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Posted
4 hours ago, RayC said:

 

It may be difficult but that is exactly what the various studies attempt to do. Imo the criticism of these studies is rarely more than a tautology: It's difficult to separate the effects of Brexit, therefore you can't conclude anything about the effects of Brexit.

 

Imo poor and lazy criticism.

 

 

The original report was indeed a few years ago but it is regularly updated.

 

 

I disagree. A few examples: The UK was one of the major influences in the formation of the Single Market and a strong supporter of the EU's attempts to forge trade deals. It can be argued be that the UK - together with France - largely dictated the EU foreign policy and diplomatic efforts. This was especially true when it came to defence issues.

 

 

It's true that with the expansion of the membership and more QMV, the influence of any one individual member state is lessened .... at least, in theory ...

but let's not pretend all member states are equal. France and Germany have more influence and power than Cyprus and Malta. When the UK was a member, it was one of the 'Big 3'.

 


Perhaps not. But the UK likes to think of itself as having a significant presence and influence on the world stage. In terms of size of the economy and population, the UK is somewhat smaller than Japan. As an individual nation, what real influence does Japan wield on the world state? 

 

Imo any influence that the UK had on the world stage was dependent on our membership of the larger bloc i.e. EU. Moreover, inside the EU we were of use to the US, outside of it less so.

 

 

I'm about to board a flight. You'll be pleased to know that I'll return to this point😂😉

 

Imo poor and lazy criticism - I wasn't actually criticizing rather pointing out a problem.

 

The original report was indeed a few years ago but it is regularly updated - I have not been directed to or following OBR reports. The OBR advertises itself as being independent but it was set up by a UK government, is funded by HM Treasury and led by ex Treasury and BoE people, supported by the CS. 

 

I disagree. A few examples: The UK was one of the major influences in the formation of the Single Market and a strong supporter of the EU's attempts to forge trade deals - but the UK was not a major influencer of the content of these deals and foreign and defence policies are not needed by pure trading blocs, rather by nation states. 

 

It's true that with the expansion of the membership and more QMV, the influence of any one individual member state is lessened .... at least, in theory ...- and in reality?

but let's not pretend all member states are equal - agree! 

France and Germany have more influence and power than Cyprus and Malta - er yes.

 When the UK was a member, it was one of the 'Big 3'. - but NOT a member of the biggest 2.


Perhaps not. But the UK likes to think of itself as having a significant presence and influence on the world stage. In terms of size of the economy and population, the UK is somewhat smaller than Japan. As an individual nation, what real influence does Japan wield on the world state? I take it that you mean stage? I don't agree with your version of what the UK '"likes". When the UK joined the "Common Market" there was no aspiration to wield influence around the world. The EU as a whole has never been strong enough to influence much of anything globally, as we have seen recently with Russia and Ukraine. 

 

Imo any influence that the UK had on the world stage was dependent on our membership of the larger bloc i.e. EU. Moreover, inside the EU we were of use to the US, outside of it less so. As you must have seen from recent events, the UK is still of far more "use" to the US than the EU is. I would call that poor and lazy criticism

 

Have a good flight.

  • 1 year later...
Posted
On 1/1/2024 at 12:18 PM, placeholder said:

That's why it's best to look at their track record. And given that the polls seem to unanimously show Brexit is unpopular, your point seems untenable.

 

In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?

image.png.9be9ba71f7e36910c875f52ea6469935.png

https://www.statista.com/statistics/987347/brexit-opinion-poll/

 

There is no rejoin only a re-apply

 

and I'm not sure Europeans want to take in a member who contributes one third of what they do (France and Germany contribute 1% of their gdp to the EU budget , while Britain contributes 0,4-0,7%).

 

If Britain wants to reap the benefits of the single market it won't be free and it will have to follow the same market rules as we do

 

And even that won't go down as easily to the brexiteers as Trump tariffs did

 

 

 

 

 

Posted
On 1/1/2024 at 5:49 PM, The Cyclist said:

Or

 

Brexit has failed because too many are still in shock that it actually happened, and are doing their utmost to ensure that it has no chance of success.

 

The only true path is to rejoin the EU in their warped minds.

Or that people realised they were lied to and now don't trust the experts not to be lying again?

Posted
5 hours ago, Hi from France said:

There is no rejoin only a re-apply

 

and I'm not sure Europeans want to take in a member who contributes one third of what they do (France and Germany contribute 1% of their gdp to the EU budget , while Britain contributes 0,4-0,7%).

 

If Britain wants to reap the benefits of the single market it won't be free and it will have to follow the same market rules as we do

 

And even that won't go down as easily to the brexiteers as Trump tariffs did

 

 

 

 

 

 

Imo the overwhelming majority of EU member states would welcome the UK's readmission. 

 

They would be foolish not to. Amongst other things, the UK is the world's 6th biggest economy (by GDP) and a significant military power in Europe.

 

To paraphrase Michel Barnier: 'There were no winners with Brexit'.

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