitals will not be able to accept new patients, so people will die at home, and not be counted.

 

The obvious reaction to filled hospitals is to send asymptomatics in field hospitals into self isolation, and put symptomatic individuals in beds in field hospitals. Better for sick people to be quarantined in field hospitals than to stay at home with their families. Yeah, I know the field hospitals can’t do much for symptomatic patients, but the alternative will lead to catastrophe.

Already happening.