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Is China a Paper Tiger?

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Demographic concerns. Aging leadership. Out of balance economy. And now this:

https://www.theepochtimes.com/article/ignored-orders-and-growing-resistance-in-chinese-military-after-purge-of-top-generals-5978046?src_src=epochHG&src_cmp=rcp

The thing that struck me was the photos of the top military guys. They dont look like they could even lift a rifle.

Is China all show, and no substance? Does this mean that China will be forced to attack Taiwan simply to demonstrate it can?

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  • John Drake
    John Drake

    Anything that generates large casualties will cost Xi his position in power. Remember, all these people in the Chinese armed forces are men and women who came from One-Child families, because of Chine

  • SunnyinBangrak
    SunnyinBangrak

    Indigenous population who have been replaced in their homelands always turn to grog. Whether its aboriginals in the NT, or American Indians across the continent, or indeed displaced Brits that sought

  • beautifulthailand99
    beautifulthailand99

    Read and weep. You tap away on Chinese tech while feigning superiority from the dying embers of a faded hegemony. As your 'twilight zone' descends, your cities rot with opioids and your wealth is holl

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1 hour ago, Yagoda said:

Demographic concerns. Aging leadership. Out of balance economy. And now this:

https://www.theepochtimes.com/article/ignored-orders-and-growing-resistance-in-chinese-military-after-purge-of-top-generals-5978046?src_src=epochHG&src_cmp=rcp

The thing that struck me was the photos of the top military guys. They dont look like they could even lift a rifle.

Is China all show, and no substance? Does this mean that China will be forced to attack Taiwan simply to demonstrate it can?

The days of military guys lifting a rifle are well and truly over in the sense of modern warfare, not street to street fighting.

AI and drones are the modern warfare systems.

I read an article that the Chinese were putting silhouettes of US aircraft carriers in a desert. Unlikely it is for for traing bomber pilots. More likely for training AI to recognise the target and then direct massive drone attacks to overwhelm any defense system. Also read an article describing an AI piloted bomber sized aircraft that can deliver 1000's of smaller drones to a combat area.

Scary stuff.

Don't underestimate China.

Don't forget the China are Russia are an alliance.

  • Author
8 minutes ago, emptypockets said:

Don't underestimate China.

No one doubts their equipment, its would be their system that may not work

10 minutes ago, emptypockets said:

I read an article that the Chinese were putting silhouettes of US aircraft carriers in a desert. Unlikely it is for for traing bomber pilots. More likely for training AI to recognise the target and then direct massive drone attacks to overwhelm any defense system.

I doubt the effectiveness of a "drone swarm" against a moving target with layered defenses 1000 miles away.

Read and weep. You tap away on Chinese tech while feigning superiority from the dying embers of a faded hegemony. As your 'twilight zone' descends, your cities rot with opioids and your wealth is hollowed by finance. Drowning in existential angst, you squander the inheritance of a lost generation. You are merely ghosts haunting the feast of the Chinese super-century. And you know what the biggest joke is the US is pushing this huge diaspora of talent back to their native lands.

Read and weep.

https://archive.ph/OZwF2

Tang’s son was one of an estimated 100,000 talented Chinese teenagers selected every year to enter a network of science-focused talent streams run across the country’s top high schools. The genius classes, also called “experiment” or “competition” classes, coach gifted students to compete in international competitions in maths, physics, chemistry, biology and computer science. Tang was on the genius path herself almost 30 years ago, in her home city of Chengdu in south-western China. It helped her move to Beijing to study at the prestigious Peking University, and secure a well-paid job.

For decades, genius classes have been turning out the leading lights of China’s science and technology sectors. It is hard to overstate how essential they have been to the development of the companies now challenging US tech dominance, especially in AI, robotics and advanced manufacturing.

12 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

No one doubts their equipment, its would be their system that may not work

I doubt the effectiveness of a "drone swarm" against a moving target with layered defenses 1000 miles away.

I guess we will find out sooner or later. I hope I am wrong.

  • Popular Post

Anything that generates large casualties will cost Xi his position in power. Remember, all these people in the Chinese armed forces are men and women who came from One-Child families, because of Chinese restrictions on family size until a few years ago. Everytime one of these soldiers dies, an entire family lineage will be erased. Plus these guys haven't been to war since 1979, crossing to some place like the Taiwan Straits is going to scare them so much they'll likely freeze. Sitting ducks.

As if Trump is the answer to anything .If he's the answer you know your country is doomed. China last had a war around 47 years ago and the US has lost at least 3 and for what - trillions of debt and the empire dying at home ?

  • Author
6 minutes ago, beautifulthailand99 said:

As if Trump is the answer to anything .If he's the answer you know your country is doomed.

Yes of course. We all want America, the Great Satan, destroyed. Who do you think should run that enormous and rich landmass instead? What should be done about all those filthy Trump supporters?

9 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

Yes of course. We all want America, the Great Satan, destroyed. Who do you think should run that enormous and rich landmass instead? What should be done about all those filthy Trump supporters?

