Analysis: Like It Or Not, Prawit Most Likely To Become PM

[webfact]

 

By Out-Crowd

 

LIKE IT OR NOT, PALANG Pracharath leader Prawit Wongsuwan will be the most likely person to become prime minister after an upcoming general election despite the likelihood of a failure on his own part to win most MP seats.

 

That Prawit will likely have the largest chance of winning the top post of government among all partisan contestants will by no means pertain to a number of MP seats which the Palang Pracharath may get in the nationwide election, speculated in early or mid-May, but will decisively hinge on the hands of a coup junta-appointed army of 250 senators, according to political observers.

 

Prawit who has been strongly resolved to contest the general election as the sole Palang Pracharath contender for prime minister has so far emerged as the only man who may eventually join ranks with either side of the current political spectrum, be it the Ruam Thai Sang Chart, de facto steered by coup leader-turned-premier Prayut Chan-o-cha, or the Pheu Thai, de facto guided by deposed premier Thaksin Shinawatra.

 

Full story: https://thainewsroom.com/2023/02/14/analysis-like-it-or-not-prawit-most-likely-to-become-pm/

 

-- © Copyright  THAI NEWSROOM 2023-02-15

 

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[spidermike007]

And that would be the worst possible outcome for Thailand, and would insure it keeps moving backwards, for years to come. He is incapable, a terrible leader, not particularly swift, and despised by all but a few. And did I mention the likelihood that he is seriously corrupt? I guess that goes without saying. 

[2baht]

Congratulations...........You get what you deserve! 

[Stargeezr]

Well if Thailand was a true democratic country, this would not happen. I still think of

Thailand as a Kingdom, so I am not surprised with Prawit being able to get into power.

  If course I am a Canadian with only limited knowledge of Thailand politics. 555

[HaoleBoy]

Poor Thai people ...

Even if they vote differently their junta written Constitution is against the people with the junta appointed Senate.

[ikke1959]

As with all the debates, the elections are directed already too.. waste of time and money as they know already who the new PM will be... Not the will of the people, not the choices of the people , but by manipulating the results, nothing will change much..

[Pique Dard]

3 hours ago, webfact said:

Prawit Wongsuwan will be the most likely person to become prime minister

..what a surprise!

[4MyEgo]

3 hours ago, webfact said:

but will decisively hinge on the hands of a coup junta-appointed army of 250 senators, according to political observers.

Ah yes, true democracy at the core of politics, Thai style ????

[hotchilli]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

That Prawit will likely have the largest chance of winning the top post of government among all partisan contestants will by no means pertain to a number of MP seats which the Palang Pracharath may get in the nationwide election, speculated in early or mid-May, but will decisively hinge on the hands of a coup junta-appointed army of 250 senators, according to political observers.

The fix is already in for Prawits turn... and seems Prayut is out in the cold?

[hotchilli]

1 hour ago, Stargeezr said:

Well if Thailand was a true democratic country, this would not happen. I still think of

Thailand as a Kingdom, so I am not surprised with Prawit being able to get into power.

  If course I am a Canadian with only limited knowledge of Thailand politics. 555

But you do have experience of living under a less than popular leader?

[hotchilli]

36 minutes ago, HaoleBoy said:

Poor Thai people ...

Even if they vote differently their junta written Constitution is against the people with the junta appointed Senate.

Vote for an opposition party and win a landslide victory, and if Prawit is still voted in as PM by the senate then take to the streets en-masse, citing the public do not except the decision of the senate.

[stoner]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

coup junta-appointed army of 250 senators

and there in lies the rub.

 

yall should be excited at the prospect of him becoming pm. he will make a fool of himself over and over. 

 

take a shot every time this fool falls asleep on the job. 

[klauskunkel]

A slug replaces a reptile, Thailand, oh Thailand

 

[Muhendis]

42 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

The fix is already in for Prawits turn... and seems Prayut is out in the cold?

And quite likely will be changing his address?

Or maybe not.

[2baht]

1 hour ago, HaoleBoy said:

Poor Thai people ...

Yes, what can 60 million people do? ???? Almost makes you pity them!????

[2baht]

46 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

then take to the streets en-masse

10,000 people on the streets protesting will achieve squat!

[zzaa09]

4 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

And that would be the worst possible outcome for Thailand, and would insure it keeps moving backwards, for years to come. He is incapable, a terrible leader, not particularly swift, and despised by all but a few. And did I mention the likelihood that he is seriously corrupt? I guess that goes without saying. 

And the Thai establishment based media seems quite ok with promoting such things.

Going along to get along.

Shameful.

[zzaa09]

19 minutes ago, 2baht said:

10,000 people on the streets protesting will achieve squat!

Symbolic street protest accomplish little or nothing. 

Revolutions, on the other hand.......

????

[newnative]

He still alive?

