englishoak Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 3 hours ago, sucit said: Let’s have a little lesson here. Virus variants infecting hosts with an effective vaccine get weeded out of the genome. In short, we eliminate the genomes the virus works against. Ok, great! Due to variation within the virus, some variants are resistant to the vaccines, maybe all of them. Result, these variants propagate. If you are following, we now have a situation where time has past and all we have left are the variants that are resistant to the vaccines. There will always be some of these variants who are resistant to any vaccine we produce, and since this all started with one infected individual… (deduce deduce deduce). You forgot the important part, nature means viruses that are subject to variants always become less deadly at the expense of better transmission. Without fail all become less deadly not more and eventually virtually harmless. We know this is the case throughout history...now that dosnt mean a variant wont be existing jabs resistant but it does mean its highly likely to be much less dangerous, like the Delta variation,more transmissible but much much less deadly than the original. Trust in nature, shes had more experience keeping balance than all humans that have ever lived combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, englishoak said: You forgot the important part, nature means viruses that are subject to variants always become less deadly at the expense of better transmission. Without fail all become less deadly not more and eventually virtually harmless. We know this is the case throughout history...now that dosnt mean a variant wont be existing jabs resistant but it does mean its highly likely to be much less dangerous, like the Delta variation,more transmissible but much much less deadly than the original. Trust in nature, shes had more experience keeping balance than all humans that have ever lived combined. Not necessarily https://theconversation.com/will-coronavirus-really-evolve-to-become-less-deadly-153817 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
garyk Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 (edited) What a mess, I feel for the Thai people. Before the Covid-19 out break the air pollution alone was killing thousands of people a year. Now with covid-19? It's like playing Russian roulette. Edited July 9, 2021 by garyk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
englishoak Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 (edited) 22 minutes ago, placeholder said: Not necessarily https://theconversation.com/will-coronavirus-really-evolve-to-become-less-deadly-153817 That article if you read it properly as I have is just an opinion scare piece could be,maybe,possibility... I see no factual examples or confirmed data only possibilities... its possible ill win the lottery but seeing as i dont buy lottery tickets,highly unlikely. Viruses that are stable like TB or smallpox are just as deadly as they ever were, dont spread easily thus allowing for very effective vaccines over time and thats great. However viruses that mutate ( are unstable ) do so in order to thrive and spread easier, there is a payoff for that however,keeping its host alive. Dead hosts dont help a virus to thrive and spread. To date without fail and that i can see even with your linked article there is no proven exception so far... thankfully ???? Unless some biolab gets in the way and tweaks things again. Ill side with nature thx. Edited July 9, 2021 by englishoak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, englishoak said: That article if you read it properly as I have is just an opinion scare piece could be,maybe,possibility... I see no factual examples or confirmed data only possibilities... its possible ill win the lottery but seeing as i dont buy lottery tickets,highly unlikely. From the article: "There is little or no direct evidence that virulence decreases over time. While newly emerged pathogens, such as HIV and Mers, are often highly virulent, the converse is not true. There are plenty of ancient diseases, such as tuberculosis and gonorrhoea, that are probably just as virulent today as they ever were." In addition, as the author pointed out, the decline in virulence of the myxoma virus from 95- to 90 percent was taken as proof of the validity of the theorem. But as the author points out: "There was little subsequent decline in virulence after Fenner’s early reports, and it may even have risen slightly." It should also be pointed out the even if the theorem is true in the long run, Covid 19 hasn't been on the scene for even 2 years. And more virulent forms have developed. Particularly, it seems, the Lambda variant. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
englishoak Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, placeholder said: From the article: "There is little or no direct evidence that virulence decreases over time. While newly emerged pathogens, such as HIV and Mers, are often highly virulent, the converse is not true. There are plenty of ancient diseases, such as tuberculosis and gonorrhoea, that are probably just as virulent today as they ever were." In addition, as the author pointed out, the decline in virulence of the myxoma virus from 95- to 90 percent was taken as proof of the validity of the theorem. But as the author points out: "There was little subsequent decline in virulence after Fenner’s early reports, and it may even have risen slightly." It should also be pointed out the even if the theorem is true in the long run, Covid 19 hasn't been on the scene for even 2 years. And more virulent forms have developed. Particularly, it seems, the Lambda variant. Sorry but i dont see anything proving anything to be concerned about there... Virulence isnt an issue and thats all I see the article pushing... we have lots of viruses constantly mutating and doing the rounds all the time, some seasons they can take quite a toll, im not going to fret about the possibilities of another one... Dont you get tired of being scared ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 (edited) 6 minutes ago, englishoak said: Sorry but i dont see anything proving anything to be concerned about there... Virulence isnt an issue and thats all I see the article pushing... we have lots of viruses constantly mutating and doing the rounds all the time, some seasons they can take quite a toll, im not going to fret about the possibilities of another one... Dont you get tired of being scared ? Virulence isn't an issue? Virulence is the issue. Here's the definition of virulence from Oxford Languages: "the severity or harmfulness of a disease or poison. "the proportion of birds which die depends on the virulence of the