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You can't get much better statistically than a 99% confidence level. 

 

"The incumbent political party is favored when the Dow is up year-to-date, according to a prediction model with a 99% confidence rating."

 

I guess all the Trumpsters will be hoping for a market crash before the election. 

 

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-gives-this-candidate-a-70-chance-to-be-the-next-u-s-president-a6fecfa7?mod=panda_marketwatch_author_alert

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