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Posted

Quite an interesting  graph.

IMO the one that shows  China reaching a flat line which at this preliminary stage is  indicating  a mimic  in South Korea at a much lower level indicates the effectiveness of applied  measures. The discrepancy in total  numbers  can be accounted for in terms of  total populations.

While Italy is  shown to be in  serious  trouble  it should be noted that the US  is spiking at a rate faster   than Italy.

Comparisons of  countries  with  current  numbers  still  low it would be difficult  to predict .

Quatar  looks promising but....

Posted

The graph shows all the R0's are 2 but the outgoing infection periods vary. Italy is 3 days . Singapore is 10 days.

So in one month Italy has 2^10 infections while Singapore has 2^3 infections

 

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