virus" https://www.google.com/search?q=virulence+definition&oq=virulence+definition&aqs=chrome..69i57.4302j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 As for being tired of being scared... I do get tired of people making irrelevant personal comments. It typically means they're flummoxed and resort to personal comments as a deflection. Edited July 9, 2021 by placeholder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blumpie Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 The chinese who have been inoculated with nothing but their own stuff will be fully ready to travel again for tourism in about 5-10 years. Did anyone catch that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemonltr Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 9 hours ago, AlexRich said: Good news that AZN vaccine is effective, but worrying that the Chinese version doesn’t overcome the Indian variant. I receive my second AZN jab on Monday. Once the western countries have vaccinated their populations I hope that all surplus vaccines are quickly handed over to countries in need. This problem isn’t over until the World is safe. Surpluses will go to WHO via Covax.. Thailand turned down Covax in order to do a superior job themselves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThailandRyan Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 8 hours ago, Nickelbeer said: I will not be vaccinated with ANYTHING made in China. Phizer, Johnson and Johnson, Moderna or Astra Zeneca for me. Wow another Anti-vaxxer, tell us why please, you left out all the details and then just wanted to put your personal feeling out there without explaining why and having a dialogue. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyril sneer Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Sinovac sounds worse than covid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacko45k Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 It would seem wise to rapidly shift to AZ and dump the Sinovac..... and get some Pfizer, Moderna etc. Puts us Expats further down the line ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MasterBaker Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 12 hours ago, snoop1130 said: The study reveals that two doses of Sinovac, plus a booster dose of AstraZeneca, can prevent the Delta infection better than two doses of Sinovac, but still less than two doses of AstraZeneca, the doctor said. are 3 doses of Sinovac better than 2? probably, yes. Great study, doc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misterjames Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said: Deflection number 2 2 is being generous you should check out the other threads:D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajooma Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 6 hours ago, englishoak said: That article if you read it properly as I have is just an opinion scare piece could be,maybe,possibility... I see no factual examples or confirmed data only possibilities... its possible ill win the lottery but seeing as i dont buy lottery tickets,highly unlikely. Viruses that are stable like TB or smallpox are just as deadly as they ever were, dont spread easily thus allowing for very effective vaccines over time and thats great. However viruses that mutate ( are unstable ) do so in order to thrive and spread easier, there is a payoff for that however,keeping its host alive. Dead hosts dont help a virus to thrive and spread. To date without fail and that i can see even with your linked article there is no proven exception so far... thankfully ???? Unless some biolab gets in the way and tweaks things again. Ill side with nature thx. Viruses that are stable like TB (above) ... The disease TB (tuberculosis) is caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis which is bacteria not virus ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThailandRyan Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 9,326 cases and 91 deaths today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catoni Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 13 hours ago, sucit said: Predicting this would be a pattern for a while… Vaccinated individuals allowed to travel and such. Vaccine loses effectiveness. The vaccines must now get new, better vaccinations. And the story goes… With thanks to the Chinese Communist Party and Dr. Fauci’s organization that gave money to the Wuhan Institute of Virology and Canada’s Trudeau who gave money to the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Millions of deaths on their hands, and a bleak future for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muhendis Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 13 hours ago, ThailandRyan said: Wonder how just the one jab of AZ does versus the 2 Sinovac jabs, and if the one AZ jab gives one a fighting chance. Would like to see a study on that. This may not apply to the Delta Covid The primary analysis of the Phase III clinical trials from the UK, Brazil and South Africa, published as a preprint in The Lancet confirmed COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca is safe and effective at preventing COVID-19, with no severe cases and no hospitalisations, more than 22 days after the first dose. https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2021/covid-19-vaccine-astrazeneca-confirms-protection-against-severe-disease-hospitalisation-and-death-in-the-primary-analysis-of-phase-iii-trials.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post scorecard Posted July 10, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted July 10, 2021 (edited) 56 minutes ago, cyril sneer said: Sinovac sounds worse than covid Two days ago I had my second AZ here in Australia at a well respected big community health centre, part of a major outer suburban hospital. They run 2 rooms with experienced qualified nurse and a dr. in each room at all times. Their palling and organization in terms of processing a batch of 10 people at a time is excellent. After my jab the dr. in the room asked if I was having any reaction, I said 'NO', and she asked if I had any further questions. I asked her ongoing opinion of the AZ vaccine. Her response: AZ is an excellent vaccine and yes there have been some negative reactions and some blood clotting, however all vaccines have had some / similar reactions, all have had some blood clotting problems but AZ the most cases. She expanded: AZ quickly started investigations when blood clotting happened, their serum has already been adjusted and they're still experimenting with further tweaks in terms of all the reactions. Further, she mentioned: AZ has received unfair negative comments in comparison to the comments about other vaccines, the Aust. government should have done some work to ensure the