[bannork]

This is going to upset The Doors fan, Mr mojo risin. 

He seems to think Pheua Thai supporters will rise upen masse if PT are denied the premiership.

But Thaksin will make a deal with Pravit to join forces and form a government in order to come back.

Never mind Pravit was part of the coup.

Never mind the rumours of corruption under his watch.

Everything will be forgiven if granddad can come home.

The red shirts? Most will be happy so long as a few populist policies are wheeled out. 

The educated red shirts will move to Move Forward.

 

[kingstonkid]

4 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

And that would be the worst possible outcome for Thailand, and would insure it keeps moving backwards, for years to come. He is incapable, a terrible leader, not particularly swift, and despised by all but a few. And did I mention the likelihood that he is seriously corrupt? I guess that goes without saying. 

The thing that is missed is that if he's not the party in power his power is diminished greatly.  It is the party in power that has the power not the person. He can say what he wants but if ff and pt have more members in house he may not get it. 

[hotchilli]

1 hour ago, 2baht said:

10,000 people on the streets protesting will achieve squat!

A few hundred thousand in Bangkok would do nicely... every day until the rigged system is changed.

[Eric Loh]

The analysis is not what most want but is a realistic outcome. PTP will win the majority of the House of Representatives and MFP taking the second best. They unlikely to partner due to different stance on the subject of LM. PPRP in my opinion will be the third largest winner with BJT close behind followed by UTNP. Assuming that election outcome, the 250 senators are the king maker and Prawit will be in pole position with PTP and BJT coalition. Prayut will never accept any role in Prawit administration as it would be a severe lost of face to accept any ministerial position. 

[harada]

My moneys on him sleeping through his inauguration. ????

[Laughing Gravy]

3 hours ago, 2baht said:

Yes, what can 60 million people do? ???? Almost makes you pity them!????

Grow a backbone and say enough is enough for starters.

 

But the majority won't and will stick with their status quo, all brought upon by themselves.

[Eric Loh]

5 hours ago, HaoleBoy said:

Poor Thai people ...

Even if they vote differently their junta written Constitution is against the people with the junta appointed Senate.

I agree with you for this election. However the Constitution also have a expiration term for this senators. All were appointed in 2017 and the term is 5 years i.e. 2023. Also important is that the selection and appointment of the current senators by the Royal Thai Army in 2017 by royal decree may change. The panel may not followed the previous army dominated preference to appoint mostly loyalist military personnels. Better still the constitution could be amended for elected senators. I feel Prawit may open to such change. 

[billd766]

4 hours ago, kingstonkid said:

The thing that is missed is that if he's not the party in power his power is diminished greatly.  It is the party in power that has the power not the person. He can say what he wants but if ff and pt have more members in house he may not get it. 

I agree with you up to a point.

 

Firstly, the PPRP has to win enough seats to nominate a PM candidate.

 

Secondly, the party that wins the most seats but not enough for an overall majority will need a coalition partner.

 

Thirdly, between them they will nominate the PM candidate, BUT the larger partners choice should be the only one.

 

Fourthly, we have to assume that the PTP will win the most seats, but not an overall majority and that they will take the PPRP on as a junior coalition partner,

 

Fifthly, the EC and associated agencies will not find it so easy to frig the results this time and get away with it , nor will it be so easy to ban elected politicians and political parties this time around.

 

Whilst Thaksin may have a lot of sway over the PTP it relies on the voters and not him. He hay agree in principle to have the PPRP as a coalition partner, and get him elected as PM, but then again this is Thai politics which is full of smiling faces and political back stabbings.

[zzaa09]

5 hours ago, bannork said:

This is going to upset The Doors fan, Mr mojo risin. 

He seems to think Pheua Thai supporters will rise upen masse if PT are denied the premiership.

But Thaksin will make a deal with Pravit to join forces and form a government in order to come back.

Never mind Pravit was part of the coup.

Never mind the rumours of corruption under his watch.

Everything will be forgiven if granddad can come home.

The red shirts? Most will be happy so long as a few populist policies are wheeled out. 

The educated red shirts will move to Move Forward.

 

Well....that'll take our minds off the important things. 

????

[kingstonkid]

5 hours ago, Laughing Gravy said:

Grow a backbone and say enough is enough for starters.

 

But the majority won't and will stick with their status quo, all brought upon by themselves.

Something like a lot of western countries where people support a party no matter how bad it or it's head are.

[kingstonkid]

11 hours ago, Stargeezr said:

Well if Thailand was a true democratic country, this would not happen. I still think of

Thailand as a Kingdom, so I am not surprised with Prawit being able to get into power.

  If course I am a Canadian with only limited knowledge of Thailand politics. 555

Lol and north America can brag about the great leaders they have Putin place.  Petit Pierre us doing such a good job.