Delayed Start to Rainy Season Forecast in Thailand

[webfact]

 

Thailand's Meteorological Department predicts that the rainy season will start one to two weeks later this year, likely in the fourth week of May, and should last through late October.

 

Rainfall is expected to be close to average levels, comparable to last year, which saw a 1% higher than average rainfall during the rainy season, yet accumulated 6% more than average throughout the year.

 

For the initial half of the season till July, typical amounts of rain are forecasted. Nevertheless, an increased percentage (5%) of average rainfall is likely from August to late October. However, due to sparse rainfall spread from mid-June to mid-July, water scarcity for agricultural regions, particularly zones outside the irrigation system and prone to drought, is a concern. This situation necessitates efficient water use during this period. 

 

From August to October, the country is expected to experience heavy rainstorms and probable tropical cyclones, with a potential for flash floods in several areas. The northeast and the north regions are anticipated to be hit by one to two tropical cyclones in August and September.

 

In October, the North and Northeast will see an ebb in rains and mornings will start to turn colder. However, more than half of the Central, Eastern, and Southern regions are predicted to continue experiencing heavy rains, including possible torrential downpours. This is attributed to a high pressure system from China moving to cover the North, and a monsoon trough covering the Central, East and South regions. 

 

Lastly, a change in the monsoon from the southwest to the northeast is expected during the rainy season, further influencing the regional rainfall patterns.

 

Photo courtesy THE STAR

 

-- 2024-04-29

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[Bangkok Barry]

Bad news for my wife, who spends 2-3 hours a day watering our garden, plus going off with bins full of water filling the back of the pickup a few times a week to attended plants on some land she has. Condo dwellers don't know how lucky they are 😕

[jacko45k]

Darn it, stop moving the goalposts. It was mid-May last time I heard, and that was a change from the 'soon after Songkran' heard prior to that!

[hotchilli]

3 hours ago, webfact said:

Thailand's Meteorological Department predicts that the rainy season will start one to two weeks later this year, likely in the fourth week of May, and should last through late October.

Last year we had minimal rain, this year so far virtually non existent.

Nakhon Pathom

[morrobay]

Oh for Christs Sake 

[ChipButty]

We are needing some in Phuket we are ok one of the first things i did was dig a well, both my neighbours are relying on city water, it's been off for 3 or 4 days, they are having to buy water, 

[mfd101]

We get all our water from 40metres down. Not sure what happens when/if it ever runs out.

 

Hasn't run out so far in 7 years. With his usual 'sunny' (Thai) disposition - living in the moment - my b/f just laughs whenever I raise the question. Lotta wata.

[mikebell]

Now if only they hadn't wasted all those millions of gallons on a gigantic wet-T-shirt competition!

[LivingNThailand]

15 minutes ago, ChipButty said:

We are needing some in Phuket we are ok one of the first things i did was dig a well, both my neighbours are relying on city water, it's been off for 3 or 4 days, they are having to buy water, 

Where in Phuket.  We still have water in Chalong.....for how long?  

[dinsdale]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

Thailand's Meteorological Department predicts that the rainy season will start one to two weeks later this year, likely in the fourth week of May, and should last through late October.

I wouldn't hold your breath. If I remember correctly the real wet didn't start until September last year and was the shortest wet season I can remember. Loooong, hot, humid build up. Will this year be different? As for the wet season it traditionally starts on Khao Phansa this year 20/7.  

[Robert Paulson]

So they are trying to predict something about 4 weeks out? Don’t buy it. 
 

I think humans do in fact have tech that’s able to do some pretty impressive stuff, but it’s not available to the public. In other words, I think humans are probably decent at weather forecasting if they needed it to be accurate for a war or invasion or something important to them. We just get the old tech as taxpayers. All the info we get fed is rubbish. It’s never correct. 

[freeworld]

Imagine that. Places where it used to rain or not, when there were no humans, there were no problems.

 

Enter the human factor and suddenly there is complaining about it raining or not or that the humans are inconvenienced by the lack of water.

Edited April 29 by freeworld

[Carlotta]

1 hour ago, ChipButty said:

We are needing some in Phuket we are ok one of the first things i did was dig a well, both my neighbours are relying on city water, it's been off for 3 or 4 days, they are having to buy water, 

Normally you have a tank for water. We have 2 tanks by 20.000 litres. So if there's no water for some days it doesn't matter.

[ChipButty]

1 hour ago, LivingNThailand said:

Where in Phuket.  We still have water in Chalong.....for how long?  

Rawai along Saiyuan, we are ok because we have the well,

[ChipButty]

11 minutes ago, Carlotta said:

Normally you have a tank for water. We have 2 tanks by 20.000 litres. So if there's no water for some days it doesn't matter.

we have a deep well and a tank

[LivingNThailand]

14 minutes ago, Carlotta said:

Normally you have a tank for water. We have 2 tanks by 20.000 litres. So if there's no water for some days it doesn't matter.

Our tank will only last about 1-2 days if we don't do any laundry. We eat at home mostly, and shower daily.  🤗

[petermik]

1 hour ago, LivingNThailand said:

Our tank will only last about 1-2 days if we don't do any laundry. We eat at home mostly, and shower daily.  🤗

My tank will last a week normally....I don`t shower often as it helps in keeping the neighbours at bay

[Carlotta]

3 hours ago, petermik said:

My tank will last a week normally....I don`t shower often as it helps in keeping the neighbours at bay

And probably your house is a no fly area?😂 

[KhunLA]

So, same as last year, down here @ PKK.  I wouldn't be surprised if that holds for the future, as weather patterns do shift with time.   Also means, we had rain later in the year, than years before.   The amount or, and months/weeks of rain hasn't changed, that I notice.   Farmers may have a better handle on that.