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Trump's Letter to Iran Sets Two-Month Deadline for Nuclear Deal


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Posted

It doesn't matter how big a military a country has or how safe that makes them feel.

 

A nuclear bomb doesn't need a missile or plane to deliver it it could fit in the trunk of a car or be hidden in a container of anything you care to mention or for that matter a small tactical nuclear warhead big enough to take out the white House and half of Washington at the same time could even fit in a backpack. Then the winds would spread the radiation fallout further afield.

 

Just imagine if some terrorist group planted nuclear devices in half a dozen US cities and detonated them all at the same time.

Posted
18 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Trump has already demonstrated his threats of ‘Devastating Consequences’ are meaningless verbiage.

He’s a paper tiger.

 

   What are you referring to ?

Do you think that Donald and Israel  are just bluffing when talking about Iran ?

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Posted
On 3/21/2025 at 9:34 AM, Luuk Chaai said:

...  Should have given them 10 hours .................. Period !

Oh dear - another armchair dictator .........!

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Posted
4 hours ago, Nick Carter icp said:

 

   What are you referring to ?

Do you think that Donald and Israel  are just bluffing when talking about Iran ?

'Puffing' is a more appropriate term.

And if they aren'[t - the good 'ole USA is going to be embroiled in another disastrous defeat result - just like Vietnam!

Trump is all puff and gaiters.

Still, he can always send his own 2 'warrior' sons to fight on his behalf, can't he? 

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Posted
30 minutes ago, Bundooman said:

'Puffing' is a more appropriate term.

And if they aren'[t - the good 'ole USA is going to be embroiled in another disastrous defeat result - just like Vietnam!

Trump is all puff and gaiters.

Still, he can always send his own 2 'warrior' sons to fight on his behalf, can't he? 

 

  I doubt the USA will invade Iran . 

More likely that Israel will bomb Iran , again 

Posted
On 3/21/2025 at 12:17 AM, Walker88 said:

The Obama Administration had some people who understood the world. The current POTUS does not.

 

The JCPOA was working just fine. Iran---having learned US cyber capabilities when it was hobbled by Stuxnet---made a choice to give up nuke development. Enrichment reactors were filled with cement. High speed centrifuges---smashed via the Stuxnet worm---were abandoned. Inspectors were allowed to go anywhere at anytime to check if Iran was in compliance. Via HUMINT and SIGINT, the agency reported every six months on Iran's compliance. The Iran nuke program halted 100% (despite Netayanhu trying a cover op and releasing Iran nuke documents from 2003).

He canceled it because it was being enforced worse that "Prohibition" was. Especially when Biden released them from sanctions. A couple of interesting reads if you care to. Makes one wonder how deep this stuff went for money. :wai:

 

https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/blog/5-times-obama-admin-insisted-cash-way-pay-iran/

 

https://www.factcheck.org/2024/05/posts-misrepresent-unfreezing-of-16-billion-in-iranian-funds/

 

What a difference a few yrs has made to today. 🤔

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Posted
9 hours ago, Nick Carter icp said:

 

  I doubt the USA will invade Iran . 

More likely that Israel will bomb Iran , again 

 

Just think a step further. Bomb them... how?

 

The Iranians are building their centrifuges under mountains by now, so you can only reach them with a (large) nuke. To nuke all of Iran -- it is a really big country -- you will need a good number of bombs, the fallout will devastate Israel in a really bad way.

 

And the Americans nuking another country without prior confrontation will make them worse pariahs than the North Koreans for a 100 years; already they are loosing their friends as it is. The US are reliant on trade, so this will be economic suicide for the US.

 

Literally, besides a land occupation there is no good tool either Israel or the US have.

 

Have a look, how Russia is faring right now and how successful the US was in Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan and it tells you, that you either make the Iranians come to the table by their own will, or you have nothing at all to prevent them from having their own bomb sooner or later (many think, they already have).

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Posted
32 minutes ago, jts-khorat said:

 

Just think a step further. Bomb them... how?

 

The Iranians are building their centrifuges under mountains by now, so you can only reach them with a (large) nuke. To nuke all of Iran -- it is a really big country -- you will need a good number of bombs, the fallout will devastate Israel in a really bad way.

 

And the Americans nuking another country without prior confrontation will make them worse pariahs than the North Koreans for a 100 years; already they are loosing their friends as it is. The US are reliant on trade, so this will be economic suicide for the US.

 

Literally, besides a land occupation there is no good tool either Israel or the US have.

