Putin agrees to 30-day halt on energy facility strikes, Ukraine signals support

[kwonitoy]

4 hours ago, jas007 said:

What I think doesn't matter. What matters is what Russia thinks. I don't have anything to do with any of that, but I do think that they may well be serious. Gambling with the future of the human race isn't such a good idea, in my opinion.

 

If you take a course on International Relations, you'll probably study game theory.  It's important in this context.  And the way you play the nuclear game?  You don't play.  That's the only winning strategy. 

 

The only one "playing" the nuclear game is putin, lavrov, peskov with their constant sabre rattling  

[Hellfire]

9 hours ago, jas007 said:

What I think doesn't matter. What matters is what Russia thinks. I don't have anything to do with any of that, but I do think that they may well be serious. Gambling with the future of the human race isn't such a good idea, in my opinion.

 

If you take a course on International Relations, you'll probably study game theory.  It's important in this context.  And the way you play the nuclear game?  You don't play.  That's the only winning strategy. 

  So you are ready for this KGB mouse to annihilate the future of humanity? This is really disgusting. But I am still sure putin is just bluffing. After all, even this despicable creature has children. You can scare Maga idiots. But they are minority. Glory to Ukraine and its heroes!

[jas007]

4 hours ago, Hellfire said:

  So you are ready for this KGB mouse to annihilate the future of humanity? This is really disgusting. But I am still sure putin is just bluffing. After all, even this despicable creature has children. You can scare Maga idiots. But they are minority. Glory to Ukraine and its heroes!

You really should do just a little research about game theory in the context of diplomacy and nuclear war.  Learn the basic principles of the theory and learn about the factors that make it work well and those factors that make it less reliable as a tool. 

 

One factor: game theory operates on serval assumptions in addition to mutually assured distraction (MAD).  In this context, the theory assumes the presence of rational actors.  You think Putin is bluffing but more importantly, you seem to think Trump is crazy, right?  Maybe they're both crazy?  That factor alone makes the little game you want to play with the future of humanity more of a crap shoot.

 

Another complicating factor?  The presence of Ukraine.  It's difficult enough when there are only two actors.  The presence of Ukraine complicates matters.  And let's not forget the EU and the nuclear capacity of France and the UK.  

 

In short, you're gambling with the future of humanity with the presence of multiple parties and, in your mind, at least one "crazy" actor.  A big red flag.  Things are not  as simple as you seem to think.