Virus spread rate in Bangkok higher than global average

[snoop1130]

Virus spread rate in Bangkok higher than global average

By The Nation

 

 

The spread of Covid-19 infection in Bangkok and its vicinity has exceeded the average rate globally with one infected individual passing on the virus to three and a half persons, said Dr Taweesin Visanuyothin, spokesman for the Public Health Ministry.

 

The situation in Bangkok is worrisome as the spread is wider and more intense than in other provinces, he said , citing the three southern border provinces where the infection rate is one to two other persons.

 

He said the government's work-from-home measure had to be stricter by making an announcement of emergency holidays, but the public must follow instructions for a positive result.

 

The number of Covid-19 patients in Thailand has reached 827, making Thailand the 31th most-affected country.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30384746

 

-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-03-24

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[Orton Rd]

so much for 30 degrees of heat killing it off then

[khwaibah]

World class HUB finally. Where are you TAT.

[saengd]

5 minutes ago, Orton Rd said:

so much for 30 degrees of heat killing it off then

High heat and high humidity slows the spread, it doesn't kill off the virus.

[billd766]

quote from the OP.

 

The situation in Bangkok is worrisome as the spread is wider and more intense than in other provinces, he said , citing the three southern border provinces where the infection rate is one to two other persons.

 

Perhaps that could be put down to more people per square metre, very little chance of 2 metre separation and not enough testing facilities.

 

Common sense #101 could tell you that. Just look at the Skytrain and its platforms and the public buses for crowding.

[ukrules]

It was always going to hit the big cities much harder than other places.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

19 minutes ago, snoop1130 said:

making Thailand the 31th most-affected country.

 

31st, and likely moving up on the list as time passes...

[CNXexpat]

36 minutes ago, snoop1130 said:

The situation in Bangkok is worrisome as the spread is wider and more intense than in other provinces,

Not for a long time. The spread in the provinces where the many workers went will soon be much larger. Some people were tested positive.

Edited March 24, 2020 by CNXexpat

[jollyhangmon]

23 minutes ago, billd766 said:

quote from the OP.

 

The situation in Bangkok is worrisome as the spread is wider and more intense than in other provinces, he said , citing the three southern border provinces where the infection rate is one to two other persons.

 

Perhaps that could be put down to more people per square metre, very little chance of 2 metre separation and not enough testing facilities.

 

Common sense #101 could tell you that. Just look at the Skytrain and its platforms and the public buses for crowding.

 

... don't get all logical now!

Also maybe that stadium clustermuck cranked up the rate a bit ... ?! 

[FarFlungFalang]

54 minutes ago, snoop1130 said:

The spread of Covid-19 infection in Bangkok and its vicinity has exceeded the average rate globally

Are they saying that Bangkok's spread rate is greater than the rest of the world or every other country in the world?Sounds like there trying for another excuse for their poor management of the situation.With possibly up to 50-70% of infections being asymptomatic makes it nigh impossible for any country to try and guess the infection rate or the death rate.

[Ian Nagle]

8,000 dispersed on Sunday from Mo Chit bus station to all parts of Thailand.

Words fail me.

[Seismic]

1 hour ago, Ian Nagle said:

8,000 dispersed on Sunday from Mo Chit bus station to all parts of Thailand.

Words fail me.

That should actually be 80,000 !!!

[MobileContent]

In Scotland the infection rate is between 4-6% as I have seen on Sky News. Bangkok is a big city 

[RichardColeman]

I thought their was a story on here a day or so ago about the WHO praising Thailand - oh, well, you can hide the truth for so long i guess.

 

 

[ThailandRyan]

TAT now has a new slogan.  "Come to Thailand, meet new and exciting people, become the Super Spreader you were meant to Be"  "Return to your own country knowing you have touched many people throughout your stay".  Enjoy but be safe.  

[Matzzon]

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

TAT now has a new slogan.  "Come to Thailand, meet new and exciting people, become the Super Spreader you were meant to Be"  "Return to your own country knowing you have touched many people throughout your stay".  Enjoy but be safe.  

They will soon call you for your new exciting gig, working together with a team of seasoned professional. Please do not forget to keep us updated on the salary offered.

