Looking @ Dem 538 Polling experts stats ,harris is in the lead to lose

[riclag]

She’s sinking with 15 days left!

Team chaos, harris/ walz ,will be history!

“538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

Trump wins 53 times out of 100

in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

 

Harris wins 47 times out of 100”

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Edited October 21 by riclag

[Danderman123]

As expected, Republican pollsters are flooding the zone with bad polls, and their acolytes are flooding the board with bad polls.

 

You will notice that the Trumpers don't post anything about early voting. You know, actual data about actual votes:

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

 

Spoiler alert: the Republicans aren't turning out for Trump.

[Talon]

2 hours ago, riclag said:

She’s sinking with 15 days left!

Team chaos, harris/ walz ,will be history!

“538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

Trump wins 53 times out of 100

in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

 

Harris wins 47 times out of 100”

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

 

This election is not about polls. Even before The Steal in 2020, polls were not used to predict an outcome. They are used to SHAPE opinion. 

 

The election fraud operations that simultaneously stopped counting in 2020 in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still in place; and all of those counties are still controlled by Democrat politicians who will once again look the other way. Democrats also control the DOJ and FBI, which has been involved in all of the lawfare against Trump.

 

Expect anything. Democrats will pull out all the stops once again. They will not give up power just because they have had two flawed Leftist candidates for POTUS this cycle.

[Danderman123]

41 minutes ago, Talon said:

 

This election is not about polls. Even before The Steal in 2020, polls were not used to predict an outcome. They are used to SHAPE opinion. 

 

The election fraud operations that simultaneously stopped counting in 2020 in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still in place; and all of those counties are still controlled by Democrat politicians who will once again look the other way. Democrats also control the DOJ and FBI, which has been involved in all of the lawfare against Trump.

 

Expect anything. Democrats will pull out all the stops once again. They will not give up power just because they have had two flawed Leftist candidates for POTUS this cycle.

Are the election fraud operators in the room with you right now?

 

Seriously, there is medication available that will help you.

 

The Trump campaign concluded in 2020 that there was no significant fraud. Do you have information they don't have?

 

There was a MAGA hand count of Arizona's 2020 votes in 2021. The result was they found Biden's votes were undercounted.

 

Everything that makes you think the 2020 election was stolen is due to your lack of knowledge of election operations. 

[riclag]

1 hour ago, Talon said:

 

This election is not about polls. Even before The Steal in 2020, polls were not used to predict an outcome. They are used to SHAPE opinion. 

 

The election fraud operations that simultaneously stopped counting in 2020 in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still in place; and all of those counties are still controlled by Democrat politicians who will once again look the other way. Democrats also control the DOJ and FBI, which has been involved in all of the lawfare against Trump.

 

Expect anything. Democrats will pull out all the stops once again. They will not give up power just because they have had two flawed Leftist candidates for POTUS this cycle.

Thats my biggest fear !

Expect anything !

AG BENSON has it all figured out , according to the article , she can’t by law clean the voter roles for at least two voting cycles.

 

Michigan’s inflated voter rolls draw scrutiny as election looms. 

https://gazette.com/news/wex/michigan-s-inflated-voter-rolls-draw-scrutiny-as-election-looms/article_e9d25e90-0d0c-57cd-a074-24fbb44d6e70.html

[earlinclaifornia]

[earlinclaifornia]

Her victory to lose is correct! Seven of these twelve in her column

[Danderman123]

The margin of errors in polls is so high that polls are meaningless at this point.

 

As an example, per

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

 

Harris has a lead in Pennsylvania in actual votes cast that requires Trump to outperforms his polling numbers to win.

 

 

[earlinclaifornia]

Trends is the only reason to pay attention to polling.

Votes matter and I am reading that the decision may indeed be declared on election day.

[Danderman123]

I am looking at early voting numbers by gender. Anything more than 53% women voters is bad for Trump.

 

Early voters are generally more motivated than those who wait until Election Day, so motivated women voters in large numbers are bad for Trump.