 

Have a look, how Russia is faring right now and how successful the US was in Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan and it tells you, that you either make the Iranians come to the table by their own will, or you have nothing at all to prevent them from having their own bomb sooner or later (many think, they already have).

With bombs, the same way they did last time, nice big bunker buster bombs, the same ones they used in the last bombing strike in Nov. 

 

Israel destroyed active nuclear weapons research facility in Iran, officials say

The Israeli attack on Iran in late October destroyed an active top secret nuclear weapons research facility in Parchin, according to three U.S. officials, one current Israeli official and one former Israeli official.

Why it matters: The strike — which targeted a site previously reported to be inactive — significantly damaged Iran's effort over the past year to resume nuclear weapons research, Israeli and U.S. officials said.

https://www.axios.com/2024/11/15/iran-israel-destroyed-active-nuclear-weapons-research-facility

 

 

Posted
29 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

With bombs, the same way they did last time, nice big bunker buster bombs, the same ones they used in the last bombing strike in Nov.

 

As I said, there is known construction of suspected nuclear research facilities in Iran which are literally located under mountains.

 

They are not stupid.

 

So, "bunker-busting" does already not cut it any more.

 

And, of course, literally any state actor -- and Iran is one of the bigger and technically advanced ones -- would be able to create a dirty bomb poisoning a city like Tel Aviv or Jerusalem with the already existing enriched uranium, in case further enrichment capability was destroyed.

 

https://www.aei.org/op-eds/iran-could-build-a-dirty-bomb-today/

 

Trump exiting the JCPOA literally gave Iran the breather needed to make a nuclear capability unavoidable.

Posted
Just now, jts-khorat said:

 

As I said, there is known construction of suspected nuclear research facilities in Iran which are literally located under mountains.

 

They are not stupid.

 

So, "bunker-busting" does already not cut it any more.

 

And, of course, literally any state actor -- and Iran is one of the bigger and technically advanced ones -- would be able to create a dirty bomb poisoning a city like Tel Aviv or Jerusalem with the already existing enriched uranium, in case further enrichment capability was destroyed.

 

Trump exiting the JCPOA literally gave Iran the breather needed to make a nuclear capability unavoidable.

You missed the strike in Nov:

 

 "significantly damaged Iran's effort over the past year to resume nuclear weapons research, Israeli and U.S. officials said."

 

How do you know bunker buster bombs will not be effective for further strikes?

 

"key installations, such as Iran's uranium enrichment facilities, are fortified, requiring bunker-buster munitions for total destruction"

https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-striking-iranian-nuclear-facilities-bad-idea

Posted
1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said:

You missed the strike in Nov:

 

 "significantly damaged Iran's effort over the past year to resume nuclear weapons research, Israeli and U.S. officials said."

 

How do you know bunker buster bombs will not be effective for further strikes?

 

"key installations, such as Iran's uranium enrichment facilities, are fortified, requiring bunker-buster munitions for total destruction"

https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-striking-iranian-nuclear-facilities-bad-idea

 

I did not miss the strikes.

 

What I am saying is, that the Iranians obviously are learning out of their expensive past failures and are setting themselves up in a way that surpasses current conventional capacity of Israel.

 

https://apnews.com/article/iran-nuclear-natanz-uranium-enrichment-underground-project-04dae673fc937af04e62b65dd78db2e0

 

They are known for a while; it simply takes time to build them.


During their last airstrikes, Israel attacked the air defense radar sites around Natanz, while destruction of actual military facilities was reduced to peripheral installations.

Posted
Just now, jts-khorat said:

 

I did not miss the strikes.

 

What I am saying is, that the Iranians obviously are learning out of their expensive past failures and are setting themselves up in a way that surpasses current conventional capacity of Israel.

 

https://apnews.com/article/iran-nuclear-natanz-uranium-enrichment-underground-project-04dae673fc937af04e62b65dd78db2e0

 

They are known for a while; it simply takes time to build them.


During their last airstrikes, Israel attacked the air defense radar sites around Natanz, while destruction of actual military facilities was reduced to peripheral installations.

Then if you did not miss the strikes you would know how effective they were in pushing back Irans nuclear ambitions and further ones can do the exact same. 

 

The separate strikes Israel did on air defense were also a huge success  'majority of Iran's air defense was taken out'

Posted
9 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Then if you did not miss the strikes you would know how effective they were in pushing back Irans nuclear ambitions

 

Just because I read about it in the Israel press, how "effective" they have been, does not make it true.

 

Literally, we heard that there were WMD in Iraq.

 

I do not want to risk either Jerusalem or Teheran becoming a nuclear wasteland, just because we have a crazy American president who is unable to follow decent morals.