[RJRS1301]

The number diagnosis will double every three days from here on in, in all regions until measures for treatment and quarantine take effect

 

The poor and people with comorbidities are the most vulnerable along with frontline health care workers

 

Bear in mind, that it appears that 90 % infected recover, but the recovery period is questionable if Thailand follows other countries rates.

 

[sungod]

11 hours ago, Orton Rd said:

so much for 30 degrees of heat killing it off then

Always easy to comment with hindsight.

[Tagged]

12 hours ago, saengd said:

High heat and high humidity slows the spread, it doesn't kill off the virus.

It surtenly slow down brains for those who is supposed to handle this situation!

Edited March 25, 2020 by Tagged

[Tagged]

9 hours ago, Seismic said:

That should actually be 80,000 !!!

And one infected person in average,  transmit the virus to 3, calculate the scenario if there was one infected in every 3. buss on their way out to the districts. 

Edited March 24, 2020 by Tagged

[sammieuk1]

Sure the general has a cunning plan to unleash like hide and hope???? 

[pacovl46]

13 hours ago, Orton Rd said:

so much for 30 degrees of heat killing it off then

It was pretty clear from the very beginning that that couldn’t have been true, since the temperature in the human body is well over 30 degrees. 

[Thailand]

The continued lying about the number of infections has now come back to bite the bums of the govt in a big way and sadly the initial inaction will result in deaths that could have been prevented.

 

The recent distribution of persons from Bangkok to ensure a nice even spread of the virus countrywide was a classic.

Along with immigration centres around the country having hundreds of people in close proximity every day and then returning to their homes in every part of Thailand are probably one of the biggest dangers.

Be safe if you can.

[Dogmatix]

With the transmission rate of 3.5, if we apply the classic epidemiology formula of 1-(1/R0) where R = transmission rate, unmitigated transmission, which is what we have seen in Bangkok, will result in infection of 71.4% of the population of the city. 
 

Wuhan managed to bring its transmission rate down to 1.5.

[hotchilli]

14 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

The situation in Bangkok is worrisome as the spread is wider and more intense than in other provinces, he said ,

Which has just vacated Bangkok on-mass to go back to home provinces.. watch the numbers spiral nationwide next week.

[Dogmatix]

I read statistics. which I have been unable to verify,  in a Thai forum comparing capacity of Thai Healthcare system to the Italian one.

 

Italy. 3.4 hospital beds per 1000 head of population and 4.1 doctors.

 

Thailand. 2.4 hospital beds per 1000 head of population and 0.8 doctors. 
 

I imagine the comparison of ICU beds and ventilators would look worse but Thailand probably has more nurses than Italy. The stats in the Thai provinces must be much worse than Bangkok, particularly outside the cities. In the countryside serious cases have to be sent to hospitals In the provincial capitals. 
 

In Italy and Spain medical professionals are accounting for 10-15% of confirmed cases.

Edited March 25, 2020 by Dogmatix

[billd766]

16 hours ago, jollyhangmon said:

 

... don't get all logical now!

Also maybe that stadium clustermuck cranked up the rate a bit ... ?! 

I had forgotten the stadiums and cockfights etc, probably as I never use them.

[billd766]

15 hours ago, Ian Nagle said:

8,000 dispersed on Sunday from Mo Chit bus station to all parts of Thailand.

Words fail me.

Don't forget that Mo Chit only serves the north and north east. There is also the southern terminal at Sai Tai Mai, Taling Chan and the Eastern terminal at Ekkamai on Sukhumvit road.

[Dogmatix]

9 minutes ago, billd766 said:

Don't forget that Mo Chit only serves the north and north east. There is also the southern terminal at Sai Tai Mai, Taling Chan and the Eastern terminal at Ekkamai on Sukhumvit road.

 

And the railway station and passenger vans to closer provinces.

[Dogmatix]

Actually Thailand probably doesn’t have nearly enough data to accurately compute transmission rates. The detection rate must be quite low due to the lack of testing. So they don’t know what the transmission rates of undetected cases are and they are probably lower since the reported cases include a number of super spreader clusters like the army’s boxing stadium. However, Lack of testing, in and of itself, automatically increases transmission rates as a symptomatic and mild cases are not isolated.