This is the natural order of entropy. You had your time in the sun and squandered it; now, you let the billionaire class take over, watching as they raise the drawbridge to protect their spoils of empire. While the masses who put them there shiver and spit at their own position, you act as a cheerleader for that very class. You are getting everything you deserve.

Personally I will go for Navajo Indians - when I cycled in my youth across Utah/Nevada and Arizona across the reservations native Amercians would without exception pick up me and my mate and put our fully laden bikes in the back of the pick up - whitie - never. They were drunk mind you but lovely people. Never forgot their kindness.

Another snippet from my FT article;

When Jensen Huang, Nvidia’s Taiwanese-American CEO, called Chinese AI researchers “world-class” last year, he was likely thinking of the genius-class grads who are building the country’s tech powerhouses such as DeepSeek and Huawei, as well as AI companies internationally. “You walk up and down the aisles of Anthropic or OpenAI or [Google] DeepMind,” said Huang last May, “there’s a whole bunch of AI researchers there, and they are from China . . . They are extraordinary and so the fact that they do extraordinary work is not surprising to me.”

  • Popular Post
3 minutes ago, beautifulthailand99 said:

They were drunk mind you but lovely people. Never forgot their kindness.

Indigenous population who have been replaced in their homelands always turn to grog. Whether its aboriginals in the NT, or American Indians across the continent, or indeed displaced Brits that sought refuge in the costa del crime or Pattaya. They lost their homelands, they lost their hopes and dreams. The bottle always has its arms out, eager with its warm embrace.

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Guess the questions were too difficult to answer. Carry on with the trolling.

I gave you my answer you may not like it but answer I did.

Sun Bear, Chippewa

"I do not think the measure of a civilization is how tall its buildings of concrete are, but rather how well its people have learned to relate to their environment and fellow man."

40 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

What should be done about all those filthy Trump supporters?

They will come to their senses in due course and re-join the mainstream sane society!

  • Author
12 minutes ago, scottiejohn said:

They will come to their senses in due course and re-join the mainstream sane society!

And if they dont? Guys like Miller, Bovino, Hegseth, the Proud Boys...what is to be done?

  • Author
40 minutes ago, SunnyinBangrak said:

Indigenous population who have been replaced in their homelands always turn to grog. Whether its aboriginals in the NT, or American Indians across the continent, or indeed displaced Brits that sought refuge in the costa del crime or Pattaya. They lost their homelands, they lost their hopes and dreams. The bottle always has its arms out, eager with its warm embrace.

Exactly. The Native Americans didnt even have firewater until the white man gave it to them and forced them to drink. Then the same racists criticize them for the dependency that was forced on them.

Lei’s Real Talk on YouTube puts china’s population at 300-400 million…

57 minutes ago, SunnyinBangrak said:

Indigenous population who have been replaced in their homelands always turn to grog. Whether its aboriginals in the NT, or American Indians across the continent, or indeed displaced Brits that sought refuge in the costa del crime or Pattaya. They lost their homelands, they lost their hopes and dreams. The bottle always has its arms out, eager with its warm embrace.

The black fellas in the NT are thriving.

Except for those into the grog, weed,speed,meth, porn and kava. The rest are doing just fine. Many outstations don't indulge.

  • Author
7 minutes ago, emptypockets said:

The black fellas in the NT are thriving.

Except for those into the grog, weed,speed,meth, porn and kava. The rest are doing just fine. Many outstations don't indulge.

Its their land, it should be returned. All of it.

1 hour ago, Yagoda said:

No one doubts their equipment, its would be their system that may not work

I doubt the effectiveness of a "drone swarm" against a moving target with layered defenses 1000 miles away.

I was watching the History channel about the Nazis, unsurprisingly.

They had the world beat. Until the US became involved.

The leadership knew that once the industrial factories of the US ramped up, they were doomed. And they were right.

Good luck with any country keeping up with China. Most countries have exported their manufacturing capability to China over the last few decades.

Not sure how this will end, but not feeling good about it.

Having said that, I've been friends with a few Chinese people over the years and their lives don't seem much different to ours. All want to make money and have a good life. Not sure the dystopian scenoario that we are lead to believe actually happens in day to day life.

32 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

Demographic concerns. Aging leadership. Out of balance economy. And now this:

https://www.theepochtimes.com/article/ignored-orders-and-growing-resistance-in-chinese-military-after-purge-of-top-generals-5978046?src_src=epochHG&src_cmp=rcp

The thing that struck me was the photos of the top military guys. They dont look like they could even lift a rifle.

Is China all show, and no substance? Does this mean that China will be forced to attack Taiwan simply to demonstrate it can?

"To the CCP fans bringing up Native Americans, firewater, and oppression: Communist regimes killed millions upon millions via famines, purges, etc. (tens of millions under Mao and Stalin per Google AI Overview).

How did those forced dependencies on destructive policies get to the people under their rule, while pro CCP rants focus elsewhere?

google ai overview tells us so.

