Analysis Trump’s 50-Day Pause: Russia’s Green Light for Ukraine Push

[webfact]

Picture courtesy of AP via CNN

 

MOSCOW - In a surprising political manoeuvre, President Trump has granted Vladimir Putin a 50-day window to continue Russia’s offensive in Ukraine without immediate repercussions. The move delays sanctions, including threatened 100 percent tariffs on Russia, until early September, leaving Ukrainians to endure relentless missile and drone attacks.

 

Although the Kremlin publicly deems the threatened sanctions and arms pledges to Ukraine “serious,” insiders in Moscow reportedly feel relief at the postponement. The delayed action gives Russia time to either advance its military objectives or wait for potential shifts in US policy.

 

The Kremlin is undeterred by the prospective sanctions. With extensive experience in navigating international restrictions, Russia remains resilient. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov expressed confidence in managing further sanctions, stating Russia is accustomed to such economic pressures.

 

The pause in implementing sanctions provides Russia with an opportunity to bolster its military efforts in Ukraine. Some Russian officials believe the 50 days will provide ample time to make significant headway or wait for President Trump to reconsider his stance.

 

While Russia capitalises on this delay, it’s concerned about the potential influx of US weapons into Ukraine. The agreement to supply Patriot missile defence systems poses a tangible threat to Russian military strategies, particularly its aerial assaults.

 

Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict. On Kremlin-controlled state TV, Trump’s decision is compared to previous US administrations, suggesting scepticism about his strategies and intentions.

 

As the situation unfolds, the international community watches closely, understanding that much can change on the battlefield and in diplomatic arenas within this critical 50-day timeframe.

 

  Adapted by ASEAN Now from CNN 2025-07-17

 

 

[Jingthing]

When will Trump ever learn?

Never. 

[dinsdale]

Trump’s 50-Day Pause: Russia’s Green Light for Ukraine Push

The summer offensive started 6 wks ago. This will make no difference. 

 

[gejohesch]

1 hour ago, webfact said:

Picture courtesy of AP via CNN

 

MOSCOW - In a surprising political manoeuvre, President Trump has granted Vladimir Putin a 50-day window to continue Russia’s offensive in Ukraine without immediate repercussions. The move delays sanctions, including threatened 100 percent tariffs on Russia, until early September, leaving Ukrainians to endure relentless missile and drone attacks.

 

Although the Kremlin publicly deems the threatened sanctions and arms pledges to Ukraine “serious,” insiders in Moscow reportedly feel relief at the postponement. The delayed action gives Russia time to either advance its military objectives or wait for potential shifts in US policy.

 

The Kremlin is undeterred by the prospective sanctions. With extensive experience in navigating international restrictions, Russia remains resilient. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov expressed confidence in managing further sanctions, stating Russia is accustomed to such economic pressures.

 

The pause in implementing sanctions provides Russia with an opportunity to bolster its military efforts in Ukraine. Some Russian officials believe the 50 days will provide ample time to make significant headway or wait for President Trump to reconsider his stance.

 

While Russia capitalises on this delay, it’s concerned about the potential influx of US weapons into Ukraine. The agreement to supply Patriot missile defence systems poses a tangible threat to Russian military strategies, particularly its aerial assaults.

 

Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict. On Kremlin-controlled state TV, Trump’s decision is compared to previous US administrations, suggesting scepticism about his strategies and intentions.

 

As the situation unfolds, the international community watches closely, understanding that much can change on the battlefield and in diplomatic arenas within this critical 50-day timeframe.

 

  Adapted by ASEAN Now from CNN 2025-07-17

 

 

"Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict."

 

Russia are concerned about the continuation of a conflict they started themselves???????? Russia has become the most despicable nation in the world, and their criminal aggression will never be forgiven nor forgotten.

[Jingthing]

4 minutes ago, gejohesch said:

"Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict."

 

Russia are concerned about the continuation of a conflict they started themselves???????? Russia has become the most despicable nation in the world, and their criminal aggression will never be forgiven nor forgotten.

They're pissed that Trump didn't force Ukraine to surrender. Sleazeball Trump has already forgotten Russian aggression. He's on record yet again that he's not even on Ukraine's side.

He's only on his OWN side. Not America's side. His personal side.

[Chomper Higgot]

56 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Trump’s 50-Day Pause: Russia’s Green Light for Ukraine Push

The summer offensive started 6 wks ago. This will make no difference. 

 

The 50 day pause gives Putin time to complete his ‘summer offensive’ AKA targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure.

 

Trump always gives Putin what Putin wants.