 

In my opinion, the only way to hold Iran back from becoming a nuclear state is to convince them that they are better served to not follow this path and become a normal nation state accepting the right of existence of all its neighbors.

 

To note: Israel flying bombing raids into literally all their neighbors makes it difficult to see them having the moral high ground or even any good argument here, and having an American president literally threatening complete obliteration would also not make me think that not having a working deterrent in my own hands would be preferrable to everything else.

 

What is needed here is really difficult diplomacy. Frankly, I think, this was already blown with trashing the JCPOA (and we will need to be living with Iran as a nuclear state on the same level as Israel already is), but I would rather like to be wrong than right here. Because Trump is simply too incompetent for even simple diplomacy.

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Posted
1 minute ago, jts-khorat said:

 

Just because I read about it in the Israel press, how "effective" they have been, does not make it true.

 

Literally, we heard that there were WMD in Iraq.

 

I do not want to risk either Jerusalem or Teheran becoming a nuclear wasteland, just because we have a crazy American president who is unable to follow decent morals.

 

In my opinion, the only way to hold Iran back from becoming a nuclear state is to convince them that they are better served to not follow this path and become a normal nation state accepting the right of existence of all its neighbors.

 

To note: Israel flying bombing raids into literally all their neighbors makes it difficult to see them having the moral high ground or even any good argument here, and having an American president literally threatening complete obliteration would also not make me think that not having a working deterrent in my own hands would be preferrable to everything else.

 

What is needed here is really difficult diplomacy. Frankly, I think, this was already blown with trashing the JCPOA (and we will need to be living with Iran as a nuclear state on the same level as Israel already is), but I would rather like to be wrong than right here. Because Trump is simply too incompetent for even simple diplomacy.

Oh well if you're not going to believe credible reports that quote US officials that was reported in US press (my link) as well as Israeli then there's not a lot of point having a discussion with a fact less member.

Posted
9 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Oh well if you're not going to believe credible reports that quote US officials that was reported in US press (my link) as well as Israeli then there's not a lot of point having a discussion with a fact less member.

 

You do note, my link was from AP, and there are lots of credible resources refuting your position.

 

In the end, neither you nor me know the true facts, we are both guessing.

 

I prefer an abundance of caution and persuasion, you obviously want to break a few heads and wish that good reason and sense will come from that.

 

I guess we will need to agree to disagree what is the right -- or even better -- way. We will see pretty soon, who is right, not that there will be any prizes for that.

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Posted
33 minutes ago, jts-khorat said:

 

You do note, my link was from AP, and there are lots of credible resources refuting your position.

 

In the end, neither you nor me know the true facts, we are both guessing.

 

I prefer an abundance of caution and persuasion, you obviously want to break a few heads and wish that good reason and sense will come from that.

 

I guess we will need to agree to disagree what is the right -- or even better -- way. We will see pretty soon, who is right, not that there will be any prizes for that.

As soon as you deflect with Iraq WMD, accuse me of wanting to break a few heads and you admitting to not believing US and Israeli officials then again pointless having a discussion with you.

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Posted
2 hours ago, jts-khorat said:

In my opinion, the only way to hold Iran back from becoming a nuclear state is to convince them that they are better served to not follow this path and become a normal nation state accepting the right of existence of all its neighbors.

 

This has to be the most hilarious quote I have ever read on Asean Now. Negotiate with the fanatics in Tehran, the ones that have been announcing on the world stage for thirty years that they intend to wipe Israel from the face of the earth; convince them to become a normal nation. You obviously have no knowledge whatsoever of fanaticism  ¯\_()_/¯

 

 

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Posted
5 hours ago, mrwebb8825 said:

He canceled it because it was being enforced worse that "Prohibition" was. Especially when Biden released them from sanctions. A couple of interesting reads if you care to. Makes one wonder how deep this stuff went for money. :wai:

 

https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/blog/5-times-obama-admin-insisted-cash-way-pay-iran/

 

https://www.factcheck.org/2024/05/posts-misrepresent-unfreezing-of-16-billion-in-iranian-funds/

 

What a difference a few yrs has made to today. 🤔

snip from your post.

 

"What a difference a few yrs has made to today".

 

That is probably the truest thing you have said.

 

In those few years, the USA has lost, and is still losing under Trump, friends and allies that it cannot afford to lose, along with the respect of many countries, and the trust that it used to have as the leader of the free world.

 

The rest of the world will probably get along without the USA though sadly IMHO the USA won't be able to get along without the rest of the world.

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