"Several communist states have been responsible for the deaths of millions of people through a combination of executions, forced labor, and man-made famines. The primary countries cited in historical and scholarly studies as having the highest death tolls are the People's Republic of China under Mao Zedong and the Soviet Union under Joseph Stalin". 

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Its their land, it should be returned. All of it.w

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Its their land, it should be returned. All of it

2 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

Its their land, it should be returned. All of it.

No, it is Australia, its all our land

There a quite a few chunks of land that are Aboriginal lands where they have a lot of say. I spent a decade in Arnhem Land in the Northern Territory. Son was born there.

If you want to live with apartheid I suggest you go there. Permit required to go to a beach and paid to a white fella administrator for the local land council.

Want to drive out of town? Another paid permit to another land council. All administered by whites.

The Aboriginal industry is mind blowing. And not much money gets to the black fellas on the ground. The system is set up to keep them poor and the white dogooders rich.

All paid for by Ausie taxpayers and administered by a bloated blood sucking public service.

  • Author
4 minutes ago, emptypockets said:

No, it is Australia, its all our land

There a quite a few chunks of land that are Aboriginal lands where they have a lot of say. I spent a decade in Arnhem Land in the Northern Territory. Son was born there.

If you want to live with apartheid I suggest you go there. Permit required to go to a beach and paid to a white fella administrator for the local land council.

Want to drive out of town? Another paid permit to another land council. All administered by whites.

The Aboriginal industry is mind blowing. And not much money gets to the black fellas on the ground. The system is set up to keep them poor and the white dogooders rich.

All paid for by Ausie taxpayers and administered by a bloated blood sucking public service.

You guys stole the land from them. Invaded, started a genocide, forcibly relocated them. Its time that all of the countries of the entire world do the right thing and return the land and power to the original inhabitants.

From the River to the Sea!

Just now, Yagoda said:

You guys stole the land from them. Invaded, started a genocide, forcibly relocated them. Its time that all of the countries of the entire world do the right thing and return the land and power to the original inhabitants.

From the River to the Sea!

Tell it to the Romans and Vikings.

I guess you want to depopulate the USA too.

No Aboriginals were relocated to my knowledge.

Apparently you know more than I do.

Tell me again.....where do you live?

3 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

You guys stole the land from them. Invaded, started a genocide, forcibly relocated them. Its time that all of the countries of the entire world do the right thing and return the land and power to the original inhabitants.

From the River to the Sea!

Actually I didn't steal anything. I was born here 200 years years after the first fleet landed. Got quite a few black fellas mates too, went to school with them They don't seem too concerned about it.

I guess you are what some, unkind people, may call mouth for hire.

  • Author
1 minute ago, emptypockets said:

I guess you want to depopulate the USA too.

Yep. Stolen land. We need to give it all back to the aboriginal inhabitants. You dont think the USA is on stolen land? How about Israel?

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Yep. Stolen land. We need to give it all back to the aboriginal inhabitants. You dont think the USA is on stolen land? How about Israel?

1 minute ago, Yagoda said:

Yep. Stolen land. We need to give it all back to the aboriginal inhabitants. You dont think the USA is on stolen land? How about Israel?

No , I don't. That's the the way of the world. Deal with it.

3 minutes ago, novacova said:

Good grief, can’t take a joke or what…calm yourself down already. Some of folks here are so tizzy inclined that it just adds to the humor.

I don't think that nutjob is joking.... glad that you are though there's a lot of nutters out there you need to be careful !

  • Author
1 minute ago, emptypockets said:

No , I don't. That's the the way of the world. Deal with it.

Cool. Got it. Ill file that away for later use, if necessary.

2 hours ago, Yagoda said:

This is what you said:

"Whatever the case may be with this story, regimes of the kind headed by Xi rarely have top notch military leaders because you need someone not reluctant to take the initiative in times of war."

You believe that? Initiative is welcome in Socialist authoritarian regimes?

Try this:

"Authoritarian regimes rarely have top notch military leaders, because what is needed are officers willing to take the initiative."

Better? Authoritarian no likey-likey underlings takey-takey initiative.

8 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

Yep. Stolen land. We need to give it all back to the aboriginal inhabitants. You dont think the USA is on stolen land? How about Israel?

All land is stolen by others. Every country has boundaries that people fought and died for. Power has some rich and many poor.

People weren't in America long ago. The Indians came first, and then the whites pushed them off land they lived on and into much smaller holdings. The same happened here in Thailand and everywhere else.

People went to America and received a certain amount of land to build and farm on. Usually 160 acres. Some in Texas increased that up to over a million acres. Swindling, buying some land when others went into debt and killing their neighbors. Many have thousands of acres because this is what their ancestors did.

In the modern era, oil was discovered and many had enough money to purchase neighboring land to put up oil wells and raise cattle.

Impossible to give land back as people have enough money to get away with almost anything these days, and most people don't have the money to buy such huge tracts so those who own them keep them, or if they run into debts because of bad practices, they can sell some of their land for millions and a subdivision will be built, and they'll live on the remainder, exactly what's been happening in Texas the last decades.

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