[dinsdale]

10 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

The 50 day pause gives Putin time to complete his ‘summer offensive’ AKA targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure.

The drone and missile attacks on Kiev and other major cities are just part of the war. The crucial part is on the battlefield and this announcement from Trump will have little to no impact on this. Ukraine needs more boots on the ground but refuses to open recruitment or conscription for the 18-25 year group.

[DonniePeverley]

7 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

The drone and missile attacks on Kiev and other major cities are just part of the war. The crucial part is on the battlefield and this announcement from Trump will have little to no impact on this. Ukraine needs more boots on the ground but refuses to open recruitment or conscription for the 18-25 year group.

 

Can't they just hire an army from around the world like the Russians did from North Koera ?

[dinsdale]

11 minutes ago, DonniePeverley said:

 

Can't they just hire an army from around the world like the Russians did from North Koera ?

What Nth Korea has given by way of troops is a drop in the ocean and a good deal of these are manning the Nth Korean artillery units or are in non-active border crossing areas.

[dinsdale]

1 hour ago, gejohesch said:

"Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict."

The prolonging of the conflict happened in 2022 when Ukraine had Russia on the backfoot and could have pushed them back to the borders. Biden and the EU decided that drip feeding weapons systems was the best strategy. Certainly was the best strategy to prolong the war in their mission to severely weaken or collapse Russia rather than winning the war.

[JimHuaHin]

1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:

The 50 day pause gives Putin time to complete his ‘summer offensive’ AKA targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure.

 

Trump always gives Putin what Putin wants.

So, Trump is really a Putin puppet and Russian asset.

[gejohesch]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

What Nth Korea has given by way of troops is a drop in the ocean and a good deal of these are manning the Nth Korean artillery units or are in non-active border crossing areas.

... or have been promoted to fertiliser! 😆 Sorry, I should not laugh, they are human beings too... but WTF are they doing on the Russia-Ukraine front???

[gejohesch]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

The prolonging of the conflict happened in 2022 when Ukraine had Russia on the backfoot and could have pushed them back to the borders. Biden and the EU decided that drip feeding weapons systems was the best strategy. Certainly was the best strategy to prolong the war in their mission to severely weaken or collapse Russia rather than winning the war.

There could be some truth in this too!

[spidermike007]

As I've already stated Putin is a bad man, he won't listen to me and he kills keeps killing a lot of people, and killing a lot of people is a really bad thing. But I think I've decided to let them kill a lot of people for another couple of months. I don't think it's going to really make that much difference, who's going to miss another 10,000 dead women and children anyway? 

 

I do realize that I promised that I would negotiate an end to this war in one day and that obviously hasn't happened, part of the problem is that despite all of my bluster I am a terrible negotiator, and the second factor is that I lie a lot, I make things up on the spot, and I just babble incessantly about nonsense, so you people are used to that by now, and nobody thinks that it's particularly strange or annoying. The third factor is that if my supporters are going to put up with this Epstein cover up, they'll put up with anything. And as I've already stated those that are questioning me are idiots and losers, and they are past supporters. I don't want them anymore. 

 

And besides the Democrats started this war, it's not my fault, so nobody's going to blame me for my hesitation. 

 

 

 

[BLMFem]

 

[connda]

Good.  The sooner Russia makes it to the Dnieper and beyond to Odessa, the sooner Ukraine will have its back against the wall and finally agrees to surrender minus about 5 or 6 more Oblasts.  When Pokrovsk folds, the move toward the Dnieper should accelerate. 

[connda]

The entire thing could have been resolved in the April 2022 peace talks in Turkey - but the US and NATO wanted Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian, so that's what they now have gotten.  The goal was the strategic defeat of Russia and regime change in Russia.  What did they get.  UK and EU economically screwed as well as voters who want to push their own government's out of office.  In the meanwhile Russia has 5 Ukrainian Obelisks absorbed into the Russian Federation with two to five more lining up before this ends.  If Ukraine got rid of Zelensky and elected a new president and accepted the facts on the ground, this could be over in a month.  Instead?  Well, the US and NATO still want the strategic overthrow of Russia, so it won't end. Russia will keep the attrition wars moving forward, Ukraine will keep retreating and losing territory.  C'est la vie.  

[connda]

Caldron forming around Pokrovsk.  
https://liveuamap.com/en/2025/13-january-08-at-pokrovsk-axis-clashes-yesterday-near-yelyzavetivka

[BLMFem]

22 minutes ago, connda said:

Good.  The sooner Russia makes it to the Dnieper and beyond to Odessa, the sooner Ukraine will have its back against the wall and finally agrees to surrender minus about 5 or 6 more Oblasts.  When Pokrovsk folds, the move toward the Dnieper should accelerate. 