comments on all vaccines are fair and balanced, and they should have mentioned that the AZ vaccine has been tweaked. They didn't. I said: There seems to be quite strong negative community comments about the state and especially the federal gov'ts communication in regard to the vaccination rollout. Dr's quick/strong response: I agree very poor communications and poor planning and it hasn't improved. I asked about Sinovac: Her response I can't comment we aren't using it in Australia and probably won't. She also said: The Moderna vaccine seems to be coming soon and it has good reports. Further: I commented about the big AZ manufactruing plant which is already distributing the vaccine and planned to be in full massive production at the end of July. Dr. responded that she's looking forward to getting very big supplies of AZ and mentioned her hospital medical centre already has full planning of how they will massively expand their number of jabs per day, she's pushing for a 24/7 operation, also satellite walk-in jabs available at many shopping centres, schools, beaches and more. Edited July 10, 2021 by scorecard 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metisdead Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 A post trolling about Donald Trump has been removed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotchilli Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 13 hours ago, snoop1130 said: Inoculation with two doses of China’s Sinovac vaccine can boost the neutralizing antibody level to 80-90% and provide immunity to the Alpha variant of the COVID-19 virus to some extent, but cannot fend off the highly contagious Delta variant, which is becoming dominant in Thailand and many other parts of the world, said a prominent Thai doctor today (Friday). That's about all Prayut has in his arsenal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blumpie Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 4 hours ago, misterjames said: It's a lot easier to control outbreaks when you weld people inside their own homes during an outbreak. It's also impossible to know what the real situation is when there is no freedom of press or speech. The point is they have only had the chinese vaccine which is basically useless against the new variants. Chinese aren't going to Thailand or anywhere else for such a long time it's not even funny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cake Monster Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 14 hours ago, ThailandRyan said: Yet how many who have had the first dose of the AstraZenica vaccine are still waiting for the 2nd one. 12 weeks apart is what they have been going with. Wonder how just the one jab of AZ does versus the 2 Sinovac jabs, and if the one AZ jab gives one a fighting chance. Would like to see a study on that. I believe that the 12 weeks period between shots has been reduced to 8 weeks . based on the fact that getting the second shot administered quicker will halt the progress of the Virus . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabas Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, Sametboy2019 said: On a thread here by JP Morgan on economies under threat by the Delta strain this was said. Even if the Delta variant is shown to result in lower hospitalization and death rates, the report said, pressure on healthcare systems and a higher absolute number of deaths could occur, likely raising pressure on some governments to extend or re-impose mobility restrictions. So who cares if the Sinovac vaccine does not protect against the Delta variant if hospitalization and death rates are lower. There is a interview with a Doctor on the link below with him actually saying that these new variants are basically the same and they are getting weaker although more contagious and that what's viruses do. Their mission is to spread not kill. The more deadly a virus is the more unsuccessful it will be as the host has less time to infect others. https://rumble.com/viwq25-the-truth-about-covid-19-lockdowns-and-mrna-vaccines-steve-deace-show.html?fbclid=IwAR2jNosohKbwnNdB9sLtpzLGFTP8zjDbLl9u-SOs3xuDuhK_x8-0N-9M4E4 But Delta hospitalizations are much higher, not lower. Delta results in 85% more hospitalizations than Alpha. Alpha had 52% more hospitalizations than Wuhan and 59% higher mortality. reference Edited July 10, 2021 by rabas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ivor bigun Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Cake Monster said: I believe that the 12 weeks period between shots has been reduced to 8 weeks . based on the fact that getting the second shot administered quicker will halt the progress of the Virus . well i had mine 5 weeks ago ,still 16 weeks according to my mor phrom app . although my sister in law in BKK has just got a message putting it down to 12 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cake Monster Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 19 minutes ago, ivor bigun said: well i had mine 5 weeks ago ,still 16 weeks according to my mor phrom app . although my sister in law in BKK has just got a message putting it down to 12 weeks Maybe I got it wrong. Is it 8 weeks for the AZ vaccine. Or am I getting Old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMKW Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 16 hours ago, worgeordie said: The majority of jabs here have been with the Sinovac , regards worgeordie Exactly!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dont confuse me Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Well there's a surprise ???? some people are making a nice few baht by still ordering and paying for this Chinese <deleted> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Drake Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 13 hours ago, placeholder said: We don't really know how Sinovac is going to perform against the Delta virus. I don't think any clinical or large scale studies have been published. While statistics for the real number of cases is clearly unreliable, it's a lot harder to fudge critical care bed occupancy rates and mortality. As much as it pains me to be supportive of placeholder, on this issue he is correct. This is the fundamental question that needs to be answered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kimamey Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 17 hours ago, impulse said: But isn't it interesting that, in 20-30 years they never discovered an application where the risks didn't exceed the benefits? https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-who-vaccines/benefits-of-mrna-covid-vaccines-outweigh-rare-heart-risks-says-who-idUSL2N2OL1SK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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