Has anyone seen any comment about the likely effect of the US/Israel war with Iran, on tourist numbers coming in to Thailand ? It seems the major carriers of the Middle East won't be bringing tourists atm - the airlines travelling to Europe direct will be better placed, though subject to redirected demand.

Which airlines are flying atm ?

What's the likely increase in fares ?

Comments/news welcome . . .

Few less British tourist can only be a good thing!

For sure, you'd expect a drop off in visitor numbers from Europe although how significant the number will be, I don't know. There are still a lot of other airlines flying between Europe and Thailand which don't stop in the Middle East.

Spare a thought for those of us in Australia and New Zealand who are also seeing airfares surge. An Aussie or Kiwi who might have flown to Europe via the Middle East is now looking at the likes of Singapore Airlines, QANTAS, Thai etc and as bookings on those airlines increase, fares elsewhere on the network, such as to Bangkok, are spiking. I looked at flying to Bangkok from New Zealand in May on QANTAS and the fare was $NZ 2,700 which is $NZ 1,100 more than I paid last time. That's too much so I'll hold off. So it won't just be fewer Europeans visiting but there might be a drop in visitor numbers from the likes of NZ and Australia too.

War in the Middle East could seriously affect Thai tourism this year, with a 25% decline from the 2026 target being the worst-case scenario if the fighting extends beyond three months, prompting officials to target short‑haul tourists to fill the gap.
According to a preliminary forecast by the TAT, the worst‑case scenario would involve a potential decrease of 25% to between 27 million and 29 million foreign visitors, from the 2026 target of 36.7 million.

If the war ends within three months, the agency sees an 18% decline to 30–31 million, which is the base‑case scenario.

For the best‑case scenario, if tensions subside in two to four weeks, there would be a minimal impact of only 2%.

Source: Bangkokpost
https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/general/3210574/25-tourism-decline-worstcase-scenario.

These are all the places on the UK Foreign Office's ‘do not travel’ list

Source:

https://www.cntraveller.com/article/these-are-all-the-places-on-the-foreign-office-do-not-travel-lis

Μy own advice is do not travel to U.K because they have a budget deficit £20 billion and additional taxation for social benefits £40 billion........total 60 billion Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)

In addition you will pay your visa entering U.K .........