The sooner Ukraine is given whatever weapons it requires to beat back the invaders the better. The Russians must be defeated and the dictator must face the music.

[frank83628]

12 hours ago, gejohesch said:

"Russia’s political figures are vocally criticising President Trump, accusing him of prolonging the conflict."

 

Russia are concerned about the continuation of a conflict they started themselves???????? Russia has become the most despicable nation in the world, and their criminal aggression will never be forgiven nor forgotten.

Yeah right, US interference created this whole situation, western interference is prolonging it now

[newnative]

    My god, look at the way he has ruined the Oval Office.  Talk about tacky.  He's running out of places to slap on all that gaudy whorehouse gold crap.  Where's the White House Historical Association?  Probably all fired.  

[hotandsticky]

Just now, newnative said:

    My god, look at the way he has ruined the Oval Office.  Talk about tacky.  He's running out of places to slap on all that gaudy whorehouse gold crap.  Where's the White House Historical Association?  Probably all fired.  

 

 

Your scars run deep, don't they?

 

You are going to need to get over it...............or it will be a very long 3 years.

[newnative]

3 minutes ago, hotandsticky said:

 

 

Your scars run deep, don't they?

 

You are going to need to get over it...............or it will be a very long 3 years.

It's already been a very long 6 months.  But, hey, maybe that's good at my age!

[AustinRacing]

Trump granting Putin 50 days. 😂he stopped listening to Trump back in 2016. I bet that got a big laugh at the Kremlin. 

[thaibreaker]

4 hours ago, connda said:

The entire thing could have been resolved in the April 2022 peace talks in Turkey - but the US and NATO wanted Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian, so that's what they now have gotten.  The goal was the strategic defeat of Russia and regime change in Russia.  What did they get.  UK and EU economically screwed as well as voters who want to push their own government's out of office.  In the meanwhile Russia has 5 Ukrainian Obelisks absorbed into the Russian Federation with two to five more lining up before this ends.  If Ukraine got rid of Zelensky and elected a new president and accepted the facts on the ground, this could be over in a month.  Instead?  Well, the US and NATO still want the strategic overthrow of Russia, so it won't end. Russia will keep the attrition wars moving forward, Ukraine will keep retreating and losing territory.  C'est la vie.  

 

What a load of rubbish.

[DonniePeverley]

15 hours ago, dinsdale said:

The prolonging of the conflict happened in 2022 when Ukraine had Russia on the backfoot and could have pushed them back to the borders. Biden and the EU decided that drip feeding weapons systems was the best strategy. Certainly was the best strategy to prolong the war in their mission to severely weaken or collapse Russia rather than winning the war.

 

 

Someone certainly benefitting from prolonging the war.

[thaibreaker]

16 hours ago, dinsdale said:

The prolonging of the conflict happened in 2022 when Ukraine had Russia on the backfoot and could have pushed them back to the borders. Biden and the EU decided that drip feeding weapons systems was the best strategy. Certainly was the best strategy to prolong the war in their mission to severely weaken or collapse Russia rather than winning the war.

 

I have to agree with this one. NATO could have ended this war by giving a lot more help and weapons to Ukraine at an early stage.

 

But have in mind, that Russia has threatened with use of nuclear weapons numerous times, and Europe and the US were threading on uncertain ground here. They were not aligned and working together either, like they are now. In the beginning, countries supported Ukraine with only light weapons, body armour, and stuff like that. 

Time and continued Russian threats and violence have forced Europe to react further, and that has taken time. It has taken time for politicians to act. And now the nuclear threats are no longer seen as real, or something to worry about anymore, just desperate words from a desperate inner circle of war criminals at Kremlin.

 

Btw, you mention the EU. NATO is more correct to use here. They are the ones supplying with weapons, having the strategic military view on this war. NATO has also a few countries which are not members of the EU. Like Australia, Canada, Iceland, Switzerland and Norway.

 

The European Union's primary task has been the economical supporting of Ukraine in this war, sanctions, and being independent of Russia in the long run, and to bring their countries closer together against the Russian threats.

[thaibreaker]

36 minutes ago, thaibreaker said:

NATO has also a few countries which are not members of the EU. Like Australia, Canada, Iceland, Switzerland and Norway.

 

 

I have to correct myself here. Switzerland is not a member of NATO, and Australia is a NATO partner, together with Japan, New Zealand and South Korea.